Kusiya zifukwa zomwe zidapangidwa, United States idalanda Iraq mu 2003 kuti ikhazikitsenso mphamvu za US ku Middle East ndikuchepetsa mphamvu ya Iran. Sizinali uchigawenga kapena keke yachikasu kapena ngakhale kuphwanya ufulu wa anthu kwa Saddam Hussein komwe kudapangitsa kuti pakhale vuto lalikulu kwambiri lazandale zaku US.
Zinali geopolitics, zopusa.
Malinga ndi malingaliro a Donald Rumsfeld, Dick Cheney, ndi anzawo a neocon, Saddam akanakhala woyamba kugwa, kutsatiridwa ndi ma autocrats ena (Bashar al-Assad ku Syria, Muammar Qaddafi ku Libya) mpaka, boom, demokalase idalimbikitsa ayatollahs ku Iran komanso. Iwo ankaganiza, mwa kungoyika izo mu "zoipa," kuti North Korea nayonso posachedwapa idzapeza Pyongyang Spring.
Saddam adagwadi. Ndipo Iraq idagwa, chifukwa chakulephera kwa olamulira a Bush kupanga dongosolo logwirizana lomanganso pambuyo pa nkhondo.
Koma demokalase sinagwire m'derali, makamaka ku North Korea. Olamulira ena odziyimira pawokha adandaula, pankhani ya Assad poletsa mwankhanza zipolowe, pomwe ena adatulukira ngati Abdel Fattah el-Sisi ku Egypt ndi Abdelmadjid Tebboune ku Algeria. Ndipo ma demokalase angapo okhazikika, monga a Kais Saied ku Tunisia ndi a Benjamin Netanyahu ku Israel, alowa molimba mumsasa wankhanza.
Nazi izi kodi kwa neocons: kodi phokoso la domino limodzi likugwa ndi chiyani?
Ma ayatollah, pakadali pano, sanapite kulikonse. Iran, malinga ndi ziwerengero zonse, idakulitsa madera ake pambuyo pa 2003, kukhala gawo lalikulu pankhondo ya Iraq pambuyo pa nkhondo, kukulitsa chikoka ku Lebanon ndi Syria, kukweza mbiri yake pakati pa Palestina pothandizidwa ndi Hamas ku Gaza, komanso kuthandizira gulu la Shiite ku Yemen. .
Chifukwa chake, kuwukira kwa Iraq kunatulutsa zotsatira zosiyana kwambiri ndi zomwe zidalingaliridwa, ngakhale kutayika kwa asilikali oposa 4,400 aku US ndi kutuluka kwa mpaka $2 thililiyoni kumenya nkhondo ndi kukonza dziko losweka. Ma Iraqi, ndithudi, avutika kwambiri: pafupifupi anthu 300,000 akufa ndi boma pakali pano mwa katangale ndi kumenyana.
Chabwino, Saddam wapita. Koma Iran ndi mabungwe achigawenga ngati Islamic State adzaza malo opanda kanthu, osati United States kapena demokalase.
Chikoka chochepa cha US m'derali chikuwonetsedwa mu mgwirizano waposachedwa womwe Iran idachita ndi Saudi Arabia. Mphamvu ziwiri zotsutsana zosatha adagwirizana mwezi uno kuti abwezeretse ubale waukazembe, ndipo mfumu ya Saudi Arabia idapempha Purezidenti wa Iran Ebrahim Raisi kuti akacheze ku Riyadh. Chitukuko chodabwitsachi, pakati pa mayiko awiri omwe adalimbana ndi mayiko ku Yemen, Syria, ndi Lebanon, ali ndi kuthekera kokonzanso derali.
United States, dziko lamphamvu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi komanso nkhondo yachiwiri yapadziko lonse pambuyo pa nkhondo yachiwiri yapadziko lonse ku Middle East, inalibe kanthu kochita ndi kuyanjana.
Inali China yomwe idaphwanya mgwirizanowu, dziko lomwe lili ndi gulu limodzi lankhondo lakunja komanso mbiri yochepa yochita nawo gawo ku Middle East.
Pazaka makumi awiri zakuukira kwa Iraq, United States yapezanso momwe amphamvu angachepetseredwe ndi mahubris awo.
Ndani Akuphunzira Maphunziro a Iraq?
United States yataya mphamvu zake zambiri padziko lonse lapansi, chifukwa cha fiascos ku Iraq ndi Afghanistan. Kodi maulamuliro otsatirawa aphunzirapo za kuukira kolakwika kumeneku?
Barack Obama adayesetsa kuti achoke ku Iraq kuti "apambane" nkhondo ku Afghanistan. Masiku ano, a Taliban akulamuliranso dzikolo.
Donald Lipenga kunamizira ngati kuti sanathandizirepo nkhondo ya Iraq ngati gawo la kuyesa kwatheka kudzijambula ngati wotsutsa kulowererapo kwa asitikali aku US. M'malo mwake, zidali chifukwa cha khama la mamembala anzeru kwambiri a utsogoleri wake kuti Trump sanalowetse United States kunkhondo. ndi Iran or Venezuela.
Biden akuwoneka kuti waphunzira pang'ono za Iraq. Anatsatiranso kutulutsa asitikali aku US ku Afghanistan, ndipo wakana kutumiza asitikali aku US ku Ukraine. Kumbali inayi, adakankhira bajeti yankhondo yaku US kukhala yokwera kwambiri ndikuchulukitsa ku China.
Koma munthu yemwe sanaphunzirepo maphunziro a Iraq amachokera kudziko lina: Vladimir Putin.
Chaka chatha, a Putin adachita zowonera George W. Bush poyambitsa "chiwopsezo ndi mantha" ku Ukraine chomwe adaganiza kuti chingakhale njira yoti zisadzafunike. kukonzekera koyenera monga mamapu osinthidwa kapena chakudya chokwanira kudyetsa asitikali omwe abwera. "Malire a gulu lankhondo" omwe ali nawo kukhala mawu achidule mwa opanga mfundo zaku US ndi akatswiri mwachiwonekere sanalowe m'makoma a Kremlin kapena malingaliro okonda dziko la mtsogoleri waku Russia.
Chodabwitsa, akatswiri a Kumadzulo akhala akuchedwa kujambula kufanana koonekeratu kumeneku. Mu The Guardian, Jonathan Steele zolemba kuti โmosasamala kanthu za kukweranso kwa mphamvu za US ku Ulaya chifukwa cha nkhondo ya ku Ukraine, nyengo ya ulamuliro wa US mโmaiko ena a dziko lapansi ingathe posachedwapa.โ Chabwino, kukokoloka kwa mphamvu za US kwakhala nthawi yayitali. Koma bwanji ponena za kutha kwa ulamuliro wa Russia mโmbali yakeyake ya chikoka? Kodi sikungakhale kufananitsa koyenera pakati pa nkhondo za Iraq ndi Ukraine? Boma la Biden laphunzirapo zina kuchokera pakulakwitsa koyipako. Zomwezo sizinganenedwenso kwa a Putin, ndipo Russia idzakhala ndi zotsatira zomwezo pazandale.
Ishaan Tharoor, mu The Washington Post, muse kuti United States ikulephera kupanga mgwirizano wapadziko lonse wotsutsana ndi Russia chifukwa cha chinyengo chobwerera ku nkhondo ya Iraq. Zoona, koma ambiri padziko lapansi amakayikira zolinga za US chifukwa cha zolakwika za ndondomeko zakunja za US zomwe zachitika zaka zana kapena kuposerapo - komanso chifukwa Russia idakali ndi mphamvu m'mayiko ofunika monga China, India, ndi South Africa. Ndipo ndi chinyengo cha ku Russia โ cha Putin zonena zopanda pake kuti akuchirikiza ulamuliro mโmalo mouphwanyaโndilo mbali yofunika kwambiri ya nkhondo yamakono. Imperialism siyenera kunena kuti pepani (kapena kupanga zomveka, pankhaniyi).
Ndipo mu Boston Globe, Andrew Bacevich kumathandiza "Biden akuwoneka kuti akukhulupirira kuti nkhondo yaku Ukraine imapereka malo omwe United States ingagonjetse cholowa cha Iraq, zomwe zimamupangitsa kuti atsimikizire zomwe ananena mobwerezabwereza kuti 'America yabwerera."
Zowonadi?!
Nkhondo ku Ukraine ilibe chochita ndi United States kuposa kufunafuna mphamvu kwa Vladimir Putin ndi mphamvu zachifumu. United States si dziko lokhalo lamphamvu kwambiri limene kufika kwake kumaposa mphamvu zake. Kuphatikiza apo, oyang'anira a Biden adayankha ndi zida ndi thandizo ku Ukraine osati chifukwa chofuna kuthana ndi cholowa cha Iraq koma. kubwera kudzateteza demokalase yomwe yalandidwa.
Mikangano yonseyi ndi gawo la "whataboutism" lokhazikika ku US lomwe lafalikira munkhani yakumanzere yaku US makamaka kuzungulira Ukraine. M'malo mongoyang'ana zochita zaku Russia, otsutsa otsutsa nkhondo adzati "bwanji za kuwukira kwa US ku Iraq?" ngati kuti padziko lapansi pangakhale dziko limodzi lokha lochita zoipa komanso mwala umodzi wokha wa zoipa.
Bacevich, kachiwiri, ayesa kupanga ukoma kuchokera ku kusayankhidwa kolakwika uku - Kupatsa Mwayi Whataboutism-Pomaliza kuti "ngakhale zonyansa, zokhumba za Putin ku Ukraine zimawoneka ngati zochepa poyerekeza" ndi milandu ya US ku Iraq. Ngakhale Bacevich amavomereza kuti "zochita za Putin zakhala zachigawenga choyipa," akutsutsa mwamphamvu kuti zomwe zikuchitika ku Ukraine sizili zazikulu kotero kuti zilungamitse kupatsa dzikolo njira zokwanira zodzitetezera.
Chenicheni chakuti United States, pakati pa ena, yalephera kuchita zabwino mโmbuyomoโkapena mโmadera ena a dziko lerolinoโsichiyenera kufooketsa mโpangโono pomwe kufunika kochita zoyenera pakali pano ku Ukraine. Kodi Bacevich angatsutse kuti oyang'anira a Biden sayenera kutsata kuchepetsa kaboni kunyumba chifukwa United States idapopa mpweya wambiri m'mlengalenga m'mbuyomu kapena ikulephera kuthandiza, mwachitsanzo, India kuti asawononge chizolowezi chamafuta masiku ano? M'kati mwake, whataboutism imapereka chithunzithunzi chaluntha chopuwala poyang'anizana ndi zoyipa.
Nanga Bwanji za Chikoka cha US?
Ngakhale akuwona kuchepa kwa chikoka chapadziko lonse cha United States, akatswiri ena amakhulupirirabe kuti Washington ikhoza kugwedeza matsenga kuti athetse nkhondo ku Ukraine.
Tengani George Beebe, mu Statecraft Yabwino, amene amapanga chitsimikizo chavuto kuti chilimwe chino "Ukraine ikhoza kukhala ndi mwayi wocheperako, popeza malo ake omenyera nkhondo akucheperachepera komanso chidaliro chake pakupirira thandizo la America chikuchepa." Chifukwa chake, oyang'anira Biden akuyenera kukanikiza
accelerator pedal pazokambirana ndi Russia. Mwachitsanzo, kuwonetsa mochenjera ku Moscow kuti ndife okonzeka kukambirana za nkhani yamnga ya umembala wa Ukraine ku NATO - nkhani yomwe Putin amawona kuti ndi yofunika kwambiri pankhondoyi, koma yomwe Biden adakana kukambirana - ingathandize kusintha izi ndikukonzanso. Maganizo a Russia pa kukhazikika.
Mfundo imeneyi yazikidwa pa malingaliro angapo olakwika. Beebe akulimbikitsa oyang'anira a Biden kuti achitepo kanthu tsopano chifukwa cha zina - zovuta zankhondo - zomwe mphamvu zichitike chilimwechi ndipo zitha kuchitika ngati Biden amvera Beebe (kulankhula za mikangano yokwaniritsa).
Zedi, Washington ikhoza kuwonetsa kuti ilankhula za umembala wa NATO ndi Russia. Koma Putin kwenikweni samasamala kwambiri za NATO pa se. Zomwe mtsogoleri waku Russia akufuna ndikuphatikiza zonse zaku Ukraine ku Russia momwe angathere. Kupatula kukhazikitsidwa kwa oyang'anira ochezeka ku Kremlin ku Kyiv, akhazikika m'dziko lofooka lomwe silidzawopsyezetsa zankhondo, zachuma, ndale ku Russia.
Pomaliza, zomwe Beebe sakunena koma akutanthauza kuti olamulira a Biden akuyenera kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu zawo potsamira Ukraine kuti akambirane ndi Russia, makamaka ngati sakukakamizika kutero chifukwa cha zomwe zili pansi.
Inde, olamulira a Biden atha kufooketsa asitikali aku Ukraine podula zida zankhondo. Othandizira maganizo awa khulupirirani kuti izi zidzabweretsa mgwirizano wogwirizana. Zomwe zingachitike zitha kukhala kuwukira kwa asitikali aku Russia kuwirikiza kawiri ndi milandu yankhondo pamlingo womwe ungachepetse zoopsa za Yugoslavia m'ma 1990s. The mlandu waposachedwa a Putin ndi International Criminal Court anayang'ana pa kusamuka mokakamizidwa kwa ana a ku Ukraine. Koma ndi gawo laling'ono chabe la zomwe Putin wachita: kuphedwa a akaidi ankhondo, kukaphedwa wa anthu wamba, kubomba mabomba za zomangamanga za anthu wamba. Nkhondo yolimbana ndi mdani wofooka idzabweretsa milandu yonse yankhondo.
Zonsezi zikusonyeza kuti otsutsa "pro-peace" pa mfundo za Biden ku Ukraine - kuchokera ku Ukraine. anasiya ndi Chabwino-ndiwo omwe sanalowetse maphunziro a nkhondo ya Iraq. Kukana kwa United States kupanga zolinga zazikulu pambuyo pa kuukira, kuyesetsa kulanda Iraq ndikuwuza tsogolo lake lazandale ndi zachuma, chikhulupiliro chotsimikizika chakuti kuwukirako kudzalimbitsa kuyimirira kwa US m'derali - zonsezi zidapangitsa Iraq kukhala zaka ndi zaka. za nkhondo yapachiweniweni. Chilichonse chochepa kuchepetsa kwambiri chikoka cha Russia ku Ukraine chidzatsutsa dzikolo chimodzimodzi.
US idachoka mosalekeza kuyitanitsa asitikali aku US kuti achoke ku Iraq. Ndi okhawo omwe alephera kuphunzira za Nkhondo ya Iraq omwe angalephere kupanga zomwezo ku Russia monga chofunikira kuti pakhale mtendere lero.
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