Isiko lokukhansela lifinyelele ezingxoxweni zezikhulu eziphezulu. Izingxoxo zaseRussia zase-US zisesimweni esishubile. Ngisho nenhloko ye-Humanitarian International Committee yeRed Cross yagxekwa kakhulu ngokukhuluma nokuxhawulana noNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle WaseRussia. Ingxoxo noma ukuthintana namaRussia kuyinto nyet, nyet. Sinolwazi oluncane ngalokho abantu baseRussia abakucabangayo.
Kwakungenjalo ngaso sonke isikhathi. IMpi Yomshoshaphansi yangaphambilini (1.0) yayingabandi njengoba yethulwa. Kube khona inkhulumomphendvulwano. UGeorgi Arbatov, umeluleki wonobhala jikelele abahlanu beQembu LamaKhomanisi nomsunguli we-Institute for US and Canadian Studies eMoscow, wake wangitshela ukuthi wayehlale exhumana nezikhulu zaseMelika phakathi neMpi Yomshoshaphansi. “Mina no-Averell Harriman [usombusazwe waseMelika, usomabhizinisi, nenxusa] sasivame ukukhuluma ngalokho esasingakwenza ukuze sigweme ukungqubuzana okuphuma ngaphandle,” esho. “Kwakungasizi ngalutho ukuba nengxabano yenuzi.”
Ngakho-ke, ngaphandle kuka-Arbatov noma u-Harriman e-Cold War 2.0., ingxoxo kaSerge Schmemann noSergei Karaganov NY Times iqinisekisa ukufundwa ngokucophelela njengokuqonda ukuthi i-Kremlin icabangani. Phakathi nokulahlwa kohlangothi olulodwa lwaseNtshonalanga lokuhlasela kweRussia ngoFebhuwari 24 e-Ukraine, sibe nolwazi oluncane oluvela kubantu baseRussia abahlakaniphe kakhulu, abaphila ndawonye asebenamashumi eminyaka okuxhumana nabantu abakhethekile baseNtshonalanga. Osolwazi baseMoscow State Institute of International Relations noma eMoscow Higher School of Economics noma amalungu enhlangano yezokucwaninga efana ne-Institute for US and Canadian Studies, iningi labo elike laba nezikhundla zikahulumeni, abakaze bazwakale emaphephandabeni avamile aseNtshonalanga.
Asizwanga yini kubo ngoba besaba ukukhuluma uPhuthini? Noma asizwanga ngabo ngoba beseka uPhuthini futhi asifuni ukuzwa ukuthi bathini? Nakuba izimpendulo zemibuzo yomibili zinzima, inhlolokhono kaSchmemann/Karaganov inikeza ukuqonda mayelana nokucabanga kwe-Russian elite kwalabo abasesigabeni sesibili. Futhi lokho kuwufanele incazelo emfushane yenhlolokhono.
Obani uSchmemann noKaraganov? U-Schmemann wayeyi- Times Umphathi wehhovisi laseMoscow futhi uyilungu lamanje lebhodi layo labahleli. Ubhala ukuthi wazi uKaraganov iminyaka engaphezu kwamashumi amabili futhi uvame ukuxoxa naye.
U-Karaganov unomlando ohlaba umxhwele njengososayensi wezepolitiki, ozokhethwa ukuba abe ngungqongqoshe wezokuvikela ngaphansi kukaNdunankulu u-Yevgeny Primakov (1998-1999), umeluleki womongameli abambalwa baseRussia futhi osondelene noVladimir Putin. Ngaphambi kokuhlasela kwangoFebhuwari 24, wayengumhlaziyi we-CNN ojwayelekile ngezinqubomgomo zakwamanye amazwe nezokuvikela zaseRussia ngomyalo omuhle kakhulu wesiNgisi. Wasungula i-Institute of Europe no-Alexei Gromyko, umzukulu wowayenguNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle we-USSR, u-Andrei Gromyko. Ngokuqinisekile angabhekwa njengelungu le-Russian intellectual, elite lenqubomgomo. Ngaqala ukuhlangana noKaraganov eminyakeni engu-30 edlule engqungqutheleni yezemfundo eDubrovnik nezazi zaseNtshonalanga neSoviet. Siye saba noxhumana nabo ngezikhathi ezithile kusukela ngaleso sikhathi.
Engxoxweni, umbono ojwayelekile kaKaraganov mayelana nenkinga yase-Ukraine ukuthi "iNtshonalanga ibiwohloka ngokwezomnotho, ngokuziphatha, ngokwezepolitiki" ngakho-ke impi ibingenakugwenywa kwabaphezulu baseNtshonalanga "Ukuphambukisa ukunaka badinga isitha." Kusosayensi odumile wezepolitiki waseRussia kanye nomeluleki oseduze kaPutin, impi yase-Ukraine “iwukugcina ubukhulu obuhlulekayo bezikhulu zaseNtshonalanga.” Ngokucacile, uchaze ukungqubuzana kwamanje kwe-East-West ngokuthi "inhlekelele ye-missile yaseCuba eyathatha isikhathi eside" ngaphandle "kwabantu bezinga likaKennedy kanye nethimba lakhe ngakolunye uhlangothi."
Ukuhlasela kwakhe izicukuthwane zaseNtshonalanga akukhona ukuhlasela kwawo wonke amazwe aseNtshonalanga. “Kodwa amazwe amaningi aseNtshonalanga, hhayi izikhulu zawo ezibusayo njengamanje, ayosinda futhi athuthuke ngokuphelele ngisho nalapho le nkululeko yokubusa kwembulunga yonke eyabekwa kusukela ngasekupheleni kwawo-1980 izoshabalala.” Futhi, ngethemba, esikhathini esizayo “abakhethekile bazoguqulwa ngokwengxenye, futhi sizokwenza ubudlelwano bube bujwayelekile.”
Ngaphandle kokushintsha kwe-elite yaseNtshonalanga, lokhu kujwayela kobudlelwane baseMpumalanga-West kuzosekelwe ohlelweni olusha lomhlaba. NgokukaKaraganov: “Izinqubomgomo eziqinile zaseNtshonalanga…zihlanza umphakathi wethu, abakhethekile bethu, izinsalela zezakhi ezisekela iNtshonalanga, ama-comprador kanye 'neziwula eziwusizo.'” “I-Ukraine iyingxenye ebalulekile kodwa encane yenqubo eguquguqukayo yokuwohloka kwezwe. uhlelo lomhlaba lwangaphambili lwe-imperialism yenkululeko yomhlaba wonke eyabekwa yi-United States kanye nokuthuthela ezweni elinobulungiswa nelikhululekile lokuhlukahlukana kwemiphakathi namasiko amaningi,” enye yazo izogxila e-Eurasia.
Umbono kaKaraganov wekusasa ukuthi ngeke kube yi-elitist engeyona yaseNtshonalanga futhi engeyona eyaseNtshonalanga. Izwe lonke “lithuthuka ngokuyinhloko endleleni efanele futhi liya liba likhudlwana futhi likhululeka, kuyilapho iNtshonalanga incipha ngokushesha.”
Ukulahla kwakhe izikhulu zaseNtshonalanga kanye namandla aseNtshonalanga abolayo kulula ukukuqonda. Ngokuqinisekile uyazazi izibalo mayelana nokungalingani okukhulayo e-United States; Nginesiqiniseko sokuthi wabukela impinda yokubulawa kukaGeorge Floyd kanye nokuhlaselwa kukaJanuwari 6 eCapitol. Ukwenqaba kukaKaraganov i-Western liberal imperialism kuvela kumuntu onolwazi olujulile lwe-NATO kanye namanyuvesi amakhulu ase-US kanye nama- think tanks. Ubonile ingaphakathi lesisu sesilo, futhi, kuye, akusebenzi.
UKaraganov ukholelwa ukuthi ukusabalala okukhulayo kwamandla omhlaba ngemva kweMpi Yezwe II yaseMelika akunakugwenywa. Futhi yilapho ingxabano yakhe iphelelwa amandla. Kuthiwani ngeRussia? Izobe ikuphi iRussia kulo mlaza omusha?
UKaraganov ubona iRussia njengesikhungo esizayo. Ngokusho kwakhe, "iRussia izobe idlala indima yayo yemvelo yempucuko yempucuko." “Siyizindlalifa eziziqhenya ngesiko elihle…Siyizindlalifa zamaqhawe angenakunqotshwa…” Ngokubala ababhali abakhulu namashashala amakhulu, uwela ogibeni olufanayo lwama-elitist asole ngalo ama-elite aseNtshonalanga. Bahlanganaphi abasebenzi bomhlaba?
Ngokuphetha ngezindumiso zababhali abakhulu namaqhawe amakhulu, uKaraganov uyakuphika ukugxeka kwakhe izikhulu zaseNtshonalanga. Yize egxeka abahlonishwayo baseNtshonalanga “ngokwehluleka nokulahlekelwa ukwethenjwa kwabantu bakubo,” ubonakala engenandaba nenani labantu baseRussia. "ERussia le ngxabano imayelana nokulondolozwa hhayi kuphela kwabathile bayo, kodwa nezwe uqobo." Ngakho-ke ama-elite aseNtshonalanga kufanele ashintshwe, hhayi amaRussia. Okuwukuphela kwezikhulu zaseRussia okufanele zishintshwe yilabo ababenokuthambekela kwe-pro-Western.
Ingxoxo kaSergei Karaganov ibonisa umbono waseRussia wokubola kwaseNtshonalanga. Kodwa kuthiwani ngokuzigxeka kweRussia? Kuthiwani ngezinkinga zangaphakathi zezwe elinomnotho osuselwe ekukhishweni lapho abantu abasha be-IT behamba? Indlela yokudumisa "amaqhawe" adumile aseRussia ngenkathi ebuka ukuqhuma kwamabhomu okuhlosiwe kwabantu kulo lonke elase-Ukraine? Ingabe ukuhlukana phakathi kwe-elite kanye nomphakathi jikelele kusebenza kuphela eNtshonalanga?
USerge Schmemann kanye nabanye NYTimes usenze inkonzo ngokubonisa esidlangalaleni imicabango yososayensi/umeluleki wenqubomgomo ovelele waseRussia. Ngeshwa, futhi ngokudabukisayo, amathuba okuba nengxoxo evulekile noma inkulumo-mpikiswano awakwazi ukwenzeka. Futhi, ngeshwa, futhi ngokudabukisayo, abantu abafana no-Arbatov no-Harriman abasekho nathi ukuze sibe nezingxoxo ukuze kugcinwe izingxabano ezifana ne-Ukraine zingalawuleki. Okungenani lokho, Sergei othandekayo, singavumelana ngakho.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
Nikela