Ngexesha lonyulo, abakhi-mkhanyo baseRashiya abazange basilele ukuqaphela inani elikhulu lokwaphulwa komthetho, kodwa banike ingcamango yokuba babona kuphela kwintshona ye-Ukraine, apho unyulo kwakucingelwa ukuba luqhekezwa ngokuxhasa uYushchenko. Enyanisweni, i-Ukraine ngokungafaniyo neRashiya ayisiyiyo intlangano kodwa ilizwe elimanyeneyo, apho ulawulo lwasekhaya luphantsi komongameli. Phambi komjikelo wesibini wokuvota, uMongameli Kuchma waye wathatha indawo yeentloko zolawulo kumaphondo apho inkcaso yayiphumelele khona. Ukusa kumlinganiselo obalulekileyo, ulwaphulo-mthetho ngaloo ndlela lwaluthandeka abasemagunyeni kungekuphela nje empuma, kodwa nasentshona ngokunjalo.
Unyulo lwase-Ukrainian alusafani nolo lwase-Russia, kodwa njengakwindawo ethile e-Nigeria, ebonisa ubundlobongela, ukukhutshelwa ngaphandle kwabakhi-mkhanyo, kunye nolawulo lwezikhulu zezizwe ngezenzo zabavoti 'kwindawo yabo'. Ekugqibeleni uYanukovich wafumana inani leevoti awayezifuna, kodwa uloyiso lwakhe lwaba yiPyrrhic. Inkcaso ayizange iphelele nje ezitratweni, kodwa yayinezizathu ezicacileyo zokuziphatha nezobupolitika zokwala ukwamkela iziphumo zonyulo.
Iithisisi malunga nomzabalazo weqela eliphikisayo laseMelika ngokuchasene neqela lezopolitiko elixhasa i-Moscow aliyi kuphononongwa, kwaye azikho neengxelo eziphindaphindwayo malunga nongquzulwano phakathi kwabantu abathetha i-Ukrainian entshona kunye nempuma ethetha isiRashiya. Ngokungathandabuzekiyo u-Yushchenko ngusopolitiki oxhasa iMelika. Kodwa okufanayo kunokuthethwa ngokulinganayo kubalawuli bangoku beriphabliki yaseUkraine. YayinguMongameli wangoku uLeonid Kuchma owathi, kunye neNkulumbuso uViktor Yanukovich, bathumela imikhosi yaseUkraine eIraq. Kwaezo nkokeli zimbini zilawula ingxaki engafanelekanga kubudlelwane baseRussia-Ukrainian ngaphezulu kwedama ecaleni kweSiqithi saseTuzla esincinci. Ngeli xesha, iqela labezopolitiko abaphikisayo bakugxeka ukuthunyelwa kwemikhosi, njengoko enzayo amakomanisi, angazange avume ukuxhasa naliphi na icala kolu ngquzulwano.
Inkxaso yemali yaseMelika yeYushenko iyabonakala. Nangona kunjalo umntu unokufumanisa ngokulula ukuba uninzi lwabaxhasi abathe banegalelo kwiphulo lakhe nabo banegalelo elikhulu kwiphulo likaKerry (iSoros, iNational Democratic Institute njl.njl.). Imali yeRiphabhlikhi yeYushenko yayiphantse ibe ngumfuziselo. Kwakukho nemali eninzi yaseNtshona Yurophu kwaye ngakumbi imali yaseJamani. Kodwa okumangalisayo kukuba, amanye amagalelo amakhulu avela eRashiya - ngokukodwa kuloo maqela oshishino ayenganelisekanga ngezivumelwano zabucala ezinikezelwa nguYanukovich kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iphinde iqhube inkqubo. Olu lindelo lwalungenasihlahla.
Kanye njengobuxoki iinzame zokwahlula uluntu lwaseUkraine kwimigca yeelwimi. IKiev, ikomkhulu, yinqaba yenkcaso, nangona ulwimi oluviwa ngabantu abaninzi ezitratweni sisiRashiya. Uqhanqalazo olukhulu lwenzeka eKharkov, egqalwa njengesazulu senkcubeko yaseRashiya eUkraine. Izenzo zokuxhasa abasemagunyeni abaququzelelwe eDonetsk nakwezinye izixeko zoshishino zazikhumbuza imiboniso yexesha leSoviet, apho abantu baqhutyelwa khona ngeentonga. Abo bathe bathetha ubukhulu becala ibingamagosa emibutho yabasebenzi kunye namagosa olawulo, ngelixa abasebenzi bethathe ithuba lokuqala besiya emakhaya. Ngaphandle kwamabango okuba amawaka abasebenzi basezimayini baya kuziswa eKiev ukuba balwe neqela eliphikisayo, abasemagunyeni bakwazile ukubeka imiboniso embalwa kuphela imigulukudu yaseDonetsk kwizigcina-ntloko zabasebenzi basezimayini ezingafanelekanga, kunye neqela leeCossacks ezinxitywayo.
Ubuncinci kuzo zonke iinkokeli zaseRussia zinokubizwa ngokuba zi-anti-American okanye anti-Western. Akakho omnye ngaphandle kukaMongameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin ubhengeze esidlangalaleni inkxaso yakhe kuGeorge Bush kunyulo lwaseMelika ngoNovemba. Kwangelo xesha njengoko umabonwakude waseMoscow wayegxeka ukungenelela kweMelika eUkraine, uMphathiswa wezoKhuselo uSergey Ivanov wayexoxa neentatheli malunga nokuthumela izixhobo e-Iraq kwimikhosi yase-Iraq elawulwa yi-US, kunye nokuthumela iingcali zomkhosi. IJamani, iFransi kunye namanye amazwe aseYurophu azalile izicelo zaseMelika zolu hlobo.
Akukacaci ukuba iRussia ngo-2004 inokuthi 'iphulukane' njani neUkraine. Ngapha koko, ilizwe lethu kudala layivuma inkululeko yaseUkraine. Ukuba asithethi ngolawulo kodwa ngezopolitiko zaseRashiya, impembelelo yokuziphatha kunye nenkcubeko kwiriphabliki engummelwane, kuya kuba nzima ukucinga nayiphi na indlela embi kakhulu yokuphumeza oku kunokuba i-Kremlin iyenzile kwiinyanga zakutshanje. Ukuba umntu wayezimisele ngabom ukujongela phantsi isikhundla saseRussia kuluntu lwase-Ukraine, wayengenakukwazi ukuphumeza ngaphezu kokuba ulawulo lwe-Kremlin luye lwalawula ngomsebenzi walo noKuchma noYanukovich. I-Kremlin ayikhange yothuse wonke umntu kuphela ngokugxuphuleka kwayo okukrwada nokungafihlwayo kwimicimbi yelizwe elizimeleyo, kodwa okona kubaluleke ngakumbi, ikwenze oku ngokungenamkhethe kangangokuba iye yagqiba ukusonakalisa isizathu sayo.
Imiba kumzabalazo wezopolitiko eUkraine mikhulu, kuquka neKremlin. Kodwa ezi ntshukumo azinanto yakwenza nezinto ezinomdla wesizwe, okanye nokhuphiswano ekudala lukho phakathi kobukomanisi baseMpuma kunye noohlohlesakhe baseNtshona. Izizwe zolwaphulo-mthetho ezithe ngexesha lokurhweba zabucala zathatha ulawulo kungekuphela nje kwishishini empuma yeUkraine, kodwa ukuya kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo phezu kwabemi ngokunjalo, banobudlelwane obusondeleyo kunye namaqela e-oligarchic e-bureaucratic abambe eMoscow.
Ikomkhulu laseRussia liqala ukwanda okukhulu eUkraine. Iintetho ziqalisiwe ngokuthengwa kweenkampani zonxibelelwano, izityalo ezixubene nesinyithi, kunye neendawo zotywala. Izizwe zaseDonetsk eziye zadibana malunga neYanukovich kufuneka zibambelele kumandla, ukuqinisekisa ukuba izivumelwano ezicwangcisiweyo ziya kuhamba kakuhle.
Akukho mfiliba apha. Ingxaki yeqela elilawulayo linomlinganiswa onenjongo, owahluke ngokupheleleyo kumayelenqe aseWashington. Yonke into eyenziwa yi-diplomacy yase-US kukulinganisa ngokunyanisekileyo imeko ekhoyo, kwaye ke, endaweni yokuma kwinto ngokucacileyo elahlekileyo, ukukhetha amaqabane amatsha nathembisayo ngakumbi phakathi kwenkcaso. Eyona nto ibalulekileyo kwi-US kwiimeko ezinjalo kukuqinisekisa ukuba xa ubunkokeli obutsha bungena kulawulo, ikhondo lomgaqo-nkqubo welizwe langaphandle kwelizwe ekuthethwa ngalo lihlala linjengangaphambili. Ngamanye amazwi, iWashington ixhasa uhlaziyo lwedemokhrasi ngenjongo enye: ukubabonisa amandla abo amakhulu.
Uninzi lwabalandeli balo mbutho luyavuma ukuba le meko ilusizi. Yiyo loo nto sifunda kwiwebhusayithi yamakomanisi ekhokelayo: 'Abasebenzi kunye neqela labo abakwazanga ukusebenza njengombutho ozimeleyo wezopolitiko, njengomxholo olungelelanisiweyo, onolwazi ngenkqubo yembali. Ayingomakomanisi athe akhokele abasebenzi, kodwa ngoohlohlesakhe kunye nabagqatswa kunye nemibutho yabo. Le yinyani nje. Ngeli xesha, amakomanisi aye aqhutyelwa ecaleni komzabalazo, enyanzelwa kwindawo yababukeli, engakwazi ukuphembelela umphumo nangayiphi na indlela.' (http:///www.communist.ru/lenta/index.php?10168).
Nabani na ophumeleleyo, elinye lamaxhoba aphambili kwintlekele yaseUkraine iya kuba nguVladimir Putin. Ngokuxhasa ngokuphandle urhulumente waseUkraine, ukutyala imali eninzi kuyo, nangokuyithumela umkhosi wonke wabacebisi nabahlohli bezopolitiko, iKremlin yabeka esichengeni sokufumana iingxaki kuphela ngembuyekezo. Nokuba uYanukovich uphumelele, eyona nkxalabo yakhe iya kuba kukwakha ubudlelwane kunye neNtshona. Kwintlanganiso yakhe kunye ne-European Union eHague, uPutin kuya kufuneka azame ukuzithethelela, alahlekelwe yi-shreds yokugqibela yegunya lakhe. Okona kubaluleke kakhulu, phambi kwabantu bakhe, imikhosi exhobileyo kunye namapolisa eRussia uye waphinda wazibonakalisa ukuba ungowezopolitiko obuthathaka kwaye ongenabuchule. Kwaye eRashiya, ababuthathaka abaphumeleli.