Gabanin taron shugabannin majalissar a ranar Talata a Fadar White House, masana tattalin arziki da sauran masana sun sabunta gargadi game da abin da GOP ya yi barazanar gazawar Amurka ta farko - ko ma kusanci da ita - na iya ma'ana ga kasar.
"Kowane lokaci zai zama mummunan lokacin tsoho, amma a yanzu, musamman, zai zama babban bala'i," ya ce Mike Konczal, darektan nazarin tattalin arziki na macroeconomic a Cibiyar Roosevelt, yayin taron manema labarai na Litinin. "Ajandar masu ra'ayin mazan jiya a yanzu ita ce a yi ƙoƙarin rage darajar rayuwa ga mutane da yawa ba tare da sun sami sawun yatsa ba."
A bayyane goyon baya Yawancin 'yan Republican na Majalisar Dattijai, GOP House - wanda Shugaban Majalisar Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) ya jagoranci - yana matsawa don rage yawan kudaden tarayya, kamar yadda aka bayyana a cikin abin da ake kira. Iyaka, Ajiye, Dokar Girma su ya wuce watan da ya gabata. Kudirin, wanda shugaban masu rinjaye na Majalisar Dattawa Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) ya kira "matattu lokacin isowa," zai tayar da bashin gida ta dala tiriliyan 1.5 ko kuma har zuwa ranar 31 ga Maris, 2024, ko wace hanya tare da matsananciyar wahala da kuma bayan ma'aikata.
Bayan watanni na ci gaba na sifili akan haɓaka ƙimar bashi kuma a tsakanin kimomi daga Sakatariyar Baitulmali Janet Yellen da wasu cewa gwamnatin Amurka za ta iya rasa kuɗaɗen biyan kuɗinta da zaran ranar 1 ga watan Yuni, shugaba Joe Biden zai karɓi baƙunci McCarthy, Schumer, shugaban marasa rinjaye na majalisar wakilai Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), da shugaban marasa rinjaye na Majalisar Dattawa Mitch McConnell (R). -Ky.) da karfe 4:00 na yamma ET.
"Ba za mu iya ƙyale masu tsattsauran ra'ayi a cikin Majalisa su yi mummunan buƙatun fansa ba don musanya rashin tattalin arzikinmu."
Michael Kikukawa, mai magana da yawun Fadar White House, "Shugaba Biden zai tattauna gaggawar hana kasawa da kuma jaddada cewa dole ne Majalisa ta dauki mataki don gujewa gazawar ba tare da sharadi ba." ya ce a cikin wata sanarwa zuwa The Washington Post safiyar Talata. "Zai tattauna yadda za a bullo da wani tsari na daban don magance kasafin kudi da kuma kasafin FY2024."
Duk da irin kuri'un da aka kada a karkashin shugabannin GOP, 'yan Republican House sun ci gaba da kin amincewa da wani kudurin doka mai tsafta wanda ke kara iyakacin lamuni na kasa-da-da kuma tsarin kasafin kudi Biden bayyana a cikin Maris, wanda ke nuna manyan zamantakewa zuba jari biya da karin haraji niyya ga masu hannu da shuni da kamfanoni, ya sha bamban sosai da abubuwan GOP da suka fi ba da fifiko, yana barin ƴan kalilan da ke da kwarin gwiwa game da taron.
Har yanzu, Claire Guzdar, mai magana da yawun kungiyar hadin gwiwar ProsperUS - wacce ta kunshi kungiyoyi masu ci gaba sama da 85 - ta bayyana Talata cewa "Dole ne Majalisa da Fadar White House su hanzarta aiwatar da dokar takaita bashi mai tsabta kafin ya makara. Ba za mu iya ƙyale masu tsattsauran ra'ayi a cikin Majalisa su yi mummunan buƙatun fansa don musanya rashin tattalin arzikinmu ba - lokaci. "
"Kudirin rashin kunya na mafi yawan Republican House ba zai iya aiki ba. Shirin nasu yana cike da rashin jin daɗi da lahani ga kiwon lafiya, taimakon abinci, ayyukan makamashi mai tsafta, da ƙari," in ji Guzdar. “Wannan kudirin doka zai yi illa ga ma’aikata da tattalin arziki yayin da ba za su yi wani abin da zai sa kamfanoni da masu hannu da shuni su biya kason su daidai ba. Tattaunawa kan iyakokin basussuka ya kamata ya zama mara farawa a kowane lokaci kuma a yi watsi da shi nan da nan a matsayin wani babban yunƙuri na jefa tattalin arzikinmu cikin mawuyacin hali."
Masana sun yi gargadin cewa "ba za mu iya ba da damar sake farfado da gagarumin ci gaban tattalin arzikin da muka samu a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata," kamar yadda babban darektan hadin gwiwar Groundwork Lindsay Owens ya fada yayin taron manema labarai na Litinin tare da wasu masana tattalin arziki.
"Bai kamata Shugaba Biden ya amince da tattaunawa kan yarjejeniyar ba bashin gida wanda ke ƙara rashin aikin yi ko rage haɓakar girma-ba lokacin da akwai ɗimbin hanyoyi masu sauƙi da sauƙi don guje wa tsoho ba, ”in ji ta. "Muna kan rikodin shekaru 53 mafi ƙarancin rashin aikin yi. Zai zama bala'i mai ban mamaki don lalata nasarorin da muke gani a ƙarshe a cikin kasuwar ƙwadago, musamman ga ma'aikatan da aka ware."
Hakazalika tana jaddada cewa "kasuwar ƙwadago ta fara samar da riba ga ma'aikata waɗanda ke zama na ƙarshe da aka ɗauka da kuma kora," shugabar tsare-tsare ta Demos Angela Hanks ta ce "haɗarin haƙƙin mallaka a kan bashin gida da kuma matsayin tsattsauran ra'ayi da Kakakin Majalisa McCarthy ya fito da shi yana haifar da babbar barazana ga wannan ci gaban da kuma barazanar haifar da koma bayan tattalin arziki."
Rage kashe kudade na 'yan Republican "za a dauki nauyin mutanen da tuni aka ware su… wadanda ba za su iya samun wani rikicin tattalin arzikin da siyasarmu ta haifar ba," Hanks ya yi gargadin. "Wannan kuskuren zai zama rikici ga tattalin arzikinmu da dimokiradiyyarmu, kuma yana barazanar lalata al'ummomi a fadin kasar."
"Haɗari mai haɗari a kan rufin bashi da matsayi na tsattsauran ra'ayi da Kakakin McCarthy ya yi watsi da shi da gaske yana haifar da babbar barazana ga wannan ci gaban kuma yana barazanar haifar da koma bayan tattalin arziki."
Babban hatsabibin ya sa wasu suka bukaci fadar White House ta dauki matakin bai-daya idan 'yan majalisar dokokin GOP suka ci gaba da yin garkuwa da tattalin arzikin duniya. Zaɓuɓɓuka sun haɗa da mints tsabar kudin platinum da ya kai dala tiriliyan 1 da kiran wani sashe na Kwaskwarima na 14 ga Kundin Tsarin Mulki na Amurka wanda ya bayyana ingancin bashin ƙasa “ba za a yi tambaya ba.”
Magoya baya da masu adawa da hanyar Gyara ta 14 sun ba da shawarar cewa Biden yin kiran hakan na iya haifar da hukuncin da Kotun Kolin Amurka ta hannun dama ta yanke. Irin wannan hukunci na iya kasancewa a cikin ayyukan, godiya ga ƙarar gwamnatin tarayya da ƙungiyar ma'aikatan gwamnati ta kasa ta shigar a ranar Litinin, wanda ke da nufin a bayyana dokar kayyade bashi da ta sabawa kundin tsarin mulki.
Robert Hockett, farfesa a fannin shari'a na Jami'ar Cornell kuma babban mashawarci na Westwood Capital wanda a baya ya yi aiki a Babban Bankin Tarayya na New York da Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya, ya gaya da Post Litinin cewa "Ba na tsammanin Kotun Koli ta shirya don kawo bala'in tattalin arzikin duniya ta hanyar neman goyon bayan 'yan Republican na majalisar."
"Ina tsammanin Kotun Koli za ta hanzarta yin nazari kan wannan, kuma saboda wannan dalili, ba na tsammanin za mu ga mummunan tashin hankali a kasuwanni," in ji shi. "Ina tsammanin za mu sami ƙarin tashin hankali idan har mu jira mu ga ko McCarthy da Biden za su zo masauki."
A cikin wani ra'ayi na ranar Talata don The New York Times, Hocket rubuta cewa idan Amurka ta gaza, "za mu ga babban tashin hankali - idan ba mafi muni ba - na bankunan Amurka, kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi na Amurka, da kasuwannin babban birnin duniya."
Hockett ya ci gaba:
Abu daya, US Treasury Securities, kimar sama da dala tiriliyan 24 (har zuwa yanzu, kasuwar kadara mafi girma a duniya), sune babban amintaccen kadari wanda aka gudanar a banki, asusun fansho, asusun juna, da sauran wuraren kasuwanci. Rikicin bankin mu na yanki na yanzu da ya shafi Bankin silicon Valley wasu kuma suna faruwa a mayar da martani ga dan kadan, faduwa na wucin gadi a darajar Taskoki masu ƙarancin amfanin ƙasa musamman saboda Fed's hauhawar riba. Tsare-tsare kai tsaye za ta bar mu abin sha'awa ga kwatankwacin irin yanayin wannan lokacin wahala.
Hakanan za mu iya ganin sauri faduwar darajar dala a duniya a matsayin dukiyar ajiyar duniya. Darajar kudin mu dangane da wasu' an samo asali ne a ciki bukatun duniya na kadarorin kudi na dala, tunda mun bar fifikonmu a matsayin mai fitar da kaya zuwa China. Tunda ma'auni na baitul mali sun kasance mafi girman kadara, zamewar su zai zama zamewar dala. Wannan zai sa shigo da kayayyaki cikin sauri, waɗanda muke ci gaba da dogaro da su, sun fi tsada sosai. Tashin farashi na iya zama kamar na Argentina ko Rasha shekaru 20 da suka gabata fiye da na yanzu ko ma na 1970s.
Wannan ba a ce komai ba game da gazawarmu na gaba don kula da sansanonin sojanmu da sauran kadarorinmu a kasashen waje da biyan dubunnan jami’an sojan Amurka.
Ya kara da cewa, "Ko da mahimmin ra'ayi na gazawar Amurka zai iya haifar da farashin biyan bashi da sauri, wanda ke haifar da gibin mu fiye da yadda yake a halin yanzu - sakamakon da ya yi daidai da damuwar 'yan Republican da ke da'awar daura da hawan rufin bashi zuwa babban kasafin kudin," in ji shi. bayar da shawarar kawo ƙarshen iyakar bashi, wanda ya fito daga dokar 1917. "Bari yanzu mu kawo karshen rashin hankali."
Bayan bayyana tasirin tsoho-ciki har da raguwa ga Dokar Rage hauhawar farashin kayayyaki tanade-tanaden yanayi wanda "zai zama bala'i a zahiri" - Masana Cibiyar Tattalin Arziki Josh Bivens da Samantha Sanders suma tabbatar Talata cewa "duk wannan a fili yana kira da a soke iyakokin bashi don kiyaye yawancin 'yan majalisa daga yin garkuwa da tattalin arzikin kasar ga manufofinta a nan gaba."
"Amma abin da ya sa bayyani kan iyakokin bashin yau ya yi muni shine ta yaya bisa al'ada ya zama-sau da yawa tare da ƙarfafawa da yawa a cikin da'irar tsara manufofin DC wa ya kamata ya fi saninsa,” ma'auratan sun kara da cewa. "Idan wannan yunƙurin daidaita ƙayyadaddun bashi ba zai haifar da durƙushewar tattalin arziƙin a wannan lokacin ba, duk mun san inda zai kai ga gaba."
An sabunta wannan sakon tare da sharhi daga Cibiyar Siyasar Tattalin Arziki.
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