Yayin da gasar wasannin Copenhagen ke gabatowa kololuwarta, har yanzu babu tabbacin cewa a karshen wannan mako za a samar da wata cikakkiyar yarjejeniya ta kasa da kasa da za ta taimaka wajen sauya fuskar duniya nan da tsakiyar karni na 21.
Wannan, yadda ya kamata, shine ƙalubalen: don rage gurɓataccen gurɓataccen iska - musamman hayaƙin carbon dioxide - ta yadda sakamakon shekaru da yawa, har ma da ƙarni, na sakaci za a iya fara ragewa cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci kuma a sake komawa cikin dogon lokaci.
Babban girman matsalar ba zai iya zama uzuri na rashin aiki ba, ba ko kaɗan ba idan aka fuskanci shaidun da ke nuna cewa yanayi ya tabarbare cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata, bayan an fara fahimtar manyan batutuwan da ke hannunsu, duk da haka waɗanda ke cikin Matsayin da ya fi dacewa ya ɗauki hanya mafi sauƙi ta hanyar ba da wasu kalmomi lokacin da bikin ya buƙaci haka, ba tare da yin wani abu ba.
Taron muhalli na Rio na 1992 don haka bai haifar da komai ba kwata-kwata. Shekaru biyar bayan haka, an shayar da yarjejeniyar Kyoto ta yadda Bill Clinton ya kawo kansa ya ba ta. Amma abin ya kasance ba shi da amfani idan aka kwatanta da babbar mai gurɓata muhalli a duniya, saboda Amurka ba ta taɓa sanya hannu kan yarjejeniyar ba. Wannan kuma ya ba da wata hanya ga 'yan adawa irin su Ostiraliya, wadanda suka ki yin hakan har sai da gwamnatin John Howard, a karshe, aka hambarar da zaben shekaru 10 bayan Kyoto.
Sabon Firayim Minista a Canberra, Kevin Rudd, da sauri ya sanya hannu kan yarjejeniyar Kyoto, amma gwamnatinsa ta tsara wani tsarin cinikin hayaki wanda ya kusan zama maras ma'ana - kuma, duk da haka, babbar jam'iyyar adawa ta Liberal Party (wanda, duk da nade-nade na yaudara). daidai yake da jam'iyyu masu ra'ayin mazan jiya a wasu wurare a Yamma) suna jin cewa wajibi ne su yi watsi da shugabanta, wanda ya goyi bayan wani tsari mai sauƙi na tsarin Rudd's Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme.
Sabon shugaban jam'iyyar masu sassaucin ra'ayi, Tony Abbott, ya ki amincewa da cewa akwai wani abu kamar sauyin yanayi. Abin takaici, ba shi kaɗai ba ne, ko dai a Ostiraliya ko kuma a duniya baki ɗaya.
Wasu daga cikin shakku game da sauyin yanayi na ɗan adam ya ta'allaka ne a kan ra'ayin cewa idan masana yanayi za su iya zama sananne kuskure game da yanayin gobe, ta yaya wani zai iya samun kyakkyawar fahimta game da yadda yanayin duniya zai kasance a cikin shekaru goma ko biyar?
Gabaɗaya magana, shakku sifa ce mai kyawawa - ba ko kaɗan a matsayin daidaitawa ga kishin addini ba. Kuma ba shi da wuya a ga yadda za a iya fassara fitar da wasu masu fafutuka masu adawa da sauyin yanayi a matsayin iyaka da tsattsauran ra'ayi.
Halin da ba a yanke hukunci ba-da-baki babu makawa ya sa wasu su gan shi a matsayin wuce gona da iri. Tarihin duniya, bayan haka, yana cike da misalan sauyin yanayi, wasunsu suna da tsauri. Ɗaya daga cikin bayani game da bacewar dinosaur, alal misali, ya ɗauka cewa sun mutu a cikin yanayin lokacin ƙanƙara - wanda babu wanda ya ɗauki salon rayuwar Tyrannosaurus Rex da alhakin.
Menene ƙari, masu fafutuka na muhalli akai-akai suna ambaton abubuwan da suka faru kamar guguwa, guguwa da fari a matsayin shaidar sauyin yanayi, yayin da a bayyane yake cewa waɗannan al'amura sun kasance an shaida shekaru aru-aru, tun kafin Milton ya zama “makamin satan mai duhu” ya zama injuna. juyin juya halin masana'antu.
Yawancin hakan na iya zama wanda ba za a iya cece su ba, amma bai bayyana adadin da kuma tsananin abubuwan da suka faru a cikin 'yan shekarun nan ba - hadewar fari da ambaliya, alal misali, a cikin wani yanki mai iyaka, balle a ce an yi hasashen hauhawar yanayin yanayin duniya a nan gaba. shekaru 90.
Riposte ga masu shakka gabaɗaya ya ƙunshi gargaɗin: hey, menene idan shakkar ku ta ɓace? Ko da akwai kashi 50 cikin XNUMX, ko ƙarami, damar cewa hasashen bala'i ya ɓace, shin ba shi da ma'ana don ɗaukar matakin da, mafi munin, ba zai yi wani lahani ba? Ta yaya zai iya zama mara amfani don rage ƙazanta, alal misali, domin dukanmu mu sami sauƙin numfashi.
Adawa ga hujjojin da ba za a iya warwarewa ba irin wannan ya zo ne musamman daga waɗanda suke yin riya a matsayin masu shakka amma a zahiri masu ƙaryatawa: a cikin wasu kalmomi, waɗanda suka yarda, a gaban manyan shaidun akasin haka, cewa ayyukan ɗan adam ba su da alaƙa da sauyin yanayi. da kuma cewa dukkan hullabaloo wata makarkashiya ce ta akida da nufin sake rabon dukiya.
Babban misali na wauta da ke da alaƙa da irin waɗannan ra'ayoyin Charles Krauthammer ne ya ba da shi (duk wani cikakken ɗan Nazi da zai yi alfahari da wannan sunan mahaifi, amma ban yi shi ba), wanda ya lura a cikin shafinsa a The Washington Post makon da ya gabata. cewa yayin da Reagan-Thatcher ya haɗu ya hana yaƙin neman zaɓe na Sabuwar Dokar Tattalin Arziki ta Duniya ("Opec," in ji shi ba tare da damuwa ba, "yana cire mafi girman arziƙi daga masu arziki zuwa matalauta a tarihi"), farmaki kan tukwane na zinariya na Yammacin Turai. Babban dalilin da ya sa "mahimmancin sanya haraji ga 'yan ƙasa masu aiki tuƙuru na dimokuradiyya don cike taskokin kleptocracies na duniya na uku".
Cewa akwai kleptocracies a cikin Duniya ta Uku ba za a iya shakka sosai. To amma gwamnatoci da taskun kasashen da ake kira dimokuradiyya a kasashen Yamma su ma sun bar abin da ake so - ba ko kadan ba idan ana batun tantance wadanda za su biya kudaden almubazzaranci.
A Copenhagen, mafi yawan kananan hukumomi masu tasowa suna neman diyya saboda wahalar da suka yi na abin da suka taka rawa wajen cimmawa. Yana ɗaukar wani mataki na ɓacin rai don rashin yarda da wannan ƙarshe, musamman a yanayin al'ummomin da a zahiri ke fuskantar barazanar nutsewa a nan gaba. Bukatar biyan diyya daga wadanda suka ba da gudummawa mafi kankanta ga dumamar yanayi ba shakka ya kamata a kula.
Duk da kuskuren kuskurensa akan Afghanistan, Barack Obama ba Charles Krauthammer bane. Haka kuma Gordon Brown, Kevin Rudd, Angela Merkel ko kuma, Nicolas Sarkozy ba.
Ba za a iya sanya bangaskiya mai yawa a cikin ɗayansu ba. Amma a Copenhagen, suna da damar da za su tabbatar da irin ni da George Monbiot ba daidai ba. Bari su yi haka.
email: [email kariya]
ZNetwork ana samun kuɗi ta hanyar karimcin masu karatun sa.
Bada Tallafi