Source: In These Times
In his classic 1958 book The Affluent Society, economist John Kenneth Galbraith wrote, āāHere, in an atmosphere of private opulence and public squalor, the private goods have full sway.ā Nearly 70Ā years on, Galbraith is still right. For aĀ country like the United States where the availability of safe drinking water is hit-and-miss, squalor is the right wordāāāmoral as well asĀ physical.
A TwitterĀ wag noted that we are flying helicopters remotely on Mars and broiling in Texas because scientists are in charge on Mars and Republicans are in charge in Texas. Climate change and the current struggle against the pandemic typify the risks of public squalorāāāthe incapacity to mobilize collective resources to address collectiveĀ problems.
In the U.S. Congress, plans to remedy this situation are afoot, ranging from paltry to ample, but ample is not comingĀ easy.
The Democrats are eyeing a $4 trillion budget increase. This spending would be spread out over 10Ā years, but in the context of recent federal budget history, itās still aĀ departure. For instance, $400 billion aĀ year might be two percent of U.S. GDP in 2021, which would be big by historical standards. For something resembling aĀ democratic socialist budget comparable to European social democracies, more like ten percent of GDP would be needed. But in light of the narrowness of the Democratsā majorities in Congress, two percent is not shabby, especially coming on the heels of the recent $2 trillion Covid-19 relief package, the American Rescue Plan (ARP).
Under budget reconciliation rules, Democrats can pass any tax-spending package they want with 50 votes. For instance, Senator Bernie Sanders (IāVt.) who heads the Senate Budget Committee is developing a $6 trillion plan for physical and human infrastructure that would include policies from both American Jobs Plan and American Rescue Plan. The constraint on passing such aĀ plan now is not the Republicans or the filibusterāāāitās aĀ handful of nominal Democrats within the Senate caucus. Democratic Sens. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona get all the brickbats, but hiding behind them are aĀ few more laggards. It may not be possible to completely buy out the dismal duo of Sinema and Manchin, but if they can be rented to vote for aĀ Democratic plan, there is nowhere for the backsliders to hide. There is lots of room in aĀ multi-trillion-dollar package for sending some goodies to West Virginia andĀ Arizona.
The chief sticking point now is the hidebound concern about āāpay-fors,ā on the pretext of precluding unhappy increases in the national debt. Since thereās still has aĀ long ways to go to reach āāfullā employment, especially for communities of color, deficit worries are ill-timed. An economic downturn, when employment is below par and interest rates are rock-bottom, is the right time to launch aĀ new wave of publicĀ investment.
A word about investment, which has come to be the progressive adjective for Everything We Like. Non-investment, also known as consumption, can be good too. An example is the expanded child tax credit that was included in the ARPāāānot investment, but still good. The same goes for reducing the Medicare eligibility age down to 60, as has been proposed by Sanders and otherĀ progressives.
For their part, Republicans have been griping about loose notions of āāinfrastructure.ā With government investment, whatās in question is not necessarily bricks and mortar, so to speak, but public capital. AĀ water system is capital. So is aĀ broadband network. Capital expenditure boosts employment in the short term and economic growth in later years, just as in the privateĀ sector.
Current public spending formally classified as investment is predominantly roads. The aversion to an expansion of public capital is really aĀ rejection of the need to address climate change, especially with aĀ new, optimized power grid, but also with social transportation that relies less on roads. People talk about high-speed rail, but that is inter-city transportation. The working class mainly needs the homely bus and regional rail options for commuting andĀ shopping.
Besides pay-fors, the other dodge away from expanding and enhancing the public capital stock (in composition as well as volume) is privatization. The most obvious risk is the simple rip-off of transferring public facilities to private ownership at fire-sale prices, in keeping with the capitalist looting of the welfare state, or the disastrous Chicago parking meter scam, enacted and then expanded, respectively, by ex-Mayors Richard M. Daley and RahmĀ Emanuel.
Even if everything is on the up and up, however, privatization still places aĀ natural economic barrier to the expansion of investment, since it depends on the prospect of corporate profits financed by user fees. For investment oriented to combating climate change, user fees are intrinsically inadequate to finance what is needed. Social benefits always exceed individualsā willingness toĀ pay.
The excuse for privatization is usually to protect against increases in public debt, but as many economists of different persuasions have pointed out, there are other ways of reducing the net worth of the government without aĀ literal, economically equivalent increase in debt. The so-called āāsavingsā of privatization in this sense are illusory. Selling aĀ public asset at below its value is one example. Another is giving away aĀ drug patent made possible by publicly funded research. Privatizationās claim to conserve public resources usually relies on sketchyĀ accounting.
Such attempts to use privatization to address the crises we face are reportedly being packaged into the current bipartisan āāgang of 20ā infrastructure proposal being hammered out in Congress. Such an approach wouldnāt just fly in the face of President Biden and the Democratsā stated agenda to massively invest public dollars to boost physical and human infrastructureāāāit would actively undermineĀ it.
If the shaky moderate Democrats in the Senate are able to sign onto aĀ measly compromise bill, of the type presented by President Biden and aĀ bipartisan group of senators at the White House on Thursday, it may be hard to move them on to additional spending in aĀ reconciliation package. They can claim to their voters that they chose bipartisanship, fiscal prudence and independence from their socialist (sic)Ā brethren.
There are four bright lines that distinguish aĀ genuinely progressive budget proposal fromĀ business-as-usual:
- Postponing concern with āāpay-forsā until justified by employment levels and inflationĀ risk.
- Instituting green requirements for investment, which among other things means modernizing aĀ national power grid and investing in aĀ dramatic expansion of social transportation and sustainable energyĀ sources.
- Resisting the delusions ofĀ privatization.
- Ensuring that new investment is undertaken with upgraded laborĀ standards.
One would think that Democrats understand they are on aĀ clock. Unless they deliver the goods by the fall of next year, they are likely to be excluded from power altogether for the foreseeable future, facing an uphill battle in the 2022 midterm elections, with Republicans threatening to enshrine minority rule. In this light, the appeal of compromises that vitiate the extent of benefits in jobs, income and investmentāāāand that also flout themes that animate the Democratsā electoral base, such as climate change and racial justiceāāāfades away to nothing. The real weapon on the Republican side is their ability to waste preciousĀ time.
The Biden administration seemed to recognize this by setting aĀ deadline for the completion of aĀ bipartisan proposal at the end of June, but now the deadline has been met. AĀ passable deal that would coƶpt Republicans takes some steam out of their fulminations, but the new compromise is short of passableāāāpromising only $579 billion in spending over ten years. It provides little of significance to voters while handing Sinema and Manchin an escapeĀ hatch.
The better path is the one being pursued by Sanders and his Democratic allies, using reconciliation to pass aĀ massive plan that includes whatever they can browbeat Sinema and Manchin into accepting, unencumbered by Republican fiscalĀ canards.
Max B. Sawicky is aĀ senior research fellow at the Center for Economic and Policy Research. He has worked at the Economic Policy Institute and the Government Accountability Office, and has written for numerous progressiveĀ outlets.
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