Pamberi pemusangano weChipiri wevatungamiriri veCongress kuWhite House, vezvehupfumi nedzimwe nyanzvi vakavandudza yambiro nezve izvo GOP yakatyisidzira yekutanga-yeUS default - kana kutouya zvine hungwaru padyo nayo - inogona kureva nyika.
"Chero nguva ingave yakaipa nguva yekutadza, asi izvozvi, kunyanya, ingave yakaipisisa," akati Mike Konczal, director of macroeconomic analysis kuRoosevelt Institute, panguva yemusangano wevatori venhau neMuvhuro. "Chirongwa chekuchengetedza izvozvi ndechekuedza kudzikisira mararamiro evanhu vazhinji pasina kuve neminwe yavo pairi."
Pachena backed nevazhinji veSeneti Republicans, Imba GOP - inotungamirwa naMutauriri Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) - iri kukurudzira kudzikiswa kwakakura pakushandisa mari yemubatanidzwa, sekujekeswa kwazvinoitwa mune zvinodaidzwa kuti. Kuganhurira, Chengetedza, Kura Mutemo ivo yakapfuura mwedzi wapfuura. Bhiri iri, rakanzi neSeneti Majority Mutungamiriri Chuck Schumer (D-NY) "vakafa pakusvika," raizosimudza chikwereti siringi nemadhora 1.5 tiririyoni kana kusvika Kurume 31, 2024, neimwe nzira nekunetseka kwakanyanya uye kumusana kwevanhu vanoshanda.
Mushure memwedzi ye zero kufambira mberi pakuwedzera muganho wechikwereti uye pakati inofungidzirwa kubva kuMunyori wePfuma Janet Yellen uye vamwe kuti hurumende yeUS inogona kushaya mari yekubhadhara mabhiri ayo nekukurumidza muna Chikumi 1, Mutungamiri Joe Biden anotarisirwa kugamuchira McCarthy, Schumer, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) uye Seneti Vashoma Mutungamiri Mitch McConnell (R. -Ky.) na4:00 pm ET.
"Hatigone kubvumidza vanopfurikidza mwero muImba kuti vakumbire rudzikinuro mukutsinhana nekusakanganisa hupfumi hwedu."
"Mutungamiriri weBiden vachakurukura nezvechimbichimbi yekudzivirira kusamira uye kushushikana kuti Congress inofanirwa kutora danho kudzivirira kusavapo pasina mamiriro," Michael Kikukawa, mutauriri weWhite House, akati mukutaura kuya The Washington Post kutanga kweChipiri. "Achakurukura maitiro ekutanga hurongwa hwakasiyana hwekugadzirisa bhajeti uye kugoverwa kweFY2024."
Kunyangwe mavhoti akafanana pasi pevatungamiri veGOP, House Republicans inoramba ichiramba kupasa bhiri rakachena richikwidza nyika yekukwereta zvisina tsarukano - uye bhajeti reBiden. chakashama tichitarisa muna Kurume, inoratidzira huru yemagariro upfumi yakabhadharwa ne kukwira mutero kunangana nevanhu vakapfuma nemakambani, kunosiyana zvakanyanya nezvinokosheswa neGOP, zvichisiya vashoma vane tarisiro pamusoro pemusangano.
Zvakadaro, Claire Guzdar, mutauriri wemubatanidzwa weProsperUS - uyo unoumbwa nemapoka anopfuura makumi masere neshanu anofambira mberi - akazivisa neChipiri kuti "Congress neWhite House vanofanirwa kukurumidza kupasisa bhiri rechikwereti chakachena nguva isati yakwana. Hatigoni kubvumira vanonyanyisa muImba kuti vade rudzikinuro runoparadza mukuchinjana nekusakanganisa hupfumi hwedu - nguva. "
"Iyo Republican House yakawanda inonyadzisa default bhiri haishande zvachose. Hurongwa hwavo hwakazara nekusafarirwa uye kukuvadza kuchekwa kwehutano, rubatsiro rwechikafu, mabasa emagetsi akachena nezvimwe, "akadaro Guzdar. “Bhiri iri rinoshungurudza vashandi nehupfumi asi hapana chavari kuita kuti makambani uye vapfumi vabhadhare mari yavo. Kutaurirana pamusoro pemuganho wechikwereti kunofanira kunge kusiri kutanga chero nguva uye kurambwa nekukasira sekuyedza kupinza hupfumi hwedu munjodzi. "
Nyanzvi dzinoyambira kuti "hatikwanise kumisa kufambira mberi kwehupfumi kwatakaita mumakore maviri apfuura," sekutaura kwakaita director weGroundwork Collaborative Lindsay Owens pamusangano weMuvhuro nevamwe vezvehupfumi.
"Mutungamiri Biden havafanirwe kubvuma kutaurirana nezve chibvumirano chikwereti siringi izvo zvinowedzera kushaikwa kwemabasa kana kuti kunonotsa kukura—kwete apo [kune] zviuru zvenzira dziri nyore uye dzakapfava dzokunzvenga kusakundikana,” akadaro. “Tiri pamakore 53 rekodhi yakaderera mukushaikwa kwemabasa. Ringave nhamo inoshamisa kukanganisa mabhenefiti atiri kuona mumusika wevashandi, kunyanya kuvashandi vanoshorwa. "
Saizvozvo achisimbisa kuti "musika wevashandi uri kutanga kuunza mhindu kune vashandi vanowanzove vekupedzisira kubhadharwa uye kutanga kudzingwa," mukuru weDemos wezvirongwa Angela Hanks akati "kubiridzira kune njodzi pamusoro pe chikwereti siringi uye chinzvimbo chekunyanyisa chakaitwa naMutauriri McCarthy chiri kutyisidzira zvakanyanya kufambira mberi uye chinotyisidzira kukonzeresa kudzikira.
MaRepublicans akakurudzira kuderedzwa kwekushandisa "kuchatakurwa nevanhu vakatosarudzika ... vasingakwanise kuita rimwe dambudziko rehupfumi rinokonzerwa nezvematongerwo enyika," Hanks akayambira. "Kutadza uku kungave dambudziko kuhupfumi hwedu uye demokrasi yedu, uye zvinotyisidzira kuparadza nharaunda munyika yose."
"Iyo ine njodzi yekudzivirira pamusoro pechikwereti uye chinzvimbo chekunyanyisa icho Mutauriri McCarthy aburitsa zvinoisa kutyisidzira kukuru kubudiriro uye kunotyisidzira kukonzeresa kuderera."
Kusagadzikana uku kwapa kuti vamwe vakurudzire White House kuti itore danho rimwe chete kana vamiriri veGOP vakaramba vachibata hupfumi hwenyika. Sarudzo dzinosanganisira kureva nhema mari yeplatinum inokosha $1 trillion uye kusheedzera chikamu che14th Amendment kuBumbiro reMitemo reU.S. chinoti huchokwadi hwechikwereti chenyika "hachizobvunzwe."
Vatsigiri uye vanopikisa nzira yechigumi nemana yekuvandudza vakurudzira kuti Biden kuikoka kunogona kutungamira kumutongo wakakodzera nedare repamusoro reUS. Mutongo wakadai unogona kunge watove mumabasa, nekuda kwedare redzimhosva rakakwidzwa neMuvhuro neNational Association of Government Employees, iro rine chinangwa chekuti mutemo wechikwereti unzi hauenderane nebumbiro remutemo.
Robert Hockett, purofesa wezvemitemo paCornell University uye gurukota guru reWestwood Capital akamboshanda kuFederal Reserve Bank yeNew York neInternational Monetary Fund, Akaudzwa ari Post Muvhuro kuti "Handifunge kuti Dare Repamusorosoro rakagadzirira kuunza dambudziko rezvemari pasi rose nekutsvaga mukufarira maRepublicans."
"Ini ndinofunga kuti Dare Repamusorosoro richakurumidza kuongorora izvi nekukurumidza, uye nechikonzero ichocho, handifunge kuti tichaona mhirizhonga inotyisa mumisika," akadaro. "Ini ndinofunga tingaite mhirizhonga kana tikamirira kuti tione kana McCarthy naBiden vachiuya pekugara."
Mune Chipiri maonero chidimbu che The New York Times, Hockett akanyora kuti kana U.S. ikatadza, “tichaona kuzununguka kukuru—kana kusiri kwakaipisisa—kwebhanga reU.S., misika yezvemari yeU.S., uye misika huru yenyika.”
Hockett akaenderera mberi achiti:
Chimwe chinhu, US Treasury securities, mutengo wepamusoro $24 trillion (kusvika kure, musika mukuru weasset munyika), vari iyo yekutanga safe asset inobatwa mumabhangi, homwe yepenjeni, mutual fund, uye mamwe mapotifolio ebhizinesi. Dambudziko redu remabhanga redunhu riripo rinosanganisira Silicon Valley Bhangi uye zvimwe zviri kuitika mukupindura kuderera kushoma, kwechinguvana mukukosha kwePfuma yakaderera-goho zvakanyanya nekuda kweFed's mubereko unokwira. Kusarudzika chaiko kunozotisiya tisina kugadzikana nekuda kwekufananidza kugadzikana kweiyi nguva inonetsa.
Taizongoonawo kukurumidza kunyura mukukosha kwedhora pasi rose sechinhu chepasi rose chekuchengetedza. Kukosha kwemari yedu kune vamwe kwakadzika midzi mukati kudiwa kwepasi rose kwemidziyo yezvemari yemadhora, kubvira takasiya hukuru hwedu semutengesi wezvinhu kuChina. Sezvo kuchengetedzwa kweTreasury kuri iko kwakanyanya kusimba pfuma, siraidhi yavo ingave iri dhora. Izvi zvinokurumidza kupa zvinhu kunze kwenyika, izvo zvatinoramba tichivimba nazvo, zvinodhura zvakanyanya. Inflation inogona kutaridzika seyeArgentina kana Russia makore makumi maviri apfuura kupfuura yemazuva ano kana 20s.
Izvi hazvireve chinhu nezvekusakwanisa kwedu kuchengetedza zvigaro zvedu zvemauto uye zvimwe zvinhu kunze kwenyika uye kubhadhara zviuru zvemauto eUS.
"Kunyange tarisiro yakakomba yekutadza kweUS inogona kukurumidza kukwidza mari yekubhadhara chikwereti, zvichiita kuti dhizaini yedu ive yakakura kupfuura zvayave ikozvino - mhedzisiro inopesana nevanozviti veRepublicans 'vane hanya nekusunga kukwira kwechikwereti kune kuderedzwa kukuru kwebhajeti," akawedzera. vachikurudzira kupera kwemuganho wechikwereti, unobva kumutemo wa1917. "Ngatipedzei zvino zvisina musoro."
Mushure mekutsanangura zvinokonzeresa kusarudzika-kusanganisira kudzikiswa kuInflation Reduction Act mamiriro emamiriro ekunze ayo "angangove nenjodzi" - nyanzvi dzeEconomic Policy Institute Josh Bivens naSamantha Sanders zvakare. akadaro NeChipiri kuti "zvese izvi zvinoda kubviswa kwechikwereti kuitira kuti veruzhinji vasatarisire hupfumi hwenyika kuti husangane nehurongwa hwayo mune ramangwana."
"Asi chii chinoita kuti muganho wechikwereti wanhasi uwedzere kushata ndeyekuti sei zvakajairwa zvave-kazhinji ne kurudziro yevakawanda muD.C. kugadzira mitemo ndiani anofanira kuziva zviri nani,” vaviri ava vakawedzera. "Kana iyi dhiraivha yekumisa zvikwereti muganho isingakonzere kuparara kwehupfumi panguva ino, tese tinoziva kwainotungamira nguva inotevera."
Ichi chinyorwa chakagadziridzwa pamwe nekutaura kubva kuEconomic Policy Institute.
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
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