The media and political establishments are diddling while the planet burns.
Are we really supposed to take their games seriously as humanity veers ever more dangerously off the environmental cliff?
In 2008,Ā James Hansen, then head of NASAās Goddard Institute for Space Studies, andĀ seven other leading climate scientists reported that we would see āpractically irreversible ice sheet and species lossā if the planetās average temperature rose above 1°Celsius (C) thanks to carbon dioxideāsĀ (CO2) presence in the atmosphere reaching 450 parts per million (ppm).
CO2 was at 385 ppm when this report came out.Ā Ā It was āalready in the dangerous zone,ā Hansen and his team reported. They warned that deadly, self-reinforcing āfeedbacksā could be triggered at this level.Ā Ā The dire prospects presaged included āice sheet disintegration, vegetation migration, and GHG [greenhouse gas] release from soils, tundra, or ocean sediments.ā
The only way to be assured of a livable climate, Hansen and his colleagues warned, would be to cut CO2 to at least 350 ppm.
Here we are eleven years later, well past HansenāsĀ 1°CĀ red line. Weāve gotten there at 410 ppm, the highest level of CO2 saturation in 800,000 years. The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)ās latest climate report reflects the consensus opinion of the worldās leading climate scientists.Ā Ā It tells us that we are headed to 1.5°C in a dozen years.Ā Ā Failure to dramatically slash Greenhouse Gassing between now and 2030 is certain to set off catastrophic developments for hundreds of millions of people, the IPCC warns.
The IPCC finds that we are headed at our current pace for 3-4°C by the end of century. That will mean a planet that is mostly unlivable.
And hereās the kicker: numerous serious climate scientists find that the IPCCās findings are insufficiently alarmist and excessively conservative. Thatās because the IPCC deletes and downplays research demonstrating the likelihood that irreversible climatological ātipping pointsā will arrive soon.Ā Ā Among many reports pointing in this direction is a recent NASA-funded studyĀ warning that the unexpectedly rapid thawing of permafrost could release massive volumes of CO2 and methane within āa few decades.ā
Conservative though it may be, the UN report is no whitewash. It calls for āunprecedented changes in all aspects of societyā to drop global CO2 emissions 45 percent below 2010 levels and 60 percent below 2015 levels by 2030.Ā Ā We need to hit zero by the mid-century point, the IPCC says. We cannot do that without radically and rapidly reducing our energy consumption.
In a remotely decent and intelligent society, public and political āelitesā and āleadersā and the dominant media and politics culture would be fervently focused first and foremost on this problem.Ā Ā The climate catastrophe (āclimate changeā is far too mild a term to capture the real crisis of capitalogenic global warming) isĀ the biggest issue of our any time.Ā As the environmental bloggerĀ Robert Scribbler wroteĀ Ā four years ago, āThere is no greater threat presented by another nation or set of circumstances that supersedes what we are now brazenly doing to our environment and the Earth System as a whole. And the rate at which we are causing the end level of damage to increase is practically unthinkable. Each further year of inaction pushes us deeper into that dangerous future.ā
If the global warming cataclysm ā already significantly underway in vast swaths of the planet ā isnāt averted and soon, then nothing else we care about is going to matter all that much.Ā Ā Weāll just be arguing about how to fairly slice up a badly overheated pie ā how to turn an overcooked world upside down (or right-side up) and how to properly manage a living Hell.
Youād hardly know this from the reigning U.S. media and politics culture, where the climate crisis and other critical environmental issues are pushed to the margins of public discussion. It is chilling (no ironic pun intended) to behold. With every passing fossil-fueled day, the specter of āman-madeā ecological calamity looms ever closer and larger.
But so what? The chattering and electoral classes and political gossip-peddlers divert us 24-7 with breathless ābreaking newsā reports on an endless stream of supposedly bigger stories: the absurd Orwellian charge that Ilhan Omar is an anti-Semite; Michael Cohenās alleged past pursuit of a presidential pardon; Paul Manafortās latest sentencing hearing; Ivanka Trumpās ridiculous national security clearance; Donald Trumpās insane nativist border wall; Roger Stoneās latest Tweets; the racist medical school yearbook photos of a pathetic white governor; television celebrity Jussie Smollettās criminal shenanigans; the latest horrible mass-shooting; the latest sex scandal; the latest real or rumored findings in the seemingly interminable investigation of Trumpās racist, sexist, and gangster-capitalist past and presidency.
Nearly two years ago, CNN co-producer John Bonfield was caught on tape telling a right-wing undercover journalist that CNN president Jeff Zucker said this to his executive producers after Trump pulled of the Paris Climate Accords: āGood job everybody covering the climate accords, but weāre done with that. Letās get back to Russia.ā Ā
Climate catastrophe? Television advertisers and hence news broadcasters are not real excited about that story. Itās not a big seller of cars, petroleum products, petroleum, mutual funds, investment advice, drugs, cruise packages, and insurance policies at NBC, CBS, ABC, FOX, and CNN. Even it did sell well, the climate story doesnāt line up well Ā with corporate advertisersā carbon-caked balance sheets.
By contrast, the ongoing Trump-Russia-Cohen-Manafort-WikiLeaks-Stone-Stormy et al. soap opera has been a ratings boon. And now we have the 2020 presidential candidate extravaganza ā the quadrennial electoral spectacle ā coming on to commercial line. Itās the worldās greatest reality show, with the imperial presidency as the ultimate Big Brother prize.
Iām not saying that all of what the āmainstreamā media and politicians talk about is silly or insignificant. It matters to defend Rep. Omar, to fight Trumpās wall, to silence and lock up fascists like Stone, to publicize and rollback gun violence, to determine once and for all the nature of Trumpās really strange (sorry āleftā Putin fans) relationship with the Russian oligarchy, to expose racism and sexism (and fascism) in the White House and the nation more broadly. Trumpās caging of children at the southern border is an atrocity that should be broadcast and denounced.Ā The same goes for the related clear and present danger Trump presents more broadly to democratic and even just republican and constitutional principles on numerous levels. The 2020 elections and their aftermath (including the distinct possibility that Trump will refuse the Electoral tally) will not be irrelevant to the fate of the nation and the Earth.
But nothing matters more now than the existential environmental crises we face, with the climate disaster in the lead.Ā Thereās no chance for social justice, democracy, equality, creativity, art, love and community ā or anything else (including profits) ā on a dead planet.
Yes, the āGreen New Dealā advocated by a cadre of progressive Democrats has made its way into media coverage and commentary in recent months. It appears that the GND ā which includes welcome calls for net zero U.S. carbon emissions by 2030 ā will be part of at least the primary election story thanks to Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Cortez-Ocasio, Jay Inslee, and other progressive or progressive-sounding Democrats. Ā But donāt expect it to receive all that much attention (much less positive attention) in the dominant corporate media-politics complex. Serious discussion of the climate issue and environmental questions more broadly doesnāt serve broadcastersā and advertisersā bottom line interests. There is little chance that the climate crisis will remotely approach the Trump investigations and the already emergent 2020 presidential horse-race when it comes to garnering real media attention.
The reigning political and media āeliteā is happy to keep capitalogenic global warming on the public margins until long past the last ecological tipping points are passed. They can be counted on them to fiddle and diddle through the speciesā final, fossil-fueled flame-out. It is an existential necessity to create a new culture, media, and politics with the elementary natural and social intelligence required to properly prioritize the most pressing problems of our time.
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2 Comments
Seldom mentioned is the role of exponential population growth, at 7.4 billion now and climbing. 1/2 a billion new mouths to feed, heat, cool, house, clothe etc per decade. It is impossible (without a miracle new source of energy) to prevent climate change without addressing this.
Paul seems to always get it right!