Angangoita makumi maviri emakore mushure mekunge US yatanga kurwisa kwakaipisisa muIraq, hutongi hweBiden hwave kuda kurara mune imwezve hondo huru yezvombo muMiddle East. Svondo rapfuura, Mumiriri weUS kuIsrael Thomas Nides zvakaratidza kutsigira chirongwa chekuti Israel irwise zvivakwa zvenyukireya zveIran nerutsigiro rweUS. "Israel inokwanisa uye inofanirwa kuita chero yavanoda kubata ne[Iran], uye isu tine musana," akadaro pamusangano weMusangano weVatungamiriri veMasangano makuru eAmerican Jewish.
Mashoko aNides anouya mushure menguva pfupi yapfuura zvibooreso zvechiuto zvepamusoro pakati peIsrael neUnited States chinangwa chekuratidzira kugona kurova Iranian tarisiro, pamwe neazvino zviito zvekuparadza uye kuuraya mukati meIran. zvinotendwa kuti zvakaitwa nenyika mbiri.
Hazvina kujeka kuti Nides aitaura akazvimiririra here kana kutsanangura shanduko yepamutemo muUS, kunyange hazvo hutongi hweBiden husina kufuratira zvakataurwa. Mumusangano wevatori venhau, Secretary of State Antony Blinken akataura kuti zvakataurwa yakaratidza kutsigirwa kweUS kunoenderana yekuchengetedzwa kweIsrael. IUS yakaramba ichitsigira mitemo yeIsrael iri kuwedzera hawkish Iran, kusanganisira yayo โoctopus dzidzisoโOf inorova mukati meIran pamwe nekunangwa kweIran mudunhu rese.
Zvichakadaro, pakutanga kutsvuka, iyo US haina zvishoma yekurasikirwa, kutaura zvine diplomatically: The Iran nuclear deal afa, kutenda muchikamu chikuru kune iyo Biden manejimendi kuzeza kudzorera chibvumirano zvakare.
Pakunyatsoongorora, zvakadaro, kuwedzera kweIsrael kunoreva kuti US ikozvino yakatarisana netarisiro isingafadzi yedambudziko guru riri kuitika kuMiddle East panguva chaiyo iyo bandwidth yatove yakatetepa nekuda kwehondo huru muEurope uye hukama hwayo huri kuderera. neChina.
"Izvozvi zvanyatsojeka kuti danho rekusiya JCPOA raive kukanganisa kwakakura, nekuti yakabvumira Iran kuti itangezve chirongwa chayo chenyukireya uye kumutsa zvakare mubvunzo wekuti US, Israel, kana chero ani zvake angaite nezvazvo." Izvi ndizvo chaizvo zvakanyeverwa nevanhu vakawanda, uye ndizvo chaizvo zvakaitika,โ akadaro Stephen Walt, purofesa wekudyidzana nedzimwe nyika paHarvard Kennedy School, achitaura nezvechibvumirano chenyukireya nemavara ekutanga ezita racho rekare, Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. โChimwe zvikonzero zvekuti mude kuedza kuita nhaurirano dzekugadzirisa nyaya dzinenge dzichinetsa ndechekuti panogara paine zvitsva zvinouya. Zvino, nepo manejimendi aine maoko akazara muEurope nekumwewo, zvinogoneka kuti vachave nerimwe dambudziko guru rekutarisana naro kuMiddle East. "
Chibvumirano chenyukireya chaive nechinangwa chekudzivirira kunetsana kweMiddle East iko zvino kuoneka pakatarisana. Yakasainwa neMutungamiriri wenyika, VaBarack Obama, muna 2015, chibvumirano ichi chakatengesa zviganho zvakasimba pachirongwa chenyukireya cheIran vachichinjana nekubatanidzwazve muhupfumi hwenyika.
Mutungamiri wenyika, VaDonald Trump, pavakatyora chibvumirano ichi, nenzira inoratidzika seyakanaka kuna Obama, hurongwa uhwu hwakabuda nepahwindo - kwete kungobvisa miganho pachirongwa chenyukireya cheIran, asiwo nekupa simba mune zvematongerwo enyika vakaomesesa mukati meIran avo vaive varamba kutaurirana. nzvimbo yekutanga uye nekuvabatsira kukunda musarudzo dzemutungamiri wenyika dzeIran muna 2021.
"Nemaonero eIran, danho raTrump rekusiya JCPOA rakaita kuti zvitaridzike senge vanhu vari mukati meIran vakangonyengedzwa - vakaendeswa kune vanochenesa nemaAmerican. Vakaita zvese zvatakavakumbira kuti vaite, vakatevedzera, tikabva tasiyana nazvo,โ akadaro Walt. "Izvo zvakabvumira vanoomesera kuti vauye vachiti isu hatifanire kutaura neWashington nekuti havana kuvimbika."
Nechibvumirano cheIran chakavigwa, hapana tarisiro yechokwadi yenhaurirano nehurumende iri kuramba ichidzvinyirira uye inodzvinyirira mukati meIran.
KUKANGANANA KWEUS neIran, munzira dzakawanda, chigadzirwa cheIran kukakavara neIsrael - chisungo icho chaisambove chikamu chehurukuro dzekutanga dzakatenderedza chibvumirano chenyukireya. Nhasi, nyika dzose dziri mbiri dzeMiddle East dzinozviwana dzimene dziri mumugariro wenhamo. Iran iri kunetsekana nekuratidzira kwakawanda, kusagadzikana kweupfumi, uye kudzvinyirirwa kwedzimba. Israel iri kusangana nekusagadzikana kwakanyanya kwevanhu pamusoro pehurongwa hweMutungamiri Benjamin Netanyahu hwekuda kugadzirisa hutongi hweIsrael, pamwe nedanho rekugadzirisa hutongi hwehudzvanyiriri uye kutonga kwemauto pamusoro pemamiriyoni ePalestine anogara kuWest Bank.
Hazvishamisi kuti hurumende dzitsause hasha dzevagari vemo nekudzitungamira kune mhandu yekune dzimwe nyika - chimwe chinhu chingabatsirwa nehurumende dzeIran neIsrael.
Zvakadaro veruzhinji vemuUS vangave vasingazvide, kunetsana pakati peIsrael neIran kwaizokwevera mauto eUS mugakava, sekucherechedzwa kwazvinoitwa naNides. Kure nekuchengetedza Netanyahu - semafambisirwo apfuura, kusanganisira maRepublicans, dzimwe nguva vaiita - hutongi hweBiden hunoratidzika kunge huri kupa mvumo yakanyarara yematanho angangotungamira kuhondo.
"Zvatiri kuona iko zvino hutungamiriri hweBiden huri kurerukirwa nekutyisidzirwa neIsrael kuti vaizofanira kubhadhara," akadaro Gary Sick, nyanzvi yeIran kuColumbia University's Middle East Institute. "Israel haigone kurova zvine mutsindo chirongwa chenyukireya cheIran ivo pachavo - vanoziva kuti havagone, uye tinoziva kuti havagone. Taifanira kubatanidzwa. "
Nekuratidzira kunopesana nehurumende mukati meIran kuri kuitika, vaongorori ve hawkish muUnited States nguva pfupi yadarika vakatanga kupopota kuti vanhu veIran vangasvetukira pamukana wekupidigura hurumende yakawedzera kurasikirwa nemvumo. Mafungiro akafanana akakurudzira Iraq yaSaddam Hussein kuti ipinde muIran muma1980, nekurudziro yepasi rose. Panguva iyoyo, kwakanga kune chitendero chakapararira chokuti chimurenga cha1979 chakanga chapinza Iran munyonganyonga uye kuti vanhu vazhinji vokuIran vaizofara kutora mukana iwoyo kupidigura vatungamiriri vavo vatsva voubati ushe hwaMwari. Pasinei nekufanotaura uku, hurumende yakaramba iine simba.
"Kurwisa kunofanirwa kunge kuri kupidigura hurumende yeIran kunogona kusimbisa chinzvimbo chavo nekuvabatsira kuti varambe vari pachigaro," akadaro Sick. โTinogona kuva nechivimbo chakati kuti ndizvo zvaizoitika. Vanhu vangasada mutungamiriri mukuru nehurumende yake, asi apo shamwari dzavo dzinenge dzichibhombwa, vanogona kuita nenzira yakasiyana zvikuru.โ
Kunetsana pakati peIran neIsrael kunogona kuve nemimwe mari yezvematongerwo enyika. United States parizvino iri kushandisa simba rese rezvematongerwo enyika yainokwanisa kuchengetedza mubatanidzwa wekuparadzanisa uye kutarisana neRussia pamusoro pehondo yayo muUkraine, kusanganisira nekubvisa mukana weRussia kumisika yemafuta negasi. Pashure pegore rose rehondo, kuedza uku vatoratidza kuomerwa zvakanyanya. Kana iyo US ikaona ichidhonzwa nevatengi vayo nyika muhondo nyowani kuMiddle East, hazvigone kuhwina moyo yakawanda nepfungwa pasirese, ndoda kumba.
"Pfungwa yehondo itsva muMiddle East haina mukurumbira chero kupi zvako," akadaro Murwere. "Kana Israeri ikaita mhirizhonga uye United States ikapinda, vanhu vazhinji vekuAmerica vachange vachibvunza kuti sei tiri kupindira mune imwe hondo huru yatinogona kutotaura kuti haisiriyo pfungwa yakanaka."
"Ini handione iyi seimwe Ukraine uko munhu wese anoungana kudivi reWest," akawedzera. "Zvaizoonekwa seimwe hondo yesarudzo muMiddle East."
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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