Qaphela ukuthi kufana kangakanani ukusebenzisana kwabaphathi bakaTrump ne-Iran kanye neNyakatho Korea? Iphethini kuzo zombili izimo iyingozi, ayinalwazi, futhi nakanjani izohluleka. Izitha zase-US manje ziyaliqonda iphethini; UTrump uyabikezelwa. Nali iphethini:

• UTrump ubukela phansi inqubomgomo yaseMelika ekuphathweni kuka-Obama, unquma ukuyihlehlisa.
• UTrump ugunyaza uhlelo lokwenyuka kwezijeziso ezenzelwe ukuthunaza uhulumeni wesitha.
• Abeluleki bakaTrump benza izimfuno zesitha esizilahla ngokushesha.
• UTrump usabisa isitha ngokubhujiswa ngokuphelele ngaphandle uma izimfuno zase-US zihlangatshezwana nazo, futhi uthumela amabutho ase-US endaweni yezingxabano. Isitha siphendula ngokusabisa kwaso.
• UTrump uyakuziba ukukhathazeka ngamandla empi ashiwo ngamalungu eCongress. Uthi akayifuni impi, (amanga) ethi izinkathazo zobuntu.
• UTrump ushintsha amagiya, manje uthi uzimisele ukukhuluma ngqo nomholi wesitha. Ilandisa ngempilo ephumelelayo izwe lakhe eliyoba nayo uma livumela izimfuno zase-US.
• UTrump udlala iphoyisa elihle: uzibeka njengejuba kanye nabeluleki bakhe abaphezulu bezokuphepha kuzwelonke njengamaphoyisa amabi okufanele awabambe. (“Laba bantu bafuna ukusiqhubezela empini, futhi kuyenyanyeka kakhulu” usanda kusho, ebhekise “kwindilinga yakhe yangaphakathi.”) Uyashintsha futhi, uthi unswinyo oluklanyelwe ukudala ingcindezi yoshintsho kuhulumeni luzohlala kuze kube yilapho isitha sithela izithelo.
• Isitha simemezela ukuthi ngeke siphumelele ngaphansi kokusongelwa, sithi izingxoxo kumele zibandakanye ukwehliswa kwezijeziso. Izinhlangothi zombili zihweba ngezinhlamba zomuntu.
• UTrump, nabeluleki abavumelanayo, andisa unswinyo nezinsongo, uthi uzokhuluma "ngaphandle kwemibandela." Eqinisweni, unombandela omkhulu: isivumelwano sesitha sokunikela kusengaphambili impahla yaso eyinhloko yezingxoxo (njengezikhali zayo zangempela noma ezingase zibe khona). Isitha siphendula ngokukloloda nangezinye izenzo zokudelela.

Ziyaqhubeka kanjalo-ke izinkinga, uTrump eshintshana phakathi kwenkulumo yempi nokudlala umholi omelene nempi. Iqiniso liwukuthi, akafuni impi egcwele kodwa futhi akafuni ukuvumelana ezingxoxweni. Ufuna ukuwina, ngemali eshibhile—isifiso esifanayo ayenaso empilweni yakhe yebhizinisi. Kubizwa ngokuthi i-brinkmanship: “ubuciko” bokufinyelela onqenqemeni ngaphandle kokudlula. Sikubona kwenziwa hhayi kuphela empini yezohwebo neChina, amanani entengo eMexico, ukungezwani neVenezuela, kanye nosongo lokuhoxa emifelandawonye. Udlala umdlalo ofanayo wokudingiswa kwemindeni yabokufika ngisho nemali ekhokhwayo ukuze abantu besifazane bathule.

I-Brinkmanship, isitayela sikaTrump, ihlala ihambisana nobuxhwanguxhwangu: izinsongo zezinto ezimbi ezizayo, ukujeziswa (okubizwa ngokuthi impi yezomnotho), kanye nengcindezi ehlanganisiwe yabalingani abazimisele. Inkinga iwukuthi, kwenzekani lapho isitha singagodli, futhi eqinisweni simelana ngokuqinile nangokwengeziwe?

UMel Gurtov, ogunyazwe ngu PeaceVoice, unguProfesa Emeritus Wesayensi Yezepolitiki e-Portland State University.

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