"Chaos," “kushungurudzika,""zvisingaite zvakanyanya," ingori mishoma yemisoro yenhau inoongorora mutemo wezvekune dzimwe nyika weMutungamiriri wenyika, VaDonald Trump, uye muchokwadi, kusagadzikana kungaita senge zano remazuva ano. Kutora bepanhau remangwanani kana kutarisa nhau dzenyika dzimwe nguva zvinonzwa zvakangofanana nekuvhura tswanda izere nemhungu dzinopfira neGabon Vipers.
Asi bhomba riri kubuda kuWhite House harina kugara richienderana nezvinoitwa nehutongi hwaTrump munyika chaiyo. Kutyisidzira kwekurasa mutemo we "one-China" uye kuvharira zvigadziko zveBeijing muSouth China Sea kwakadzoserwa kumashure. Chisungo chekupidigura chibvumirano chenyukireya cheIran chamiswa. Uye NATO's "obsolesce" yave morphed kuita chitsidzo chekutsigira. Kunzwisisa kunogara mukati sea New York Times Musoro wenyaya unoratidza kuti: "Kune Kune dzimwe nyika Kunorasikirwa Nekupinza Kwazvo Sezvo Trump Inochinja Kuhofisi"?
Usabheje pazviri.
Chekutanga, uhwu hutongi hunobudirira pamhirizhonga, inogara iri nzvimbo iri nyore kutonga kubva pane kurongeka. Zvarinotaura nokuita rimwe zuva zvingava, kana kuti zvingasava, zvarinotaura kana kuita rimwe. Uye nekuti kune akati wandei ezvematongerwo enyika matambudziko akakwira kusvika padanho, isu tese tinofanirwa kuziva nekukurumidza kana berserkers kana rationalists vari kuita zvinhu.
Iyo ine njodzi pane idzi iIran, iyo White House inoti "kutamba nemoto" uye yanga iri "isa chiziviso" yekutangisa chombo cheKhorramshahr chiri pakati nepakati cheballistic. Chombo chakafamba makiromita mazana matanhatu nemakumi matatu uye chakaputika mune chinoratidzika kunge chakakundikana kuedza motokari yekupinda zvakare. Izvo chaizvo zvinorehwa ne "chiziviso" hazvisati zvatsanangurwa, asi VaTrump vakatoisa zvirango kune zvavanotsanangura sekutyora kwe630 Joint Comprehensive Programme of Action-UN Security Council Resolution 2015- umo Iran yakabvuma kubvisa yakawanda yenyukireya yayo. chirongwa chesimba.
Chisarudzo cheUN muna 2010 chakataura, chokwadi, kuti Iran "haizoite basa rine chekuita nepfuti." Asi gadziriso iyi yakatsiviwa ne UNSCR 2231, iyo chete "inodaidza Iran kuti isaedze mapfuti," mazwi "anotadza kurambidza kuedzwa kwezvombo," sekureva kweaimbove muongorori wezvombo zveUN. Scott Ritter.
MaIrani anoti chirongwa chavo che ballistic missile chinodzivirira, uye nekupihwa mamiriro emauto avo emuchadenga asisashande, chingangove chokwadi.
Hutongi hwaTrump hunopomerawo Iran kuti "inotsigira hurumende yehugandanga," kupomera kusingafananidze chokwadi. Iran parizvino iri kurwisa Islamic State neAl-Qaida muSyria, Iraq, uye kuburikidza nevabatsiri vayo, Houthi, muYemen. Yakabatsirawo kurwisa al-Qaida muAfghanistan. Sezvakataurwa naRitter, "Iran ishamwari kupfuura muvengi," kunyanya ichienzaniswa neSaudi Arabia, "vane vagari vemo vazhinji vevakarwisa 9/11 uye vane basa rekunyora pasi uye nerutsigiro rwemari rwevaIslam vanonyanyisa pasi rose, kusanganisira. Islamic State uye al-Qaida. "
Mubvunzurudzo gore rapfuura, achitungamira White House Strategist Steve Bannon akafanotaura, "Tiri kupinda pachena, ndinofunga, hondo huru yekupfura muMiddle East zvakare." Sezvo US yakaparadza zvakanyanya vavengi vayo mudunhu-Iraq, Syria neLibya-angangove achireva Iran. Zviito zvekutanga zvehutongi vis-à-vis Tehran, zvechokwadi, zvinonetsa. Munyori wezveDziviriro weUS Jim Mattis nguva pfupi yadarika akafunga kukwira ngarava yeIran mumvura dzepasi rose kuti aitsvage zvombo zvinoenda kuHouthi kuYemen. Chiito chakadaro chingave kutyora kuri pachena kwemutemo wepasi rose uye zvinogona kunge zvakaguma nekupfura.
VaHouthi vanoita shanduko yeShiism, chikoro cheIslam chakanyanya muIran. Ivo vanowana imwe mari nezvombo kubva kuTehran, asi kunyangwe njere dzeUS dzinoti boka racho harisi pasi pekuraira kwaTehran.
White House yakashorawo kurwiswa kweHouthi pa Zvikepe zvehondo zveSaudi-pakutanga VaTrump Press Secretary Sean Spicer vakaidaidza kuti ngarava ye "American" - kunyangwe veSaudi nePersian Gulf vanobatana vari kubhomba Houthi neSaudi Navy - pamwe neUS Navy - iri kuvhara nyika. Sekureva kweUN, vanhu vanopfuura zviuru gumi nezvitanhatu vakafa muhondo yemakore matatu, zviuru gumi zvavo vanhuwo zvavo.
Zviripachena hutongi hwaTrump huri kufunga kutumira masoja eAmerica kuYemen, izvo zvaizoisa mauto eUS mukati mehondo inosanganisira maSaudis nevamwe vavo, Houthi, Iran, al-Qaeda, Islamic State, uye mapoka akasiyana-siyana ekumaodzanyemba kweYemen. .
Kuisa mauto eUS muYemen i "pfungwa ine njodzi," sekureva Jon Finer, mukuru wevashandi veaimbova Munyori weHurumende yeU.S. John Kerry. Asi hondo yeUS neIran ingave yakaipisisa kuMiddle East sekupinda kweIraq. Izvo zvingave zvakare zvisingagoneki kunze kwekunge iyo US yakashandisa zvombo zvenyukireya, uye pamwe kwete kunyangwe zvakadaro. Nekukanganisa kwayo kwese, demokrasi yeIran makore akareruka pamberi pevamwe vazhinji vanobatana neUS mudunhu uye maIrani aizotsigira zvakasimba kuseri kwehurumende mukuuya kwekunetsana.
Rimwe dambudziko rezvematongerwo enyika rekune dzimwe nyika nderekuvhurwa kwema missile neNorth Korea, kunyange kusvika pari zvino hutongi hwaTrump hwakarega Mutungamiriri weJapan, Shinzo Abe atakure bhora panyaya iyi. Musangano naTrump muFlorida, Abe akadaidza kutanga kwaKukadzi 12 “hazvigoneki zvachose.” Mazuva maviri apfuura VaTrump vakatsanangura kumisa kuvhurwa kweNorth Korea se "chakanyanya kukosha."
Iko kusawirirana neNorth Korea zvombo zvenyukireya uye chirongwa che missile chiri kufamba kwenguva refu, uye kutanga uku kwaisambotyisidzira. Iyo missile yaive chombo chepakati uye yakangofamba mamaira mazana matatu negumi isati yaputsika. MaNorth Koreas haasati atanga ICBM yakareba, kunyange zvazvo vachiramba vachityisidzira kuti mumwe ari mumabasa.
Maererano nehuwandu hwemashoko eWashington, Barak Obama akaudza VaTrump kuti North Korea yaityisa zvakanyanya kumauto eUS, kunyangwe maziviro aakaita izvi zvinokatyamadza. Zvinofungidzirwa kuti North Korea ine gumi nemaviri zvombo zvenyukireya zvine simba rinoputika reHiroshima neNagasaki mabhomba, anenge 20 kilotons. Avhareji yehondo yeUnited States inotakura simba rinoputika kubva pa100 kusvika ku475 kilotons, nemamwe anosvika 1.2 megatons. Ine zvombo zvenyukireya zvinopfuura zviuru zvina.
Kunyange maNorth Koreas achigovera rudo rwehutongi hwaTrump hwe hyperbole, nyika haina kumbobvira yaratidza kuda kuzviuraya. Kurwiswa kwakajairwa neUS, South Korea uye pamwe Japan kungave kutyisa uye kunogona kubata hondo yenyukireya, ichikuvadza zvakanyanya kune dzimwe nyika mudunhu. Chero kurwisa kwaizokwevera muChina.
Chinodiwa nemaNorth Korea kutaura nemumwe munhu, nzira isina kumboyedzwa nehurumende yaObama. Uye haina kufunga kuedza kutarisa nyika kubva pamaonero aPyongyang. "North Korea yakacherechedza zvakaitika kuIraq neLibya mushure mekunge varamba zvombo zvenyukireya," anodaro Norman Dombey, nyanzvi yezvombo zvenyukireya uye purofesa we theoretical physics paSussex University. "US yakatora matanho kune vese, uye vatungamiriri venyika mbiri vakaurayiwa pakati pemhirizhonga nemhirizhonga."
MaNorth Korean vanoziva kuti vane vavengi - veUS neSouth Korea vanoita mitambo yehondo yegore negore inotarisana nekupindira kwemauto munyika yavo - uye kwete shamwari dzakawanda. Beijing inoshivirira Pyongyang zvakanyanya nekuti inonetsekana nezve zvingazoitika kana hurumende yeNorth Korea ikadonha. Kwete chete yaizozadzwa nevapoteri, yaizove nemubatsiri weU.S. pamuganhu wayo.
Maonero aVaObama kuNorth Korea aive ekuitsaura, achishandisa zvirango kumisa nyika. Izvo hazvina kushanda, kunyangwe zvakaunza matambudziko anotyisa kuvanhu vekuNorth Korea. Chingashanda chirongwa chinodzokera kumashure ku2000 mumwedzi yekupedzisira yehutongi hwaClinton.
Urongwa uhu hwakakurudzira chibvumirano chisina hutsinye pakati peUS, Japan, South Korea neNorth Korea, uye kudzoreredzwa kwehukama hwekudyidzana. North Korea ingadai yakazivikanwa senyika yezvombo zvenyukireya, asi bvuma kurega chero mimwe miedzo uye kuzivisa zvese zvemissile kutanga. Mukudzoka, zvirango zvaizobviswa uye North Korea yaizowana rubatsiro rwehupfumi. Chirongwa chakafa apo hutongi hwaClinton hwakavhiringidzwa neMiddle East.
Kubva ipapo iyo US yakasimbirira kuti North Korea ipe zvombo zvayo zvenyukireya, asi izvo hazvisi kuzoitika - ona Iraq neLibya. Chero zvazvingava, kudiwa ndiko kukwirira kwehunyengeri. Apo U.S. yakasaina Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, yakabvuma Chitsauko VI izvo zvinoda “kurukurirano mukutenda kwakanaka” kugumisa “nhangemutange yezvombo zvenyukireya nokukurumidza uye kukubvisa zvombo zvenyukireya.”
Nyika dzese sere dzine zvombo zvenyukireya dzinoti America, Russia, China, France, Britain, India, Pakistan neIsrael hadzina kungotaura nyaya dzekubvisa zvombo zvadzo chete, dzose dziri mubishi rekuvandudza zvombo zvadzo. Iyo NPT haina kumbobvira yaitirwa kumanikidza nyukireya rusaruraganda, asi mukuita ndizvo zvakaitika.
Chibvumirano chisina chisimba chakakosha. Chisungo VI chinodaidzawo "kubvisa zvombo zvakazara uye zvakakwana," zvichiratidza kutya kunoitwa nenyika diki kuti nyika dzakaita seUS dzine masimba echinyakare zvekuti havadi nukes kuti vawane nzira. Nyika zhinji - China kunyanya - dzakakatyamadzwa nekukasira uye nekukasira kweUS kuparadza mauto eIraq.
Panguva yemushandirapamwe wemutungamiri wenyika, Trump akati "haazove nedambudziko" kutaura nemutungamiri weNorth Korea Kim Jung Un. Chitsidzo ichocho hachina kudzokororwa, zvakadaro, uye kune kutaura kunotyisa muWashington nezve "yekutanga kurohwa" kuNorth Korea, izvo zvingangopisa kuchamhembe kweAsia.
Kune akati wandei mamwe ane njodzi mafirita kunze uko kunze kweIran neNorth Korea.
* Hondo yevagari vekuSyria iri kuramba ichipisa uye VaTrump vari kutaura nezvekutumira mauto epasi eUS, kunyangwe kuti ndiani wavaizorwa zvisina kujeka. Patrick Cockburn we sununguka yakambodana Syria mutambo wechesi ine vatambi vapfumbamwe uye pasina mitemo. Ndiyo nzvimbo iyo vanhu vekuAmerica vanoda kutumira mauto mairi?
*Mukuru wemauto eUS muAfghanistan - ikozvino hondo refu kwazvo muAmerica - ari kukumbira mamwe mauto.
* Hondo yekuMabvazuva kweUkraine inopfungaira, uye neNATO ichiswededza pedyo nepedyo nemuganho weRussia, panogara paine mukana wekutonga zvisizvo. Zvakafanana zvinoenda kuAsia, uko Bannon akafanotaura "zvechokwadi" iyo US "ichaenda kuhondo muSouth China Sea mumakore mashanu kusvika gumi."
Akawanda sei eWhite House tweets ari kutsamwisa uye grandiose rhetoric haina kujeka. Mutungamiri wenyika nevanhu vakamupoteredza inda dzemarenzi dzinogara dzichida nzvimbo. Ivo, zvisinei, vakabudirira mukuvhundutsa vanhu vazhinji. Sekutaura kwevakuru, “Vakomana vanokanda matombo kumatatya mukunakidzwa. Matatya anoanzvenga nomwoyo wose.”
Kunze kwenyika chaiyo, "kunakidzwa" kunogona kukurumidza kushandura munjodzi, uye mamwe matatya anonyatsokwanisa kukanda mashoma ematombo avo.
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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