Dr. Jack Rasmus akukambirana za kutsika kwamitengo yamafuta padziko lonse lapansi komwe kunayamba mwachangu mu June watha ndipo tsopano akuthamanga, kuyendetsa mafuta padziko lonse kuchokera ku 2014 isanakwane $115 / mbiya mpaka kutsika kwaposachedwa kwa $59. Jack akufotokoza momwe zotsatira zake pazachuma zapadziko lonse zingawonetsere kukhala zoipa kwambiri, komanso kuti kutsika kwamitengo kutha kutsika mpaka $40 / mbiya m'miyezi ikubwerayi. Zotsatira za Emerging Market Economies, zomwe zikuyenda pang'onopang'ono kapena kuchepa kwachuma, zidzatsimikiziranso kuti ndalama zawo ziwonongeke kwambiri ndipo zimapangitsa kuti ndalama zitheke, kuchepa kwa ngongole, kuchepetsa ndalama, kukwera kwa inflation, komanso kulephera kwa mabizinesi omwe akutukuka kumene. maboma kuti alipirire ngongole zomwe zidabwera kale. Kutsika kwamitengo yamafuta kupangitsa kuti ku Europe ndi Japan kuchuluke kwambiri komanso kutsika kwachuma, komanso kubayidwa ndalama zambiri za QE zomwe zingapangitse kuti mitengo yamtengo wapatali ichuluke. Rasmus akuneneratu kuti kuchepa kwachuma ku China kupitilira apo pomwe misika yaku Europe, Japan ndi Emerging imachepetsa kugula kwawo ku China. Lingaliro losiyana ndi lodziwika la USA loti mitengo yotsika yamafuta imatanthauza kutsika kwamafuta amafuta motero kuwononga ndalama zambiri kwa ogula ndi mabizinesi aku USA kumatsutsidwa. Pomaliza, Jack akufotokoza momwe kuchepa kwamafuta padziko lonse lapansi kungayambitsire kusokonekera kwina kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi, komanso momwe zingatanthauze kuti kuphulika kwa "shale gasi / mafuta akuphwanyidwa" ku USA tsopano kuyimitsidwa ndipo kutha kuyambitsa msika wa 'junk bond. ' Mavuto ku USA ofanana ndi msika wa subprime real estate bust wa 2007-09. Kodi kuchulukira kwamafuta padziko lonse lapansi kudzatsogolera ku 'Asian Meltdown', nthawi ino momwazika kwambiri; ndipo, ku USA, kodi zidzatsogolera ku ngozi ina ya 'mafuta' yomwe inachitika ku US kum'mwera chakumadzulo m'ma 1980-panthawiyi kukhudza North Dakota-Wyoming, Alaska, ndi Pennsylvania komanso Texas ndi kum'mwera chakumadzulo? (Werengani Dr. Rasmus polemba posachedwa pa webusaiti ya PRN, 'The Economic Consequences of Global Oil Deflation', kuti mufufuze zambiri).
Zotsatira za Kusokonekera kwa Mtengo wa Mafuta Padziko Lonse
Jack Rasmus
Dr. Jack Rasmus, Ph.D Political Economy, amaphunzitsa zachuma ku St. Mary's College ku California. Ndiwolemba komanso wopanga antchito osiyanasiyana osapeka komanso opeka, kuphatikiza mabuku a The Scourge of Neoliberalism: US Economic Policy From Reagan to Bush, Clarity Press, October 2019. Jack ndiye woyang'anira pulogalamu ya sabata iliyonse, Alternative Visions, pa ndi Progressive Radio Network, ndi mtolankhani akulemba nkhani zachuma, ndale ndi ntchito m'magazini osiyanasiyana, kuphatikizapo European Financial Review, World Financial Review, World Review of Political Economy, 'Z' magazini, ndi ena.