Izibalo zaseNyakatho Korea
Ochwepheshe ababili abavelele baseMelika baseNyakatho Korea, uRobert Carlin noSiegfried Hecker, baqala okwakamuva. ukuhlaziywa ngalo musho: โIsimo eNhlonhlweni YaseKorea siyingozi kakhulu kunanoma yisiphi isikhathi kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-June 1950.โ
Bakholelwa ukuthi uKim Jong Un unqume "ukuya empini." Ngokungafani neminyaka edlule, izitatimende zakamuva zaseNyakatho Korea eziphikisayo azibonakali ziyi-bluster. Uma laba chwepheshe beqinisile, isu le-US-South Korean lesikhathi eside lokuvinjelwa kwezikhali zenuzi liyehluleka.
Ngokubona kwabo, uKim uyeke umzamo okade ufunwa yiNorth Korea wokulungisa ubudlelwano ne-US. Manje uzimisele ukuphonsela inselelo isu le-US-Republic of Korea elincike ekuhlakanipheni kukaKimโukuqonda kwakhe ukuthi impi izosho ukucekelwa phansi ngokuphelele kombuso wakhe nezwe lakhe.
Kungani manje? Yini edala lolu shintsho olungajwayelekile ekucabangeni kwe-N Korean?
UCarlin noHecker baphikisa ngokuthi kuhlanganisa, okokuqala, inkolelo yaseNyakatho Korea yokuthi "amagagasi omhlaba ayehamba ngokuvuna kwawo," ngenxa yokuthi i-US iboshiwe e-Ukraine naseMpumalanga Ephakathi; okwesibili, ukuthi ukuhlanganiswa neNingizimu Korea akunakwenzeka, nokuthi iNyakatho neNingizimu Korea manje zingamazwe alwayo; okwesithathu, ukuthi i-N Korea ingathembela eRussia ukuze ithole ukwesekwa.
Ingabe laba ochwepheshe baqinisile? Ukuhlasela okumangazayo kwe-S Korea kungabonakala njengokuhlanya. Kodwa ukubala kwamasu kukaKim Jong Un kungase kube ukuthi njengoba i-US isindwa yizibopho zezempi kwenye indawo, futhi iNorth Korea manje inamandla okufinyelela ezweni lase-US ngesikhali senuzi, izwe lakhe lingavimbela impendulo yenuzi yase-US ekuhlaselweni kweNorth Korea.
Ngokwenza kanjalo, akagcini nje ngokubeka engcupheni ukuphela kombuso wakhe kodwa futhi nempi yesifunda ezohlanganisa iChina neJapane. Ukucekelwa phansi okungase kube khona empini enjalo akunakucatshangwa.
Izinkinga ngenqubomgomo yase-US
Angazi noma uCarlin noHecker baqinisile yini. Bathembele eminyakeni yokuhlangenwe nakho nasekufundeni ngokucophelela izitatimende ezisemthethweni, hhayi ubufakazi obuqinile.
Ngicabanga ukuthi lokhu kusobala: Iminyaka eminingi, ezizukulwaneni ezintathu zobukhosi bakwaKim, i-US yehlulekile ukuthatha ngokungathi sรญna intshisekelo yaseNyakatho Korea yokuthola iziqinisekiso zokuphepha ezivela e-US ngokushiya izikhali zenuzi.
Ezikhathini zamuva nje, uDonald Trump ube nethuba engqungqutheleni yakhe ka-2019 noKim eHanoi, eVietnam, ukwenza intuthuko ebudlelwaneni neNyakatho. Kepha uTrump wenqabile ukuxoxisana ngokususa unswinyo lwaseMelika futhi washiya itafula lezingxoxo, mhlawumbe okwenza uKim Jong Un azizwe ephoxekile.
UJoe Biden ukhungatheke ngezinye izinkinga zenqubomgomo yezangaphandle. Ukuphatha kwakhe akunake kakhulu iNorth Korea ngaphezu kokugxekwa okuvamile ngaso sonke isikhathi lapho iNyakatho yenza ukuhlolwa kwemicibisholo eyi-ballistic. Ngakho-ke, uCarlin noHecker kungenzeka baqinisile ukuthi uKim useliyekile iqhinga lokuthembisana imali futhi manje uzimisele ukuphunyula.
Isici saseChina sibalulekile lapha. Ukube i-US ne-China bebevumelana kangcono, i-Beijing ibingase izimisele futhi ikwazi ukulamula ukuze iqinisekise ukuthi isibambisene sayo, i-North Korea, ayilwenzi isenzo sezempi esingabeka engcupheni ukuphepha kwe-China kune-South Korea noma i-Japan.
Abaholi baseShayina kungenzeka ukuthi abazi, noma bangakholwa, ukuthi iNorth Korea ilungiselela impi. Lingakanani ithonya i-China elinalo ngempela kuKim akuqinisekwa; Abahlaziyi baseMelika baye benza ihaba kaningi. Noma kunjalo, ukubonisana okusebenzayo kwe-US neChina kubalulekile ukusiza ukugwema isinqumo esiyinhlekelele sombuso kaKim.
Indlela Entsha Yenqubomgomo YaseMelika
Inqubomgomo yase-US ngeNyakatho Korea emashumini ambalwa eminyaka edlule ishintshile kancane. Kubukeka sengathi kwehlela amaphuzu amathathu kuphela: ukuthola isivumelwano seNorth Korea sokususa izikhali zenuzi bese kuphela kuxoxwa ngokukhululeka unswinyo kanye nezindaba zokuphepha; buyisela unswinyo kanye nokugxekwa kwe-UN ukuze kumiswe iNorth Korea ekwenzeni ukuhlola kwezikhali ezicitshwayo kanye nezikhali zenuzi; futhi uthembele ekuvimbeleni izikhali zenuzi ukuze kuvinjwe isenzo sobudlova saseNyakatho Korea ngokumelene neNingizimu Korea nanoma yisiphi esinye isimo. Lawa maphuzu, abelwe abaphathi beDemocratic and Republican ngokufanayo, awanele ngokusobala futhi, uma u-Carlin no-Hecker beqinisile, awasabalulekile ekucabangeni kwamasu e-Pyongyang.
Izikhulu zokuphatha i-Biden zike zasho phambilini ukuthi i-US ikulungele ukungena ezingxoxweni neNorth Korea ngaphandle kwemibandela. Kulungile, kodwa isimo samanje sidinga ukuthi kubuyekezwe inqubomgomo osekunesikhathi eside ikhona.
Ukuthembela ekuthunyelwe phambili kwezempi eSouth Korea naseJapan ukuze kuqukethe iNorth Korea akwanele. Sekuyisikhathi eside esidlulile sokuvuselela i-diplomacy ne-North Korea futhi sibeke izikhuthazo zokunciphisa ukungezwani etafuleni.
Lokho kufanele kubandakanye ukuvuma ukukhathazeka okusemthethweni kwezokuphepha kweNyakatho, ukukwamukela njengamandla enuzi, kanye nokuqonda izinzuzo ezifanayo (nezifunda) zobudlelwano obujwayelekile. INorth Korea ngeke iyiyeke izikhali zayo zenuzi, kodwa iphakethe elifanele lemihlomulo lingase linxenxe uKim Jong Un ukuthi agcine izikhali zakhe, amise ukuhlolwa kwemicibisholo eyi-ballistic, futhi avule umnyango wokugadwa kosizo lwezomnotho nolwesintu.
Okungenani, i-US idinga ukuhlola intshisekelo kaKim ekuhlanganyeleni. Manje.
UMel Gurtov, ogunyazwe ngu PeaceVoice, unguProfesa Emeritus Wesayensi Yezombangazwe e-Portland State University kanye namabhulogi at In Interesting Abantu.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
Nikela