Eminyakeni engamashumi amahlanu edlule, ngesikhathi senhlekelele yezikhali ezicitshwayo zaseCuba, iMelika yabhekana nalokho okuvame ukuchazwa njengenselele echaza iMpi Yomshoshaphansi. Namuhla, abanye baphikisa ngokuthi iMelika ibhekene nenselelo efanayo echaza imisebenzi yenuzi yase-Iran. Kulo mongo, kuyamangaza ukukhumbula isixwayiso sikaMongameli uJohn Kennedy, asikhipha ezinyangeni ezimbalwa ngaphambi kwenhlekelele yezikhali ezicitshwayo, ukuthi โisitha esikhulu seqiniso ngokuvamile akuwona amanga - ngamabomu, aklanywe futhi angathembeki - kodwa inganekwane - ephikelelayo, ekholisayo. futhi okungenangqondo. Isikhathi esiningi sibambelela ngokuqinile emazwini okhokho bethu. Sibeka wonke amaqiniso kusethi yokuhumusha esenziwe ngaphambili. Sijabulela ukunethezeka kwemibono ngaphandle kokukhathazeka komcabango. " Ngemva kwengxenye yekhulu leminyaka, isexwayiso sikaKennedy sisebenza kahle kakhulu ezingxoxweni zaseMelika - asifaneleki njengenkulumo-mpikiswano yangempela - mayelana nendlela engcono yokubhekana ne-Islamic Republic of Iran.
Iminyaka engaphezu kwamashumi amathathu, abahlaziyi baseMelika kanye nabenzi bezinqubomgomo babeke phambili uchungechunge lwezinganekwane mayelana neRiphabhulikhi yamaSulumane: ukuthi ayinangqondo, ayikho emthethweni futhi isengozini. Ngokwenza kanjalo, osolwazi nosopolitiki bebelokhu bedukisa umphakathi waseMelika kanye namadlelandawonye aseMelika ngokuthi yiziphi izinqubomgomo ezizosebenza ukuqhubekisela phambili izintshisekelo ze-US eMpumalanga Ephakathi.
Okuphikelela kakhulu - futhi okuyingozi - kulezi zinganekwane ukuthi i-Islamic Republic idelelwa kakhulu ngabantu bayo kangangokuthi isengozini yokuketulwa. Kusukela ekuqaleni, abantu baseMelika baphatha i-Iranian Revolution ka-1978-79 njengesimangaliso esikhulu. Kodwa okuwukuphela kwesizathu okwamangaza ukuthi isikhulu saseWashington senqabile ukubona isidingo esikhulayo sabantu base-Irani sokuhleleka kwezepolitiki okwakhiwe ngomdabu ngaphandle kokubuswa yi-US. Futhi kusukela lapho, iRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane iye yadelela izibikezelo ezingapheli zokuwa noma ukunqotshwa kwayo.
IRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane isindile ngoba imodeli yayo eyisisekelo - ukuhlanganiswa kwepolitiki yokubamba iqhaza kanye nokhetho nezimiso nezikhungo zokubusa kwamaSulumane kanye nokuzibophezela ekuzimeleni kwenqubomgomo yangaphandle - ngokusho kokuvota, amazinga okubamba iqhaza okhethweni kanye nohlu lwezinye izinkomba, yini iningi labantu base-Irani abahlala ngaphakathi kwezwe bafuna. Abafuni ukuhleleka kwezombusazwe okusekelwe kunkululeko yezwe yohlobo lwaseNtshonalanga. Bafuna umuntu abonise izindinganiso zabo zamasiko nezenkolo: njengoba uMongameli wenguquko uMohammad Khatami asho, โinkululeko, ukuzimela kanye nenqubekela phambili phakathi komongo wakho kokubili inkolo nobuzwe.โ
Yilokho i-Islamic Republic, nawo wonke amaphutha ayo, enikeza abantu base-Irani ithuba lokulandela. Ngisho nama-Irani amaningi afuna uhulumeni aguquke kakhulu - ngokwesibonelo, ngokuvumela ubuningi bamasiko nezenhlalo - basafuna ukuthi kube yiRiphabhulikhi yamaSulumane. Ngemuva kokhetho lukamongameli lwase-Iran lwango-2009, lapho owayenguNdunankulu uMir Hossein Mousavi ehlulwa umongameli owayekhona, u-Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, izikhulu zaseNtshonalanga kanye โochwephesheโ base-Iran baveza i-Green Movement eyaphuma emkhankasweni kaMousavi njengokuvukelwa kwabantu abaningi osekulungele ukushanela amaSulumane. IRiphabhulikhi. Kepha abakwaGreens, noma besezingeni eliphezulu, abakaze bamelele noma yini esondele kuningi labantu base-Irani, futhi kungakapheli isonto lokhetho, isizinda sabo senhlalo sase sivele sinenkontileka. Isizathu esimqoka kwakuwukuthi, ngemva kokuba uMousavi ehlulekile ukufakazela icala lakhe lokukhwabanisa okhethweni, imibhikisho eqhubekayo yabakwaGreens yayingaseyona indaba yokhetho okwakuphikiswana ngalo, kodwa kwakuyinselelo kwiRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane ngokwayo - okwakunesifunda esinganakwa.
Nakuba abantu abaningi baseNtshonalanga bekhetha ukukholelwa ukuthi ama-Greens awazange aphele ngenxa yobuthakathaka babo, kodwa ngenxa yokucindezelwa okunonya umbuso ongekho emthethweni, lokhu akubambeli ekuhloliseni. Ezinyangeni eziyishumi nanhlanu ngaphambi kokuhamba kuka-shah ngo-1979, amasosha akhe adubula izinkulungwane zababhikishi - futhi izixuku ezazifuna ukususwa kwakhe zazilokhu zikhula. Ngo-2009, isihluku samaphoyisa ngokungangabazeki senzeka ngesikhathi uhulumeni ephendula izinxushunxushu zangemuva kokhetho. Uhulumeni ngokwawo ukuvumile lokhu - ngokwesibonelo, ngokuvala ijele lapho ezinye iziboshwa zazihlukunyezwa khona futhi zabulawa, nangokubeka izisebenzi zalelo jele eziyishumi nambili (ababili kamuva bagwetshwa intambo). Kodwa bangaphansi kuka-100 abantu abashona ezingxabanweni phakathi kwababhikishi nabezokuphepha ngemuva kokhetho lwango-2009, kanti abakwaGreens bahlehla futhi isizinda sabo sancipha.
Izinhlangano ezilwela amalungelo abantu zaseNtshonalanga zilinganisela ukuthi kwaboshwa abantu base-Irani abangu-4,000 6,000 kuya ku-2009 90 mayelana nemibhikisho eyalandela ukhetho lwango-2010. Amaphesenti angaphezu kuka-250 akhululwa ngaphandle kwenkokhiso. Kusukela ngo-200, izinhlangano zaseNtshonalanga zamalungelo abantu azizange ziphikise izibalo zase-Iranian ezithi cishe abangu-XNUMX bagwetshwa ngamacala asukela ezinxushunxushwini, mhlawumbe amanye amacala angama-XNUMX asalindile. Iningi laxolelwa nguMholi Ophakeme u-Ayatollah Ali Khamenei; iningi ebelingayitholanga likhululekile ukuthola ibheyili kusalinde ukudluliswa kwamacala. Ngokocwaningo olwenziwe nguCraig Charney, owake waba umcwaningi kaBill Clinton noNelson Mandela, iningi labantu base-Irani babona kusemthethweni ukuthi uhulumeni wabo uphendule kanjani kulezi zinxushunxushu.
Naphezu kokuhlala kweRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane, izikhulu zenqubomgomo yaseMelika kanye "ochwepheshe" base-Iran abangenakho ukuxhumana okuqondile neqiniso elikhona ngaphakathi ezweni bayaqhubeka nokuqhubekisela phambili inganekwane yokungabi namthetho kwe-Islamic Republic kanye nokuba ntekenteke, ngombono wokuthi uma kholelwa kukho ngokwanele, sizoyishanela ngandlela thize inselelo ebekwa yi-Iran. Namuhla, le nganekwane iza ngezinguqulo ezimbili ezixhumene: ukuthi unswinyo "lusebenza" ukukhuthaza izinjongo zase-US ngokumelene ne-Iran, nokuthi i-Arab Awakening iyishiye yodwa endaweni yayo.
* * *
Abahlaziyi abaningi manje bathi ubunzima bezomnotho obubangelwe unswinyo maduze buzogqugquzela abantu base-Irani ukuthi basukume baphoqe izinguquko ezibalulekile ezweni labo - noma okungenani baphoqe uhulumeni wabo ukuthi enze isivumelwano esifunwa yiWashington. Kepha labo abenza le mpikiswano abakaze bachaze ukuthi kungani umnotho ubi kakhulu namuhla kunangeminyaka yawo-1980, lapho i-Iran ilahlekelwa ingxenye ye-GDP yayo phakathi nempi ne-Iraq - nokho noma kunjalo, inani labantu bayo alizange liphakame ukuphoqa ushintsho oluyisisekelo. noma imvume emandleni anobutha.
Impela, akukho sibonelo sanoma yikuphi lapho abantu abagunyaziwe bebuthanela ukuketula uhulumeni futhi esikhundleni salo bafake lowo ongasebenzisa izinqubomgomo ezikhethwa amandla angaphandle ajezisayo. Ngisho nase-Iraq, lapho unswinyo olugogekayo lwabekwa khona iminyaka engaphezu kweshumi, kwashona abantu base-Iraqi abangaphezu kwesigidi (ingxenye yabo okuyizingane), abantu abazange basukume ukuketula uSaddam Hussein. Ekugcineni, uSaddam waxoshwa kuphela ukuhlasela kwe-US - futhi nangemva kwalokho, ama-Iraqi akazange amise uhulumeni osekela iMelika, wezwe, okhululekile olungele ukubeka phansi ubukhosi be-Iraq namalungelo kazwelonke kulokho okuthandwa yiWashington.
Ngonyaka odlule, ochwepheshe baseNtshonalanga bakhulume kakhulu nge-"hyperinflation" e-Iran, bephikisana ngokuthi ukwehla okukhulu kwemali yezwe kuzokwenza abantu baphikisane nohulumeni. Lokhu kuhlola, njengokuqagela okuningi okufanayo ngaphambi kwakho, kubonakale kumnandi. I-rial yase-Iranian seyinenani eliningi ngaphezu kweminyaka eyishumi, ifaka ngaphansi kokusetshenziswa okukhuphukayo kwezimpahla ezivela kwamanye amazwe ngabantu base-Irani bezinga eliphezulu osekudle umnotho wezigidigidi zamaRandi, kwalimala amathemba abalimi nabakhiqizi basekhaya, futhi kwavimbela ukuthunyelwa kwe-Iran okungewona uwoyela. Ukwehliswa kwakamuva kwerial kuhambisane nenani layo elivamile nenani langempela; njengoba i-rial yehlile, ukuthunyelwa kwe-Iran okungewona uwoyela kuye kwanda kakhulu. Ngaso leso sikhathi, uhulumeni ukhipha izimali zakhe zokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe ukuze avikele izinga lokushintshisana eliphansi lezinto ezibalulekile ezivela kwamanye amazwe ezifana nokudla nemithi.
Yize kungekho muntu e-Iran ovikelekile emthelela wokwehla kwamandla emali, abampofu basemaphandleni nalabo abathintekayo emikhakheni egxile ekuthumeleni kwamanye amazwe basesimweni esihle kakhulu. Akukho ukusweleka kokudla okubonakalayo; izitolo zazo zonke izinhlobo zigcwele ngokugcwele, ezinomthamo omkhulu wamakhasimende. Kuyavela ukushoda kweminye imithi ethengwa kwamanye amazwe. Lokhu, nokho, akungenxa yokwehla kwamandla emali. Kunalokho, kuwumsebenzi wenswinyo yasebhange egqugquzelwa yi-US ukuthi, ngokuphambene nenkulumo esemthethweni yase-US mayelana nemvelo yabo "okuhlosiwe", okwenza kube nzima kubantu base-Irani ukukhokhela impahla yaseNtshonalanga yezokwelapha nemithi, nakuba ukuthengisa izinto ezinjalo e-Iran kuwubuchwepheshe. kuvunyelwe ngaphansi kwemithetho yenswinyo yase-US. Impela, noma ngubani oke wahamba emigwaqweni yaseTehran muva nje (njengoba senzile ngoDisemba) angabona ukuthi umnotho wase-Iran awuwohloki, futhi noma ngubani okhulume nenqwaba yabantu base-Irani ngaphakathi ezweni uyazi ukuthi unswinyo ngeke luphoqe noma i-Islamic. Ukuzibophezela kweRiphabhulikhi noma ukuzinikela kwayo ezidingweni zase-US endabeni yenuzi. Asikho isifunda - phakathi kwama-conservatives, ama-reformists noma yini esele ye-Green Movement - elungele ukwamukela umphumela onjalo.
Abagqugquzeli bezinswinyo bayaqhubeka nokusho ukuthi kwehlukile kulokhu, ngenxa yokuthi โumphumela wokubonisaโ ovela ku-Arab Awakening uzoqinisa umthelela wezijeziso ukuze kwephule umhlane we-Islamic Republic. E-Tehran, nokho, abenzi benqubomgomo nabahlaziyi babona i-Arab Awakening ivuma kakhulu isikhundla sesifunda se-Islamic Republic. Bahlulela - ngokufanele - ukuthi noma yimuphi uhulumeni wama-Arab ozomela kakhulu izinkolelo zabantu bakhe, izinto ezibakhathazayo kanye nalokho abakuthandayo ngeke ube nomdlandla omncane mayelana nokusebenzisana kwamasu ne-United States, ingasaphathwa eye-Israel, futhi uvulekele kakhulu umlayezo we-Islamic Republic wokuzimela kwenqubomgomo yangaphandle.
Ikakhulukazi, umuntu uzwa eWashington ukuthi, ngenxa ye-Arab Awakening, iTehran "izolahlekelwa yiSyria," "umngane wayo wama-Arab kuphela," ngemiphumela emibi esikhundleni sesifunda sase-Iran nokuzinza kwangaphakathi. Lokhu kuqaphela kugcizelela ukuthi izikhulu zase-US zijule kangakanani ekuphikeni mayelana nezimo eziyisisekelo zezepolitiki namasu e-Middle East. Abenzi benqubomgomo base-Iran abakholwa ukuthi uMongameli waseSyria u-Bashar al-Assad uzoketulwa esikhundleni (okungenani hhayi abaseSyria). Kodwa noma ngabe u-Assad wazizwa ephoqelekile ngesinye isikhathi ukuthi ayeke iDamaseku, yena namabutho akhe cishe basazolawula ingxenye enkulu yeSyria. Ngaphansi kwalezi zimo, iSyria mancane amathuba okuthi ibe umfelandawonye waseNtshonalanga. Impela, noma yimuphi uhulumeni wangemva kuka-Assad omele ngokusobala ngeke abe umsekeli waseMelika noma u-Israyeli kunokuba abenjalo ama-Assads, futhi angahle angabi nomdlandla wokugcina umngcele waseSyria no-Israyeli uthule. Ngaphandle kokuthi i-Assad ithathelwe indawo yisakhiwo sezepolitiki esifana neTaliban - okungenani ebesingamelene namaMelika njengoba yayimelene namaShiite kanye ne-Iranian - inqubomgomo yezangaphandle ye-post-Assad Syria izoba, ezindabeni eziningi ezinkulu, kahle. kwe-Iran. Kepha ukulungiswa kwe-US ekucekeleni phansi iRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane ngokukhuthaza amajihadi asekelwa yiSaudi ukuthi alwe no-Assad ekugcineni kuzolimaza ukuphepha kwe-US, njengoba nje nokwesekwa kwe-US kwamajihadi asekelwa iSaudi kwenza e-Afghanistan naseLibya.
Okubaluleke nakakhulu, abahlonishwayo baseMelika baye bephuza ukuqonda ukuthi, namuhla, umngane obaluleke kakhulu wama-Arab weRiphabhulikhi yama-Arabhu akayona iSiriya; yi-Iraq - izwe lokuqala lamaShiite eliholwa ngama-Arab emlandweni, umphumela owenziwe waba nokwenzeka ukuhlasela kwe-US kanye nokuhlala kwayo. Ngokunjalo, isigaba sezepolitiki saseMelika besimanqikanqika ukuvuma ukuthi isu le-Egypt - insika yenqubomgomo yase-US Middle East iminyaka engaphezu kwamashumi amathathu - manje liyadlala. Yize ingahambisani neze ne-Iranian, i-post-Mubarak Egypt ngokusobala ayinaso i-reflexively pro-American. Ngaphambi kokuhlangana noMengameli u-Obama, uMengameli wokuqala wezwe okhethwe ngokwentando yeningi, uMohamed Morsi, waya eBeijing ngonyaka odlule, lapho ahlangana khona noMengameli ophumayo u-Hu Jintao kanye noMengameli ozayo u-Xi Jinping, naseTehran, lapho ahlangana khona noMengameli u-Ahmadinejad. Imikhumbi yamasosha ase-Irani manje idlula eSuez Canal - into uWashington abengayiphikisa eminyakeni emibili edlule. Ngenxa yalezi ntuthuko, i-Iran โayiyidingiโ iSyria namuhla ngendlela efanayo neyake yayenza.
Izicukuthwane zaseMelika zinzima ukubhekana nala maqiniso. Okuphuthelwa yiWashington ngaphezu kwakho konke ukuthi iTehran ayidingi ohulumeni base-Arab ukuthi babe ngabasekeli be-Iranian; idinga nje ukuthi bangabi ngabasekeli baseMelika, bangabi ngabasekeli baka-Israel futhi bazimele. Ngenxa yokuthi izikhulu zase-US zigeja leli phuzu elibucayi, ziphuthelwa iqiniso elibanzi futhi: ukuthi i-Arab Awakening isheshisa ukuguguleka kwesikhundla samasu saseWashington eMpumalanga Ephakathi, hhayi esaseTehran. Esikhundleni sokubhekana nalokhu, abantu baseMelika bayaqhubeka nokwamukela isiphakamiso esiphikisayo sokuthi abashayeli abafanayo abanikeza amandla ama-Islamist emazweni ase-Arab ngandlela thile bazoguqula iRiphabhulikhi yamaSulumane ibe yizwe elikhululekile.
Kodwa iqiniso liyikho. Cabanga ngeshidi lebhalansi lamasu: ngobusuku obandulela umhlaka-9/11, ngaphezudlwana nje kweminyaka eyishumi edlule, wonke uhulumeni waseMpumalanga Ephakathi - ngamunye - wayesekela amaMelika (isb., i-Egypt, iSaudi Arabia kanye nama-monarchies amancane e-Gulf Arab, kanye ne-Tunisia. ), ezingxoxweni zokuhlela kabusha i-United States (i-Qaddafi's Libya) kanye/noma i-anti-Iranian (i-Iraq ka-Saddam kanye ne-Taliban's Afghanistan). Namuhla, ibhalansi yesifunda isiphenduke yaphikisana neWashington futhi yavuna iTehran.
Lokhu akwenzekanga ngoba i-Iran idubule inhlamvu eyodwa, kodwa ngenxa yokhetho olwanika amandla abantu ababencishwe amathuba ngaphambilini e-Afghanistan, Egypt, Gaza, Iraq, Lebanon, Tunisia naseTurkey. Kuzo zonke lezi zindawo, sekuqhamuke ohulumeni abangasasekeli amaMelika kanye nama-Iranian. Lokhu kukhuphula okukhulu kwesimo sasu se-Islamic Republic.
Abanye abahlaziyi bathi babona izimpawu ezivela e-Iran eziphakamisa ukuthi ekugcineni izophoqwa unswinyo kanye ne-Arab Awakening ukuthi yenze lezo zivumelwano mayelana nodaba lwenuzi osekunesikhathi eside lufunwa yi-United States ne-Israel. Kepha okushiwo yilaba bahlaziyi njengobufakazi bemvume ye-Iranian eseduzane akuyona into entsha. Ngokungafani namanye aseMpumalanga Ephakathi, i-Iran yaqala ukusayina isivumelwano seNuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Futhi iRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane sekuyiminyaka izimisele ukuxoxisana neMelika kanye nabanye mayelana nokukhathazeka kwabo ngemisebenzi yayo yenuzi - inqobo nje uma kungadingeki ukuthi ivume amalungelo obukhosi ahlonishwa umhlaba wonke kanye nesivumelwano.
Ekuqaleni kwawo-2000, i-Islamic Republic yaxoxisana ne-"EU-3" (iBrithani, iFrance neJalimane), imisa ukunothiswa kwe-uranium cishe iminyaka emibili ukuze ikhuthaze inqubekelaphambili ezingxoxweni, ngesikhathi lapho yayifake ama-centrifuges ambalwa kakhulu futhi ezicebisa kuphela ezingeni lamaphesenti ama-3 kuya kwamane adingekayo ukuze kuphethilwe ama-reactors kagesi. I-United States yenqabile ukujoyina lezo zingxoxo kwaze kwaba yilapho iTehran ivuma ukulahla ilungelo layo lokunothisa okuvikelwe umhlaba wonke kanye nokuhlakaza ingqalasizinda yayo yenuzi.
Ngo-2010, i-Iran yenza izibophezelo eBrazil naseTurkey ukuthi izoyeka ingxenye enkulu yesitokwe yayo yangaleso sikhathi engamaphesenti ama-3 kuya kwayi-4 ecetyisiwe i-uranium futhi, empeleni, idele ukunothisa ezingeni elicishe libe ngamaphesenti angama-20 elidingekayo ukuze kubhebhethekise isizinda socwaningo esenza ucwaningo. isotopes iziguli ezinomdlavuza. Ngokubuyisela emuva, uTehran ucele ukunikezwa kukaphethiloli okuqinisekiswe umhlaba wonke kwereactor kanye nokuqashelwa kwelungelo layo lokucebisa. Nakulokhu, iWashington yakuchitha lokhu kuvulwa komphakathi ukuze kuxoxiswane ngesivumelwano senuzi esiphusile.
Noma kunjalo, i-Iran isaqhubeka nokuba nentshisekelo esivumelwaneni - mhlawumbe esikhawulela ukunothiswa kwayo okucishe kufinyelele kumaphesenti angama-20 ukuze kubuyiselwe uphethiloli omusha wesikhungo sayo socwaningo kanye nokukhululwa kwezijeziso ezinkulu noma, okungcono, isivumelwano esibanzi. Mayelana nalokhu, udaba lwenuzi lulula: uma i-United States yamukela ilungelo le-Iran lokunothisa indawo yayo ngaphansi kwezivikelo zamazwe ngamazwe, kungase kube nesivumelwano - okuhlanganisa ukwamukela kukaTehran ukuqinisekiswa okungenele kanye nokuqapha imisebenzi yayo yenuzi kanye nemingcele ukunothisa ezingeni elicishe libe ngamaphesenti angama-20.
Kepha abaphathi baka-Obama, njengabaphathi bakaBush ngaphambi kwabo, bayenqaba ukuvuma amalungelo enuzi e-Iran. Ngemuva kokukhethwa kabusha kuka-Obama, abukho ubufakazi bokuthi abaphathi bakhe bacabanga kabusha ngaleyo ndlela; Izikhulu eziphezulu zaseMelika zithi inhloso yazo kusewukumisa imisebenzi ehlobene nokucebisa i-Iran. Abaphathi bangase banikeze iTehran izinto ezinkudlwana zokukhuthaza ukuvunyelwa kwezikhali zenuzi (njengokungathi ama-Irani ayeyizimbongolo ezizosetshenziswa izaqathi nezinduku zezomnotho). Kepha iWashington isalokhu ingazimisele ukubhekana namalungelo okuzibusa eRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane kanye nokukhathazeka okuyisisekelo kwezokuphepha, ngoba lokho kuzosho ukukuvuma njengenhlangano yezepolitiki esemthethweni emele izintshisekelo zezwe ezisemthethweni. Inqobo nje uma lokhu kunjalo, ngeke kube khona isivumelwano.
* * *
Ngisho noma uTehran engeke azinikele kuma-diktats aseMelika futhi iRiphabhulikhi YamaSulumane ingawi, inqwaba yezikhulu zenqubomgomo yase-US ithi ukuqhubeka nokuxubana kwamanje kwezinhlawulo kanye nezingxoxo-mbumbulu kubalulekile, ngoba lokhu kuzonxenxa abantu base-Irani, abanye abantu baseMpumalanga Ephakathi futhi Abantu baseMelika ukuthi ukwehluleka ukufinyelela esivumelwaneni kuyiphutha likahulumeni wase-Iran. Futhi lokho, kubanjiwe, kuzochaza "isidingo" sokugcina seziteleka zamasosha ase-US.
Abantu baseMelika akufanele babe nokukhohlisa mayelana nemiphumela yempi esobala, eqalwe yi-US ngokumelene ne-Islamic Republic. Ukusebenzisa amandla ezempi aseMelika ukunqamula esinye isimo saseMpumalanga Ephakathi sezikhali ezibhubhisayo ezingenakho, njengoba iWashington ithule mayelana nezikhali zakwa-Israyeli zezikhali zenuzi ezingaba ngu-200, kungaphakamisa amazinga aphezulu kakade emizwa emelene neMelika esifundeni, esongela thina. abasele bengabambisene lapho futhi benze ukubambisana kwabo ne-United States cishe kungenzeki. Isenzo samasosha aseMelika ngokumelene ne-Islamic Republic ngeke sibe semthethweni emhlabeni jikelele. Ingxenye enkulu yomphakathi wamazwe ngamazwe (amazwe angu-120 kwangu-193 angamalungu e-UN ayingxenye ye-Non-Aligned Movement, esanda kukhethwa i-Islamic Republic njengosihlalo wayo) isivele irekhodiwe ukuthi izobheka ukuhlasela kwezikhungo zenuzi zase-Iran ngokungekho emthethweni. Ngeke kube khona ukugunyazwa koMkhandlu Wezokuphepha we-UN ukwenza kanjalo; IWashington ngeke ibe namadlelandawonye ngaphandle kuka-Israel kanye (mhlawumbe) neBrithani.
Ukuqala impi ne-Iran ngodaba lwenuzi kuzoqinisekisa isithombe sase-US, eMpumalanga Ephakathi nasemhlabeni jikelele, njengombuso onamandla ongekho emthethweni. Leli themba liyingozi kakhulu esimeni samasu saseMelika namuhla kunangemva kokuhlasela kwe-Iraq. Eminyakeni embalwa nje edlule, i-United States yayisenamandla amakhulu angenakuphikiswa. Imibono yamanye amazwe yayingenandaba kangako; ikakhulukazi eMpumalanga Ephakathi, iWashington yayivame ukuphoqelela izidingo zayo kohulumeni abathobelayo izinqubomgomo zabo zangaphandle zazingahambisani nemibono yabantu babo.
Namuhla, njengoba amazwe amaningi anomphakathi obuthana ngokuya efuna ukuzimela, imibono yawo ezindabeni zesifunda nezamazwe ngamazwe - kanye nemibono yabantu bawo - ibaluleke kakhulu. Kulapho kulele khona inselelo yangempela evezwe yi-Islamic Republic, inselelo iWashington okusamele ihlangabezene nayo ngqo: I-United States isebenza kanjani ne-Iran - noma i-Egypt, ngalolo daba - isebenze ukukhuthaza izintshisekelo zayo njengoba izibona, kunalokho kunalokho njengoba iWashington ibachaza? IMelika idinga ubudlelwano obungcono neTehran ukuze iqale ukuthuthukisa ubudlelwano nenani elikhulayo lemithetho yezepolitiki yama-Islamist kulo lonke elaseMpumalanga Ephakathi, okubalulekile ukusindisa lokho okusele kwesikhundla sase-US esifundeni. Idinga futhi nosizo lukaTehran ukuqukatha igagasi elikhulayo lobushokobezi be-jihadi esifundeni - into egqugquzelwa yiSaudi Arabia kanye namanye ama-Arab abonakala ehlangene neWashington ePersian Gulf. I-Iran ingumdlali obalulekile wokubumba ikusasa hhayi le-Iraq ne-Afghanistan kuphela, kodwa neSyria. Kunanini ngaphambili, izintshisekelo zaseMelika zidinga ukusondelana ne-Islamic Republic. Ubutha obuqhubekayo base-US kuphela ezinkantolo zenhlekelele yamasu.
UFlynt Leverett unguprofesa wezindaba zamazwe ngamazwe ePenn State. U-Hillary Mann Leverett ungumfundisi omkhulu we-professorial e-American University. Ndawonye, โโbabhala ibhulogi ethi Race for Iran. Incwadi yabo entsha ithi Going to Tehran: Kungani I-United States Idinga Ukuvumelana Ne-Islamic Republic of Iran (Izincwadi Zedolobha).
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
Nikela