The recent World Economic Forum (WEF) Africa conference in Durban hosted some controversial, often repressive, local politiciansāhost Jacob Zuma, Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe, Yoweri Museveni of Uganda, King Mswati of Swaziland and Edgar Lungu of Zambiaābut also the most powerful man in Europe, the notoriously-corrupt neoliberal German finance minister, Wolfgang SchƤuble. At a public lecture on May 4 hosted by the University of KwaZulu-Natal, SchƤuble undiplomatically threatened Britainās Prime Minister Theresa May, in the midst of her election campaign.
SchƤuble also sold his plan for reviving multinational corporate investment in Africa. It is a priority, he said, because āIn Europe, we have come to understand that Africa represents one of the most important issues for the growth and stability of the global economy.ā Africa as an issue for global economic growthā managed by imperialist elitesādates to an earlier Berlin project: the infamous āScramble for Africaā in 1884-85. The continentās dysfunctional borders were drawn, then, with no African in sight, in order to facilitate property rights for colonial extractive industries, all the better to ensure infrastructure investment. Roads, railways, bridges, and ports needed to withdraw resources have been cemented into place ever since, and now require refurbishing and expansion for further extraction.
In addition to imperialist aspirations, another explanation arises: Germanyās national election is in September. SchƤubleās boss Angela Merkel needs a rhetorical device to explain to voters how the million African refugees who entered Germany over the last dozen years can be kept at bay in the future. Hence the āCompactā with African elites SchƤuble was speaking on behalf of a G20 bloc that will hold its annual meeting in Hamburg. Among the worldās largest economies, plus multilateral financial institutions, South Africaāwith only the 3rd largest African economy and the sixth most populous societyārepresents a continent absent from view. The C20 group of civil society critics (within which I find myself occasionally) has expressed concern not only about SchƤubleās top-down process, but about āhigher costs for the citizens, worse service, secrecy, loss of democratic influence and financial risks for the public⦠and the multinational corporations involved demand that their profits be repatriated in hard currencyāeven though the typical services contract entails local-currency expenditures and revenuesāand that often raises African foreign debt levels, which are now at all-time highs again in many countries.ā
The South African foreign debt to GDP ratio just hit 50 percent, far higher than the 40 percent in 1985 that accompanied a default, and the credit rating downgrade to junk status last month makes raising more hard currency to repay those loans even more expensive. In contrast to Berlin, Trumpās Washington regime has proposed cutting the USAID budget dramatically and diverting $54 billion in state funding to the military, but while once preaching isolationism, Trump has already expanded hectic, albeit low-profile, Africa Command interventions from the Maghreb across the Sahel to the Horn, according to researcher Nick Turse, who recently analyzed newly-declassified Pentagon data. On June 12-13, more Compact details will be shared with G20 finance ministers at a Berlin meeting reportedly to be co-chaired by SchƤuble and South African finance minister Malusi Gigaba. In spite of the latterās occasional leftist rhetoric (amidst surprising praise for his WEF-Africa diplomacy), Gigabaās record of white-elephant infrastructure promotion when he was State Enterprises minister suggests how prone Pretoria remains to offering massive public subsidies to construction and mining corporations. That tendency overlaps precisely with SchƤubleās aims. In addition to South Africa, five countries have initially signed up to the Compact with AfricaāCĆ“te dāIvoire, Morocco, Rwanda, Senegal and Tunisiaāwith many more anticipated to join, so as to maintain aid and political favor with the European Union. SchƤubleās Compact was released in March in the German resort of Baden-Baden without substantive African input (in contrast to Tony Blairās 2004-05 Commission for Africa which coopted a comprador elite). SchƤuble not only side-lined the more generous āMarshall Planā strategy advanced by Merkelās development ministry, he also insisted that African governments provide more public subsidiesāand take on much more riskāfor Public Private Partnership infrastructure.
This typically amounts to profits, pilfering, and pain for consumers of commercialized infrastructure. In his new autobiography and a recent Guardian article, former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis described SchƤuble as a hypocritical financial dictator who privately confessed that his ongoing squeeze of the Syriza government and Greek peopleāon behalf of the Euroāshould really have been rejected by Athens. The very day SchƤuble spoke in Durban, he was also busy imposing more austerity on Greece and rejecting a previously promised bail-out. Varoufakis regrets trusting Europeās āDeep Establishmentā in 2015, and he should have known better. Fifteen years earlier SchƤuble had been expelled as leader of the Conservative Party for accepting and then publicly denying a cash bribeāthe equivalent of $60,000āfrom arms dealer Karlheinz Schreiber (whose generosity also wrecked the once-invincible Helmut Kohlās reputation).
A comeback thanks to Angela Merkelās generosity gave SchƤuble first the German Home Affairs and then Finance portfolios. Likewise, IMF managing director Christine Lagarde is a close SchƤuble collaborator and endorser of the Compact with Africa. Less than six months ago, she too was convicted in French courts for a ā¬403 million payout to a major conservative party contributor, Adidas owner Bernard Tapie, when she was finance minister. Her comeback was far faster than SchƤubleās: she continues in her present job, even gaining a re-endorsement on the day of her Paris conviction by IMF directors including those representing the Brazil-Russia-India-China-South Africa bloc. Meanwhile African infrastructure has failed to attract anywhere near the investment in the manner envisaged in the African Development Bank 2010 Programme for Infrastructure Development in Africa and the wildly overoptimistic 2012 Southern Africa Development Community regional master plan. This is not only a function of weak local systemsāincluding widespread corruption in Africaās construction sectorābut another factor for which SchƤuble, Lagarde and other elite financial managers are partly responsible: an utterly unreformed, chaotic world economic system. African exporters enjoyed commodity price hikes of 380 percent from 2002-11 but then crashes in most commodities of more than 50 percent in 2014-15, to unprofitable levels. No Compact with Africa aiming to incentivize multinational corporate investment merely with state supply-side subsidies can reverse those inherent crisis conditions within global capitalism.
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Patrick Bond teaches at the University of the Witwatersr School of Governance.
