Penguin Books, 1999
Review by David Cromwell
In January 1991, almost seven years before the UN Framework Convention
on Climate Change set an overall target for industrialized countries to
cut greenhouse gas emissions by 5.2 percent, one eminent meteorologist
stated, “It’s possible there will be unprecedented climate change.” This
was no far-sighted warning from a cautious academic but a grudging statement
from the most authoritative global warming skeptic: Professor Richard Lindzen
of MIT. Lindzen, a paid consultant for major oil and coal interests, conceded
the point during a public debate with Jeremy Leggett, then scientific director
of Greenpeace International’s climate campaign.
Throughout The Carbon War, Leggett stokes up the evidence for an anthropogenic
fingerprint on global climate. Scientists at the Max Planck Institute for
Meteorology prove there is only one chance in forty that natural climate
variability could explain observed warming. Studies led by the Lawrence
Livermore Laboratory demonstrate that climate modelling accounting for
the short-term cooling effect of sulphate aerosols reveals a clear “greenhouse
signal.” Researchers at AT&T’s Bell Laboratories report a strong correlation
between global warming and a decrease in the temperature difference between
winter and summer, disproving sceptics’ claims that changes in solar output,
rather than industrial activity, underlies global warming. By 1995, the
scientists of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change could confidently
state, “the balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence
on global climate.”
But Lindzen, and a handful of other industry-sponsored renegades, continued
to misrepresent the scientific consensus to the public. Consequently, the
modest deal agreed at Kyoto in 1997 was almost derailed by multimillion
dollar public misinformation campaigns, corporate pocketing of politicians,
vilification of IPCC scientists, and plain obstructionism by a “carbon
club” of coal, oil, electricity, and automobile companies—and oil-rich
nations. Leggett details the machinations of this unholy alliance, expressing
distaste for their “crimes against humanity” that may have already wrecked
the possibility of significantly curbing human-induced climate change.
One OPEC negotiator put it bluntly: “We don’t want this convention. There’s
nothing in it for us.”
Such selfishness flies in the face of nature’s carbon arithmetic: if we
burn just 225 billion tons of carbon—less than one quarter of the world’s
recoverable fossil fuel reserves—the resultant temperature increase of
around 1 degree Celsius will be enough to endanger ecosystems and human
populations. If deforestation continues at present rates, the “carbon budget”
falls to around 145 billion tons. Leggett is astonished at oil company
ignorance. “Are you sure about these figures?,” exclaims BP’s chief geologist.
Leggett surmises: “The most basic information on the global warming debate
was not getting through.”
Why? Our education system and the media world are implicated. A thread
running through the book is the media’s antipathy towards presenting a
sustained analysis of global warming and, especially, the attempts of business
groupings such as the Global Climate Coalition to block any climate change
treaty. Leggett recounts his unsuccessful attempts to interest the press
in the global warming implications of a free-trade deal agreed by the G7
countries as “aid” for Russia: “An agency journalist from UPI, who was
one of the few who phoned me and with whom I did a 30-minute interview,
told me that his editor had gutted his story. “They took out all the references
to global warming. The editor told me it is too controversial’.”
Leggett reserves much of his ire for Don Pearlman, the corporate lawyer
who heads the Climate Council, another carbon-fuel front. Pearlman worked
with Washington law firm Patton, Boggs & Blow whose clients included Sony,
American Express, the Haitian dictator Duvalier, and the Guatemalan military.
Pearlman shamelessly used the Saudi and Kuwaiti delegations as climate
talk proxies for the carbon industry, the Kuwaitis even submitting proposed
amendments in Pearlman’s handwriting. But perhaps the most astonishing
revelation is the hold that the lawyer had over U.S. negotiators. Following
talks which went badly for Pearlman, he was observed publicly scolding
Dan Reifsnyder, the head of the U.S. negotiating team, like an “incandescent
headmaster [giving] a severe finger-lashing” to a “recalcitrant schoolboy.”
In August 1992, Hurricane Andrew hit Florida, precipitating a record $16.5
billion insurance bill. Noting that “the insurance industry was bigger
than the international arms trade, bigger even than the oil business,”
Leggett pursues a new strategy—pushing the insurance sector to back strong
emission cuts. But by the time the climate talks move to Japan in 1997,
Leggett accepts failure on this front: “the most I could hope for in Kyoto
was another short flying visit by a handful of insurers. His current approach,
having left Greenpeace, has been to enter the market for solar photo-voltaic
systems by forming his own company, Solar Century, with corporate backing.
Sadly, Leggett skates over, or is blind to, the undemocratic power behind
the World Bank, IMF, and World Trade Organisation, and transnational corporations.
The closest he comes to advocating structural reform of the global economy
is when he says: “we did not want to put [the oil companies] out of business,
we merely wanted them to change the way they did business…. We wanted
them to help make the solar-energy revolution happen, not stand in its
way.” Thus would control of energy technology, renewable or otherwise,
remain in corporate hands. For many environmentalists, such as solar energy
campaigners, Daniel Berman and John O’Connor, this is not acceptable. In
their 1996 book, Who Owns the Sun?, Berman and O’Connor link a sustainable
energy policy with democratic renewal: “[T]o turn the tools of a solar
transition over to utilities and fossil-fuel corporations, which is the
present policy of [governments] and mainstream environmental organizations,
is to guarantee that the coming Solar Age will arrive a century behind
its time, and that it will be every bit as autocratic as today’s fossil-fuel
economy. We believe that a solar revolution will necessarily occur at the
expense of the private energy monopolies, and that such a revolution will
not take place without a passionate public fight.”