Ten years ago, a hawker in Tunisia mete dife nan tèt li, which spurred people along the shores of the Mediterranean Sea, from Morocco to Spain, to rise up in revolt. They took to their public squares indignant at the terrible conditions under which they had to live.
Little of their agenda has been advanced in the past decade. Governments of the southern European states have one by one betrayed the aspirations of the people; the most dramatic such failure was that of the Syriza government in Greece, which won a mandate against austerity and then remèt before the troika (the European Central Bank, the European Commission, and the International Monetary Fund) in 2015.
Uprisings in North Africa ended with the return of the generals (as in Egypt), the destruction of states (as in Libya), and the assertion of the Arab monarchies (from Morocco to Saudi Arabia).
Finally, President Donald Trump carved the obituary on the tombstone of that “Arab Spring” rebellion when he used the immensity of US power to ranfòse America’s allies, such as the Arab monarchies and Israel, to the detriment of the people of the region.
What remains of the Arab Spring is a distant memory of the crowds in Cairo’s Tahrir Square; a more typical image of the present is that of the monarchs of Morocco and the United Arab Emirates kissing up to Israel to please the United States.
Danger in the Eastern Mediterranean
In the Arabic-speaking countries, two sets of conflicts emerged as the people in the public plazas shook up the politics in their countries. The first was between Iran and the Gulf Arab monarchies (led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE). This had a catastrophic impact on Lebanon and on Syria.
The second was the conflict between the countries with affinity to the Muslim Brotherhood (Qatar and Turkey) and the Gulf Arab monarchies.
Both conflicts, inflamed by Israel, continue to threaten regional wars.
It was under pressure from Saudi Arabia and Israel that the United States concocted a “nuclear threat” from Iran and drove an agenda that resulted in the 2015 Iran deal. Several of the Iranian nuclear scientists were, meanwhile, assassinated from 2010 to the present; Iran blame Israel and the United States for these killings. Sanctions and threats of military intervention have now almost become normal.
The gravity of this conflict is undiminished and will not decrease even if US President-elect Joe Biden returns his country to the framework of the nuclear deal.
More sinister have been the deepening conflicts against Qatar and Turkey.
In 2017, Saudi Arabia and its allies began a blockade against Qatar; the animosity was so great that Saudi Arabia te planifye to cut the landmass around Qatar and convert it into an island.
Both the Gulf Arabs and the Europeans were detounen by Turkey’s influence over the new governments across North Africa. They colluded to overthrow the Muslim Brotherhood government in Egypt in 2013 and to prosecute a war in Libya against Turkish influence over the UN-recognized government in Tripoli.
The discovery of massive natural-gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean in 2009 chanje the equation of old rivalries in the area, particularly between Israel and its neighbors, and between Turkey and Greece over Cyprus.
In the past decade, alliances across the Mediterranean have cemented around control over these gas fields. Maps with conflicting claims have been published, and near-military conflicts have been hard to avert.
Turkish arming of troops in Libya gave both franse (2020 jen) ak Alman (November 2020) ships the opportunity to try to board Turkish vessels. The European Union threatened to put harsh sanctions against Turkey at its summit on December 10-11, but then deside to put off any decision on sanctions until the next meeting in March 2021.
France, which has egzèse itself south of the Sahara Desert in the Sahel region, has now strengthened its links to the countries that stand against Turkey. Arms kontra with Greece have come alongside military exercises with Egypt and with the UAE (the Meduz exercises that include Cyprus and Greece). France’s Emmanuel Macron onore Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi (a former general) with France’s highest award.
When US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited France in November, he plenyen to Le Figaro about Turkey’s actions in the Eastern Mediterranean. During his visit to Turkey after France, Pompeo evite senior Turkish officials. The snub was clear. Israel, backed by the US, has now te anonse that it will increase military cooperation with Cyprus and Greece.
Turkey, meanwhile, has increased its cooperation with Russia and – interestingly – with the United Kingdom, increasingly alienated from the Europeans by its spluttering Brexit negotiations.
Crushing of Palestine, Western Sahara, Yemen
Trump has proposed a hallucinatory “kontra of the century” that promised to sort out the long-standing occupation of the Palestinians by Israel. Nothing of the sort has been accomplished. What Trump and Pompeo have done instead is to discard a series of UN resolutions to hand Israel many of its maximum demands on a platter.
An early gesture was the announcement that the US Embassy would deplase from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem; then came the nod for the possible full-scale aneksyon of East Jerusalem and the West Bank by Israel and US rekonesans of the Israeli occupation of Syria’s Golan Heights.
The US threw around favors such as lavant of $23 billion worth of arms to the UAE and the retire li of Sudan from the list of state sponsors of terrorism to gain their public recognition of Israel. These weapons, particularly the F-35s, sold to the UAE will allow the Gulf Arabs to continue their cruel war against Yemen.
Then, almost out of nowhere, the US this month rekonèt the Moroccan occupation of Western Sahara in exchange for Morocco’s recognition of Israel and for the Moroccan king buying $1 billion worth of arms from the United States. This deal was brokered by the UAE.
The hopes of the Palestinian, Sahrawi and Yemeni people have been seriously compromised by these cynical deals.
Ten years after the Arab Spring, there is little to celebrate. Great hopes have been set aside. Old cynicisms have returned, the cynicisms of arms deals and of energy deals, the cynicism of brutality.
Atik sa a te pwodwi pa Globetrotter.
Vijay Prashad se yon istoryen Endyen, editè ak jounalis. Li se yon parèy ekriti ak korespondan an chèf nan Globetrotter. Li se editè an chèf nan Liv LeftWord ak direktè a nan Tricontinental: Enstiti pou Rechèch Sosyal. Li se yon ansyen parèy ki pa rezidan nan Chongyang Enstiti pou Etid Finansye, Renmin University of Lachin. Li te ekri plis pase 20 liv, ki gen ladan Nasyon yo pi fonse ak Nasyon yo Poor's. Dènye liv li se Washington Bal, ak yon entwodiksyon pa Evo Morales Ayma.
ZNetwork finanse sèlman atravè jenerozite lektè li yo.
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