Kunobva: Dispatches kubva kuEdge
Mutungamiri weTurkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, kubhejera kwazvino muhondo yevagari vemuSyria kunoratidzika kunge kwauya nemeso enyoka. Panzvimbo yekumisa kukomba kwehurumende yeDhamasiko dunhu rekupedzisira rehupanduki, Idlib, Turkey yadzokera shure, uye rwendo rweAnkara rweSyria rwuri kuwedzera kuramba mudzimba kumutongi ane simba.
Dambudziko rakatanga musi wa25 Kukadzi, apo vapanduki vanopikisa hurumende, vachitsigirwa pachena nemauto eTurkey, pfuti, uye zvombo, vakarwisa Mauto eSyria padhorobha reSaraqeb, panosangana Migwagwa mikuru 4 ne5 inobatanidza Aleppo neDhamasiko neMediterranean. . Zuva rimwe chetero ndege dzehondo dzeRussia muSouthern Idlib dzakapfurwa neMANPADS (man portable air-defense systems), zvombo zvekurwisa ndege kubva kumauto eTurkey. Nzvimbo yemhepo yeRussia paKhmeimim yakarwiswawo neMANPADS uye ma drones eTurkey ane zvombo.
Zvakazoitika zvakatevera zvichiri murima. Sekureva kweAnkara, mbiru yemauto eTurkey ari munzira yekuunza zvinhu kune vacherechedzi veTurkey muIdlib vakarwiswa nendege dzehondo dzeSyria nepfuti, vakauraya mauto makumi matatu nemana uye vakakuvadza vanopfuura makumi manomwe.
Asi maererano Al Monitor, chinyorwa chinovimbika pamhepo, koramu yacho yaive mauto emasoja mazana mana, uye hadzisi ndege dzehondo dzeSyria dzakakuvadza, asi maRussia Su-400s akatakura KAB-34Ls, bunker inoputika laser inotungamirwa mabhomba ne1500. lb misoro. Varwi veSyria veSu-2400 vaibatanidzwa, asi sezviri pachena kungovhiringidza mauto kuti avhare muzvivakwa zvakati wandei. Ipapo maSu-22 akapinda mukati ndokuunza zvivakwa pasi pevaTurkey.
VaRussia ramba ndege dzavo dzaibatanidzwa, uye vokuTurkey mhosva zvose pamusoro paDhamasiko, asi kana zvasvika kuSiria, chirevo chekare chokuti chokwadi ndiyo yekutanga kukuvadzwa kwehondo ichokwadi zvikuru.
Erdogan pakutanga akabvongodzwa uye kutyisidzira kuti achaita kurwisa Idlib-iyo, chero zvakadaro, yakanga yatoitika-asi mushure mekunyarara, Rear Adm. Oleg Zhuravlev akati Russia "haigone kuvimbisa kuchengetedzwa kwendege dzeTurkey ndege pamusoro peSyria."
Mutungamiri weTurkey ane musoro wakaoma, asi haasi benzi. Mauto, nhumbi dzokurwa uye pfuti dzisina mhepo yekuvharisa anenge akagara madhadha. Saka vaTurkey vakadzokera shure, vaSyria vakatamira, uye zvino maRussia mapurisa echiuto vari kugara muSaraqeb. Russia yakatumirawo mafrigate maviri echikepe ane zvombo zvechikepe kubva kumhenderekedzo yeSyria.
Asi kuna Erdogan, kumberi kwemba kuri kupisa.
Kunyangwe dambudziko risati raitika, Republican People's Party (CHP) yanga ichida kuti Erdogan apfuudze paramende nezvemamiriro ezvinhu muIdlib, asi Mutungamiriri weJustice and Development Party (AKP) akavhota pasi chikumbiro ichi. Bato rekurudyi, renyika Yakanaka Bato - mubatsiri weCHP - akaita zvichemo zvakafanana, izvo zvakaiswawo parutivi.
Mapato ose anopikisa akadana nhaurirano dzakananga pamwe nehurumende yeAssad.
Chinonetsekana ndechekuti Turkey iri kutatarika yakananga kuhondo neSyria pasina chinopihwa neParamende. Musi waFebruary 12, Erdogan akasangana nevatevedzeri veAKP uye akavaudza kuti kana mauto eTurkey akatamburazve-panguva iyo nhamba yevakafa yaiva 14 vakafa, 45 vakakuvadzwa-kuti Turkey "yaizorova chero kupi zvako" muSiriya. Kuvashori kwainzwika sokutyisidzira kuzivisa hondo.
Engin Altay, mutevedzeri wasachigaro weCHP, akati "Mutungamiriri wenyika anofanirwa kuudza paramende, Idlib haisi nyaya yemukati meAKP." Altay akapikisawo chitsidzo chaErdogan chekuparadzanisa Turkey kubva kune vapanduki vanonyanyisa, saHayat Tahrir al-Sham, anobatana neal-Qaeda. "Zvinoita here izvi?" akabvunza, "Hapana nzira yekusiyanisa izvi kubva kune mumwe nemumwe."
Turkey yakaita chibvumirano neRussia muna 2018 kuti ibvumidze kumisa nzvimbo dzekutarisa muIdlib kana ikavimbisa kusatsigira vanonyanyisa vakaita saTahrir al-Sham, asi Ankara yakafambisa kupinda kwemapoka akadaro muSyria kubva pakutanga kwehondo, ichipa. mahara uye nekuvapa huwandu hukuru hwefetereza yemabhomba. Chero zvazvingava, vanyanyisi vakabvisa chero ainzi mapoka evanopikisa “ane mwero” makore apfuura.
"Turkey yakati yaizoparadzanisa zvinhu zvine mwero kubva kune vanopikisa," anodaro Ahmet Kamil Erozan weBato Rakanaka, "asi hazvina kuita izvozvo."
Mumiriri weKurdish-anofambira mberi muPeople's Democratic Party (HDP) Necdet Ipekyuz akapomera "Idlib rave dendere remajihadists ese. Yakashanduka kuita dambudziko kuTurkey nenyika. Uye ndiani ari kudzivirira ma jihadists aya? Ndiani ari kuvachengetedza?
Erdogan akasunga vazhinji venhengo dzeHDP dzeparamende uye vagadzwa veAKP vakatsiva mameya eguta reParty. Makumi ezviuru zvevanhu akaiswa mujeri, uye makumi ezviuru akadzingwa mabasa. Nhepfenyuro dzakanyanya kunyarara kuburikidza nekudzvinyirirwa chaiko - Turkey yakasunga vatori venhau vakawanda kupfuura chero nyika ipi neipi pasirese - kana kuti varidzi vevanamuzvinabhizinesi vepro-Erdogan.
Asi mabhegi emuviri ari kutanga kudzoka kumba kubva kuhondo inoratidzika kune vazhinji veTurks kunge quagmire. Hondo inodhura panguva yekunetseka kwakanyanya kwehupfumi kuhupfumi hweTurkey. Urovha hwakaoma musoro, uye lira inoramba ichiderera mukukosha. Sarudzo dzinoratidza kuti ruzhinji rwevanhu vekuTurkey — makumi mashanu nenomwe muzana — vane hanya nehupfumi kwete nehugandanga. Nepo maTurkey akatenderedza varwi, pamberi pechiitiko chichangobva kuitika vanopfuura hafu yevagari vakapokana chero kuwedzera kwehondo.
Uye Turkey inoratidzika kuva yakasarudzika. Erdogan akadana musangano wechimbichimbi weNATO musi waKukadzi 28, asi akawana zvishoma kupfuura “tsika” rutsigiro. NATO haidi kuita neSyria uye zvirokwazvo haidi kunetsana neRussia, kunyanya nekuti vazhinji venhengo dzemubatanidzwa havana kugadzikana nekupindira kweTurkey muSyria. Chero zvazvingava, Turkey haisi kurwiswa. Varwi vayo chete, avo vari kutora nzvimbo dzeSyria vachityora mutemo wepasi rose, ndivo vari panjodzi.
MaAmerican akarambidzawo kugadzira a hapana-nhunzi nzvimbo pamusoro peIdlib.
Erdogan haasi kungomanikidzwa nevanopikisa, asi kubva kuNationalist Movement Party (MHP) mukati memubatanidzwa wake wekutonga. Iyo MHP, kana iyo "Grey Wolves," yagara ichimiririra yakanyanyisa kodzero yeTurkey. "Nyika yeTurkey inofanira kupinda muDhamasiko pamwe chete neuto reTurkey," anodaro Devlet Bahceli, mutungamiri weMHP.
Erdogan haana chinangwa chekufora kuguta guru reSyria, kunyangwe akakwanisa kuibvisa. Mutungamiri anoda kuti Turkey ive mutambi wedunhu uye inogara zvikamu zveSyria inochengeta Ankara mubhodhi. Asi iyo nzira yekufunga ikozvino yakakombwa.
Vanobatana neTurkey muhondo yevagari veSyria havashande kunze kwekunge vatungamirwa uye vachitsigirwa neuto reTurkey. Asi pasina chivharo chemhepo, uto reTurkey rakanyanya kushomeka mune zvarinogona kuita, uye maRussia ari kurasikirwa nemoyo murefu. Moscow ingada kuti hondo yeSyria ipere uye kuunza imwe imba yayo yemauto, uye Erdogan ari kuita kuti zviome.
Moscow inogona kuoma zvakare, sezvo Turkey ingakurumidza kuziva. Nyika mbiri idzi dzakasungirirwa padhuze nesimba, uye, nezvirango zvinovharira Iranian mafuta negasi, Ankara iri kuramba ichitsamira pamasimba eRussia. Russia ichangovaka pombi itsva yeTurkStream gasi mhiri kweBlack Sea uye iri kuvaka gwenya remagetsi enyukireya kuTurkey. Erdogan anogona chete kuenda kure mukutsausa Russia.
Stymied muSyria uye kumanikidzwa kumba, sarudzo dzaErdogan dziri kuwedzera kushomeka. Anogona kuedza kuwedzera kubatanidzwa kweTurkey muSyria, asi njodzi dzeiyo dzakakwirira. Akasunungura vapoteri kuEurope, asi havasi vazhinji vari kuenda, uye Europe iri kuvavharira nehutsinye. Anogona kuenda kunodaidza sarudzo dzekutanga rutsigiro rwake rwepamba rusati rwaparara, asi anogona kungorasikirwa nesarudzo idzi, kunyanya sezvo AKP yapatsanuka kuita mapato maviri. A nguva ichangopfuura vakawana kuti makumi mashanu muzana evaTurkey vanoti havasi kuzovhotera Erdogan.
Kana kuti angadzokera kumitemo yake inobudirira yemakore gumi apfuura yoku“sava nezvinetso nevavakidzani.”
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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1 komenda
Wadiwa Dr. Hallinin:Ndinokutendai nebasa renyu guru!
Ndiri kutanga kudzidza kuMiddle East. Shamwari mune yangu Veterans For Peace chitsauko akandikurudzira kuti ndiverenge Tim Anderson '"Iyo Yakasviba Hondo Yakanangana neSyria," pro-Assad. Unogona here kukurudzira kufambira mberi, anti-Western Imperialist link?,
Ndatenda!
Peter Straus
Oakland, CA