Source: Consortium News
The presidential election in Argentina was no less than a game-changer and a graphic lesson for the whole Global South. It pitted, in a nutshell, the people versus neoliberalism. The people won ā with new President Alberto Fernandez and former President Cristina FernĆ”ndez de Kirchner (CFK) as his VP.
Neoliberalism was represented by Mauricio Macri: a marketing product, former millionaire playboy, president of football legends Boca Juniors, fanatic of New Age superstitions, and CEO obsessed with spending cuts, who was unanimously sold by Western mainstream media as the new paradigm of a post-modern, efficient politician.
Well, the paradigm will soon be evacuated, leaving behind a wasteland: $250 billion in foreign debt; less than $50 billion in reserves; inflation at 55 percent; the U.S. dollar at over 60 pesos (a family needs roughly $500 to spend in a month; 35.4 percent of Argentine homes canāt make it); and, incredible as it may seem in a self-sufficient nation, a food emergency.
Macri, in fact the president of so-called Anti-Politics, No-Ā Politics in Argentina, was a full IMF baby, enjoying total āsupportā (and gifted with a humongous $58 billion loan). New lines of credit, for the moment, are suspended.Ā Ā Fernandez is going to have a really hard time trying to preserve sovereignty while negotiating with foreign creditors, or āvultures,ā as masses of Argentines define them. There will be howls on Wall Street and in the City of London about āfiery populism,ā āmarket panicking,ā āpariahs among international investors.ā Fernandez refuses to resort to a sovereign default, which would add even more unbearable pain for the general public.
The good news is that Argentina is now the ultimate progressive lab on how to rebuild a devastated nation away from the familiar, predominant framework: a state mired in debt; rapacious, ignorant comprador elites; and āeffortsā to balance the budget always at the expense of peopleās interests.
What happens next will have a tremendous impact all over Latin America, not to mention serve as a blueprint for assorted Global South struggles. And then thereās the particularly explosive issue of how it will influence neighboring Brazil, which as it stands, is being devastated by a āCaptainā Bolsonaro even more toxic than Macri.
Ride that Clio
It took less than four years for neoliberal barbarism, implemented by Macri, to virtually destroy Argentina. For the first time in its history Argentina is experiencing mass hunger.
In these elections, the role of charismatic former President CFK was essential. CFK prevented the fragmentation of Peronism and the whole progressive arc, always insisting, on the campaign trail, on the importance of unity.
But the most appealing phenomenon was the emergence of a political superstar: Axel Kicillof, born in 1971 and CFKās former economy minister. When I was in Buenos Aires two months ago everyone wanted to talk about Kicillof.
The province of Buenos Aires congregates 40 percent of the Argentine electorate. Fernandez won over Macri by roughly 8 percent nationally. In Buenos Aires province though, the Macrists lost by 16 percent ā because of Kicillof.
Kicillofās campaign strategy was delightfully described as āClio mata big dataā (āClio kills big dataā), which sounds great when delivered with a porteƱo accent. He went literally all over the place ā 180,000 km in two years, visiting all 135 cities in the province ā in a humble 2008 Renault Clio, accompanied only by his campaign chief Carlos Bianco (the actual owner of the Clio) and his press officer Jesica Rey. He was duly demonized 24/7 by the whole mainstream media apparatus.
What Kicillof was selling was the absolute antithesis of Cambridge Analytica and Duran Barba ā the Ecuadorian guru, junkie of big data, social networks and focus groups, who actually invented Macri the politician in the first place.
Kicillof played the role of educator ā translating macroeconomic language into prices in the supermarket, and Central Bank decisions into credit card balance, all to the benefit of elaborating a workable government program. He will be the governor of no less than the economic and financial core of Argentina, much like Sao Paulo in Brazil.
Fernandez, for his part, is aiming even higher: an ambitious, new, national, social pact ā congregating unions, social movements, businessmen, the Church, popular associations, aimed atĀ implementing something close to the Zero Hunger program launched by Lula in 2003.
In his historic victory speech, Fernandez cried, āLula libre!ā (āFree Lulaā). The crowd went nuts. Fernandez said he would fight with all his powers for Lulaās freedom; he considers the former Brazilian president, fondly, as a Latin American pop hero. Both Lula and Evo Morales are extremely popular in Argentina.
Inevitably, in neighboring, top trading partner and Mercosur member Brazil, the two-bit neofascist posing as president, whoās oblivious to the rules of diplomacy, not to mention good manners, said he wonāt send any compliments to Fernandez. The same applies to the destroyed-from-the-inside Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Relations, once a proud institution, globally respected, now āledā by an irredeemable fool.
Former Brazilian Foreign Minister Celso Amorim, a great friend of Fernandez, fears that āhidden forces will sabotage him.ā Amorim suggests a serious dialogue with the Armed Forces, and an emphasis on developing a āhealthy nationalism.ā Compare it to Brazil, which has regressed to the status of semi-disguised military dictatorship, with the ominous possibility of a tropical Patriot Act being approved in Congress to essentially allow the ānationalistā military to criminalize any dissidence.
Hit the Ho Chi Minh Trail
Beyond Argentina, South America is fighting neoliberal barbarism in its crucial axis, Chile, while destroying the possibility of an irreversible neoliberal take over in Ecuador. Chile was the model adopted by Macri, and also by Bolsonaroās Finance Minister Paulo Guedes, a Chicago boy and Pinochetist fan. In a glaring instance of historical regression, the destruction of Brazil is being operated by a model now denounced in Chile as a dismal failure.
No surprises, considering that Brazil is Inequality Central. Irish economist Marc Morgan, a disciple of Thomas Piketty, in a 2018 research paper showed that the Brazilian 1 percent controls no less than 28 percent of national wealth, compared to 20 percent in the U.S. and 11 percent in France.
Which bring us, inevitably, to the immediate future of Lula ā still hanging, and hostage to a supremely flawed Supreme Court. Even conservative businessmen admit that the only possible cure for Brazilās political recovery ā not to mention rebuilding an economic model centered on wealth distribution ā is represented by āFree Lula.ā
When that happens we will finally have Brazil-Argentina leading a key Global South vector towards a post-neoliberal, multipolar world.
Across the West, usual suspects have been trying to impose the narrative that protests from Barcelona to Santiago have been inspired by Hong Kong. Thatās nonsense. Hong Kong is a complex, very specific situation, which I have analyzed, for instance, here, mixing anger against political non-representation with a ghostly image of China.
Each of the outbursts ā Catalonia, Lebanon, Iraq, the Gilets Jaunes/Yellow Vests for nearly a year now ā are due to very specific reasons. Lebanese and Iraqis are not specifically targeting neoliberalism, but they do target a crucial subplot: political corruption.
Protests are back in Iraq including Shiāite-majority areas. Iraqās 2005 constitution is similar to Lebanonās, passed in 1943: power is distributed according to religion, not politics. This is a French colonizer thing ā to keep Lebanon always dependent, and replicated by the Exceptionalists in Iraq. Indirectly, the protests are also against this dependency.
The Yellow Vests are targeting essentially President Emmanuel Macronās drive to implement neoliberalism in France ā thus the movementās demonization by hegemonic media. But itās in South America that protests go straight to the point: itās the economy, stupid. We are being strangled and weāre not gonna take it anymore. A great lessonĀ can be had by paying attention to Bolivian Vice-President Alvaro Garcia Linera.
As much as Slavoj Zizek and Chantal Mouffe may dream of Left Populism, there are no signs of progressive anger organizing itself across Europe, apart from the Yellow Vests. Portugal may be a very interesting case to watch ā but not necessarily progressive.
To digress about āpopulismā is nonsensical. Whatās happening is the Age of Anger exploding in serial geysers that simply cannot be contained by the same, old, tired, corrupt forms of political representation allowed by that fiction, Western liberal democracy.
Zizek spoke of a difficult āLeninistā task ahead ā of how to organize all these eruptions into a ālarge-scale coordinated movement.ā Itās not gonna happen anytime soon. But, eventually, it will. As it stands, pay attention to Linera, pay attention to Kiciloff, let a collection of insidious, rhizomatic, underground strategies intertwine. Long live the post-neoliberal Ho Chi Minh trail.
Pepe Escobar, a veteran Brazilian journalist, is the correspondent-at-large for Hong Kong-basedĀ Asia Times.Ā His latest book isĀ ā2030.āĀ Follow him onĀ Facebook.
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2 Comments
I have to question the writer’s attribution of ‘left populist’ hope to Zizek. By Zizek’s definition, populism is right-wing, in that it mobilises through scapegoating and marginalisation.
Greece’s Syriza and Spain’s Podemos speak of mass resistance to neoliberalism, despite Syriza’s betrayal.
And Corbyn’s Labour Party successes in the UK are also relevant, though the real test of the 10th December election will be key as to the UK’s future and depth of resistance. A far more important event than Brexit or not from the neoliberal EU.
Corbyn could represent a massive example for Europe of a break with and a roll back of neoliberal realities. Though already the BC has broken election representation rules by allowing a former Tory MP to rant extensively against Corbyn without check over the span of about 11 minutes. That’s public broadcasting – imagine what the dominant private media are getting up to? Focusing on the resignation of Tom Watson – the labour party vice leader, as evidence of labour disarray. The labour membership – the greatest party membership in Europe – overwhelmingly believe Christmas has come early in seeing the back of such a cretinous undermining neoliberal robot.
I think Mr. Escobar has something in his analysis and I sincerely hope he is right on the mark. Latin America is always the one with so much potential but usually unrealized. There is great meaning and controversy with recent decades of Lula in Brazil, Morales in Bolivia, Correa en Ecuador, Chavez in Venezuela, and yes, Castro in Cuba. For all the polarization and dissent, these leaders and their failings did improve the lives of the economically poor by the millions. I hope Escobar is right, it could be the light at the end of the tunnel.