ISaudi Arabia, ngokubambisana nezinye izifundazwe ezimbalwa zama-Arab, isiqale ukuhlasela kwezindiza ngokumelene nezikhundla ezilawulwa yiHouthi nezisekelo zokunqanda igagasi lokuthuthuka kwezempi. URiyadh uxwayise ngokuthi ukusebenza kusesigabeni sawo sokuqala.
Asazi okwamanje ububanzi nobude becebo lokuhlasela, noma ukuthi lokhu kungathatha isikhathi esingakanani futhi uma abakwaHouthi benquma ukumelana nokungenelela.
I-United States inikeze ukukhanya okuluhlaza ezenzweni zezempi zaseSaudi futhi kubikwa ukuthi inikeze usizo lwezokuthutha kanye nobuhlakani ekungeneleleni kwezempi okuholwa yiSaudi.
Asazi isimo sangempela sokusekelwa noma izinga lokuzibophezela kweWashington emkhankasweni omude wezempi. Ingabe leli yicala lokuhola ngemuva?
Buthaka kodwa hhayi ukwehlulwa
Njengoba sibonile kokunye ukungenelela eMpumalanga Ephakathi, ukuhlasela kwezindiza kuqinisekile ukuthi kuzoba buthaka kodwa ngeke kunqobe ukuthandwa kwamaHouthi. Kusazobonakala ukuthi amaSaudis anesifiso noma amandla okuzama eyedwa noma ekusebenzisaneni nabanye, okuhlukumeza umhlaba. Lokho kungashintsha ngokuphelele ukubala kwamasu esifundeni saseGulf.
Izikhulu zaseSaudi zithi isinqumo sazo sokungenelela size ngemuva kwesicelo sikamongameli waseYemeni obalekayo futhi ngemuva kokuthi amaHouthis ephule konke ukuqonda futhi aqhubeke nodlame olubhekiswe kuhulumeni osemthethweni waseYemen.
Kusazobonakala ukuthi isenzo sezempi sizosheshisa yini ukubuyela ezingxoxweni ezibucayi mayelana nekusasa lokwabelana kwamandla e-Yemen, nakuba kubonakala kungenakwenzeka esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.
Selokhu athatha izintambo zokuphatha i-Sanaa ngoSepthemba odlule, abakwaHouthi bebelokhu bethuthuka kakhulu bedlula e-Yemen, bafinyelela edolobheni eliseningizimu ye-Aden.
Kepha bekungakacaci ukuthi amaHouthi abengagcina kanjani ukulawula zonke izifunda zaseYemen kanye nenani labantu noma ngabe izwe belizongena empini yombango egcwele njengoba abafana be-al-Qaeda kanye ne-ISIL bedlala indima enkulu njengase-Iraq. kanye neSiriya.
Amasosha akhethekile athembeke kuMengameli ohoxisiwe u-Ali Abdullah Saleh aseke amaHouthi ahleleke kahle futhi asize ukuwa kokusekelwa kwezempi kukaMengameli u-Abed-Rabbu Mansour Hadi.
Kepha kuyamangaza futhi akucaci ukuthi kungani umongameli wangaphambili evunyelwe ukuqhubeka nokufinyelela kwezempi naphezu kwamandla akhe okususa esivumelwaneni esakhiwe yiSaudi Arabia kanye ne-GCC.
Ukuqhuma okungazelelwe
AmaHouthis azamile ukuqhela kunoma yikuphi ukuxhumana nomngcele noma ukubhekana namaSaudis ukugwema ukuphindwa kwezindiza zaseSaudi zango-2009 ngokumelene nezikhundla zabo enyakatho. Kodwa-ke ukuqhuma okungazelelwe kanye nokungena kwamaHouthi eningizimu kwenze amaSaudis athatha isinyathelo. Akukacaci ukuthi kungani uRiyadh elinde isikhathi eside kangaka ukufaka ingcindezi.
Kube nokungakhululeki okukhulayo eYemen ngomkhankaso onolaka wedlanzana lamaHouthi wokulawula izwe. Kepha akucaci ukuthi lawa maYemenis azothatha umusa wokuba khona kwamasosha "angaphandle" isikhathi eside ezweni lawo.
Kuqinisekile ukuthi lokhu kuzoba yingxabano ende futhi ethatha isikhathi eside njengoba izwe lingena empini yombango egcwele. Naphezu kwemibiko engenakubalwa mayelana nokufa kwabantu, ukulahlekelwa kanye nokuhoxiswa kanye nentuthuko yosuku lokuqala, kunzima kakhulu ukuqhamuka nanoma yiliphi ishidi lebhalansi elithembekile kulesi sigaba sokuqala sokungqubuzana noma ukuthi lokhu kuzovela noma kuqhubeke kanjani ezinsukwini ezizayo. Inkungu yempi izoqhubeka nokufiphaza iqiniso phansi isikhathi esithile esizayo.
I-Iran isigxekile โudlameโ lwamasosha aholwa yiSaudi, kanti uRiyadh usole i-Iran ngokuma ngemuva nokusekela ukuthathwa kweHouthi njengengxenye yemizamo yayo yokulawula isifunda. Akukacaci ukuthi i-Iran izosabela kanjani kulesi sinyathelo saseSaudi.
I-Iran isifinyelele ngezindlela eziningi nasemazweni ambalwa esifundeni, okuhlanganisa ne-Yemen. Izingxabano zohlobo lommeleli wase-Iranian Saudi ziyabonakala ezingxenyeni ezihlukene zesifunda, kusukela eLebanon, Iraq, Bahrain, Syria naseYemen.
Akukacaci ukuthi i-Iran ingakwazi yini ukusekela ukwanda okunjalo kwethonya noma isebenze ngqo ngale kwe-Iraq. Noma ngabe iSaudi ne-Iran bayaqhubeka nokuba nethonya elithe xaxa ezindaweni zabo eziseduze.
Futhi njengoba i-Iran ikhulise futhi yalungisa amakhasimende nabalingani e-Iraq naseSyria, amaSaudi abonakala ezimisele ekugcineni ukunqanda ukwanda kwethonya lase-Iranian emingceleni yawo eseningizimu futhi anqabele i-Iran ukufinyelela oLwandle Olubomvu kanye nasethekwini lase-Aden.
Ukusekelwa kwama-Arab
ISaudi Arabia iqinisekile ukucela - futhi yamukele - ukwesekwa kwama-Arab ngesikhathi sengqungquthela ye-Arab League ezoba se-Egypt kule mpelasonto.
Kodwa akucaci ukuthi ama-Arabhu asekulungele kangakanani ukudlula izimpawu ezingokomfanekiso futhi anikeze ukusekelwa okuqondile kwamabutho ahilelekile ekulweni eYemen. Asikho isibonelo semikhankaso yezempi yama-Arab edidiyelwe.
Esikwaziyo futhi ukuthi iYemen akuyona iBahrain. Kuyisizwe esikhulu kakhulu, esihlome kakhulu, esihluke kakhulu futhi esiyinkimbinkimbi. Uma amaSaudis akwazi ukuzinza eBahrain ngo-2011 ngaphansi kwesizathu sokulwa nethonya lase-Iranian, iYemen izoba ngumsebenzi onzima kakhulu.
Manje njengoba i-Iran ingenelela e-Iraq, i-Egypt kanye ne-UAE yathwala iziteleka zezindiza eLibya, futhi iSaudi yangena eYemen, ingabe iTurkey izogcina ingenelele eSyria?
Njengoba isifunda siya enkathini entsha, miningi kakhulu imibuzo emisha, zimbalwa izimpendulo.
UMarwan Bishara ungumhlaziyi wezepolitiki omkhulu e-Al Jazeera.
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Nikela