A halin yanzu gwamnatin Trump na kokarin hambarar da shugaban kasar Venezuela Nicolás Maduro da sunan ‘yanci da dimokradiyya. Amma duk da haka kokarin Washington zai haifar da zubar da jini ne kawai da kuma tabarbarewar rikicin kasar da tabarbarewar tattalin arziki.
Kalli dai wanene ke jagorantar yunkurin juyin mulkin daga Washington.
Mai ba Amurka shawara kan harkokin tsaro John Bolton yana ta buga gangunan yaki da Venezuela tun bayan da Amurka ta amince da Juan Guiadó a matsayin wanda ya ayyana kansa a matsayin shugaban rikon kwarya na kasar a makon jiya.
A wani taron manema labarai a ranar Litinin, Bolton ya daga gira tare da faifan rubutu da yake rike da cewa "Sojoji 5,000 zuwa Colombia." Duk da yake wannan na iya ko a'a alama cewa Amurka na neman mamaye Venezuela daga makwabciyarta, yana nuna tasirin Fadar White House ta ajiye "dukkan zabi a kan tebur" idan ya zo Venezuela.
Bolton ba baƙo ba ne ga tashin hankali, canjin tsarin mulki. A baya bayan yakin Iraqi. ya kasance babban jigo a gwamnatin Bush wanda ya taimaka wajen yaudarar jama'a a cikin imani Saddam Hussein yana da makaman kare dangi. Sakamakon ya kasance daya daga cikin mafi muni da rikice-rikice masu nisa a tarihin zamani.
A halin yanzu, an nada Elliot Abrams a matsayin manzo na musamman da zai kula da shigar Amurka a Venezuela. Abrams sanannen shaho ne wanda ya kula mumunan kisan kiyashi a El Salvador a cikin 1980s da ya jagoranci tare da rufe badakalar Iran-Contra karkashin Reagan.
"Wannan rikici a Venezuela yana da zurfi kuma mai wahala da haɗari," in ji Abrams bayan nadin nasa. "Kuma ba zan iya jira don samun aiki a kai ba."
Wadannan mutane ba jami'an diflomasiyya ba ne masu kaifin kishin kasa da za su iya yin aiki da zaman lafiya da dimokuradiyya. Masu aikata laifukan yaki ne kuma yakamata a tsare su a gidan yari.
Kamar yadda sauran ƙoƙarce-ƙoƙarcen gwamnatocin Amurka suka nuna a Latin Amurka da ma duniya baki ɗaya, shiga tsakani a Venezuela zai iya haifar da bala'i na siyasa da zamantakewa. Wani lamari mai mahimmanci shine Amurka ta ba da damar juyin mulkin Honduras a 2009, wanda ya taimaka haifar da al'adun tashin hankali da rashin hukunta wanda da yawa suke gudu a yau ta hanyar ayarin ƙaura.
Takunkumin Amurka ta sanya a wannan makon A kan Venezuela tabbas za su matsa wa gwamnatin Maduro lamba, amma mutanen da za su fi fama da su su ne sassan al'umma mafi talauci.
Ko da kuwa ra'ayin Maduro na mulkin kama karya, goyon bayan Amurka ga juyin mulki, tsauraran takunkumi, da yiwuwar shiga tsakani na soja zai kara zurfafa da tsawaita rikicin. Madadin haka, ya kamata Washington ta dawo Mexico da Uruguay suna kira ga tattaunawar zaman lafiya tsakanin Maduro da 'yan adawa - shawarwarin da Maduro ya amince da shi.
Tattaunawa na iya zama hanya madaidaiciya, mai aminci a cikin halin da ake ciki yanzu.
"Mafi munin zaɓi shine yaƙi," tsohon shugaban ƙasar Uraguay kuma tsohon ɗan gwagwarmayar hagu José Mujica ya ce game da bukatar yin shawarwarin lumana a Venezuela. A cikin yaƙi, in ji shi, waɗanda suka mutu kuma suka fi shan wahala su ne “waɗanda ba su da alhakin” rikicin.
Benjamin Dangel yana da PhD a cikin tarihin Latin Amurka daga Jami'ar McGill kuma ya yi aiki a matsayin ɗan jarida a cikin Latin Amurka sama da shekaru goma, yana rubutu don kantuna kamar The Guardian, Al Jazeera, The Nation, and Vice. Shi ne marubucin littattafai daban-daban kan Latin Amurka, ciki har da masu zuwa Tawayen Shekara Dari Biyar: Ƙungiyoyin 'Yan Asalin Ƙasa da Ƙarfafa Tarihi a Bolivia. Dangl yana gyara TowardFreedom.org, hangen nesa mai ci gaba kan al'amuran duniya. Email BenDangl(at) gmail.com. Twitter @BenDangl
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