Since theĀ startĀ of theĀ year,Ā numerousĀ newspapersĀ haveĀ dedicatedĀ articleĀ afterarticleĀ toĀ predictionsĀ of aĀ loomingĀ demise of the so-called āPink Tideā
The term āPink Tideā is used to refer to the wave of left-of-center governments elected to power in Latin America during recent years.
AĀ numberĀ ofĀ themĀ were up for re-election, and pollsters and commentators alikearguedĀ thatĀ forĀ many, their time in government was up.
Instead,Ā Sunday October 26Ā saw Brazilians re-elect Dilma Rousseff as president, ushering in a fourth consecutive Workersā Party administration.
ThatĀ sameĀ day,Ā votersĀ inĀ neighboringĀ UruguayĀ handed the incumbent Broad Front (FA) a majority inĀ bothĀ housesĀ ofĀ parliament, and FAĀ candidateĀ Tabare Vasquez goes into the second round of theĀ presidentialĀ electionsĀ as hotĀ favoriteĀ afterĀ winning49.5% of the vote in theĀ firstĀ round (compared with 32% for his nearest rival).
These victories come on the back of the thumping win for Evo Morales (his third in a row), with more than 60% of the vote in BoliviaāsĀ October 12Ā national election.
InĀ fact,Ā theyĀ cap off aĀ periodĀ of 16Ā yearsĀ of almost interruptedĀ victoriesĀ by center-left and leftist forces inĀ SouthĀ America,Ā startingĀ with theĀ electionĀ ofĀ HugoĀ ChavezinĀ DecemberĀ 1998.
Whatās more, the āPink Tide,”Ā which at first appeared to be limited to countries south of Colombia, has quietly leaped over into Central America, with new victories earlier this year to left-of-center forces in Costa Rica and El Salvador.
WhatĀ conclusionsĀ can weĀ drawĀ fromĀ all this?
The first is to never trust the corporate media and their pollsters.
Without aĀ doubt, theĀ campaignĀ ofĀ dubiousĀ pollsĀ and accompanying articles predicting electoral defeats were largelyĀ aimedĀ atĀ bolsteringĀ theĀ chancesĀ of rightists opposition candidates deemed to be more favorable to the interests of the corporate elites.
The media combined this with stories about how, under the current governing parties, everything from the economy to crime levels had worsened, or would worsen if they were returned to power.
The second deduction we can make isĀ that, while the corporate media may continue to exert a lot of power, it is farĀ fromĀ invincible.
Most people were able to see that a complete disjuncture existed between the negative stories the media was telling them and the improvements they experienced in their everyday lives.
Unsurprisingly, distrust in the corporate media has tended to increase, withĀ manyturning to social andĀ communityĀ media forĀ theirĀ information.
A third feature worth noting is that the Latin America of 2015 is very different to the Latin America of 1998.
Gone are theĀ daysĀ whereĀ a corporateĀ backgroundĀ orĀ tiesĀ to elite power circles are seen as positive features for aĀ candidate.
Voters today are not only more likely to accept the idea that a woman, a trade unionist, an indigenous person or a former guerilla can be president,Ā they positively identify with the current crop of leaders who they view as being āone of us.”
And its not justĀ becauseĀ the candidatesĀ lookĀ different;Ā theyĀ also speak a different language and, most importantly, propose concreteĀ alternativesĀ thatĀ markĀ themĀ outfromĀ theĀ traditionalĀ politicalĀ class withĀ theirĀ insistence there was no alternative to free marketĀ neoliberalism.
ManyĀ of theĀ traditionalĀ rightistĀ partiesĀ haveĀ yet toĀ fullyĀ grasp this. In Bolivia, Moralesā main opponent was Samuel Doria Medina, aĀ whiteĀ businessmanĀ whoĀ ownsĀ localBurgerĀ King franchises and was a minister in aĀ previousĀ neoliberalĀ government.
Unsurprisingly, he failed to get even half the number of votes Morales did.
Alternatively, the right has done best inĀ thoseĀ countriesĀ whereĀ it hasĀ triedĀ to adapt to this new reality by presenting fresh, young faces, with little visibleĀ tiesĀ to the old elites.
Venezuelan opposition candidate Henrique Capriles is a case in point.
YouĀ knowĀ thingsĀ haveĀ dramaticallyĀ changedĀ in VenezuelaĀ whenĀ evenĀ candidatessuchĀ asĀ CaprilesĀ attendĀ campaignĀ eventsĀ dressĀ downĀ inĀ t-shirtsĀ andĀ baseballĀ caps, and run onĀ slogansĀ suchĀ as āvoteĀ downĀ belowĀ and to the left.ā
Capriles went as far as to claim that he was the person to continue Hugo Chavezās legacy, despite having run against him only months before he died.
ThatĀ theĀ mainĀ challengeĀ to the currentĀ waveĀ ofĀ governmentsĀ is largelyĀ comingĀ fromthis newĀ rightĀ thatĀ hasĀ attemptedĀ toĀ adoptĀ theĀ languageĀ andĀ lookĀ ofĀ theirĀ opponents,alsoĀ reflectsĀ theĀ failureĀ of the āleft-of-the-leftā toĀ mountĀ anyĀ seriousĀ alternativeĀ of its own.
Where this āleft-of-the-leftā have run against incumbent governments, they have consistently failed to win any sizeable support.
TheirĀ discourse,Ā basedĀ on the ideaĀ thatĀ nothingĀ hasĀ changedĀ andĀ thatĀ the newgovernmentsĀ areĀ justĀ likeĀ the oldĀ ones,Ā combinedĀ withĀ theirĀ lackĀ of concrete and tangibleĀ alternativeĀ policiesĀ orĀ programs, hasĀ arguablyĀ leftĀ themĀ more marginal thantheyĀ wereĀ nearlyĀ twoĀ decadesĀ ago.
Critics put this down to the ability of āPink Tideā governments to co-opt and neuter protest movements, and their ability to serve out one or more terms in government ā something that only a decade ago seem an impossible feat – would seem to back this assertion.
However, thisĀ viewpointĀ is far too superficial.
The reality is that there are far more protests today in most countries governed by āPink Tideā governments than there were in the years leading up to their election.
WhatĀ isĀ interestingĀ isĀ thatĀ theseĀ protestsĀ themselvesĀ areĀ alsoĀ aĀ reflectionĀ of thechangesĀ thatĀ haveĀ occurredĀ in theĀ region.
Unlike the anti-neoliberal protests of yesteryear, few pose a direct challenge to the new post-neoliberal model that while far from having broken with capitalism, represents a shift towards greater state intervention and wealth redistribution.
Instead,Ā theyĀ tendĀ toĀ revolveĀ aroundĀ particularĀ differencesĀ overĀ theĀ shapeĀ of newmodel.
The emergence of new demands also reflects important demographic shifts that have occurred as a result of these changes in the economic policies.
ThisĀ includes, forĀ example, theĀ riseĀ of the ānewĀ middleĀ class,āĀ madeĀ ofĀ millionsĀ whohaveĀ beenĀ liftedĀ out ofĀ poverty.Ā Today,Ā theirĀ demandsĀ tendĀ toĀ focusĀ lessĀ onĀ havingaccessĀ toĀ basicĀ servicesĀ and moreĀ towardsĀ seekingĀ improvementsĀ in theĀ servicesthatĀ cannotĀ copeĀ withĀ theĀ increasedĀ numberĀ ofĀ users.
Then there is the ānew proletariat,”Ā comprised of young people that have benefitted from better access to education, but are unable to obtain better incomes (in relations to their parents), due to the highly precarious working conditions left behind by neoliberalism.
TheĀ livesĀ ofĀ millionsĀ haveĀ beenĀ affectedĀ by theĀ importantĀ politicalĀ andĀ economicchangesĀ haveĀ occurredĀ overĀ recentĀ years.
At the same time, they continue to confront limitations imposed by the ongoing shadow cast by neoliberalism and shortcomings or weaknesses of existing governments.
OvercomingĀ theseĀ challengesĀ willĀ requireĀ the activeĀ participationĀ andĀ mobilizationĀ ofthoseĀ belowĀ whoĀ firstĀ broughtĀ theseĀ āPink TideāĀ governmentsĀ toĀ power.
Harnessing the energies of the current wave of protests will be crucial not only to holding back the right, but also progressing a process that is still largely defined by how it differs from neoliberalism, towards the construction of a different, and better world.
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