Ngexesha lokutshabalalisa kukaSirayeli iGaza, enye indaba ephambili yeendaba zoMbindi Mpuma ayikade ibe sematheni. Ngobuso obuthile, ngandlelโ ithile, buye bahlala ukususela oko i-pro-American Shah yase-Iran yabhukuqwa ngabefundisi bobuthixo ngo-1979, ekugqibeleni i-Iran ibonakala ngathi ibetha i-United States ngendlela ebalulekileyo kuwo wonke ummandla. Libali elifuna ukubaliswa.
โBetha i-Iran ngoku. Babethe kakhuluโ yayiyinto eqhelekileyo cebiso enikelwa nguSenator waseRiphabhlikhi uLindsey Graham emva kokuba i-drone eyayiqhutywa ngamajoni ase-Iraqi Shiite ahambelana ne-Iran yabulala abasebenzi abathathu baseMelika kumantla eJordani ngoJanuwari 28. I-Irani ene-Heeled War Lobby eWashington, eneneni, ibibizela kwanto imfutshane kuhlaselo lwase-US kwela lizwe, ityhola uTehran ngokubandakanyeka kuhlaselo luka-Okthobha we-7 lwe-Hamas kwa-Israyeli.
Kungakhathaliseki ukuba i-press esemthethweni yase-Iranian ine-vehemently khanyela isityholo, ngelixa amagosa ezobuntlola zaseMelika ngokukhawuleza gqityiwe ukuba uhlaselo lukaSirayeli lothuse iinkokeli eziphezulu zaseIran. Phakathi kuNovemba, Reuters ingxelo yokuba inkokeli ye-Iranian Ayatollah Ali Khamenei wazisa umntu ophambili we-Hamas, u-Ismail Haniya, ukuba ilizwe lakhe aliyi kungenelela ngokuthe ngqo kwimfazwe yaseGaza, ekubeni uTehran wayengazange alumkiswe malunga nohlaselo lwe-7 ka-Oktobha ngaphambi kokuba luqaliswe. Ngokwenene wayebonakala ecaphukile kukuba iinkokeli zeqela le-Hamas paramilitary, i-Qassam Brigades, zicinga ukuba zingayitsala iTehran kunye namahlakani ayo ngokuthandabuzayo kungquzulwano olukhulu ngaphandle kokubonisana okuncinci. Nangona ekuqaleni babanjwa, njengoko uhlaselo lwase-Israel lwalusiya lusiba noburhalarhume kwaye lungafani, iinkokeli zase-Iran zaqala ngokucacileyo ukubona iindlela zokuyijika imfazwe ibe yinzuzo yengingqi- kwaye bakwenze oko ngobuchule, nanjengoko ulawulo lweBiden lugcwele. -isikali sokwamkela oyena rhulumente ugqithileyo kwimbali yakwa-Israel waphosa idemokhrasi kunye nomthetho wamazwe ngamazwe phantsi kwebhasi.
Ukuhlaselwa kweHamas kwamathumbu kubahlali kumthendeleko womculo kunye nabo bahlala kwiphiko lasekhohlo, i-peacenik Kibbutzim kufuphi nomda we-Israel neGaza ngo-Oktobha 7th ekuqaleni bashiya i-Iran kwindawo engathandekiyo. Kuthiwa ibityibilika abanye $ 70 yezigidi unyaka kwiHamas - nangona iJiphutha neQatar bezibonelele ngenkxaso-mali enkulu eGaza kwaSirayeli isicelo ngokusebenzisa iiakhawunti zebhanki zikarhulumente zakwaSirayeli. Kwaye emva kwamashumi eminyaka elwela injongo yasePalestine, uTehran wayengenakukwazi ukuma kwaye enze nto njengoko uSirayeli wayitshabalalisa iGaza emhlabeni. Kwelinye icala, ii-ayatollah zazingenako ukufumana udumo lokudlalwa njengefiddle ngama-radicals amancinci alo mmandla kwaye atsaleleke kwiimfazwe eziqhelekileyo ilizwe labo elingenako ukuzifikelela.
Ngabantu Abadala Egumbini?
Ngaphandle kweentetho zabo ezivuthayo, inkxaso yabo engenakuphikiswa yamajoni asisiseko kulo mmandla, kunye nokuboniswa kwabo ngookhetshe bemfazwe abangaphakathi eBeltway njengengcambu yabo bonke ububi kuMbindi Mpuma, iinkokeli zase-Iran kudala zisenza izinto njengamandla akhoyo kunamandla. amandla okutshintsha ngokwenene. Baye baluphelisa ulawulo lwe-assad yosapho lwe-assad eSiriya, ngelixa bencedisa urhulumente wase-Iraq owavela emva kokuhlasela kukaMongameli uGeorge W. . Enyanisweni, hayi i-Iran kodwa i-US kunye ne-Israel ngamazwe aye azama kakhulu ukusebenzisa amandla awo ukwenza ngokutsha lo mmandla ngendlela yeNapoleon. Uhlaselo olubi lwase-US kunye nokuhlaliswa kwe-Iraq, kunye neemfazwe zakwaSirayeli eJiphutha (1956, 1967), iLebhanon (1982-2000, 2006), kunye neGaza (2008, 2012, 2014, 2024), kunye nokhuthazo lwayo oluzinzileyo lwezinga elikhulu. i-squatting kwi-West Bank yasePalestina, ngokucacileyo yayijoliswe ekuguquleni i-geopolitics yommandla ngokusisigxina ngokusebenzisa imikhosi yasemkhosini ngomlinganiselo omkhulu.
Kutshanje, uAyatollah Khamenei ngokukrakra Xa ebuzwa, โKutheni iinkokeli zamazwe amaSilamsi zingaluqhawuli esidlangalaleni ulwalamano lwazo norhulumente obulalayo wamaZiyoni zize ziyeke ukunceda lo rhulumente?โ Esalatha kwinani elikhwankqisayo lababhubhileyo kwiphulo langoku likaSirayeli lokulwa neGaza, wayegxile kumazwe angama-ArabhuโiBahrain, iMorocco, iSudan, kunye neUnited Arab Emirates โ ukuba, njengenxalenye yomkhwenyana kaTrump uJared Kushner โIzivumelwano zika-Abraham, โ wawamkela ngokusemthethweni uSirayeli waza waba nolwalamano naye. (Enyanisweni, iJiphutha neJordan zaziwazi uSirayeli kwakudala ngaphambi koko.)
Ngenxa yoluvo oluchasene no-Israyeli kulo mmandla, ukuba, eneneni, belugcwele iidemokhrasi, isikhundla se-Iran sinokuthi siphunyezwe ngokubanzi. Nangona kunjalo, yayiluphawu olwahlukileyo lokungeva kwethowuni yokugcina kwicala lamagosa olawulo lweBiden ukuba bathe ngethemba ukusebenzisa ingxaki yaseGaza ukwandisa iZivumelwano zika-Abraham ukuya eSaudi Arabia, ngelixa ebeka ecaleni amaPalestina kunye nokudala umanyano lwamaSirayeli nama-Arab ngokuchasene ne-Iran.
Lo mmandla wawusele uhambela kwelinye icala ngandlelโ ithile. NgoMatshi ophelileyo, emva kwayo yonke loo nto, i-Iran kunye neSaudi Arabia zaziqalile ku qulunqa ubudlelwane obutsha ngokubuyisela ubudlelwane bezozakuzo obabunqunyanyisiwe ngowama-2016 kunye nokusebenza ukwandisa urhwebo phakathi kwamazwe abo. Kwaye obo budlelwane bunayo kuphela iqhubekile iphucuka njengoko iphupha elibi kwaSirayeli neGaza lalikhula. Enyanisweni, uMongameli wase-Iranian u-Ebrahim Raisi waqala ukutyelela i-capital yase-Saudi, i-Riyadh, ngoNovemba kwaye, ekubeni ingxabano yaseGaza yaqala, uMphathiswa Wezangaphandle u-Hossein Amir-Abdollahian uye wadibana kabini kunye nomlingani wakhe waseSaudi. Uphoxekile ngumgaqo-nkqubo waseMelika owahlulahlula ngokuphawulekayo kulo mmandla, de facto umlawuli waseSaudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman kunye no-Ayatollah Ali Khamenei wase-Iran. kubhengezwe kwiiofisi ezilungileyo zaseBeijing ukuchasa iWashington kunye nokomeleza ubudlelwane babo ngakumbi.
Nangona i-Iran inobutshaba kakhulu ku-Israyeli kune-Saudi Arabia, iinkokeli zabo ziyavuma ukuba iintsuku zokucatshangelwa kwamaPalestina ziphelile. Kwimeko engacacanga ngokuphawulekayo mazwi ikhutshwe ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari, i-Saudis yanikela oku kulandelayo: "UBukumkani buchaze isikhundla sabo esiqinileyo kulawulo lwase-US ukuba akuyi kubakho ubudlelwane bezozakuzo kunye no-Israyeli ngaphandle kokuba ilizwe elizimeleyo lasePalestina lamkelwa kwimida ye-1967 kunye ne-East Jerusalem njengenkunzi yayo, nokuba uhlaselo lwakwaSirayeli kwiGaza Strip luyayeka kwaye yonke imikhosi yamaSirayeli irhoxa kwiGaza Strip. Ngokuphawulekayo, i-Saudis yade yala ukujoyina umkhosi wamanzi okhokelwa yi-US eyenzelwe ukumisa uhlaselo kwiinqanawa zoLwandle oluBomvu yiHouthis yaseYemen (akukho zihlobo zabo) ekuxhaseni amaPalestina. Iinkokeli zayo zicace gca ukuba ziyayazi into yokuba imbubhiso isaqhubeka eGaza nomsindo abaninzi baseSaudis.
Ekupheleni kukaJanuwari, uMongameli uRaisi naye wothusa oonozakuzaku bengingqi ngo Ohambahambayo ukuya e-Ankara kwiingxoxo zorhwebo kunye ne-geopolitics kunye noMongameli waseTurkey u-Recep Tayyip Erdoฤan, omnye umqondiso wendima yelizwe lakhe eguqukayo kummandla. Ekupheleni kotyelelo, ngelixa esayina izivumelwano ezahlukeneyo zokwandisa urhwebo kunye nentsebenziswano, yena umemezele: "Sivumile ukuxhasa injongo yasePalestina, i-axis yokumelana, kunye nokunika abantu basePalestina amalungelo abo afanelekileyo." Asiyonto incinci leyo. Khumbula ukuba iTurkey lilungu le-NATO kwaye ithathwa njengeqabane elisondeleyo lase-United States. Ukuba no-Erdoฤan ngokukhawuleza epholile ukuya e-Iran, ngelixa egxeka iNkulumbuso yase-Israel uBenjamin Netanyahu imfazwe yaseGaza njengemfazwe. Ukubulawa kwabantu ngendlela kaHitler, yayiyimpama engathandabuzekiyo ebusweni bukaWashington.
Ngeli xesha, i-Iran, iTurkey, kunye neRashiya kutshanje ikhuphe i unxibelelwano oludibeneyo oko "kubonise inkxalabo enzulu ngentlekele yobuntu eGaza kwaye kwagxininisa imfuneko yokuphelisa uhlaselo olukhohlakeleyo lwamaSirayeli nxamnye namaPalestina, [ngelixa] kuthunyelwa uncedo loluntu eGaza." Ngokwembono yolawulo lweBiden, ukuqhushumba kweMoscow kwiindawo zabahlali eUkraine kunye nendima yeIran ekutyumzeni abavukeli beSunni Arab eSyria yaba bubugwenxa obufuna ukuhoywa de uNetanyahu ngequbuliso wakhupha umbhobho phantsi kwabo ngokunyusa i-ante kwizenzo zenkohlakalo ukuya kuthi ga ngoku. yini i INkundla yezoBulungisa igwebe inokuthiwa yimbubhiso yohlanga. Inye into eyayicacile: Umzabalazo omde waseWashington wokukhuphela ngaphandle i-Iran kwimpembelelo yengingqi ngoku ngokubonakalayo awuphumelelanga.
Ukunyuka kodumo lwase-Iran
KwiForam yeHlabathi yeGulf (GIF) ngoNovemba ophelileyo, u-Abdullah Baaboud, isifundiswa esidumileyo saseOmani, wathi ukuba kuye kwakho โumgwebo oqatha kaSirayeli ovela eIran naseTurkey, ehlazisa amazwe athile angama-Arabhu angasebenzisi ulwimi olunye. Ixhala lam kukuba olu ngquzulwano lukhokelela ekuxhotyisweni kweTurkey ne-Iran phakathi koluntu lwama-Arabhu. โ Umlawuli olawulayo we-GIF, uDania Thafer, kuvunyelwene. Malunga noluntu, uthe, "Intlungu nomsindo zifikelele kumanqanaba angazange abonwe ngaphambili," wongeza wathi, "ngefoto nganye ephuma eGaza, i-Iran ifumana impembelelo engakumbi kulo mmandla." Ngamafutshane, ngexabiso elincinci ngokumangalisayo, i-Iran iphumelele ngokungalindelekanga idabi loluvo loluntu lwengingqi kwaye ukuma kwayo kwilizwe lama-Arabhu kunyuke ngokumangalisayo. Ngeli xesha, isidima se-United States sonakaliswe ngokungacimekiyo yinkxaso egcweleyo yaseWashington kwinto ebonwa luninzi kulo mmandla njengokubulala ngokungenalusini amawakawaka abantwana nabanye abantu abamsulwa.
Uluvo lwamva nje poll zama-Arabhu kumazwe ali-16, aqhutywa ngokudibeneyo liZiko lama-Arabhu eWashington, DC, kunye neZiko lama-Arabhu loPhando noMgaqo-nkqubo wezifundo eDoha, eQatar, lafumanisa ukuba ama-94 ekhulwini awo ayigqala โimbiโ imeko yaseMerika kwimfazwe yakwaSirayeli. Ngokwahlukileyo, i-48% eyothusayo yabo ithathele ingqalelo indawo yase-Iranian entle. Ukuqonda ukuba kwakumangalisa kangakanani oko kufunyanisiweyo, cinga ukuba a bakaGallup I-poll eyenziwa ngo-2022 yafumanisa ukuba igama le-Shiite Iran yayiludaka kumazwe amaninzi e-Sunni Arab kwaye ukuvunywa kobunkokeli bayo kwehle ndaweni ithile phakathi kwe-10% kunye ne-20%.
Kwiinyanga zamva nje, i-Iran isebenzise ngokumangalisayo ubuthathaka betyala laseWashington kulo mmandla. Ngelixa iSebe likarhulumente lithanda ukuthelekisa "ubuzwilakhe" be-Iran kunye "nobuntu bedemokhrasi," kutsha nje isithethi sesebe lezangaphandle uNasser Kanaani. ya phawula, "Intlekele eGaza yasusa isigqubuthelo ebusweni babo babizwa ngokuba ngabameli bamalungelo oluntu kwaye yabonisa ubungakanani bobubi, inkohlakalo, kunye nobuxoki obufihliweyo kulawulo lwakwa-Israel, abaxhasi babo babedla ngokubhekisela kuyo] njengophawu lwedemokhrasi.โ Nangona i-Iran iphakathi kwezona rekhodi zibi kakhulu zamalungelo oluntu, uNetanyahu ude wakwazi ukukususa oko.
Ukulahlekelwa nguMbindi Mpuma, iWashington-Style
Amaqabane e-Iran kulo mmandla abandakanya amajoni e-Iraqi Shiite afana ne Party kaThixo Brigades (Kata'ib Hizbullah), eyaqala ukuzuza udumo kumzabalazo ochasene neqela labanqolobi be-ISIL ukusuka kwi-2014 ukuya ku-2018. Leyo yayiyiminyaka apho umkhosi oqhelekileyo wase-Iraqi wawuwile kwaye wawusakhiwa ngokuthe ngcembe. IWashington yayigxile ekutshabalaliseni i-ISIL ngoko kwaye yaphuhlisa isilumkiso ide facto Umanyano kunye nabo kwiphulo labo lokutshabalalisa โulawulo-mkhosi.โ NgoJanuwari 2020, nangona kunjalo, uMongameli uTrump wayenoxanduva lokubulawa kwenkokeli yeqela, u-Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, kunye ne-Iranian General Qasem Soleimani, emva nje kokufika kwabo ngenqwelomoya kwisikhululo seenqwelomoya i-Baghdad International, kwinto ekubonakala ukuba yayilinge lokuthintela. kubo, ngokusebenzisa Iraqis, ukusuka ku qulunqa isivumelwano kunye neSaudi Arabia ukunciphisa ukungavisisani neIran.
Olo hlaselo lwakhokelela kungquzulwano olwathatha ixesha elide, olunobunzulu obuphantsi phakathi kwamajoni angamaShiite aseIraq kunye nama-2,500 aseleyo amajoni aseMelika awayemi apho. Ngokuqala kongquzulwano lweGaza ngo-Okthobha ophelileyo, iQela likaThixo Brigades laqalisa ukuphehlelela iinqwelo-moya kunye needrone ngokuchasene neziseko zomkhosi zase-Iraq ezisindleke amajoni aseMelika, kunye nakwiziseko ezincinci zokusebenza eziya phambili kumazantsi mpuma eSyria apho amajoni angama-900 ase-US amisiweyo. Ixhasa iiKurds zaseSyria ekuqaliseni imisebenzi echasene ne-ISIL. Emva kokuhlaselwa okungaphezulu kwe-150, ngoJanuwari 28th enye yeedrones zabo yabetha i-Tower 22, isiseko senkxaso apho imikhosi yase-US yayimi emantla eJordani, lokubulala amajoni amathathu aseMelika, ngelixa enzakalise amashumi amaninzi.
Iinkokeli zase-Iran ngokubanzi ziyayixhasa loo mikhosi yamaShiite, kodwa ukuba banento yokwenza nohlaselo lwe-Tower 22 ayikaziwa. Amagosa eTehran, nangona kunjalo, ngokukhawuleza ayibona ingozi yokunyuka emva kokuba imikhosi yaseMelika ibulewe. Kwaye eneneni, abalawuli beBiden baphendule ngohlaselo lomoya oluninzi kwiziseko kunye nezixhobo zeParty of God Brigades eIraq naseSyria. Washington Post Iintatheli zaxelelwa ngamagosa ase-Iraq naseLebhanon ukuba i-Iran ibongoze isilumkiso kwimikhosi enesiphumo esicacileyo. Uhlaselo lwabo kwiziseko ezibambe imikhosi yase-US lwayekiswa. Kwangaxeshanye, ipalamente yaseIraq kunye norhulumente khalaza ngokukrakra malunga nokuphulwa kweWashington ulongamo lwelizwe, ngelixa iphakamisa amalungiselelo okunyanzela ukurhoxiswa kwemikhosi yokugqibela yase-US kumhlaba wabo. Ngamanye amazwi, uMongameli u-Biden wayeyixhasa kabukhali imfazwe yakwaSirayeli, isigqibo sakhe sokuba ukwandisa ukuthunyelwa kwezixhobo kweli lizwe, kwaye ukuqhushumbisa kwakhe amajoni axhasa iPalestine kusenokwenzeka ukuba kukhokelele ekuphunyezweni kwenjongo yase-Irani ekudala ikho: ukubona imikhosi yaseMelika ekugqibeleni iyishiya i-Iraq.
Ngeli xesha, kumazantsi eLebhanon, apho iqela le-Hezbollah belitshintshiselana ngomlilo ngamaxesha athile kunye nemikhosi yakwa-Israyeli ukuxhasa iGaza, ngokutsho isikhundla Iintatheli, omnye umntu we-Hezbollah wabaxelela ukuba umyalezo we-Iran wawusithi: "Asinamdla wokunika iNkulumbuso yase-Israel uBenjamin Netanyahu nasiphi na isizathu sokusungula imfazwe ebanzi eLebhanon okanye naphi na." Iimfazwe azinakuqikelelwa, kwaye umda weLebhanon-uSirayeli usenokuqhambuka ngendlela emangalisayo. Ngapha koko, izicelo zase-Iranian zokuthinjwa zibonakala zinefuthe elincinci kakhulu kubunkokeli beHouthi kwikomkhulu laseYemen, i-Sanaa, ekhokelela kwiphulo eliqhubekayo lokuqhushumba kwe-American ne-Bhritane kweso sixeko nakwenye indawo kweli lizwe elithe ukuza kuthi ga ngoku lenze kancinci ukumisa umjukujelwa weHouthi kwaye idrone ihlasela iinqanawa kuLwandle Olubomvu.
Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, nangona kunjalo, ngaphandle kwesibongozo seRiphabhlikhi sokutshabalalisa i-Iran, iinkokeli zelizwe ziye zathatha ithuba lokuxhwarha eGaza (apho umkhosi wakwa-Israel uye wabulala i-Iran). bulawa abantu abaninzi abangalwiyo suku ngalunye kunabalweli bemfazwe kulo naluphi na olunye ungquzulwano kule nkulungwane). Ii-ayatollahs ziye zakwandisa kakhulu ukuthandwa kwazo naphakathi koluntu lwama-Arabhu namaSilamsi olwalungazange lubabonise inceba ngaphambili. Baye bomeleza ubudlelwane babo kunye namaShiites ase-Iraq kwaye banokufikelela ekugqibeleni ekufezekiseni injongo yabo yokuphelisa imikhosi yase-US e-Iraq naseSiriya.
Baye bazuza ubudlelwane obusondeleyo neTurkey, ngelixa bephucula ubudlelwane neSaudi Arabia kunye namanye amazwe e-oyile eGulf Arab. Ngokwenza njalo, baye bayenza imfiliba injongo yolawulo lwe-Biden yokubeka i-Iran ngelixa bebophelela amazwe atyebileyo angama-Arabhu ngokungqongqo ngakumbi ku-Israyeli ngezixhobo kunye nezivumelwano zobugcisa obuphezulu.
Ukongeza, ngokuxhaswa kwayo kunye nokuxhobisa u-Israyeli kwezi nyanga zinzima zokugqibela, iWashington yenze intlekisa ngamanqaku okuthetha ngamalungelo oluntu i-US kudala iwathumela ngokuchasene neIran. Kule nkqubo, uJoe Biden wenze ngaphezulu kunaye nawuphi na umongameli wakutsha nje ukujongela phantsi umthetho wobuntu wamazwe ngamazwe kunye nemigaqo yedemokhrasi kwihlabathi jikelele. Nge I-94% yabaphenduli be-Arab ukujonga umgaqo-nkqubo waseMelika kummandla "njengembi," into enye icacile: okomzuzwana ubuncinane, i-Iran iphumelele uMbindi Mpuma.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa ngemali kuphela ngesisa sabafundi bayo.
Nikela