Source: Counterpunch

Hypersonic missile or rocket over the apocalyptic Earth. A new star is born in the universe. A comet runs in the space. Elements of this image furnished by NASA
Photo by Maxal Tamor/Shutterstock.com
The United States is seeking to acquire āvolumes of hundreds or even thousandsā of nuclear-capable hypersonic missiles that are āstealthyā and can fly undetected at 3,600 miles per hour, five times faster than the speed of sound.
Why so many? A Pentagon official is quoted in the current issue of Aviation Week & Space Technology as saying āwe have to be careful weāre not building boutique weapons. If we build boutique weapons, we wonātāweāll be very reluctant toāuse them.ā
The article in the aerospace industry trade journal is headlined: āHypersonic Mass Production.ā A subhead reads: āPentagon Forms Hypersonic Industry āWar Room.āā
On March 19, 2020, the U.S. conducted its first hypersonic missile test from its Pacific Missile Range Facility on Kauai, Hawaii.
āFast and Furiously Accurateā is the title of an article about hypersonic missiles written by a U.S. Navy officer which appeared last year on a U.S. Naval Institute website.
The piece declares that by āspecifically integrating hypersonic weapons with U.S. Navy submarines, the United States may gain an edge in developing the fastest, most precise weapons the world has ever seen.ā
āHypersonic weapons,ā explains the article by U.S. Navy Lieutenant Andrea Howard, ātravel faster than Mach 5āat least five times the speed of sound, around 3,600 mph, or one mile per secondā¦.They are similar to but faster than existing missiles, such as the subsonic U.S. Tomahawk missile, which maxes out around 550 mph.ā
āWhile hypersonic weapons can carry conventional or nuclear warheads, they differ from existing technologies in three critical ways,ā writes Howard. āFirstā¦a one-kilogram object delivered precisely and traveling multiples of the speed of sound can be more destructive than one kilogram of TNT. Second, the low-altitude path helps mask HCMs [Hypersonic Cruise Missiles] when coupled with the curvature of the Earthā and so āthey are mostly invisible to early warning radars. And thirdā¦they can maneuver during flight; in contrast with the predictable ballistic-missile descend, they are more difficult to intercept, if even detected.ā
āBy offering the precision of near-zero-miss weapons, the speed of ballistic missiles, and the maneuverability of cruise missiles, hypersonic weapons are a disruptive technology capable of striking anywhere on the globe in less than an hour,ā declares the Navy officer.
The article also notes that Russian āPresident Vladimir Putin unveiled six newā what he called āinvincibleā hypersonic missiles as part of a March 2018 āstate of the nationā speech. āRussia has successfully tested the air-to-ground hypersonic missileā named Kinzhal for dagger, āmultiple times using the MIG-31 fighter.ā Itās āmounting the Kinzhal on its Tu-22M3 strategic bomber.ā The article also says āChina, too, is working on hypersonic technologies.ā
The piece concludes: āAs the tradition of arms control weakens with the breakdown of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) agreement, it would be naĆÆve to anticipate anything other than full-fledged weapon development by Russia and China in the coming decadesā¦.The bottom line is that hypersonic weapons will determine who precisely is āpromptā enough in 21st century conflict.ā
The U.S. under President Trump withdrew last year from the INF treaty, a landmark agreement which had banned all land-basedĀ ballisticĀ and cruise missiles withĀ rangesĀ of from 310 to 3,420 miles. It had been signed in 1987 by President Reagan and Soviet General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev. The treaty āmarked the first time the superpowers had agreed to reduce their nuclear arsenals, eliminate an entire category of nuclear weapons, and employ extensive on-site inspections for verification,ā notes the Arms Control Association.
āHypersonic missiles may be unstoppable. Is society ready?ā was the headline of an article in March in The Christian Science Monitor. This piece notes: āHypersonic missiles are not just very fast, they are maneuverable and stealthy. This combination of speed and furtiveness means they can surprise an adversary in ways that conventional missiles cannot, while also evading radar detection. And they have injected an additional level of risk and ambiguity into what was already an accelerating arms race between nuclear-armed rivals.ā
The article raises the issue of the speed of hypersonic missiles miring military decisions. āFor an incoming conventional missile, military commanders may have 30 minutes to detect and respond; a hypersonic missile could arrive at that same destination in 10 minutes.ā Thus āartificial intelligenceā or āAIā would be utilized.
The Christian Science Monitor article quotes Patrick Lin, a professor of philosophy at California Polytechnic State University in San Luis Obispo, as noting: āTechnology will always fail. That is the nature of technology.ā And, says the article: āDr. Lin argues that the benefits of hypersonic weapons compared to the risk they create are āwidely unclear,ā as well as the benefits of the AI systems that inform them.ā
It quotes Dr. Lin as saying, wisely: āI think itās important to remember that diplomacy works and policy solutions workā¦I think another tool in our toolbox isnāt just to invest in more weapons, but itās also to invest in diplomacy to develop community.ā
The Aviation Week & Space Technology article begins: āAs the U.S. hypersonic weapons strategy tilts toward valuing a quantity approach, the new focus for top defense plannersāeven as a four-year battery of flight testing beginsāis to create an industrial base that can produce missiles affordably enough that the high-speed weapons can be purchased in volumes of hundreds or even thousands.ā
It continues: āTo pave the way for an affordable production strategy, the Pentagonās Research and Engineering division has teamed up with the Acquisition and Sustainment branch to create a āwar roomā for the hypersonic industrial base, says Mark Lewis, director of research and engineering the modernization.ā
The piece then quotes Lewis as saying: āAt the end of the day, we have to be careful weāre not building boutique weapons. If we build boutique weapons, we wonātāweāll be very reluctant toāuse them. And that again factors into our plans for delivering hypersonics at scale.ā
The article says that āAir Force and defense officials have been promoting concepts for operating air-launched hypersonic missiles in swarm attacks. The B-1B [bomber], for example, will be modified to carryā six hypersonic missiles.
āI think itās a poorly posed question to ask about affordability per unit,ā the piece quoted Lewis as saying. āWe have to think of it in terms of the affordability of the capability that weāre providing. By that I mean: If Iāve got a hypersonic system that costs twice as much as its subsonic counterpart but is five times more effective, well, clearly, thatās an advantageous cost scenario.ā
The hypersonic missiles will indeed likely be āinvincible.ā And they would be at the ready because of the withdrawal by the Trump administration of the INF treaty and other international arms control agreements, one after another.
With the vast numbers of hypersonic nuclear-capable missiles being sought, the world will have fully returned to the madness in the depths the Cold Warāas presented in the 1964 film Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb.
Apocalypse will be highly likely. Artificial intelligence is not going to save us. These weapons need to be outlawed, not produced and purchased en masse. And we must, indeed, āinvest in diplomacy to develop communityāāa global community at peace, not a world of horrific and unstoppable war.
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