Israelis and Palestinians share responsibility for the collapse of Middle East peace talks. That was the message delivered on ThursdayĀ by US special envoy to the peace process Martin Indyk, in a speech to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP). Israel issued tenders for 4,800 settlement units during the talks, he noted, while on the Palestinian side, accession to international treaties and reconciliation with Hamas had been āunhelpfulā to US efforts to rescue an already faltering process.
More generally, Indyk argued, the partiesā lack of any āsense of urgencyā made it impossible to bridge the gaps between them. Israeli politicians and their constituents were in no rush to abandon a ācomfortable status quo,ā while Palestinian officials found it āeasierā to āappeal to international bodies in their supposed pursuit of ājusticeā and their ārightsāāĀ than to āmake the gut-wrenching compromises necessary to achieve peace.ā
As a diagnosis of the talksā collapse, Indykās speech flattered Israel. As unnamed āsenior American officialsā ā Indyk apparently among them ā had explained toĀ veteran Israeli journalist Nahum BarneaĀ earlier in the week, the negotiations were not derailed by āboth sides.ā The āprimary sabotage,ā they insisted, ācame from the settlements.ā Far from lamenting the Palestiniansā evasion of necessary compromises, the officials listed Palestinian President Mahmoud āAbbasā many concessions, including on issues at the core of the conflict. Whereas Indykās speech credits Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with having displayed a measure of āflexibility,ā the officials made clear that Netanyahu at most, and at the last minute, and only in reference to his own extremist positions, budged an āinch.ā
We did not, as Indyk suggests, need another six months of talks to ādefineā what those positions were. Leaked internal documents from previous rounds, published by Al Jazeera three years ago asĀ the Palestine Papers, delineate them with painful clarity. They show that Israelās terms for settling the conflict have remained consistent for more than a decade: annexation by Israel of the major settlement blocs, on approximately 9 percent of the West Bank; and a nullification of the Palestinian refugeesā right of return.
Spying an opportunity, Secretary of State John KerryĀ adopted these terms as his ownĀ and sought to impose them upon the Palestinians. Exhausted and wholly dependent on American and European aid, the Palestinians put up little resistance. Indeed, whereas Palestinian objections to Israelās annexation of the settlement blocs derailed previous negotiations at Annapolis in 2008, this time around the blocs barely figured on the agenda. The reason, as confirmed by the American officials interviewed by Barnea, was that their fate had been decided. Indeed,Ā according to Israeli President Shimon Peres, āAbbas acquiesced in āthe establishment of settlement blocsā already in 2011. Picture Kerryās dismay when Netanyahu, presented with an agreement awarding Israel permanent control over the choicest chunks of the West Bank and limiting the implementation of the right of return to a level acceptable to it,Ā rejected his stateās own long-standing demandsĀ as insufficient and insisted, instead, on ācomplete control over the territoriesā¦forever.ā No wonderĀ Indyk has threatened to quit.
It merits emphasizing what the Kerry processās derailment does and does not represent. Indykās speech is illuminating in this respect. The equivalence he posits between Israelās settlement construction and Palestiniansā signing of international treaties makes sense only in the context of negotiations conducted outside the framework of international law. The contemptuous scare quotes he wraps around Palestinian ārightsā and ājusticeā recall President BillĀ Clintonās furious responseĀ when Palestinian diplomats at Camp David in 2000 insisted on their legally recognized borders as the baseline for negotiations: āThis isnāt the Security Council here,ā he fumed. āThis isnāt the UN General Assemblyā¦. Iām the president of the United States.ā
The rationale behind this dismissal of the law is straightforward. There exists an overwhelming international legal and political consensus on resolving the conflict that repudiates Israelās position on all the core issues in dispute. As former Israeli Prime MinisterĀ Ehud Barak observed, āon the matter of borders, the entire world is with the Palestinians and not with us.ā The US has been unwilling to pressure Israel to accept this international consensus, and so the US-led peace process has been defined, since its inception in the early 1990s, by a rejection of international law as the basis for resolving the conflict.
The Kerry process was not, then, a valiant if over-ambitious attempt to realize the two-state solution as understood by the overwhelming majority of the international community. Nor does its collapse ā whether temporary or permanent āĀ demonstrate the impossibilityĀ of achieving a two-state solution. That was never on the table, because the forces that would be required to put it there ā mass Palestinian resistance backed by an international solidarity movement ā have yet to materialize. Indeed, while misleading as an account of the talksā failure, Indykās speech at WINEP is nonetheless revealing of the limits of what the āsuccessā of any process led by the US could mean. His is the lament not of violated principle, but of opportunism frustrated.
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