The results from Georgiaās sixth district congressional race are odd.
Jon Ossoff, the Democratic newcomer who ran against Republican former Secretary of State Karen Handel, won the absentee vote 64% to 36%. That vote was conducted on paper ballots that were mailed in and scanned on optical scanners. Ossoff also won the early voting 51% to 49%. Those results closely mirror recent polls that had him ahead by 1-3 points. In the highest of thoseĀ polls, he was ahead by 7% with 5% undecided and a 4% margin of error.
On Election Day, Handel pulled out a whopping 16 percent lead, for a crushing 58% to 42% division of the dayās votes. That means that all 5% of the undecided voters broke for Handel, the poll was off by its farthest estimate and another 3.5% of Ossoffās voters switched sides into her camp. All this despite Ossoffās intensive door-to-door ground offensive that Garland Favorito, who lives in the heart of the sixth district called the “most massive operationā heās ever seen. Favorito is the founder ofĀ VoterGA, a nonpartisan election reform group. He said Handel had signs up, but her canvassing operation didn’t approach Ossoff’s.
Michael McDonald, the political science professor who runs the United StatesĀ Elections Project, expressed no surprise at the results, and seemed to indicate it was because of high Republican turnout. He tweeted aĀ graphĀ of early voting results, showing Republican turnout beating Democratic turnout by a ratio of 5 to 3. That is impressive turnout, but even with those numbers Ossoff won the early voting returns. So it would seem that many of the independents voted for him, and possibly some of the Republicans crossed over.
Unlike the absentee voters who filled out paper ballots, Election Day voters in Georgia used touchscreen machines that have no verifiable paper trail. These specific machines, the Accuvote TS, areĀ susceptible to hacking, and in factĀ wereĀ hackedĀ on national television in 2006 by computer scientists from Princeton. Professor Ed Felten also demonstrated the hack before Congress, testifying that their program could āsilently transfer votes from one candidate to another,ā and that ālaunching it requires access to a single voting machine for as little as one minute.ā
Not only were the machines hacked 10 years ago, with no known patch put in place to protect them from that vulnerability, the entire Georgia election systems website wasĀ penetratedĀ in August 2016 by security researcher Logan Lamb.
āIt was on the wide-open internet,ā Lamb said in a recent phone interview. Lamb was able to download passwords, instructions to election workers and databases used to prepare the ballots and tabulate votes. He easily downloaded all of this as part of 16 gigs of sensitive Georgia election data that was left completely unprotected on the internet for months. Asked what level of expertise was required, he replied, ālittle to none.ā
So, there are a number of explanations for the Election Day sixth district vote totals. One is that Karen Handel was an unpredictable candidate who did not always connect with the voters, yet in the final days of the race radiated an irresistible charisma and policy expertise so impressive Georgia Republicans came out of the woodwork to support her on the final day of voting. (Keep in mind that this is the woman who wasĀ caught on tapeĀ saying, āI wanted to bark at you the way I get barked at.ā)
Another possibility is that someone ran a program similar to the one designed by Ed Feltenās team, and that program moved some votes from Ossoffās column over to Handelās. Could it be done? In a recent congressionalĀ briefingĀ on the subject, J. Alex Halderman, one of Feltenās team members said, āHacking a national election in the United States would be, well, shockingly easy.ā
He would know. HeāsĀ hackedĀ almost every voting machine on the market.
Our Historic Democracy
Since itās the Fourth of July weekend when we celebrate our independence and the creation of our historic democracy, this is the perfect opportunity to look a little closer at that history. Most of us grew up with the understanding that America has the oldest and best democracy. We have honest elections and we monitor elections in other countries where they often cheat.
Unfortunately, that is a mythāa lovely myth that makes us all feel good on July 4thĀ while weāre watching huge explosions of colored lights in the sky. Ā A quick scan through Tracy Campbellās āDeliver the Vote: A History of Election Fraud, an American Political Tradition,ā will quickly relieve us of our misconceptions. From the beginning of the franchise, the vote was manipulated and massaged to be as useful as possible to the party that could best control it. In 1780 when the Massachusetts state constitution that John Adams had written was passed, āthe two thirds majority was manufactured by the convention.ā The Harvard historian who later examined the ballots came to wonder whether the worldās oldest functioning constitution was ever legally ratified.
Many of us are familiar with the reputation of New Yorkās Tammany Hall for election fraud, but few of us know the details of the 135% turnout, the gangs that violently raided precincts and stole tens of thousands of ballots, and courtrooms where 800 immigrants were often naturalized and turned into āvotersā in one day.
Georgia, where the sixth district race took place, has a colorful history of election fraud. Jimmy Carter ran into it full force in his first run for state senate. Among other tactics, he had to face a small-town political boss, Joe Hurst, who had recorded 420 votes in a town where only 333 were cast. Hurst had gone so far as to pull ballots from the box and threaten voters they would be thrown into the river if they didnāt vote as directed. That countyās votes lost Carter the race. But his team collected affidavits from voters who attested to the manipulation. Eventually a judge overturned the results sending Carter to the state senateāhis first stepping-stone on his way to becoming governor and eventually president.
The 2016 election illustrated that thereās still plenty ofĀ dirtĀ in play, and a multitude ofĀ recent hacksĀ prove that the opportunity is not only present, but being actively mined. A security expert familiar with the GeorgiaĀ Center for Election SystemsĀ setup said, āPersonally I would be shocked if no oneās hacked that server. People do drive-by hacks of websites all the time.ā
Handelās Record
Maybe the current crop of elected officials is significantly cleaner than the old-school politicians from back in the day. Itās worth taking a look at more recent history to see if thatās the case.
Prior to running for Congress, Karen Handel was Secretary of State. She ran for that office on a strong platform of election reform, releasing a 10-pageĀ PDFĀ that recommended sweeping changes to Georgiaās elections.Ā In particular she cited the voting machines as a key problem saying, āOur electronic voting machines are already outdated and will ultimately have to be replaced.ā She advocated for aĀ voter verifiable paper audit trailĀ and audits, āto verify that the electronic vote totals are accurate.ā
Once in office, Handel did not follow through with these reforms. Instead, she went on record saying, āGeorgia has the most secure elections in the nation.ā She ignored the recommendations of aĀ security reportĀ she had requested, and blocked the authors of that report from fully evaluating the system. Why would a candidate undergo such an abrupt and complete reversal of her central campaign issue?
Favorito, the VoterGA election group activist, suspects it was because of financial contributions from a lobbying firm representing Diebold, the voting machine vendor. VoterGA looked into Handelās campaign contributions and found close toĀ $25,000Ā from associates and employees of the lobbying firm Massey & Bowers. AnĀ iterationĀ of the firm still lists Diebold as its client. Favorito says, āShe had a tremendous revenue stream from the Bowers family.ā Handel’s office did not respond to a request for comment.
Handel is not the first candidate to beat the odds and win a surprising victory on Georgiaās Diebold voting machines. Just after the machines were installed in 2002, Republican āunderdogā candidates beat out their Democratic rivals for both governor and senate. In a nowĀ infamousĀ upset, Max Cleland, the Democratic incumbent senator, lost to his Republican rival Saxby Chambliss by seven points, despite polls showing a close race. Less well known is that Brian Kemp, now Georgiaās Secretary of State and a current candidate for governor, was part of that Republican sweep. He won aĀ tight raceĀ against another Democratic incumbent in theĀ stateĀ senate. His victory helped give Republicans control of Georgiaās senate for the first time since Reconstruction.
Kemp has fought aggressively to keep using the voting machines in Georgia, fending off a recentĀ court caseĀ claiming the machines were āuncertified, unsafe, and inaccurate.ā Kemp and other election officials won the case on a technicality and were allowed to use the machines for the June 20 special election.
Itās Not a Bug, Itās a Feature
It is difficult for the public to know who to believe in the back-and-forth between election officials who say the machines are secure and hackers and election activists who say they most definitely are not.
Merle S. King is theĀ executive director of the Kennesaw State University Center for Election Systems, the organization responsible for testing and providing support for Georgiaās entire election system. In response to an email question, King said, āThe EMS (Election Management System) servers are maintained in a secure fashion, before, during and after the election.Ā This security includes lock-and-key restricted access to the EMS, server and manual logs, and tamper evident seals on the cases of the servers to detect access to internal components.ā He cited a āhashingā protocol that confirms the security of the system each time itās installed, serviced, moved or goes through other transitions that could make it vulnerable.
Doug Jones, a computer science professor at the University of Iowa was pleased to hear about the hashing procedure. He said, āThis procedureā¦offers real protection against use of the wrong versionā¦or a corrupted or hacked version of the EMS.ā But he added, āI can imagine ways to structure the EMS that would allow it to be corrupted after installation and hash checking.ā
In other wordsāitās great that youāre doing that and I could break in anyway. That is why computer andĀ security expertsĀ all over the country have advocated for the use of paper ballots and audits. Because they know better than anyone that in the cat-and-mouse game of security and hacking, hackers usually have the final word.
Favorito, who has decades of IT experience, points out that pre-election machine testing is usually not meaningful, ābecause the mode is changed after testing andā¦the software can detect the mode and count differently.ā
Marilyn Marks, who filed the most recent lawsuit against Kemp and other Georgia election officials had the same response. āThe first time I was an election judge, I went wait a minuteāthis isnāt the mode the machine is going to be run in? We all agreed it was just theater.ā
But King says, āThere is testing doneā¦in both test and election mode.ā
Many of the problems with Dieboldās touchscreen machines have been part of the public record for years. In 2003, Wired published a shockingĀ whistleblower exposeĀ from Rob Behler, a Diebold computer technician who had a special nickname for the Diebold touchscreen machines. “JS equipment is what we were calling it at the time,” said Behler. “Junk shit.ā
Behler claimed the machines were so badly designed that they hardly held together. “It’s hard to track down a problem when you go out to your car and the first time it starts, the next time the headlights don’t work, the next time you start it the brakes are out, and the next time you start it the door falls off,” Behler said. “That’s really the way they were.”
Fourteen years later, those same machines are still in use.
If Georgiaās elected officials truly wanted secure and accurate elections, they could have had them by now. Karen Handel was elected Secretary of State on a platform of comprehensive election reform she was in a position to implement. So if the situation around the voting equipment is not improving, it may be because some of Georgiaās elected officials prefer it in a state of vulnerability.
Celebrating Independence Day
A newĀ studyĀ reported that gerrymanderingāthe practice of drawing districts to favor one’s own political partyāis so bad in some states there is a ā1-in-60,000 likelihood of those lines being drawn randomly.ā
Voting rights activist Nse Ufot of theĀ New Georgia ProjectĀ told us that in Cobb County alone there was a backlog of at least 30,000 unprocessed voter registration forms when their organization took the Georgia Secretary of State to court over registration issues in March. (The race was won byĀ 9,282Ā votes.) And a GallupĀ pollĀ around the time of the presidential election last November found, āa record low 30% of Americans expressed confidence in the āhonesty of elections.ā”
But election activists are soldiering ahead. Marilyn Marks says they will continue their current litigation efforts in Georgia under the name Coalition for Good Governance. She says they will āask the courts to intervene to vindicate votersā constitutional rights to secure elections.ā
Now thatās something to celebrate.
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