Source: The Independent
Shin wannan yaki ne bisa hatsari ko yaki bisa tsari? Dukanmu mun faɗi cewa babban yaƙi a Gabas ta Tsakiya na iya farawa da haɗari. Amma babu wanda ya yi tunani Donald trump zai tafi ga jugular sosai kamar haka. Zuwa kashe Janar Qassem Soleimani takobi ne a zuciyar Iran, babu shakka. Kuma a madadin wa?
Trump ya yi alfahari da alakar sa da Sarkin Saudiyya wanda ya yi magana kan "yanke kan macijiyar Iran" da aka kai wa wuraren mai da makamai masu linzami da aka harba da jirage marasa matuka - wadanda Amurka ta dora wa Iran - a bara. Ko Isra'ila? Ko kuwa wannan wata shawara ce da ba za a iya ƙididdigewa ba, wanda wani shugaban ƙasar Amurka ya ɗauka?
Ka yi tunanin abin da zai faru idan wani babban Janar na Amurka - ko biyu, tun da Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis babban jigo ne mai goyon bayan Iran a Iraki - a wani rangadi na Gabas ta Tsakiya. Za a kai hare-hare ta sama, da kai hare-hare kan cibiyoyin nukiliyar Iran, barazanar da Washington ta yi na rufe duk wata hanya tsakanin Iran da kasashen waje. Mutuwar wani Ba’amurke a Bagadaza ranar Juma’a da tarzomar da aka yi a wajen ofishin jakadancin Amurka, yayin da abin bakin ciki, da kyar ke tabbatar da hare-haren da Amurkar ke kai wa.
Amurkawa dai sun dade da fara kai hare-hare kan sansanonin mayakan sa-kai masu goyon bayan Iran a Iraki da Siriya. A cikin 'yan watannin nan, wadannan hare-hare sun zama na yau da kullun, na yau da kullun - kamar hare-haren Isra'ila akai-akai zuwa Siriya da Lebanon. Amma wani harin da sojojin Amurka suka kai wanda kuma ya kashe Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi a kasar Siriya, musulmi 'yan Sunna makiya Tehran kuma da Iraniyawa za su yi farin ciki da fatattakarsa.
An yi amfani da Amurkawa ga irin wannan kisa - ko "kisan kisa" kamar yadda Isra'ilawa ke kiran su - suna shafe maƙiyansu lokacin da suka zaɓa. Osama bin Laden shi ne na farko, Baghdadi na biyu, Suleimani na uku. Ire-iren wadannan kashe-kashen na roka ne a kai a kai da Isra’ila ke yi a Gaza, inda ake yawan kashe shugabannin Hamas.
Duk da haka yana da sauƙi a ɗauki waɗannan mutane a matsayin mahimmanci - kamar yadda suke tunani. Sojojin Iran a Siriya, alal misali, galibin Amurka suna wuce gona da iri. Da'awar kasancewar dakarun Quds 10,000 na dakarun juyin juya hali a Siriya ba daidai ba ne. Dubu biyu na iya zama mafi daidaito a kowane lokaci. Gaskiya mazan leken asirin Iran sun warwatsu a Gabas ta Tsakiya. Amma haka ma wakilan Amurka.
Daya daga cikin manyan jami'an leken asiri na Tehran shi ne Ghadanfar Rokon Abadi wanda shi ne mutumin Iran a Beirut, sannan kuma jakadan kasar a can. Watakila ya fi kowa sanin Hizbullah da Siriya kuma ya koma Tehran a shekara ta 2014. Ba da dadewa ba ne 'yan Sunna da aka ruwaito tare da goyon bayan Saudiyya, suka kai harin kunar bakin wake kan ofishin jakadancinsa, inda suka kashe ma'aikatan ofishin jakadancin 23, masu gadin Hizbullah da fararen hula. Rokon Abadi ya tsira. An kashe babban jami'in tsaronsa. Amma a shekarar 2016 ya yi aikin hajji a Makka inda mutane 2,300 – 464 daga cikinsu ‘yan Iran ne – suka mutu a firgici da tarzoma da Iran ta zargi masarautar Saudiyya. Rokon Abadi na cikin su. Watanni kafin a mayar da gawarsa Iran.
Amma a Gabas ta Tsakiya, jami'an leken asiri na cikin hadari ko da yaushe. Wata kungiyar Hizbullah ta tauraron dan adam da ake kira Islamic Jihad ce ta kashe shugaban tashar CIA ta Beirut William Buckley, da Imad Mougnieh, wanda aka ruwaito cewa ya kashe shi - ko kuma mutumin da ya ba da umarnin - an kashe shi ta hanyar bam a cikin mota a Damascus a 2008. A 1983, wani kunar bakin wake ya kashe shi. Wani dan kunar bakin wake ya tayar da bam a babbar motarsa a gaban ofishin jakadancin Amurka da ke birnin Beirut, inda ya kashe mutane 32 tare da shafe yawancin jami'an CIA da ke wani taro a ciki.
Ee, da ƙarin abu ɗaya. Ba za a yi zaben Amurka a wannan shekara ba? Kuma ba ya son Trump ya yi nasara - kuma Soleimani a matsayin wanda ake so a Baghdad zai yi kyau sosai tare da 'yan Republican. Iran ta kasance tana mayar da martani ga zagi ko kai hari ta hanyar jira da jinkirta ramuwar gayya. Ka tuna jiragen dakon mai guda biyu da ake kira da Adrian Darya da Stena Impero? Amma yanzu yana samun sirri.
ZNetwork ana samun kuɗi ta hanyar karimcin masu karatun sa.
Bada Tallafi