Kwakabva: Foreign Policy in Focus
Pamberi pemba, Joe Biden ari kutamba nemaitiro ekushandura akatenderedza simba, nharaunda, uye zvivakwa. Haisi shanduko, asi inotyisa zvishoma pane izvo zvakapihwa naBarack Obama mune iyo pre-Trump, pre-denda nguva.
Kana zvasvika kune yekunze mutemo, zvakadaro, hutongi hweBiden hwave husiri pedyo neshanduko. Mutsara wakashandiswa naJoe Biden kazhinji ndewekuti: America yadzoka. Manzwiro aya anobata zvimwe zvehukama hwaBiden nenharaunda dzepasirese, sekugadzirisa hukama neWorld Health Organisation uye kujoinha zvibvumirano zveParis mamiriro ekunze. Nenzira idzi, hutongi hwakadzosa America pachimiro chaivepo VaTrump vasati vaburitswa pasi rose.
Asi pane dzimwe nyaya dzakanyanya kukosha — China, Iran, Cuba, North Korea — Biden haina kukwanisa kudzoreredza kunyange chimiro chakapfuura. Maitiro ake ekushandisa mari muchiuto uye nhangemutange yezvombo inosarudzwa hawkish. Mharidzo yake yekubvakacha, sezvakaratidzirwa neMutevedzeri weMutungamiriri Kamala Harris pakushanya kuGuatemala kutanga kwemwedzi uno, zvinonyatso dzima zvakanyorwa paStatue of Liberty na. kuudza vanokwanisa kuyambuka bhodha mudunhu kuti ndigare pamba.
Zvakanaka, mutemo wekunze haisi nyaya inokunda mubhokisi rekuvhota, uye Biden zvechokwadi ane zvakawanda pane yake ajenda. Asi kunyangwe iye ane mukurumbira akangwarira Obama akatora matanho eushingi naTehran neHavana.
Zvinogoneka kuti Biden ari kutarisa kuAmerica kutanga asati atendeukira kupasi rose. Zvinogoneka zvakare kuti haafarire kushandura mutemo wekunze weUS munzira ipi neipi yakakosha kunze kwekubvisa mauto eUS kubva kuAfghanistan. Ichokwadi, zvaifadza kuve nemutungamiri wenyika zvakare mushure meTrump. Asi "zvakajairika," kana zvasvika kune US mutemo wekunze, hazvina kunaka zvakakwana.
Kutarisana neChina
Kana hutongi hweBiden hwakanyanya kukoshesa hupfumi hwehupfumi, saka hutongi hwayo hwekune dzimwe nyika hune chekuita neChina.
Biden naXi vakangotaura kamwe chete - parunhare muna Kukadzi. Xi akatora chikamu muBiden's chaiyo yemamiriro ekunze confab muna Kubvumbi. Vanogona kuzosangana chiso nechiso rimwe gore rino, pamwe padyo nemusangano weG20 muRome muna Gumiguru. Pave nekutaura kwekubatana kukuru pakugadzirisa dambudziko remamiriro ekunze. Uye hapasati pave nekukakavadzana kwemauto muSouth China Sea kana kumwewo.
Asi neimwe nzira, Biden naXi havana kunyatsosimuka patsoka yekurudyi. Yakanga isiri-brainer kune hutsva hweBiden hutongi hwekusimudza mutero wenguva yaTrump pane zvigadzirwa zveChinese uye kudzikisira hondo yekutengeserana iyo isina kugadzikana vagadziri nevatengi kumativi ese ePacific. Chikwata cheBiden chiri kuita ongororo yeUS-China kutengeserana mutemo uchitarisa kuti Beijing yakazadzisa zvisungo zvayo pasi pe "chikamu chekutanga chekutengeserana" chakasainwa muna Ndira 2020 (kusvika parizvino, zvave rekodhi yakasanganiswa yeChina inosangana nezvimwe zvinangwa zveUS kunze kwenyika uye vamwe vakashaya).
Ongororo inodarika kuverenga bhinzi chete. Mukubvakacha kubva kune yakajairwa neoliberal kutengeserana hurukuro inobuda muWashington, US Trade Representative Katherine Tai. ataura, "Ndinoda kubvisa pfungwa iyi yekuti nzira chete yatinoita nayo chibvumirano chekutengeserana, kusimudzira kutengeserana kuri kuburikidza nechibvumirano chekutengeserana pachena." Tai anofarira kushanda maererano mutemo we "worker-centric trade policy" iyo inoongorora China panyaya dzekumanikidzwa kushanda, kodzero dzevashandi, uye zvakatipoteredza.
Imwe nzira ine nuanced yekutengeserana ndeyese kune yakanaka, hongu, uye Tai anofanira kurumbidzwa nekutyora kubvumirana kweWashington.
Asi zvakatorwa pamwe chete nemamwe mitemo yehutongi hweBiden, kuzeza kukwidza mutero pazvinhu zveChinese chikamu chenhau dzezvehupfumi munyika. Hutongi hweBiden hwakaenderera mberi nemaitiro aTrump ekusangobatanidza vanobatana mudunhu kuti ive neChina (iyo Quad, Blue Dot Network) asi kunyoresa nyika dzeEurope kuti dzipinde muboka. Murwendo rwake rwazvino kuEurope, Biden yakarongedza G7 kugadzira iyo Build Back Better World (B3W) chirongwa, chinotemerwa imwe nzira yeChina yeBelt uye Road hurongwa hwezvivakwa, uye vakamonyorora mamwe maoko kuti NATO isa pamberi peChina sechikamu chechinangwa chayo.
Kusimbisa kutsva kweNATO kuChina kunoratidza shanduko yePentagon mukutarisa. VaTrump vanogona kunge vakadeedzera nezwi ravo anti-China animus, asi hutongi hweBiden hwakatsunga kuvhara izvo. inodana iyo "say-do gap" nekuwedzera kugona kupfuura Navy kupikisa China mumhepo uye pamusoro.
Mafambiro eChina muHong Kong, Xinjiang, neSouth China Sea ari kunetsa zvikuru. Uye Beijing haisi kuita zvakaringana kusvibira Belt uye Road Initiative yayo. Asi hutongi hweBiden hunofanirwa kufunga zvine hunyanzvi nezve nzira yekukwidziridza zvishuwo zveChina zvemarudzi akawanda kuitira kugadzirisa matambudziko epasi rose. Kusawirirana kwekutengeserana uye kusawirirana pamusoro pemitemo yemukati inofanirwa kutarisirwa. Zvakadaro, manejimendi eBiden ane mukana wekuchimbidza uye wenhoroondo wekushanda neChina (uye nevamwe vese) kugadzirisa nharaunda yepasirese.
Kubatana neIran
Imwe isina-brainer yehutongi hweBiden yaive kumutsiridza chibvumirano chenyukireya cheIran icho Trump akaedza kuparadza. Ichokwadi, zvaive zvine hunyengeri kusunungura zvirango zvakatarisana neTehran uye kugadzirisa zvaidiwa neIran kuti muripo. Zvakanga zvisiri nyore kuvimbisa hutungamiriri hweIran nezvekutendeseka kwezvinangwa zveUS zvakapihwa kwete ruvengo rwekare rwaTrump asi ruvengo rwazvino rwemaRepublicans. Uye kwaivewo neIsrael, yaive ichiita zvese zvaive musimba rayo kudzikamisa diplomacy kusvika uye kusanganisira kuparadza zvivakwa zvenyukireya zveIran uye kuuraya masayendisiti eIran.
Zvipingamupinyi izvi zvisinei, timu yeBiden ingadai yakaita kuti basa riitwe dai rakanga ratanga kare uye rakanyanya kushanduka. Kusada kuzvivhurira kushoropodzwa kubva kune hawks kumba, zvisinei, manejimendi akapokana nezvekudzoka, nhanho-nhanho kudzokera kuchibvumirano. Kusiyana neizvi, Iran yakapokana zvine mufungo kuti United States, sezvo yakaedza kuputitsa chibvumirano, inofanira kunge iri yekutanga kukanganisa nekubvisa zvirango, chinzvimbo icho vamwe vanogadzira mitemo yeUS. vakatsigirawo.
Zvichakadaro, hutongi hweBiden huri kuenderera mberi nekunetsana nemauto akabatana neIran. Vhiki rino, manejimendi akatanga kurwisa zvivakwa zviri pamuganhu weIraq-Syria uko mauto aya anonzi akarwisa zvigaro zveUS muIraq. Mauto eUS muSyria akabva apinda rocket moto.
Nei kuchine vatengesi veUS muIraq neSyria? Hutongi hweBiden hauna kuzvipira here kupedza hondo dzisingaperi dzeAmerica? Kunyangwe hazvo mauto eUS akarongwa kubva kuAfghanistan munaGunyana uye Washington yakavimbisa kubvisa mauto muIraq zvakare, nhaurirano dzakatenderedza asi kugadzira timetable.
Kubvisa mauto zviuru zviviri nemazana mashanu eUS kubva kuIraq kwaizofadza hurumende muBaghdad, kubvisa kushatirisa muhukama hweUS-Iranian, uye kubvisa vashandi veUS kubva munjodzi.
Chii chisingafarirwe, Joe?
Kusaendera kupi neCuba neNorth Korea
Pakupera kwetemu yake yechipiri, Barack Obama akaronga hukama hwakashinga neCuba. Mushure mekusimudza zvirambidzo zvemari nekufamba, Obama akashanyira chitsuwa muna Kurume 2016 kusangana nemutungamiri weCuba Raul Castro. Kwaisava kuvhurwa kuzere. Washington yakachengetedza chibvumirano chekutengeserana uye yakaramba kuvhara hwaro hwayo husingafadzi muGuantanamo. Asi kwaiva kutanga.
VaDonald Trump vakaunza kupera nekukurumidza kwekutanga kutsva nekutemera zvakare zvirambidzo izvo zvakabviswa naObama.
Joe Biden akavimbisa kumutsa mutemo waObama. Kuchinja kwaTrump, iye akati semumiriri, "vakakuvadza vanhu veCuba uye hapana chavakaita kusimudzira demokrasi nekodzero dzevanhu." Uye zvakadaro, semutungamiri wenyika, hapana chaakaita kudzosera kudzoreredzwa kwaTrump.
Sezvo Karen de Young akanyora in The Washington Post, "Pasi pezvirambidzo zvaTrump, vasiri vekuCuba vekuAmerica vachiri kurambidzwa kutumira mari kuchitsuwa. Ngarava dzechikepe dzakarambidzwa kufamba kubva kuUnited States kuenda kuCuba, uye ndege dzakawanda dzakarongwa dzekutengesa dzeUS kuenda kumaguta eCuba dzakanyanya kumira. Miganho yakasimba inoramba iripo pane zvekutengeserana. "
Chikonzero chekusaita hutongi hutsva, kunze kwekunetsekana pamusoro pekodzero dzevanhu muCuba uye kutya kwayo kushorwa neRepublican muCongress, inowira mune zvematongerwo enyika. Robert Menendez, seneta weDemocratic kubva kuNew Jersey asina kumbobvira afarira nguva yaObama détente neCuba pakutanga, anomiririra chipingamupinyi chikuru muCongress. Uye maonero eruzhinji muFlorida pakati peCuba-America, ayo akange atsigira kuwirirana panguva yaObama, ave zvino. akazununguka zvine mutsindo mune rimwe divi, nekuda kwekudya kwakatsiga kweTrumpian demagoguery.
Pano, hutongi hweBiden hwaigona kuedza chimwe chinhu chitsva nekuvhara Guantanamo. Utungamiri hwatovepo kutanga kuedza chinyararire kuvhara nzvimbo yekuvharirwa pabhesi nekugadzirisa mamiriro evasungwa gumi nevaviri. Anofanirwa kuenderera mberi nekutangazve Guantanamo senzvimbo yeUS-Cuban tsvakiridzo yezvakatipoteredza, sesainzi Joe Roman naJames Kraska. vafunga.
North Korea, zvakadaro, ndiyo imwe nzvimbo pasi rose iyo Trump yakatsvaga kupidigura makumi emakore eruvengo rweUS. Kuedza kwake kune-on-one diplomacy nemutungamiri weNorth Korea Kim Jong Un hakuna chaakawana, asi zvinogona kunge zvakashanda sehwaro hwenhaurirano dzemangwana.
Biden akatevera script yeese maitirwo pamberi paTrump: ongororo mutemo, vimbisa chimwe chinhu chitsva, dzokera pakufunga kwakajairwa.
Utungamiri apedza kuongorora kwayo yeNorth Korea mutemo muna Kubvumbi. Biden rakarambwa matauriro eakamutangira seasina kururama. Uye akavimba neyakajairwa hombe-tsvimbo-uye-diki-karoti mutemo unodzokera kumashure kuma1990s. Kune rimwe divi, iye zvirango zvakawedzerwa kurwisana nenyika uye akachengetedza mauto akakomberedzwa. Kune rimwe divi, vatumwa vake vasvika kuPyongyang, nemumiriri akakosha weNorth Korea Sung Kim ndichiti mwedzi uno kuti United States yaizosangana nePyongyang "chero kupi zvako, chero nguva, pasina zvimiro."
"Pasina preconditions" zvakanaka. Asi zvakadiniko ne“nezvinokurudzirwa”?
Nekuda kwedenda reCCIDID-19, North Korea yakavharwa zvakanyanya kubva pasirese kupfuura zvakajairwa. Inobatikana nematambudziko ehupfumi ane chekuita nekuwedzera kwayo kuzviparadzanisa nevamwe. Muhurukuro yake yegore muna Ndira, Kim Jong Un akaita kubvuma kusina kujairika kuti chirongwa chehurumende chehupfumi chakakundikana kusvika pazvinangwa zvayo. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, iye ataura kuti nyika yake "yakagadzirira zvose nhaurirano uye kunetsana, kunyanya ... kunetsana."
Biden anofanirwa kutarisa pahafu yekutanga yemutongo waKim. Mutungamiriri weSouth Korea anofambira mberi, Moon Jae-in, ave kusvika kumagumo ekutonga kwake, anoda zvikuru kufambisira mberi kuyananisa peninsula. Panzvimbo pekuwedzera mauto ayo emunyika iri kure, Washington inogona kushanda neSeoul kuputsa kusawirirana kwazvino nerubatsiro rwevanhu. Kungave mishonga yekudzivirira kana chikafu kana kuvandudzwa kwezvivakwa, North Korea inoda rubatsiro izvozvi.
Kusarudzika Kwemauto
Zvichiri kutanga muBiden manejimendi. Rangarira: VaObama havana kuwana budiriro yavo huru yekune dzimwe nyika muIran neCuba kusvika gare gare mutemu yavo yechipiri. Biden pasina kupokana anoda kuunganidza mari yezvematongerwo enyika kutanga, nekugadzirisa hukama nevadyidzani uye kutora chikamu muforamu yepasirese padanho repasi rose uye nekuwana budiriro yehupfumi pamberi pemba.
Mamiriro ehutongi pamashandisirwo echiuto, zvisinei, anoratidza kuti Biden akachata kune yakajairwa kufunga.
United States yakagadzirira kumisa kupindira kwayo muAfghanistan uye kuderedza zvisungo zvayo kuMiddle East. Haibatanidzwi mukurwisana kupi nokupi kukuru kwehondo. Wese munhu ari kushamisika kuti manejimendi achabhadhara sei zvirongwa zvayo zvekuda zvezvivakwa.
Saka, nei Biden akakumbira bhajeti rakakura remauto? Chikumbiro chekutonga che2022 chePentagon imadhora mazana manomwe nemashanu emadhora, kuwedzera kwe10 bhiriyoni, pamwe nekuwedzera madhora mabhiriyoni makumi matatu nemasere ekushandisa mari ine chekuita nemauto kuDhipatimendi reMagetsi nemamwe masangano.
Chokwadi, manejimendi ari kutarisira kuwedzera mari isiri yemauto nechikamu chikuru muzana. Iri kuronga kubvisa "mhiri kwemakungwa mamiriro ekunze" mutsara chinhu chakabhadhara hondo muAfghanistan neIraq.
Asi kana pakambove nenguva yekudzikisa kushandiswa kwemauto eUS, ikozvino. Denda iri rakaratidza kusakosha zvachose kwematangi nevaparadzi mukudzivirira nyika yekwavo kubva mukutyisidzira kwakanyanya. Kudyidzana kukuru neChina, chibvumirano chenyukireya chakavandudzwa neIran, uye hukama neCuba neNorth Korea zvese zvinopa zvikonzero zvine simba kuti United States ideredze mari yekushandisa muchiuto.
Kushandisa siginecha yaJoe Biden, "Comon, man!"
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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