In Fall 2020, the activists who formed Choose Democracy noticed that Donald Trump was saying regularly that he would not transfer power peacefully if he lost the election. This sounded to them like he was planning a coupābut most movement folks werenāt taking him seriously. Choose Democracy looked at the scant literature on resisting coups and talked to organizers who had experience doing so. They put together a training, shared it with some 20,000 people, and then folded. āWe didnāt need another organization,ā said Daniel Hunter, one of the founders.
Now, with January 6, 2021 still clear in the rearview mirror, and Trump being ever more explicit about his autocratic intentions, Choose Democracy is regrouping. It has launched an interactive, choose-your-own-adventure style tool forĀ individuals, a 150-plus page book, and an interactive group role-playing game with a facilitation guide. All this is available atĀ Ā https://whatiftrumpwins.org.
Choose Democracyās Daniel Hunter and Katey Lauer joinedĀ ConvergenceĀ Publisher Cayden Mak on theĀ June 7 episodeĀ of ourĀ Block & BuildĀ podcast to talk about why they built these tools and how they hope they will help navigate the rough terrain ahead. In his day job, Hunter is global trainings director for 350.org. Katey Lauer is an organizer and trainerĀ with WV Canāt Wait, based in southern West Virginia. This is a transcript of their conversation, edited for length and clarity.
Cayden Mak:Ā What is the nature of the project? What came first in the design decisions around it?
Daniel Hunter:Ā We started by running some internal scenario planning sessions. We created some strategy plans and then created and ran a strategy game where people played the roles of Trump and MAGA and a number of others to see some of the dimensions of how these things might unfold and to get a sense of our own reactions.
It was sobering. There was a lot of reactivity to Trumpās agenda, which is consistent with what weāve seen. And we realized itās not going to serve us particularly well to be in constant reaction after each proclamation and then go into the street. It exposes our weakness, it exposes the degree to which we havenāt organized, and it doesnāt actually set us up well to do what we need to do, which is to gain power in order to kick this man out.
So we realized we need some different kinds of resources. One was a group scenario game, which Katey ended up taking the lead on. And another was more interviews, like those we did last time, with people whoāve kicked out autocrats in their own country, since there is a good history of that around the globe.
And then the third, what might be called a āpick your own pathā or āchoose your own adventureā website and book that just allows people to imagine āwhat if,ā to just enter into the realm of imagination without attempting to be prescriptive or foresee the future.
Cayden Mak:Ā In the early 20-teens, I was in a grad school program where I was working on games and play as tools for popular education. I remember reading a lot about the way in which designing a game system often leads to deeper learning on the part of the designers, and then translating that learning to the people who then play the game or go through the scenarios can be a little challenging. How were you able to distill some of those learnings from your own scenario planning into this document?
Katey Lauer:Ā I canāt tell you how many articles Iāve read or headlines Iāve seen about a possible Trump presidencyāhow muchĀ thinkingĀ I and others have done about that potential future. But something happens differently when we, instead, immerse ourselves in a scenario and then get to see what comes up and notice whatās emergent.
In some of these pilots that Daniel was describing, there were a lot of surprises. I remember one of our co-players saying after the fact that it felt like some new pathway got opened up in his mind, because there was something about the immersion that was really helpful. Each of these tools does something immersive.
So the group scenario game lets that happen on a group level. And then the āchoose your own adventureā game lets that happen on an individual level. And the spirit of both of them is, āLetās just put ourselves in a situation and try it out, as opposed to thinking it through.ā
Cayden Mak:Ā Thatās one of the things that we observed in going through some of the materials. There is such an emphasis on noticing, which is very clearly drawn from a lot of mindfulness practice. Especially when you think about the discourse online and the way that we talk about these thingsābeing angry on Twitter.com is such a head experience, even though we think of it as an emotional experience because weāre mad. Itās not an embodied emotional experience in the way that you all are asking people to be vulnerable.
And itās important to think about the kind of emotional preparedness thatās not just bracing, right? Iāll use āIā statements on this one, but when I think about these eventualities, I feel a lot of bracing in my body. I know that does not necessarily put me in the most creative, strategic, and responsive mindset if Iām literally locking myself down in body and mind. Iām curious about the thinking behind some of that mindfulness stuff and the discussions about the affective impact of gameplay.
Making space for choices
Daniel Hunter:Ā Strategy is an art. Itās not an intellectual experience. Itās something that really comes through how we are moving through our entire body and our entire way of being. Rather than seeing it as something separate, a kind of intellectual activity, as Katey said, we got curious about how itās about āWhat do you really want to do?ā
The āchoose your own adventureā website and book allows people to honor whateverās true for them. I want to run away. Got it. Okay. Choose that. It doesnāt work out for us if the entire Left decides to just abandon itself and go to Canada, right?
But if thatās the instinct and it goes unacknowledged, then it doesnāt give a chance for people to just note it and then try the next thing. You can see what happens if you flee to Canada, and then you get offered a chance to try it again and to try a different choice and see how that goes and put on that thing. Itās a little bit like the lightness of trying on some different clothing.
The group scenario game that Katey created just allows people to try things on. And I think that invites some space, and space is the thing we need if weāre not going to just be braced.
That space allows us to reflect and consider more fully what kind of choices we want to makeāand also to see how some of our own instincts may not serve us. Weāre not attempting to tell you, āThis is the way you have to fight this thing.ā Itās more an exploration, because this is uncharted territory. Itās really an open invitation for people to find their strategy, their route, because fundamentally, Katey and I both share a belief that people can be very smart, and when given the right tools and space and opportunity they can be smart about their own situation.
Seeing the pitfalls of protest
Cayden Mak:Ā Yes, I love that. Letās talk through some of the scenarios that the project plays out, because I think there are some very obvious things that are instinctive.Ā āOh, Iām going to leave the country. Iām going to hit the streets with all my comrades.ā What are some of the scenarios that this has given you space to explore and that youāre excited to share with folks on the Left?
Daniel Hunter:Ā One is about just continuing to march in the streets. So eight years ago, the Womenās March and various other marches began developing. Marches are fantastic opportunity for us to see whoās with us, to feel connected to other people, especially for those of us who are in isolated areas and pockets. They can be a chance to be part of a community where we might feel very isolated, particularly after an emotional loss like this. On the other hand, theyāre not great power builders in a long-term strategy.
Theyāre not a threat to the opposition. In fact, one of the things that we learned as we were chatting with people whoāve fought autocracies is that itās very common for autocracies to support their opposition showing up in concentrated places where they can then beat them up, oppress them, sow chaos.
In Serbia, for example, [Slobodan] MiloÅ”evic used to regularly order his paramilitaries to show up at the same place as protesters in order to create a chaotic scenario so that he could then walk in and say, āSee, itās chaos. This is why you need a strongman.ā
So we can fall into a bunch of those traps. We could fall into the traps of just doing regular marches without some other power-building approaches, without identifying some other ways to exert our power that arenāt just concentrated moments in time in which we take a physical space, without expanding our vision of using strikes, wildcat strikes, using our symbolic acts of protest.
In Denmark they resisted the Nazis by wearing paper clips, a very non-confrontational, low-bar entry to a political resistance movement. You just put a paper clip on your lapel or on your shirt and that became a symbol. So we explore some of those different realms or options, because we have to expand our minds away from some of the trajectory that the Left has gotten a little hooked into.
Sitting in the tension
Cayden Mak:Ā One of the things that we noticed going through the materials, especially the individual website version, is there are not a lot of end results that you might consider total defeat or victory. Thereās a lot of ambiguity and thereās a lot of sitting in the tradeoffs of what certain choices lead to versus others. Could you talk a little bit about the importance of that and the thinking behind setting up these scenarios in ways that are certainly realistic, in the sense that total defeat or victory is not going to happen in the next 12 months, 18 months, 24 months. How did you negotiate that territory? And what is your thinking behind giving these end states that do have a little bit of push and a little bit of pull?
Daniel Hunter:Ā Itās not a dire all or nothing moment. And in fact, I work closely with colleagues who work in autocracies, and they continue to live lives and their lives are filled with great joyous moments and sad defeats and moments of fear and moments theyāre not scared.
Some of us have not yet had the experience of hanging out with people who have experienced autocracies. And in extremely repressive environments, we can catastrophize and catastrophizing is very much in the atmosphere. I work on climate change, so I certainly believe catastrophe is an option, but I think that as an instinct, catastrophizing doesnāt give us a huge advantage and it isnāt a great descriptor of what might come in 12 months, in 24 months.
People talk in large terms about democracy falling apart. And I agree that whatever wallpaper version of democracy that we have might in fact be falling apart. But I donāt think it necessarily means therefore X, Y, and Z, everything is falling apartāthe civil war, constant chaos, etc.
I acknowledge it could go to some extremes, and there are some versions that are more extreme than others. But I think weāre in a moment of tension. Thatās what weāre going to experience. So we have to gear up, not just for catastrophe. Thatās the bracing. We have to gear ourselves up for tension, for ongoing polarization and politicization. Everything is going to get more politicized and there will be more tension and we just have to be able to sit in that fire.
Cayden Mak:Ā This comes back to what you both said at the beginning about practice. One of the things I love about being atĀ ConvergenceĀ is that we are not in the catastrophizing kind of space generally, in the way that we choose to talk about things, the way that weāre thinking about things.
But then you go into the wider internet, and I think that, as you say, itās in the air. And thereās something very human about going into the unknown and being frightened about it, but it does not necessarily serve us strategically.
Katey Lauer:Ā And I think one reason it doesnāt serve us is because sometimes when weāre in that sort of heightened state, it can encourage us to look for one right answer, like what is the super-solution?
What is the one way? Whatās the right way to respond to this moment? And these tools imply that there isnāt one.
When weāre in a vigilant state, a catastrophizing state, it can get us into more of that black-and-white, right or wrong, got-to-solve-it thinking. Instead of that, weāre rooting for the spaciousness that will allow us to move with more awareness so we can make the best choice that we can make in the moment, and then take a next action from that same place. We can be choiceful as opposed to attempting to be vigilant and right and just getting tighter and tighter.
Making relationships
Daniel Hunter:Ā Another piece that is so helpful is what youāre saying, Katey, in terms of noticing the different roles out there in an anti-autocracy movement. Far more mainstream people than weāve ever aligned with before are potential allies in the cause.
Liz Cheney is on the list of people who might get arrested by a Trump presidency. Iāve never imagined myself to be in a boat with Liz Cheney resisting together, but here we are, right? And sheāll resist in a different way than I will. And we have to get some alignment.
As a disobedience direct action person, Iām aware of having to wait and listen more carefully for whether more mainstream people are ready to go in and join, and to frame my actions in a way that invite more people into them. All of those are just noticing our role. That opens up space and what Kateyās talking about opens up our strategy.
Cayden Mak:Ā Weāre in deep alignment with you in thinking about this broad front against authoritarianism. Itās a complex ecosystem, and we also need to be prepared to figure out how we flank each other, and how we protect each other, and how we utilize those sorts of moments where people are drawn in who might not be the usual suspects, to then protect some of the usual suspects.
Some of us will be very vulnerable in a lot of these scenarios, organizationally as well as personally. A tool that helps us think through what participating in this kind of broad threat is also something that we need, because I think on the Left we lack we lack that practice as well.
Itās not just about the authoritarianism piece. I think thereās also a piece where we are just now getting into formation and trying to understand what united front practice might look like in the United States.
Daniel Hunter:Ā Thatās right. And so when Liz Cheney gets arrested, we may be in formation with her.
We also have a different expectation of allyship from others; when some of our more marginalized communities also get targeted, weāre going to need people in formation with that too. So itās building those relationships.
And one reason weāre launching this, not in November, but ahead of time is because we do have tobe on the lookout and building these now. Weāre trying to support that organizing, that instinct at local and regional and national levels to get in formation and get ready for what might be coming.
Cayden Mak:Ā Is there anything else that either of you would like to share about the project, or do you have other reflections that youād like people to think about?
Katey Lauer:Ā I hope folks will check out the website now. These are great tools to use by yourself and with your groups this summer, especially before election season gets more underway than it is already. We think that some of the imagining and noticing work that can happen in the short term can really serve us in an ongoing way. This is the season to try some of this stuff on, and let it simmer too. And try it again in the fall.
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