Entanta phezu kolwandle lwamafutha, ama-Gulf royals angama-Arabhu acebe kakhulu. Imindeni emihlanu eyandisiwe inama-60% ezindawo zokulondoloza uphethiloli emhlabeni, kanti abaseSaudis baphezulu kakhulu. Babhala ngaphansi kwezimboni zezokuvikela zase-US kanye ne-Europe ngokuthengwa kwezikhali kwezigidigidi zamadola, abangabanikazi beziqhingi ezinhle nezindiza ezizimele, bahamba ngamaqembu ukuze bazingele izinyoni eziyivelakancane ngezibhamu ezinamandla eziqondiswe ku-radar, futhi badelele ngokukhululekile imithetho yendawo yemvelo yamazwe abawavakashelayo. Okuyingozi nakakhulu, bathumela abefundisi abanobuthi kanye ne-radicalism yezenkolo emhlabeni wonke. Uma abakwaSaudi becabanga ukuthi bangabanikazi bomhlaba bangase babe nephutha kodwa hhayi kakhulu. Ingcebo yabo emangalisayo iphinde isho ukuthi balindele ukuthi yonke imiyalo ilalelwe ngokungangabazeki futhi zonke izifiso zifezeke.
Ngakho-ke kwakunzima kumaSaudis ukuthi akholwe amehlo abo lapho ngenyanga edlule, iPakistan elalelayo futhi eqaphile ikhetha ukwenqaba i-diktat yabo. Amaqembu avame ukungezwani futhi ahlala exabana ePhalamende lasePakistan anqabe ngazwi linye ukuthumela amasosha asePakistan eYemen, njengoba kwakufunwa uMbuso waseSaudi Arabia namanye amazwe eGulf Cooperation Countries (GCC). IPhalamende, empeleni, lalikhombisa isimo somphakathi. Ikhathazwe udlame lwangaphakathi lweTaliban oseludlule nemiphefumulo engaphezu kuka-50,000, futhi yacekelwa phansi uchungechunge lokubulala okuhlosiwe nokuqhunyiswa kwamabhomu kwamaSulumane amaShia, izwe alinaso isisu sohambo olungaba yinhlekelele phesheya kwezilwandle olulwa nesitha esigama laso (amaHouthis) iningi lamaPakistani. ngizwe okokuqala ngqa.
Umphumela wentukuthelo yaseSaudi ePakistan uyaqondakala ngokwengxenye. UNdunankulu uNawaz Sharif kanye nohulumeni wakhe banikeze ama-GCC ama-Arabhu umbono wokuthi isizwe sakhe simi endaweni yabo. U-Sharif watotosa ukuzikhukhumeza kwama-depots kawoyela futhi wamukela ngokubonga umusa wabo, kuhlanganise “nesipho” esingaqondakali samadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.5 ngoMashi, 2014. Ingabe kwakungeke kube khona i-quid pro quo? Khona-ke, abanye abaholi abahlukahlukene basePakistan baphakamisa okulindelwe kwama-Arabhu ngokuqhubekayo ngezimemezelo ezizwakalayo ezithembisa "ukuchitha wonke amaconsi egazi lethu" ukuze kuvikelwe i-Haram-ul-Sharafein engcwele ngenkathi, eqinisweni, kungekho ndawo engcwele yamaMuslim eyake yasongelwa. Kodwa, lapho kuziwa ekubekeni amabhuzu phansi empini yombango echitha igazi isikhathi eside, bashaya phansi ngonyawo.
Ngokulindelekile, ama-GCC Arabs awakho esimweni sokulalela izaba ezingenasici ezivela ezweni elincikile. Abaqashiwe kakhulu njengosizo lwasekhaya, izisebenzi ezikhokhelwayo, izisebenzi zokwakha, nezisebenzi zokudlela, izigidi zabantu basePakistan, amaNdiya, ama-Bangladesh, amaNepalese namaFilipino aseGulf asekela imindeni yawo ekhaya ngokubhala futhi onge ama-riyal awo ayigugu. Lokhu kushiye ungqongqoshe wezindaba zangaphandle we-UAE, uDkt. Anwar Mohammad Gargash, eshaqekile: kungenzeka kanjani ukuthi izwe elinjalo libe nesibindi sokukhetha ukungathathi hlangothi “ekungqubuzaneni okukhona” ne-Iran. IPakistan, uthe esabisa, "izokhokha inani".
Futhi-ke, ngikhathazeke kakhulu, emasontweni amabili edlule iPakistan ephezulu kakhulu nenamandla kunawo wonke e-nuclear ehlome ngezikhali zenuzi - uNdunankulu, iNhloko Yezempi Yabasebenzi, uNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela, Unobhala Wezangaphandle, kanye nomhlangano wezikhulu - waya ku-petro-capital yomhlaba, I-Riyadh. Babenethemba lokuthi amazwi abo azisolayo ayengayiduduza ngandlela-thile inkosi ecasukile yama-septuarian kanye nezikhulu zayo ezithukuthele. Kepha isethembiso sabo "sokuvikela ubuqotho bendawo yaseSaudi Arabia kanye Nezindawo Ezingcwele" sehlulekile ukuqeda amalungu omndeni wasebukhosini abazi kahle - njengoba kwenza wonke umuntu - ukuthi usongo endaweni yaseSaudi Arabia nezindawo zayo ezingcwele selwenziwe. Esikhundleni salokho, inkinga yangempela engxabanweni yaseYemen ukusinda isikhathi eside kweNdlu yaseSaud, i-Iran eyibeka engcupheni.
I-Iran namuhla inselele i-Saudi hegemony eMpumalanga Ephakathi. Ingamandla okuvukela umbuso, amandla okuvukela umbuso kuyilapho iSaudi Arabia ifuna isimo esikhona. Ama-mullahs ase-Iran afuna ngokusobala ukuketulwa kwawo wonke ama-monarchies. Esifanekisweni sabo sezombangazwe abefundisi base-Iran baphethe izintambo zokuphatha, kunendawo ethile engaseceleni eyabelwa ukuveza umbono ovamile. Kodwa noma iyiphi inkululeko yezombangazwe, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi incane kangakanani, iyisinengiso eMbusweni. Kuyashaqisa kakhulu ukuthi ukweseka kwe-Iran abantu basePalestine, kanye nokuphikisana kwayo nezimpi eziholwa yi-US eMiddle East, sekuvuse umbono womphakathi wama-Arab ngisho nasemazweni amaningi amaSunni.
Ukungalaleli kwePakistan kungenzeka ukuthi kwathethelelwa ngesinye isikhathi. Kodwa kwafika ngesikhathi esithile lapho amaSaudis ayesevele ethukuthele ngenxa yesenzo somlingani wabo wesikhathi eside, i-United States. Isivumelwano sokuqala senuzi se-Iran ne-US, uMbuso osunesikhathi eside usaba futhi usiphikisa, sesisayiniwe. Nakuba ama-anti-Iran kanye nama-pro-Israel Republicans kuKhongolose yase-US ehlela ukuvivinya yonke imizwa ukuze ayivimbe, uMongameli Obama cishe uzophumelela ukuphusha inguqulo yokugcina ekupheleni kukaJuni. Iphupho elibi laseSaudi ukuthi ukusondelana kwe-Iran ne-US kuzokwamukela i-Iran njengezwe eliwumngcele wenuzi futhi kuqede unswinyo olubekwe yi-US. I-Iran izobe isivela njengomnqobi, inikeze igalelo elikhulu kumfelandawonye weSunni oholwa yiSaudi, u-Israel eyilungu lawo elihloniphekile. Umfundisi waseSaudi u-Muhammed al Arifi uye wacela ngokusobala ukuthi kube nomfelandawonye: "U-Israyeli akasona isitha sethu kodwa amaShia ayi".
Kepha iPakistan ayikushisekeli ukubhebhetheka kobudlelwano bayo obuvele bushubile ne-Iran engumakhelwane, ikakhulukazi njengoba inethemba lokuthi kuzoba nepayipi legesi lase-Iran-Pakistan elinganciphisa kakhulu ukushoda kwamandla kagesi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngenani labantu abangama-20-30% lamaShia, alikwazi ukukhokhela ukubulawa okwengeziwe okwenziwa amaqembu amaSunni asekelwa yiSaudi.
Ngakho-ke iPakistan kufanele ikhathazeke kangakanani? Ingabe ama-Gulf Arabs azojeziswa ngempela ngokungalaleli kwawo? Ngicabanga ukuthi i-realpolitik ikhawulela kakhulu izinketho zaseSaudi.
Okokuqala, ukuxosha abasebenzi basePakistan akuyona inketho. Ngaphandle kwezinsiza ezanele zezisebenzi ezisebenza kanzima nezihola kancane, izwe ngalinye likaphethiloli lizoma. Izizwe zawo wonke amazwe aseGulf zimpofu ngendlela engenakulinganiswa ngamakhono nemikhuba yokusebenza. Ukuhlala endaweni yezenhlalakahle ezingenamsebenzi futhi kuhlangatshezwana nazo zonke izidingo, abajahile ukushintsha.
Kunesizathu sesibili. IPakistan ukuphela kwezwe elinganikeza uMbuso ngezikhali zenuzi ngokushesha nje, noma ngesambulela senuzi. Yiqiniso, iPakistan izobe ihlakaniphile uma ingakucabangi nokukucabangela lokho okungenzeka. Kepha iqiniso ukuthi abekho abanye abathengisi benuzi edolobheni - futhi abakwaSaudi bayakwazi lokho.
IPakistan iphinde ime ngokulinganayo phakathi kwazo zonke izindlela ezingaholela ekugcineni izikhali zenuzi zaseSaudi Arabia, lokho uMbuso okufisa kakhulu. NgoMashi, yasayina isivumelwano buthule neSouth Korea sokungenisa iziphehlisi ezimbili zenuzi. Ngokusho kwe-World Nuclear Association, uMbuso uhlela ukwakha ama-reactors amandla enuzi angu-16 eminyakeni engu-20 ezayo ngezindleko ezingaphezu kwezigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-80 zamaRandi, ne-reactor yokuqala ekulayini ngo-2022. Kuze kube manje ayikavumelani nezimfuno zase-US, futhi igcizelela (ngokungafani ne-UAE) ekubeni nomjikelezo wamafutha enuzi ogcwele. Lokhu kushiya kuvuleke ithuba lokucutshungulwa kabusha kwe-plutonium yezinga lezikhali emfucumfucwini yenuzi, abantu basePakistan kuphela abangasiza ngokuyimfihlo ekwenzeni lokho.
IPakistan empofu negcwele izimpi, enabaholi abanovalo ababophene kakhulu neqembu lama-GCC Arabs acebile, yenze kahle ngokungalindelekile ngokwenqaba ukuba yibhampi yabo. Kodwa nakanjani sekuyisikhathi sokuthi amazwe anamandla omhlaba ayeke ukuklomelisa abasekeli bobudlova obunodlame emhlabeni wonke, ikakhulukazi, eMpumalanga Ephakathi.
Bekhathazekile ngokujabulisa u-Israyeli, futhi baqhubeke bevuna i-bonanza kawoyela yeminyaka engu-50, i-United States ne-Europe bavale amehlo abo emacaleni aseSaudi. Nakuba iSaudi Arabia ilwa ngokusemthethweni ne-Al-Qaida kanye ne-Da'ish, ifilosofi yesigaba sayo esibusayo esigwegwile futhi esinamandla ngokwenkolo inobuqaba ngokufanayo. Alikho izwe elinento efana ne-plaza e-Riyadh, edume ngokuthi i-Chop-Chop Square ngabakwamanye amazwe, lapho kunqunywa khona izitho namakhanda esidlangalaleni. Abesifazane benqatshelwe ukushayela futhi ongqingili bayabulawa. Ngenkathi amaqembu e-jihadist evinjelwe ekhaya, ohulumeni be-GCC nabantu ngabanye bakhafulela imali yokuvikela emaqenjini anjalo phesheya kwezilwandle.
Njengoba ingcebo kaphethiloli ibhebhethekisa inzondo emhlabeni wonke, umhlaba ususendleleni eya ekungqubuzaneni okuchitha igazi kwempucuko - kanye nokungqubuzana okusegazini phakathi kwempucuko yamaSulumane. Lokhu, empeleni, iwuhlobo lwe-Armagedoni eyeqisayo “ama-takfiri” aseSaudi afuna ukuyicasula. Intuthuko emhlabeni wonke kumele ifune ukuthi iNtshonalanga inqamule ubudlelwano bayo bebhizinisi namandla okubuyisela emuva kakhulu emhlabeni namuhla.
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