Dambudziko remauto muIraq harina kukonzerwa nekubviswa kweMutungamiriri Barack Obama "nguva isati yakwana" kana kusaona zviri mberi nebato rinopesana nehondo. Asi, mhedzisiro yakanangana neUS kusiya maSunni eIraq kune imwe chitendero, inodzvinyirira Shiite hutongi muBaghdad inotsigirwa uye yakashongedzerwa neUS. Hutongi hweBaghdad hwakavakwa nehutungamiriri hwaBush naObama ishamwari yeIran uye muvengi mukuru wevaSunni avo vaimbove kirasi yakasarudzika pasi paSaddam Hussein. Haisi tsaona kuti maShiite aizotsiva maSunni. Mubvunzo chete ndewekuti nei takachengeta fungidziro dze "pluralism" uye "democracy" uku kucheneswa kwemadzinza kwevaSunni kwakaenderera mberi tichitarisa.
Kurambidzwa kwevaSunni kwakatungamira mukurwiswa kwemauto neISIS uye zvimwe zveyaimbova Baath Party. ISIS haigone kumiswa nemaShiites, kunyangwe iine simba remhepo reUS, uye havangangomiswa nekuzeya nezvematongerwo enyika eBaghdad uye rhetoric nezve "kubatanidzwa." Kupihwa chete kwekuzvimiririra kwese kune veSunni, kwakafanana nekuzvitonga kweIraqi Kurdistan, ichapa iyo inomiririra, chengetedzo, uye kugovana simba kweiyo maSunni anodiwa munyika itsva yemubatanidzwa.
ISIS yakakura kubva kumajeri anopihwa mari neUS muProvince yeAnbar, sezvakangoita akatangira, Al Qaeda, akamuka munzvimbo imwechete yerenje. Pane musiyano wakakosha pakati pevaSunni vanotsvaga basa rekuzvimiririra muIraq nyowani uye avo vanoshuvira Caliphate umo miganhu yese inonyangarika. Avo vanoda kuchengetedza nyika yenyika yeIraqi vanofanirwa kuterera kune iyi yakakosha mutsauko wepfungwa pakati pevaSunni uye kuita chibvumirano chakakura nekukurumidza sezvinobvira. Zvikasadaro ramangwana nderimwe rehondo yevagari vemo umo vanhu vekuAmerica vasina kufarira.
Iyo ISIS inogumbura inoitwa zvakare kuti igoneke neSyria kuve nzvimbo yakakura yekumashure yekumukira muIraq. Icho chigadziko chekumashure chinogoneka nemakore ekupikisa kweSunni kune vashoma veAlawite hutongi muDhamasiko. Ndichiri kudaidzira kupera kwehudzvanyiriri hweAssad, US yanga isingade kuisa pangozi kubatsira mukupidigura kwayo. Nekuda kweizvozvo, ISIS yakawana simba muSyria muhondo yevamiriri veboka nemamwe maanti-Assad anotsigirwa neWest. Kuparara kwaAssad kunogona kupatsanura huwandu hwehupanduki pakati peavo vanoda shanduko mudunhu reSyria nevaya vanoda kuisa Caliphate isina miganhu, kudzima Syria neIraq mukuita.
Tsanangudzo yakawandisa yakashandiswa pakutyisidzira kwechisimba kwakangoerekana kwaitwa neISIS uye pasina kana mubvunzo wekuti tingatarisana sei neISIS pakusasimba kwayo kwezvematongerwo enyika: kusimuka kwayo kune zvirevo zvekuve iyo muzinda mutsva wenyika yese yeMuslim. Chirevo ichocho chinorambwa nemamiriyoni evaSunni mumatunhu akawanda, uye zvinozotungamira mukusiyana kwemukati, izvo zvinozonetesa ISIS kubva mukati.
Chikonzero icho ISIS ichida kuti maAmerican neveMadokero vabhombe uye vapinde munharaunda yavo imhaka yekuti vanoziva kuti hutsinye hwekunze ndiyo nzira yechokwadi yekubatanidza maSunni ese.
Saka chii chinofanira kukumbirwa kuti Obama afunge?
Kutanga, tsvaga mvumo yeCongressional uye iyo yakakura kwazvo gakava rezvematongerwo enyika. Usazviendera wega.
Chechipiri, taura kakawanda kuti hapana mhinduro yemauto.
Chechitatu, nzwisisa kuti kurwiswa kwedrone kuchave kuoneka zvakanyanya kupfuura zvave munzvimbo dzisingasvikiki dzemadzinza eAfghanistan, kwavakanetsana zvakanyanya. Deredza chiyero uye chinangwa chekurwiswa chero kwemuchadenga, uye gamuchira nguva pfupi inoenderana neWar Powers Resolution.
Chechina, chero "mabhutsu pasi" anofanirwa kunge ari maSunni uye anotsigirwa munyika dzeArab. Kana mubatanidzwa iwoyo usingadi, mutemo weUS unoputsika.
Chechishanu, pikisa "inotsvedza" nekutarisa kukwira kwakasimba kweAmerican Special Forces, zvikwata zvehungwaru nevapi vezano.
Yechitanhatu, simbisa mutemo weUS Leahy unorambidza chero rubatsiro kumauto ekunze anotyora tsika dzekodzero dzevanhu. Izvi zvinoreva kucheneswa kuzere kweShiite Special Forces, mauto nemapurisa.
Chechinomwe, kuramba kutsigira hutongi hweBaghdad kunze kwekunge mitemo yayo yemasekete yabviswa zvachose.
Yesere, kuita hukasha diplomacy kuUnited Nations, kunyanya kusanganisira kusangana neIran neRussia.
Pamusoro pezvose, rangarira kuti chinangwa cheUS muIraq chaive "kukanganisa, kusvibisa uye kukanganisa" Al Qaeda, uye mushure mekuuraya zviuru zvevanhu, network haisipo chete asi yakapararira kure kuMiddle East neNorth Africa. Izvi ndizvo zvinoitika kana zvikonzero zvinoraswa sekunge zvisipo.
ZNetwork inopihwa mari chete kuburikidza nerupo rwevaverengi vayo.
dhoneta