Mwedzi wapfuura, Trump White House yakaburitsa a kazhinji Orwellian chirevo, yakazadzwa nenhema, kukanganisa, uye hafu-chokwadi pamusoro peIran uye chibvumirano chenyukireya cha2015. Imwe mutsara wakasiyana nevamwe: "Hapana kupokana kuti kunyangwe chibvumirano chisati chavapo, Iran yaityora zviga zvayo."
Huh? VaIran vaityora chibvumirano - isati yatombovapo?
Zvinoshamisa here kuti kunyangwe gurukota rezvekunze reIran vakaenda kuTwitter kuti vabatane nekunyomba kwepamhepo kweWhite House?
Kunyepa kwehutongi hwaTrump pamusoro weIran kwave kutopfuura parody. Zvisinei, hapana chinosetsa pavari. Nhema dzehurumende yeUS dzinogona kuva nemhedzisiro inouraya: Usambofa wakakanganwa izvozvo mazana ezviuru yevarume, vakadzi nevana veIraqi vasina mhosva, tisingatauri vanopfuura 4,400 vemauto eUS, vafa nhasi nokuda kwokururama Kuwanda kwenhema yakataurwa nehutungamiriri hwaGeorge W. Bush.
Saka zvinosungirwa kuti vatori venhau vaite muna 2019 zvatakabatana haana kuita muna 2003: Tarisa chokwadi, pikisa nhema, debunk ngano.
Heino mupiro wangu: kurambwa kwezvishanu zvekusavimbika zvakanyanya uye zvisiri izvo kubva kune hawks - zvirevo zvakaunza United States neIran kumatare. kumucheto kwekukonana mavhiki mashoma apfuura.
manyepo #1: Iran iri Kuvaka Chombo cheNyukireya
Mutungamiri wenyika, VaDonald Trump yairehwa kuIran "kutsvaga zvombo zvenyukireya" uye vakati Islamic Republic ichakurumidza "kusvika pakutora zvombo zvine njodzi pasi rose." Mutungamiriri weIsrael, Benjamin Netanyahu vakakavadzana, "Kunyangwe mushure mechibvumirano, Iran yakaramba ichichengetedza nekuwedzera chirongwa chayo chezvombo zvenyukireya kuti chizoshandiswa mune ramangwana."
Chokwadi ndechekuti kunyangwe chiri chokwadi kutaura nezvechirongwa chenyukireya cheIran, chiri pamutemo pasi pe Non-Proliferation Treaty, manyepo chaiwo kutaura nezvenyukireya yeIran zvombo chirongwa - se zvisingaverengeki nhau masangano vane waitwawo.
Kare kare sa2007, nharaunda yehungwaru yeUS yakagadzira a National Intelligence Estimate paIran izvo zvakapa izvo mutungamiri wenguva iyoyo George W. Bush aizoda gare gare tsanangura mu memoir yake se "inokatyamadza" uye "inobuda ziso" mhedziso iyo "yakasunga maoko angu kudivi remauto": "Tinotonga neruvimbo rukuru kuti mukupera kwa2003, Tehran yakamisa chirongwa chayo chezvombo zvenyukireya."
Hapana chakachinja kubva ipapo. Muna Ndira, ipapo-Mutungamiriri weNational Intelligence, VaTrump vakagadzwa, uye aimbove mumiriri weRepublican, Dan Coats, vakasimbisa maonero ekubvumirana kwemasangano gumi nematanhatu ehungwaru eUS paakanga ava. Akaudzwa Seneti: "Tiri kuenderera mberi nekuongorora kuti Iran parizvino haisi kuita zvakakosha-zviitwa zvekugadzira zvombo zvenyukireya zvatinoona zvakakodzera kugadzira nyukireya."
Chirongwa chezvombo zvenyukireya? Chii chirongwa chezvombo zvenyukireya?
manyepo #2: Iran Yakatyora Chibvumirano cheNuclear
Hutongi hwaTrump hwakaramba huchireva kuti Iran yanga isiri kuomerera kumitemo yechibvumirano - hurumende isati yatyora chibvumirano. unilaterally kudhonza kunze uye kuisazve zvirango zvehupfumi kuIran.
Mutungamiri vakati Iran "yakaita kutyora kwakawanda." Hawkish Republican Sen. Tom Cotton akapomerwa Tehran "yakaramba ichityora zviga zvechibvumirano." Ndizvo zvakaitawo Mark Dubowitz, mukuru weNeoconservative Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, uyo akati"Iran iri kuramba ichityora chibvumirano."
Kutaura zvazviri, sangano reUN rinoona nezvenyukireya, International Atomic Energy Agency, rakabudiswa mishumo inodarika gumi nemaviri ichisimbisa kuti Iran iri kutevedzera zvizere zviga zvechibvumirano. Muna Kubvumbi 2018, ipapo-Munyori weDziviriro James Mattis yakatsanangurwa chibvumirano chenyukireya se "chakasimba kwazvo." Kunyangwe ipapo-mukuru wemauto eIsrael, Gen. Gadi Eisenkot, akadaro muna Kurume 2018 kuti chibvumirano โnokukanganisa kwacho kwoseโ chakanga chiri โkushanda.โ
Mwedzi wapera, gurukota rezvekunze kweIran, Javad Zarif, zvakaziviswa kuti mirwi yenyika yeuranium yakapfumiswa yegiredhi yakaderera inodarika 300-kilogiramu yakatarwa muchibvumirano chenyukireya - zvichimutsa mhirizhonga kubva madokero hurumende uye op-ed columnists. Asi ngatijekese nezve kurongeka kwezviitiko: Kutyorwa kweIran kwechimwe chikamu chechibvumirano kwakauya anopfuura gore mushure mekunge United States yatyora chibvumirano chose.
manyepo #3: Iran Ndiyo Inotungamira Nyika Mutsigiri wehugandanga
"Iran yakaramba iri nyika inotungamira pasi rose inotsigira hugandanga," Wapikisa Dhipatimendi reHurumende muna September 2018. Islamic Republic yanga iri โnyika ine bhanga guru rehugandanga hwepasi rose kubvira 1979,โ vakati chipangamazano chezvekuchengetedzwa kwenyika John Bolton mavhiki mashoma gare gare. MunaJune, Trump akadana Iran ndiyo "nhamba imwe yenyika yemagandanga" munyika.
Izvi hazvina musoro. Vashoma vangapokana nenyaya yekuti Tehran yakapa rutsigiro, mari, uye zvombo kuHamas neHezbollah, ese akasarudzwa "Masangano Emagandanga Ekunzeโ nehurumende yeUS (kunyangwe zvichikoshawo kuziva kuti mamirioni ePalestine neLebanon anovaona semapoka anopikisa ari kurwisana nevagari veIsrael).
Zvakadaro"hondo pamusoro pekutya"yakaziviswa naBush mushure mekurwiswa kwa9/11 kwakarwiwa nemapoka eSunni jihadist akadai seAl Qaeda, ISIS, uye Shabab - hapana anotsigirwa neShia-vazhinji Iran.
Maererano Global Terrorism Index 2018, yakanyorwa neInstitute for Economics & Peace, inopfuura hafu yenzufu dzakakonzerwa nemagandanga pasi rose muna 2017 dzakakonzerwa nekurwiswa nemapoka mana: ISIS, Taliban, Shabab, uye Boko Haram. Zvakare, nyanzvi dzinobvuma kuti hapana rimwe remapoka aya rinotsigirwa neIran.
Muchokwadi, ndiyo mukwikwidzi mukuru weIran mudunhu, Saudi Arabia, anga ari akapomerwa yezvombo, mari, nekupa Salafi ideological cover kune vazhinji veva jihadists - kusanganisira nemutungamiri uyu.
"Ndiani akaputika World Trade Center?" Trump Abvunzwa paFox News panguva yesarudzo ye2016. "Yanga isiri maIraqis, yaive Saudi - tarisa kuSaudi Arabia, vhura magwaro."
Kana nyika ipi neipi ichifanirwa nemusiyano unokahadzika wekuve "nyika inotungamira pasi rose inotsigira hugandanga," ndiyo Umambo hweSaudi Arabia, kwete Islamic Republic of Iran.
manyepo #4: Iran Kushanda neAl Qaeda
Nekugadzira mubatanidzwa wemanyepo pakati peIran neAl Qaeda, hutongi hwaTrump hwakawana nzira itsva yekururamisa "nhamba imwe yenyika yemagandanga" tag. uye kupa chivharo chepamutemo kune ramangwana reUS kurwisa Tehran.
Mutungamiri akadaro vakati kuti Tehran "inopa rubatsiro kuAl Qaeda." Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, panguva yake semukuru weCIA, Yakataurwa "chakavanzika" chekuti "kwave nehukama" uye "pane dzimwe nguva maIran akashanda pamwe neAl Qaeda."
Kuedza kwehutongi hweBush kubatanidza Saddam Hussein nevanyanyisi veAl Qaeda kwakanzwika kupusa. vazhinji vedu kumashure muna 2002 na2003. Dzaive nhema dzisina musoro. Zvakadaro hutongi hwaTrump, uye hwayo hawkish outriders paNheyo yeDziviriro yeDemocracies, ikozvino vanoda kuti isu titende kuti vatendi vechitendero cheSunni veAl Qaeda vakaumba mubatanidzwa neIran, hutongi hweShia hwakaoma.
"Handisati ndamboona humbowo hwekushandira pamwe," Jason Burke, munyori we "Al-Qaeda: Kukanda Mumvuri Wekutya," Jason Burke andiudza muna 2017. Hukama huri pakati peAl Qaeda neIran "hahusi hwekubatana" asi "hunopesana zvikuru," akapedzisa chirevo chakaitwa neCombating Terrorism Center kuWest Point muna 2012.
Iyo Iran-Al Qaeda yekurangana dzidziso ine njodzi zvakanyanya. The 2001 Mvumo Yekushandisa Mauto Echiuto, yakapfuura neCongress mushure me9/11, inobvumira mutungamiri "kushandisa simba rose rinodiwa uye rakakodzera kurwisana nemarudzi, masangano, kana vanhu vaanosarudza vakaronga, vane mvumo, vakazvipira, kana kubatsira kurwisa kwemagandanga kwakaitika musi waSeptember 11; 2001, kana kuchengetedza masangano kana vanhu vakadaro. " Sachigaro weDemocratic Party Tim Kaine Akaudzwa New York Times muna Chikumi, vakuru vekutonga kwaTrump "vari kutsvaga kutanga gakava rekubvumidza mutungamiri wenyika kuita zvaanoda asina kuuya kuCongress, uye vanonzwa kuti mvumo ye2001 ichavabvumira kuenda kuhondo neIran."
manyepo #5: Hondo paIran Zvingave Zviri Nyore
Idzi pamwe inhema dzakapusa kupfuura dzese. Trump akadaro kunzarwo "kuguma kwepamutemo kweIran." Shamwari yake muSeneti, Tom Cotton, ane akafanotaura kuti United States inogona kukunda hondo neTehran nekurova kuviri chete: "Kurova kwekutanga uye kwekupedzisira."
Kutaura mashoko akadai seasina musoro kunenge kuri kurerutsa. Iran haisi Iraq. Sezvo Col. Larry Wilkerson, aimbova mukuru wevashandi kuna Colin Powell, akandiudza pane imwe nguva ichangoburwa yepodcast yangu, Deconstructed, kunetsana neIslamic Republic "kwaizotyisa":
Kanokwana kana saizi yeIraq, 80 miriyoni, kwete 26 miriyoni vanhu, homogeneity kune huwandu hwevanhu iyo Iraq yakanga isina chokwadi, makumi mashanu neshanu muzana Persian. Terrain ... izvo hazvina mutsa, zvakapotsa kuuraya Alexander Mukuru, semuenzaniso. Iyi ingave yakashata, yenguva refu yehugandanga danidziro yakaitwa nemaIran mumakore gumi kana gumi nemashanu. Uye pakupera kwayo, yaizoita seyakaita Iraq muna 51. Uye yaizodhura $10 trillion nehupenyu hwakawanda uye kupfuura chero chinhu chipi zvacho, zvaizoda mauto anosvika hafu yemiriyoni.
Mune mamwe mazwi, ingave njodzi yezviyero zveepic. Ngativei pachena: Kupomerwa kwakawanda kwakaitwa nehurumende dzekuMadokero nemasangano enhau dzekuMadokero vachipokana neIran - imhosva. Serial anotyora mutemo yekodzero dzevanhu; zviri kuenderana mukurwisa kuuraya kwaBashar Assad pavanhu vake; it misana Hamas neHezbollah, iri a promoter of anti-Semitism - ichokwadi chisingarambiki. Asi nhema shanu dzinogara dzichiiswa nevezvematongerwo enyika uye pundits kururamisa chiito chemauto kurwisa Iran, uye kunyangwe. kuchinja kwehurumende muTehran, ndezvenhema-kunze. Uye kana vakasadaidzwa, tichakurumidza kuzviwana tapinda mune imwe mhirizhonga ine ropa yeMiddle East iyo ichaita kuti hondo yeIraq iite sekufamba mupaki.
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dhoneta