As pundits pick over the smoking ruins of the campaign to remain in the European Union, and British sterling goes into freefall, the breast-beating and recriminations have alreadyĀ begun.
Itās all Prime Minister David Cameronās fault for calling the plebiscite in the first place. Itās all Labour leader Jeremy Corbynās fault for not being passionately pro-Europe enough. And itās all the fault of political elite in the āWestminster bubbleā unconnected with the real feelings of what victorious UKIP leader Nigel Farage called āthe decent people.ā People like him,Ā perhaps.
While the Brexit camp are crowing and celebrating āindependence dayā, itās easy for the Remain side to sink into despair. Never has Britain felt more deeplyĀ divided.
What toĀ do?
Well, first, we need detailed analyses of what happened, just why people voted the way they did. Already a fairly complex picture is emerging. The Labour heartland of Sunderland ā not known for a high level of immigration but hit by austerity and neglected in the post-industrial era ā snubbed the wishes of the Labour leadership and voted massively forĀ Brexit.
London, one of the most multicultural cities in the world, with large-scale immigration over the years, voted to remain. People in smaller towns and rural areas voted āleaveā, while those in larger cities such as Manchester, Newcastle, and Liverpool ticked the āremainā box. But not Birmingham, Britainās second largest city, which went for Brexit. Wales and the South West of England, which have benefited disproportionately from EU development funding, voted to leave and pin their hopes of support for British agriculture onĀ toā¦.Westminster.
Baffling inconsistencies abound; exceptions are as plentiful asĀ generalizations.
One generalization that does seem to hold is that pertaining to age ā polls have consistently shown that younger people were far more likely to vote āremainā while those citizens most likely to vote Brexit were aged over 60. The great irony is that it is the young who are going to suffer the consequences of Brexit for much longer than the elderly, who as a generation, are comparatively better off than most people in BritainĀ today.
But, apart from analysing what happened, what can weĀ do?
Listening to Nigel Farage today, it is abundantly clear who the winner is. Itās certainly not left-wingers who came up with arcane reasons for Brexit; nor the people who just wanted to give PM Cameron and Chancellor Osborne bloody noses; and it is very unlikely to be all those people who didnāt really know what to think but were unhappy and felt it was ātime for a changeā.Ā Whateverā¦
Itās the racist Far Right, dressed up in the livery of UKIP. Itās the millionaire owners of the Daily Mail, The Express, The Sun ā hardly the āordinary peopleā that Farage likes toĀ invoke.
Which is why we are going to have to re-double our efforts to identify and tackle the roots of this nascent fascism that is growing very nicely, thank you, in our green and pleasantĀ land.
That means tackling the economics of inequality, deprivation, and the north-southĀ divide.
But it also means developing better ways to challenge, at every point, the unfair and irrational tactic of scapegoating ā blaming all ills on groups of people like migrants or even entire institutions like the EU itself. Our āscapegoat monitorā needs to go into overdriveĀ now.
Because this is how fascism gets hold. Just because the emblems of this very British iteration is a āfag-and-a-pint-in-the-pubā rather than the jackboot-and-swastika does not mean we donāt have to take it seriously. The comfy āacceptabilityā of casual racism makes it even moreĀ pernicious.
The ground has shifted overnight. What seemed like an intolerant, xenophobic, UKIP position is now national policy. That brings far-Right organizations like the British National Party, Liberty GB, Britain First, closer to theĀ mainstream.
Many of us in England and Wales, who woke up this morning to find their countries had voted for Brexit, may now look with envy across the border to Scotland, which voted overwhelming to remain withinĀ Europe.
But it is now probable that Scotland will hold another independence referendum, based on the fact that it wants to be in the EU. In Northern Ireland the (pro-EU) referendum result has reignited calls for IrishĀ reunification.
Picture the scene. Little England, lonely little England, with Wales in tow, burdened by outdated delusions of grandeur, spending the next few years trying to negotiate free trade deals around theĀ world.
Anyone who believes for a second that this will mean a break from the neo-liberal agenda that has done so much harm to working people and which deepened inequality over the past three decades, is living inĀ la-la-land.
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3 Comments
My sense is that 70% of the UK electorate would vote for Jeremy Corbyn no matter which way they voted over Brexit and no matter what party he chose to lead. If he went Green, so would the UK.
An atrocious article. I copy below the comment I posted on NI.
Getting the UK out of the EU gets the bulk of US influence out of Europe. That’s good for Europe and the world.
Getting the City of London out of the EU gets the fulcrum of international financial crime out of Europe. That’s good for Europe and the world.
Getting the European Commission out of the UK equation means that a Conservative government can no longer blame the EU for its own vile policies. That’s good for the UK public.
Getting EU dictates off a future Corbyn government’s back leaves him free to roll back neoliberal reforms. That’s good for the UK 99%
Getting the UK out of the EU is a major blow to NATO. That’s good for the next generation.
Even Venessa Baird admits in her article that the issue of immigration appears to have had little to do with voting patterns. I respectfully put it to Venessa Baird that it is she who is living in la-la-land.
I think the real test of the Brexit result will come at the next national election. Will Britain choose left, presumably Labor under Jeremy Corby and then attempt to reunite Europe under left democratic ideas, or will they vote far right. Who knows what that will bring.