Umthombo: Idemokhrasi Ngoku!
Bamalunga ne-160 lezigidi zabavoti abavotileyo kolu lonyulo, bebeka irekhodi elitsha, kwaye umongameli onyuliweyo uJoe Biden okhokele kwivoti ethandwayo uye watsibela ngaphezulu kwezigidi ezi-5. Uninzi lwabantu abavotileyo luxhaswe ngabantu abebala, ngelixa inani lilonke leevoti ezifakwe ngabemi baseMelika abamhlophe landa ngokulambisayo kunyulo lukamongameli lokugqibela. "Ibali eliphambili lelokuba kunyulo oluye lwabona ukuvela kwembali, abantu bemibala - kwaye ngakumbi iLatinos - babenokwanda okungazange kubonwe ngaphambili," itsho iDemokhrasi Ngoku! uJuan Gonzรกlez "Emva kwamashumi eminyaka yeengcali zezopolitiko zithetha ngevoti ekhulayo yeLatino, kulo nyaka yenzekile."
NGABA INDAODA ELUNGILE: Umongameli onyuliweyo uJoe Biden okhokelayo kwivoti ethandwayo uye watsibela ngaphezulu kwezigidi ezi-5 njengoko uMongameli uTrump eqhubeka nokungavumi. Bamalunga ne-160 lezigidi zabavoti abavotileyo. Le yirekhodi entsha. Uninzi lwabantu abavotileyo luxhaswe ngabantu abebala, ngelixa inani lilonke leevoti ezifakwe ngabemi baseMelika abamhlophe landa ngokulambisayo kunyulo lukamongameli lokugqibela. Ewe, Juan, uhlalutyo lwakho belubaluleke kakhulu. Ilungile lo nto, Intando yeninzi Ngoku!UJuan Gonzรกlez ebejonge kufutshane ukuba ugqatso lwembali kuluntu lwaseLatinx lube nefuthe njani kugqatso. Yandlala thina.
JUAN GONZรLEZ: Ewe, Amy, ukulandelelana kwamabali kuyaqhubeka, kubanga inguqu eyothusayo yabavoti baseLatino ukuya kuDonald Trump. The New York Times kule veki, iphepha langaphambili, caphula, "Indlela iiDemokhrasi zisiphose ngayo isibheno sikaTrump kubavoti baseLatino." Emva koko, i LA Times, "Abavoti baseLatino badinwe kukungahoywa ngamaDemokhrasi adidekileyo." CNN kunye nabanye abathi akukho nto ifana ne-Latino bloc. Kwaye nkqu Ukuthintela esithi ngaphakathi elinye lamabali abo ukuba "abavoti abamhlophe abakhuselekanga kwi-Right-Wing Populism."
Kulungile, ndathi kwiveki yokugqibela, kwaye ndiya kuphinda kwakhona, ibali eliphambili lolu lonyulo alukho ukuba kukho utshintsho oluncinci kwipesenti yabavoti beLatinx kwezinye iindawo zelizwe ezijikela kwiTrump. Ibali eliphambili lelokuba kunyulo oluye lwabona ukuvela kwembali, abantu abanemibala - kwaye ngakumbi iLatinos - babenokwanda okungazange kubonwe ngaphambili. Kwaye bona, ingengabo abavoti abamhlophe, babemele uninzi kolo lwando. Phantse akukho nanye kwiingxelo ezikhankanyileyo oku, ukuba okokuqala kwimbali yase-US i-turnout yaseLatinos ibonakala ifikelele kumanqanaba athelekisekayo kumazinga amhlophe nabaMnyama baseMelika. Izigidi ezingamashumi amabini anesithandathu zeLatinos ziye kwiivoti kolu lonyulo. Leyo yi-64% yezigidi ezingama-32 zabavoti abafanelekileyo beLatinx, ngelixa kwimijikelo yolonyulo lwangaphambili abavoti bebengaphantsi kwama-50%. Ngamanani akrwada, i-8 yezigidi ezingaphezulu zeLatinos zivote kulo nyaka kune-2016. Oko kunyuka kwe-63% kunyulo lokugqibela lomongameli.
Ngoku, ndiye ndahlaziywa kwaye ndadibanisa itshathi ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, kwaye ibonisa ukuba ukwanda okukhulu kuzo zombini iipesenti kunye neevoti zangempela kwiminyaka emine edlulileyo zivela kubavoti baseLatino. Ukutsiba kwabo ngenani leevoti eziphoswe phantse zilingane phakathi kwabamhlophe - ukwanda kwabavoti abamhlophe nabaMnyama bedityanisiwe. Olona luhlu lulandelayo lukhulu, ngokwepesenti, lweza phakathi kwabavoti base-Afrika baseMelika, abonyuke nge-20%, abantu baseAsia baseMelika nge-16%, ngelixa abavoti abamhlophe benyuke ngaphantsi kwe-6%.
Ngoku, amanye ala manani, kufuneka ndiqaphele, ahlukile kwinto endiyibonise kwiveki ephelileyo, ngokuyinxenye kuba kukho utshintsho oluqatshelwe kancinci kuvoto lokuphuma kuzwelonke lwe-Edison kwezi ntsuku zimbalwa zidlulileyo xa kuthelekiswa noko kukhutshwe ngoSuku loNyulo. zonke iinethiwekhi. Umzekelo, inguqulelo yokuqala yaqikelela ukuba abamhlophe babengama-65% yabavoti, ngelixa amanani amva nje esithi bebengama-67%. Kwaye i-poll ikwanyusa inani labantu base-Afrika baseMelika kunye nama-Asiya. Ewe, uvoto luka-Edison belusoloko luneziphene, kwaye uhlahlelo oluninzi lubonisa ukuba iisampulu zalo zangaphambili ziye zatyekele ekuthatheni iisampulu kubantu baseMelika baseCuba, besenza iisampulu kwiindawo zokuvota zakwaBlack kunye neLatino ezingaphakathi kwesixeko, kunye nabavoti abalulwimi lwabo lokuqala ingesosiNgesi, zonke ezo. kuthetha ukuba ithande ukubala phantsi abavoti beLatino kwiiDemocrats.
Kodwa iikhonto ezisisiseko zesampulu zihlala zifana, kwaye ayinakubaleka. Emva kwamashumi eminyaka yeengcali zezopolitiko zithetha ngevoti ekhulayo yeLatino, kulo nyaka yenzeka ngokwenene. Abavoti be-Hispanic baziva benyanzelekile ukuba bangene kwiivoti, kuba Covid-I-19 yawa ngaphezu kwamanye amaqela, ngenxa yedemoni eqhubekayo yeLatinos ngumongameli, ngenxa yemigaqo-nkqubo yokwahlukana kwentsapho, okanye ngenxa yezoyikiso kukhathalelo lwempilo, nokuba, kwamanye amaLatinos alondolozayo, ngenxa yethemba labo lokujika ekugqibeleni. ngasemva Roe v. Wade. Inye into eqinisekileyo: Akukho qela leDemokhrasi okanye iRiphabhlikhi eliya kujongela phantsi okanye lingabahoyi abavoti baseLatino ukususela ngoku ukuya phambili. Oku kufanele ukuba kube ngunobangela wokubhiyozelwa okubanzi njengedemokhrasi ekudala ilindelwe yevoti.
Kodwa kuthekani ngabo babanga ukuba uTrump wenze izinto ezinkulu ezingalindelekanga phakathi kwabavoti baseLatino kwilizwe liphela, njengoko kubonakaliswe yi-66-to-32% yokwahlulwa kwevoti yeLatino phakathi kweBiden kunye neTrump? Abanye bathi iLatinos inokushiya iDemocratic Party. Abo bethu bebekhe bajikeleza ibhloko amaxesha ambalwa bayivile le ngxelo ngaphambili. Enyanisweni, ezi ziphumo zikwi-ballpark jikelele yamaphulo omongameli wangaphambili.
Ndifuna ukubeka, ngethemba, itshati apha yendlela iLatinos eyahlula ngayo ivoti yabo kule minyaka ingama-30 idlulileyo kunyulo lukamongameli. Isabelo seRiphabhlikhi sabavoti siye sahluka, ukusuka kwi-27% ephantsi, xa u-Mitt Romney ephikisana noBarack Obama ngo-2012, ukuya kwi-44% ephezulu, ukuba uGeorge Bush wafumana kwi-2004 yakhe yesibini yomongameli. wabaleka ngokuchasene no-Obama ngo-2008, wafumana ipesenti efanayo yevoti yaseLatino njengoko uTrump wenzayo kulo nyaka. Kwaye indawo ephezulu, uloyiso lukaBush ngo-2004, kufuneka siqaphele, lixesha lokugqibela umgqatswa waseRiphabhlikhi efumana uninzi lwevoti ethandwayo.
Kodwa umahluko omkhulu ngoku kukuba ivoti yeLatinx inkulu kakhulu. Xa ufumana isibini kwisithathu sevoti, ephindwe kathathu ngobukhulu kwiminyaka nje embalwa, uqala ukufezekisa ubunzima obunzima. Akumangalisi ukuba uLindsey Graham elumkisa ukuba ukuba olu nyulo alutshintshwanga ngandlela thile, amaRiphabhlikhi akasayi kuphinda ayiphumelele i-White House.
Kuthekani ngezo ndawo ezifana neRio Grande Valley yaseTexas kunye neSouth Florida, apho uTrump enze ukungena kwangempela kwizithili ezininzi zaseLatino kwivoti yokwenyani? Kuthekani ngezi pundits ezibanga iLatinos zahlukene kwaye zisasazeke njengabemi kangangokuba kuyimpazamo ukubathatha njengoluntu olunye? Okokuqala, eMzantsi [Florida] kunye neRio Grande Valley, ewe, iziphumo zevoti zangempela zibonisa ukuba uTrump wayenokwanda okukhulu kwinkxaso yakhe apho. IFlorida ayimangalisi, inikwe ukuthontelana kwababaleki abalondolozayo abasuka eNicaragua naseVenezuela kwiminyaka yakutshanje, kodwa iRio Grande Valley injalo.
Kwi-Hidalgo County, ecaleni komda, eyi-90% yeLatino, iTump isuka kwi-27% ngokumelene noHillary Clinton ukuya kwi-40% ngokumelene noJoe Biden. Kwi-Maverick County, eyi-95% yeLatino, wahamba ukusuka kwi-20% ngokuchasene noClinton ukuya kwi-45% ngokuchasene neBiden. Loo manani abalulekileyo. I-Valley, nangona kunjalo, itshintshe ngokukhawuleza ngexesha leTrump. Ihlala iyindawo yasemaphandleni egcina intlalo yoluntu, ibone ukukhula okukhulu kwemisebenzi kwiminyaka yakutshanje ngenxa yomkhosi womda, ozise amawaka emisebenzi emitsha kwindawo yamagosa eBorder Patrol, kubasebenzi kulwakhiwo lwabucala eludongeni neMexico. , kumaziko ogcino lwabaphambukeli. Ukongeza, iNtlambo ithathe indawo yecandelo laseSan Diego njengeyona ndawo iphambili yokuwela abafuduki abangabhalwanga phantsi kunye nenkqubo yokufuduka engaphumelelanga yase-United States. Yonke loo nto, ngaphandle kwamathandabuzo, yanceda ukuguqula abahlali bayo kuTrump.
Kodwa kwizixeko ezikhulu zaseTexas, apho uninzi lweLatinos luhlala khona, kukho elinye ibali. I-San Antonio's Bexar County, umzekelo, i-60% ye-Latino, yabona umda weevoti ze-Biden zinyuka, ukusuka kwi-54 ukuya kwi-58%, nangona siya kufuna amanani angcono malunga nokuba yayingakanani loo nto kuluntu lwaseLatino. Kubonakala kucacile, nangona kunjalo, ukuba abantu baseLatino baphendulela kumazwe afana neNevada, Arizona kunye nePennsylvania bancede iBiden ukuba iphumelele la mazwe abalulekileyo edabi.
Kwaye ke kukho iCalifornia neNew York. Isabelo seLatino sevoti eya kwi-Biden ibonakala ichukumisa kula mazwe: i-77% eCalifornia, i-72% eNew York. Ngoku, abanye bayaxoxa ukuba ezo zinokwehlabathi ezithembekileyo, ngoko ke abo bavoti base-Hispanic abagxeki ncam. Ngokwenene? Ngaba ayisiyiyo loo mida mikhulu yaseLatino unyaka nonyaka yintoni eyenze la mazwe aluhlaza ngokuthembekileyo? Kwaye okufanayo nakwiNew Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts kwaye, mva nje, eColorado.
Ke kukho le mibuzo ingenangqiqo malunga nokuba ngaba uluntu lwaseLatino lukhona ngokwenene. Masicace: Isazisi seLatinx eUnited States lulwakhiwo lwentlalo, oludalwe luluntu olubalaseleyo, olufuna ukucacisa kunye nokwahlulahlula kunye nezinye - ezinye - kunye neqela elijongelwe phantsi ngokwalo, ngokwendalo, ukusuka emhlabeni, ngokwahlukileyo kwiLatin America. amaqela abafudukayo abanyanzelwa ukuba bamanyane ukuze baphile kuluntu olunobutshaba kunye nabantwana babo ngokuthe ngcembe batshatana ukudala isakhiwo esitsha sentlalo: iLatino eMelika.
Kwiminyaka engaphezu kwama-20 eyadlulayo, ndatsho kwincwadi yam Ukuvunwa koBukhosi ukuba iLatinos yaba -ya iba namandla amatsha wesithathu kwezopolitiko zaseMelika. Ubukhulu becala bavota iDemokhrasi, kodwa inxenye ebalulekileyo iba sesichengeni kubagqatswa baseRiphabhlikhi ukuba ezo nkokeli zezopolitiko zijongana nezinto ezimbalwa ezibaxhalabisayo. Ukusukela ngoko, abantu baseLatin America abavela kwimvelaphi efundileyo nabakumgangatho ophakathi baye bafudukela kweli lizwe ngamanani akhulayo, kwaye isahlulo esihle siye samkela iimbono eziqhelekileyo zaseMelika. Abanye bolu luntu, nangona beseligcuntswana, baye batsaleleka kwi-populism yaphiko lasekunene, kwi-chauvinism yesizwe, nakwiimbono zocalucalulo.
Konke oku kulungiswa kwiLatinos, nangona kunjalo, kuyawutyeshela umbuzo osisiseko wolunyulo, apho bambalwa kakhulu abakhi-mkhanyo bezopolitiko endibabonileyo baye bazama ukuyiphatha: Kutheni le nto i-58% yabantu abamhlophe baseMelika bavotela uDonald Trump, kubandakanya ne-55% yabamhlophe. abafazi? Njengoko i-United States izihlanganisa njengelona lizwe linamandla ama-impiriyali kunye nomsantsa wezoqoqosho kwilizwe ukhula, iintshukumo zamaphiko asekunene zikhule kuphela ekhaya, kwaye ukoyiswa kukaTrump akuyi kumisa ukukhula kwabo. Isitshixo sokwakha isininzi esinenkqubela kukugcina ukudibanisa abantu abaninzi baseLatinos abancinci ukuba bavote, ukungcwaba ipesenti encinci yokunyuka kwenkxaso yabaviwa abasekunene phantsi kwe-avalanche evela kubantu bemibala, abasebenzi abacwangcisiweyo kunye namahlakani abo. Kwaye kuluvo lwam kolu lonyulo.
NGABA INDAODA ELUNGILE: Ewe, uJuan Gonzรกlez, ukuntywila okumangalisayo kumanani, kubaluleke kakhulu ukuyiqonda le nto okwangoku, kuba, kwangethuba, le yeyona nto ibumba ibali. Kwaye, uyazi, ngoLwesibini, intatheli ekhokelayo uMaria Hinojosa ubhale kwi-tweet, ecaphula, "Ndimamele iDaily malunga nokuba yintoni engalunganga ngokuvota." Ubhekisa ku The New York Times' mihla le ipodcast. โKwaye,โ uyaqhubeka, โwow. Ngomba wokuba abantu abaninzi abamhlophe bavotele ixilongo kanye phambi kwethu, i EKUQALENI into abayenzayo kukuthetha abavoti baseLatino. Kuvakala ngathi WE ZI THE NGABANYE UXANDUVA kuyo yonke le nto! Abafana ababini abamhlophe phezu kwethu. " UMaria Hinojosa uqhubekile wathi, "Ngoko uNate Cohen uthi 'ukuvota kwabanzima ngabavoti baseLatino.'โ Kwaye uthi, "Uvoto? How abt ukuqesha a right Latino pollsters?? Ewe sikhona. Oku kuqhelekile. Akunjalo WE Ufumene IT KUBI. Eli xesha kunye neminyaka emine eyadlulayo-engalunganga. Hayi indlela 'Asizange siyenze imisebenzi yethu.'โ Ukuba unokuthetha ngaloo nto, uyaphazama, Juan? Awungeni nzulu kuphela kumanani, kodwa uhlaziya ibali elisele liphuma kolu lonyulo.
JUAN GONZรLEZ: Ewe. Ewe, njengoko benditshilo, i-poll - kukho i-poll enye ephambili. Ewe, i-AP ngoku ine-poll yayo, kodwa amanani ayafana kakhulu. Kodwa aba bavoti bebesoloko beneziphene, njengoko iqela leziGqibo zeLatino lathi okokugqibela, kuba, khumbula, ngo-2016, ingxelo efanayo, yokuba iLatinos yasuka ngokungalindelekanga ngakuTrump, yakhutshwa. Abantu bayayilibala loo nto. Kwiminyaka emine eyadlulayo, yayiyingxelo efanayo. Kodwa xa iziGqibo zeLatino zenza uhlalutyo lwabo - kwaye babenokuvota okubanzi ngakumbi kuluntu lwaseLatino, kwaye bajonga amanani angawo - afika emva kwexesha. Kwafika emva kweenyanga emva konyulo. Kwaye babonisa ukuba akunakwenzeka, kwezinye iindawo, kwiindawo ezininzi zelizwe, ukuba ivoti yeLatino kuDonald Trump ibe phezulu njengoko i-poll yokuphuma, i-poll yokuphuma kwe-Edison, yayibanga.
Kwaye babonisa ngokucacileyo ukuba yintoni na ukungaphumeleli kwe-poll. Enye yeyokuba ngokwembali igqithise kakhulu uluntu lwaseCuba lwaseMelika kumanani apheleleyo eLatino. Okwesibini kukuba ayikwenzi - ayikhange ingene kakhulu kuluntu lwase-Afrika yaseMelika okanye yaseLatino - ithande ukwenza uvoto lwayo ngomhla woNyulo loNyulo kwiindawo ezixubene ngokwebala-kwaye nokuba ngokwembali imela abo bantu andithethi IsiNgesi. Ngenxa yoko, i-poll, ngokwakhiwa kwayo, igwenxa. Kwaye ke, iZigqibo zeLatino zabona umahluko omkhulu phakathi kwevoti yokuphuma kunye nevoti yokwenyani yaseLatino.
Ngoku, asinawo amanani apheleleyo okwangoku. Kukho iindawo ezifana neNew York kunye neCalifornia apho zisabala khona. Kukho izigidi kunye nezigidi zeevoti, ngakumbi kwi-blue states, engekabalwa. Ke, esi sikhewu esizizigidi ezi-5 anaso iBiden siza kukhula kuphela. Ayizukuba ncinci; iya kuhlala ikhula. Kwaye uqikelelo lwam lunokufikelela kwizigidi ezisi-8, umahluko kwivoti. Kodwa ke, ndicinga ukuba asizukufumana mfanekiso upheleleyo de senze udibaniso lovoto kunye nenani levoti lokwenyani, kwindawo yendawo, kwilizwe jikelele, ukufumana umbono ongcono wento eyenzekileyo. Ke, izakuthatha ixesha.
Kwaye phawula igama lam: Kwiinyanga ezintandathu ukusuka ngoku okanye unyaka ukusuka ngoku, xa sinedatha engcono, kuya kufuneka siphinde sihlolisise okwenzekileyo, kodwa ndikulungele ukuqhubeka noko sele sinako, into esele sinayo, ukuthi ibali eliphambili apha alikho utshintsho oluncinci ngeepesenti, kukwanda okukrwada ekuphenduleni. Eso sitshixo. Eso sitshixo. Kwaye nje ukuba ujonge ukunyuka okuluhlaza kwabavoti, ubona ukuba ngabavoti baseLatinx, ama-Afrika aseMelika, ama-Asia aseMelika aqhubela phambili utshintsho lwabavoti kwilizwe.
NGABA INDAODA ELUNGILE: Kwaye kwezi ntsuku zizayo, sizakube sijonge ngakumbi kwivoti yoMthonyama waseMelika. Ndifuna ukukhuthaza abantu ukuba babuyele kwi-democracynow.org ukuze babone uhlalutyo lokuqala lukaJuan Gonzรกlez kwiveki ephelileyo. Icandelo 1 ngohlalutyo lwakhe lwabavoti beli lizwe.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa ngemali kuphela ngesisa sabafundi bayo.
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