Almost exactly a month ago President-Elect Trump suffered his first major political defeat when Ultra-MAGA Congressman Matt Gaetz withdrew his name after Trump nominated him to be US Attorney-General. Republican Senator Mitch McConnell’s opposition to that nomination was a primary reason Gaetz had to do this. In a column I wrote then, I said:
“Would-be dictators actually become dictators in part because they are able to project strength and virility, making it much easier to impose their will on anybody they determine is standing in their way. But as Republican Senator Mitch McConnell surprisingly revealed, Trump’s victory clearly has its limits. When it is Republican Senators, not Democrats, not progressives, not leftists, who are the ones standing up to him, that has positive political impacts.”
Just two days ago we saw the same thing, with two differences: it was 38 Republican House members who rejected Trump’s ultimatum for them to vote for a piece of legislation he considered important; and Trump looked weak as obscenely rich billionaire Elon Musk first made that demand, after which Trump followed.
Could it be that Trump’s age and infirmities are catching up with him? Has he been thrown off his game? Or is it, maybe, that Trump’s primary reason for running for office was not necessarily to be a dictatorial President (though he’d clearly like it to be) but because only by winning would he be certain that he avoid trials and prison time for his criminal activities?
Is it possible that as problematic as it is that this vile human being is the most powerful person in the USA, his second four year term in the White House is going to be primarily another time of political chaos?
One reason this is likely is the fact that Trump will take office as the President with the lowest poll numbers of any newly-elected President going back decades. Five national polls since December 5 measuring how people feel about Trump in this transitional period before taking office have him at an average 51% rating. The numbers for Biden four years ago were in the high 50s. This guy in no way has a popular mandate.
Other reasons include: the very visible divisions within the Republican Party in the House; the nearly even number of Democratic House members as Republicans; and Senate Republicans seven votes short of the 60 they need for anything that isn’t budget related or confirmations of executive and judicial appointments.
Will all of this scale back the amount of damage Trump and the MAGA’s can do?
Damage there will be, without question. On many fronts—climate, immigrant rights, health care, social security, education, housing, labor rights, voting and civil rights, abortion and womens’ rights, transgender rights, and more—the progressive and liberal forces who almost got Kamala Harris elected will have our hands very full. That reality could be mitigated somewhat with big victories for Democrats (and progressive independents?) in the House and Senate in November of 2026, but until at least then we need to do all we can to defend the many gains we have made in the USA since the CIO uprising of workers in the 1930s.
Lots of tactics are needed to mount those defenses, but there’s one that, right now, needs to take priority: as massive as possible a showing in the streets of opposition to the Trump/MAGA agenda. This is why the Women’s March January 18th in Washington, DC, as well as the many other local demonstrations happening on that date, are so important. Personally, I’m very involved in organizing a Black-led “Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. March of Resistance” in Newark, NJ. Many thousands are expected, with almost 200 organizational endorsers as of this writing.
It is critical that the mass media and social media narrative about Trump’s inauguration on January 20th not be one which makes it seem like our progressive movements of movements has been cowed, silenced, seriously set back. We haven’t been, I know it from my observations and interactions since November 5, and we need to make that visible from the git-go of this next four-year period of oppression and righteous resistance.
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