Isifunda sase-Asia-Pacific asizange sivele nje njengesinye sezinjini ezinkulu zomnotho womhlaba, siphinde sathatha isiteji somhlaba wonke ekuthuthukisweni okuphathelene nezikhali zenuzi, emizamweni yokuthola amandla okuzenza, nasezingxabanweni zenuzi. phakathi kwamandla ezifunda kanye ne-United States. Njengamanje, i-Iran neNyakatho Korea, amandla amabili okuqala aqokwe yi-US "i-axis of evil" asesigabeni semizamo yase-US ukuvimbela isitha ukuthola izikhali zenuzi, noma, ngisho nokuthuthukisa amandla enuzi. Ngaso leso sikhathi, i-US ihlinzeka ngokusekela uhlelo lwenuzi lwaseNdiya futhi ithule esidlangalaleni ngezinyathelo zaseJapan zokuthola amandla ezikhali zenuzi.
Kusukela e-Iran nase-Israel eNtshonalanga ye-Asia, eNdiya nasePakistan eNingizimu ye-Asia, eNyakatho Korea naseJapane eMpumalanga, isifunda sabonisa, ngo-2005, umsebenzi ongakaze ubonwe emkhakheni wezikhali zenuzi ongadlondlobala eminyakeni ezayo.
Ezweni ngalinye kulawa, i-United States idlala indima enkulu. Izinqubomgomo zayo zokukhetha noma ukuphikisana nemisebenzi yazo yenuzi zizoshintsha ibhalansi yesu kwezinye zezifunda zomhlaba eziguquguqukayo kakhulu.
U-Achin Vanaik, uprofesa wezobudlelwano bamazwe ngamazwe, uthi: โLokhu kuwushintsho oluphawulekayo enkathini yempi ebandayo, lapho isizinda senuzi emhlabeni wonke samandla adonsela phansi sasibhekene nokungqubuzana okuphelele phakathi kwezifunda ezisempumalanga nesentshonalanga, okwakushube kakhulu eYurophu. ipolitiki yomhlaba wonke eDelhi University. Uphinde abe yilungu le-Coalition for Nuclear Disarmament and Peace kanye nesazi esizimele senuzi. โNgokudabukisayo, intuthuko yenuzi yase-Asia ibuswa amandla amakhulu azimisele ngokumelene nokuncishiswa kwezikhali zenuzi.โ
I-2005 yabona intuthuko yenuzi eyingqophamlando - umzamo we-US kanye nabalingani bayo wokusola i-Iran futhi iyivimbele ekucebiseni i-uranium, kungaba ngezinhloso zezempi noma zomphakathi, kanye ne-Indo-U.S. isivumelwano "sokwenza" isimo sezikhali zenuzi saseNdiya sibe esijwayelekile futhi siqale kabusha ukuhwebelana kwezikhali zenuzi ngaso.
Izingxoxo zaqhubeka ngo-2005 phakathi kweNorth Korea nezinye izizwe ezaziholwa yi-U.S., ezazihlanganisa iChina, iRussia, iJapan, iSouth Korea kanye ne-European Union, ukuyekisa iPyongyang ukulandela uhlelo lwayo lwezikhali zenuzi. Lezi azizange ziyixazulule inkinga.
Ngaleso sikhathi, iJapan yasondela ekubuyekezeni ukuzibophezela kwayo kwangemva kweMpi Yezwe II yokungenzi noma ukuthola izikhali zenuzi futhi ingakhi ibutho elikhulu elimile. Lokhu kuthola ukubaluleka okukhulu kumongo walokho okuye kwabizwa ngokuthi โimpi ebandayo entshaโ phakathi kweJapane neChina.
NgoSepthemba, i-US yaletha isiphakamiso ebhodini lababusi be-International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) ukuthi i-Iran "ingahambisani" nezibopho zayo ngaphansi kweSivumelwano Sokulwa Non-Proliferation (NPT) futhi ivula indlela yokuyidlulisela uMkhandlu Wezokuphepha weNhlangano Yezizwe ukuze uthole unswinyo. Isinqumo singaphasiswa ngoba i-India yahlukana nenhlangano engahambisani ne-IAEA futhi yavota neWashington.
I-Iran yasichitha lesi sinqumo yaphinde yagcizelela ilungelo layo ngaphansi kwe-NPT lokunothisa i-uranium ngezinjongo ezinokuthula. I-Russia kusukela ngaleso sikhathi ihlongoze isivumelwano, lapho i-Iran ingaguqula ikhekhe eliphuzi (ama-oxide e-uranium) libe yigesi ye-hexafluoride ezothunyelwa eRussia ukuze inothiswe.
Ngaphansi kokuvumelana, i-Iran ingashisa i-uranium ecebile ku-reactor kagesi, eyakhiwe ngosizo lwaseRussia, kodwa izobuyisela uphethiloli osetshenzisiwe eRussia. Ngakho-ke, i-Iran izokwenqaba ukucubungula kabusha ukuze ikhiphe i-plutonium, nayo, njenge-uranium ecebe kakhulu, isetshenziselwa ukwenza amabhomu enuzi.
I-Iran ayizange isenqabe ngokusemthethweni lesi siphakamiso, kodwa izingxoxo zayo ne-European Union-3 (eJalimane, iFrance neBrithani) azizange ziveze imiphumela.
Isimo senuzi sikaTehran kanye nemisebenzi yakhe idonsele impendulo enonya kwa-Israyeli kanye noMongameli wase-US uGeorge W. Bush waphinde wabuyela endaweni yakhe ethi "Axis of Evil". I-US kubikwa ukuthi yenze izinhlelo zokuhlasela kuhlonyiwe kwe-Iran.
Khonamanjalo kwaqubuka impi yamagama phakathi kwe-Iran ne-Israel. Ngo-Okthoba, umongameli osanda kukhethwa wase-Iran uMahmoud Ahmadinejad wacela ukuthi i-Israel "isulwe ebalazweni lomhlaba."
Abaholi bakwa-Israel bafunge bagomela ukuthi bazoyivimba i-Iran ekutholeni izikhali zenuzi. UNdunankulu u-Ariel Sharon uthe ngomhlaka-1 Disemba ukuthi i-Israel ngeke ivumele i-Iran yenze lokho. "I-Israel, hhayi i-Israel kuphela, ayikwazi ukwamukela isimo lapho i-Iran izoba nezikhali zenuzi," kusho uSharon.
Owake waba ngundunankulu uBenyamin Netanyahu useveze usongo olungafihlekile lokucekela phansi ukufakwa kwezikhali zenuzi e-Iran, evuma ngokuqhunyiswa kwebhomu kuka-Israel ngo-1981 endaweni yocwaningo lwase-Iraq ethi "Osirak", eyayisakhiwa.
NgoDisemba 16, i-Iran yaxwayisa u-Israyeli ukuthi impendulo yayo ekuhlaselweni kwe-Israel izoba "ngokushesha, kuqine futhi kucekele phansi."
โOkugqanyiswa yilokhu konke ukuthi kungenzeka kube nezingxabano eziyingozi eMpumalanga Ephakathi,โ kusho uVanaik. "Isifunda sesivele sishubile ngenxa yokugcwala kwe-Iraq, okuza phezu kwenkinga yasePalestine. Uma i-US kanye ne-Israel bephikelela nendlela eqinile eya e-Iran, bangadala isiphithiphithi. Izindinganiso eziphindwe kabili zase-US - ubutha ne-Iran, kanye nokwesekwa kwayo ohlelweni lwezikhali zenuzi lakwa-Israyeli - kuwumthombo wokunganeliseki okudumile esifundeni. "
Izindinganiso ezimbili zaseWashington ziyabonakala naseNingizimu Asia. Ivumile ukwenza okuhlukile ngesikhathi esisodwa kuhulumeni wamazwe ngamazwe wokungasabalala kwezikhali zenuzi e-India ngokwamukela ukuthi i-India iyizwe โelinomthwalo wemfaneloโ wezikhali zenuzi, nakuba ingakasayini i-NPT. Ukuphatha kukaBush kunikeze ukunxenxa ukhongolose wase-U.S. ukuthi ichibiyele imithetho yokungabhebhetheki futhi icele ukuba kukhishwe okufanayo e-India kuQembu Labahlinzeki beNuclear.
I-India ne-U.S. bakha โubambiswano lwamasuโ, okuhlanganisa nokubambisana okukhulu kwezempi. NgoMashi, iWashington yanikela ngokusiza iNdiya ukuba ibe umbuso omkhulu womhlaba ekhulwini lama-21.
Lokhu kuklelise iPakistan, ebona i-Indo-U.S. โubambiswanoโ njengokwethula i-asymmetry yamasu wesifunda. IPakistan kungenzeka izifunele ukuphathwa okufanayo maqondana nobuchwepheshe nemishini yenuzi, futhi idweba amasu eziteshi ezintsha zamandla enuzi.
I-US yenza okuncane ukudambisa umbango wenuzi wase-Indo-Pakistan. Inamahloni ngokudalulwa kwemisebenzi yomshoshaphansi yenethiwekhi ka-Abdul Qadeer Khan eyadayisela i-Iran, North Korea kanye neLibya ubuchwepheshe bokunothisa i-uranium. Kepha iWashington idinga iPakistan njengomfelandawonye "empini yokulwa nobuphekula", ikakhulukazi, iTaliban kanye ne-al-Qaeda. Inqabile ukufaka ingcindezi yokuthi iPakistan ifake uKhan ekuphenyweni ngemibuzo ukuze acacise ukuthengiselana kwakhe ngenuzi.
Indlela eqinile ye-US eya emisebenzini yenuzi yase-Iran iphikisana nendlela yayo ethambile yaseNyakatho Korea, naphezu kwesimangalo sikaPyongyang sokuthi isivele inesikhali senuzi. Ihlinzeka ngokukhuthaza eNyakatho Korea, okuhlanganisa isiphehli senuzi esivamile, kanye nosizo lwezomnotho, nakuba isenqaba isidingo sokuthi ukwakhiwa kwe-reactor kufanele kwandulele ukuhlakazwa kohlelo lwezikhali zenuzi lwasePyongyang.
"Izindlela zokungabhebhetheki zaseWashington ziyakhetha, ziyabandlulula futhi azihambisani," kusho uVanaik. โIsebenzisa ukungande njengesikhali uma lokho kuvumelana nezithakazelo zayo zesikhashana. Uma kungenzeki, kuvumela ubuchwepheshe bezikhali zenuzi ukuthi zande. โ
Isibonelo esibuhlungu salokhu kungaba yiJapan. Umthethosisekelo wezwe, owashiwo yi-US ngesikhathi sokubusa kwayo ngemva kwempi, uyakwenqabela ukutholwa, ukukhiqiza noma โukungenisaโ izikhali zenuzi. Osopolitiki abaningi baseJapan bafuna lo mthetho uchitshiyelwe.
I-Japan iqoqe inani elikhulu le-plutonium, ephinde yacutshungulwa entshonalanga ye-Europe, ngokusobala ukuze yondle ama-reactors ayo asheshayo kodwa enethuba lokuphambukisa ngokushesha ekusetshenzisweni kwezempi.
Uma iJapan ingathola izikhali zenuzi futhi iqhubeke nokwakha amasosha ayo, iChina izosabela. Kakade, i-China izizwa isongelwa uhlelo lwe-Washington's ballistic missile defense kanye nokukhula kwe-Indo-U.S. ukusebenzisana kwezempi. Uma izitayela zamanje ziqhubeka, i-Asia ingabona imijaho emibili emisha yezikhali - owodwa phakathi kweJapan neChina, kanti omunye phakathi kweChina neNdiya.
Lezi zimbangi ngeke zigqugquzelwe ngokuphelele yizici zesifunda kodwa zizoba nomthelela onamandla wangaphandle kwesifunda, lokho kwe-U.S. Njengoba isifunda sase-Asia-Pacific sidlulela ku-2006, kubonakala kubheke esiphithiphithini nokungazinzi.
UPraful Bidwai uyintatheli ezinze eNew Delhi. Ubhale lesi sihloko se-Interpress Service ngoDisemba 26, 2005.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
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