Umthombo: FAIR
Amadoda amaninzi ayeluma izinja kuhlalutyo lwangaphambi nasemva konyulo. "I-Trump ilahlekelwa ngumhlaba kunye nabavoti abaMhlophe kodwa ifumana phakathi kwabantsundu kunye nabase-Hispanic baseMelika," 538 (10/19/20) ingxelo. "Ivoti yeTrump iyenyuka phakathi kwabaNtsundu kunye ne-Hispanics, ngaphandle koBulumko obuQhelekileyo," yatsho i NBC inqaku (11/2/20). "Maninzi amadoda aseLatino axhasa uMongameli uTrump kolu lonyulo," utshilo i-NPR (10/28/20), ngelixa a CNN intloko (11/4/20) uthe, "Ngakumbi abavoti beLatino baxhasa uTrump ngo-2020 kuno-2016."
Ngaba yiloo nto ngokwenene i-polls yokuphuma ebonise, nangona kunjalo? Uvoto oluqhutyelwe phambili kwimithombo yeendaba ngu-Edison Research uthe 2016 ukuba uHillary Clinton wabetha uDonald Trump phakathi kwabavoti baseLatino ngamanqaku angama-36 (65% vs. 29%), ngelixa 2020, iivoti eziphumayo zathi i-Biden iphumelele abo bavoti ngamanqaku angama-34 (66% ukuya kwi-32%). Leyo yinguqu engaphantsi kune-seismic ukujikeleza iqhekeza lentsingiselo.
Ivoti yabaNtsundu yayinentshukumo ethe kratya, ukusuka kumda onamanqaku angama-80 kwiDemocrat ngo-2016 ukuya kumanqaku angama-75 ngo-2020, kodwa akukho mbonakaliso idanisayo yayingeyonto anokuziqhayisa ngayo uTrump. Eyona nto iphambili, efihliweyo ngala mabali e-demographic gee-whiz, kukuba uTrump wayenenzuzo ye-15 phakathi kwabamhlophe kunye ne-46-point deficit kunye nabantu bemibala.
Omnye umxholo wohlalutyo lwephulo yayisisibheno sikaTrump ebesicinga ukuba siyaphela phakathi kwabantu abadala: CNN (10/6/20) ubhale malunga "Njani Ukulahleka kukaTrump phakathi kwaBantu abadala ngenqanaba lembali." "I-Trump ilahlekelwa ngabantu abadala. Nasi isizathu,โ Politico (10/15/20) enikelwe. "Iindlela zikaTrump phakathi kwabadala, iQela eliPhambili kwiindawo ezininzi zokulwa," i Wall Street Journal (10/18/20) ingxelo.
Kwakhona, ayisiyiyo le nto iboniswa luvoto lokuphuma. Abavoti abangaphezulu kweminyaka engama-65 baselelona qela libalaseleyo likaTrump, limnika i-51% yevoti yabo, ipesenti ezi-2 kuphela zamanqaku angaphantsi kowaphumelela ngo-2016. amanqaku. Kodwa olona tshintsho lukhulu lwaluphakathi kwabavoti abangaphantsi kweminyaka engama-8, abathi banika uClinton ukukhokela ngamanqaku ali-3 kunye noBiden ngamanqaku angama-30-ukwanda kwenkxaso yolutsha engazange iphawulwe ngamajelo eendaba.FAIR.org, 11/3/20).
Ukuvota okuphumayo kuphinde kwanzima i-trope ethandwayo yokugubungela iphulo: "isiseko sabasebenzi abamhlophe" sikaTrump. Kuyinyani ukuba uTrump wenza iipesenti ezili-15 ezingcono phakathi kwabavoti abamhlophe ngaphandle kweedigri zekholeji kunabo-kodwa kuthekani ukuba iklasi ayibandakanyi imfundo kuphela, kodwa imali? Phantse kwisithathu-esine sabavoti amakhaya abo enza imali engaphantsi kwe-100,000 yeedola ngonyaka, uTrump uhamba kakubi: iBiden ibonise ukukhokela ngamanqaku ali-15 (57%/42%) phakathi kwabo benza ngaphantsi kweedola ezingama-50,000, kwaye yayinamanqaku ali-13 ngaphambili (56). %/43%) kunye ne-$50,0ooโ$99,999 yesibiyeli. Kuphela phakathi kwekota yezityebi apho uTrump wayekhokele, ephumelela i-$ 100,000 + amakhaya angama-54% ukuya kuma-43%.
Abavoti abanemali ethe kratya badla ngokuvotela iRiphablikhi: Kukho ibali lokuluma inja ongeva kakhulu ngalo.
UJim Naureckas ngumhleli we-FAIR.org, kwaye uhlele upapasho loshicilelo lwe-FAIR Yongezelelweyo! ukususela ngo-1990. Ungumbhali-mbhali weNdlela yezinto ezingezizo: Ulawulo lukaRush Limbaugh lwempazamo, kunye nomhleli we-FAIR Reader. Waye yintatheli ephandayo Ngale maxesha kunye nomhleli olawulayo we Ingxelo yaseWashington kwiHemisphere. Uzalelwe eLibertyville, e-Illinois, unesidanga se-policy sci eStanford. Ukusukela ngo-1997 uye watshata noJanine Jackson, umlawuli wenkqubo yeFAIR.
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