Bafika, babona, ba... bashiya.
Lokho, ngamafuphi nje, kuyindaba kahulumeni wase-Iraqi “ohlaselayo” eBasra (kanye naseBaghdad). Kuthathe izinsuku ezimbalwa, kodwa izihloko zezindaba eziphuma e-Iraq ("Ingabe Amasosha Ase-Iraq Angalwa?") manje zikhuluma indaba ebuhlungu futhi ulwazi olukuzo lubi nakakhulu. UStephen Farrell noJames Glanz beqembu New York Times ukulinganisela ukuthi okungenani amasosha namaphoyisa ase-Iraqi-1,000, noma ngaphezulu kwe-4% yamasosha athunyelwe e-Basra, "ashiye izikhundla zawo" ngesikhathi sokulwa, okuhlanganisa "inqwaba yezikhulu" kanye "okungenani nabaphathi ababili abakhulu."
Ezinye izingcezu zinikeza izinombolo ezilimaza kakhulu. Isibonelo, u-Sudarsan Raghavan no-Ernesto Londoño be- Washington Post asikisela ukuthi mhlawumbe u-30% wamasosha kahulumeni "ayilahlile impi ngaphambi kokuthi kufinyelelwe esinqumweni sokuyeka ukudubula." Tina Susman we Los Angeles Times okunikezwayo Ama-50% alinganiselwa ku-XNUMX% wamaphoyisa ashiya impi phakathi kwempi emijondolo yase-Baghdad yase-Sadr City, okuyindawo eyinqaba yamasosha ezempi ka-Muqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army.
Ngamanye amazwi, ngemuva kweminyaka yokuqeqeshwa okujulile ngabeluleki baseMelika kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali okungamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-22, abakhulumeli bezempi base-US baphinde bashiywa bezama ukubeka ubuso obuhle enhlekeleleni yamasu (abasindiswe kuyo ngenxa yezingxoxo phakathi kuka-Muqtada al- USadr kanye nabeluleki bakaNdunankulu uNouri al-Maliki, abahweba e-Iran nguGeneral Qassem Suleimani, owesilisa osemgwaqweni. UMnyango Wezezimali wase-U.S uhlu lokubuka lwamaphekula). Cabanga indida. "Ngokwalokho esikuqondayo," kusho incazelo yaseMelika ekhubazekile, "inqwaba yalaba [abahlubuki] bebevela emabuthweni asanda kuphuma ekuqeqeshweni okuyisisekelo futhi okungenzeka ukuthi baphonswa empini maduze nje."
Kuleli sonto, nomphathi ohlinzayo uGeneral David Petraeus ebuya e-Baghdad eyake yaba bomvu, yingozi nakakhulu "I-Green Zone," nanka amaqiniso ambalwa okufanele uwakhumbule njengoba efakaza phambi kweCongress:
1. Isimo e-Iraq siya ngokuba sibi kakhulu: Ungakholwa noma ubani osho okuhlukile. I-Iraq egcwele udlame, "enodlame oluncane" ujenene ayengamele ngokuzethemba okungaka, empeleni, iyisiphithiphithi, inodlame ezifundazweni zasemadolobheni, amasosha andayo ahlome amazinyo, izifunda eziqhudelanayo ezihlome ngezihluthu, kanye namaqembu enkolo aqhudelanayo. ehlome efika emazinyweni. Okubi nakakhulu, ngaphansi kukaPetraeus kanye neNxusa uRyan Crocker, i-U.S. ibe ngumsabalalisi omkhulu. Ihlomile futhi yaxhasa ngemali ecela ku-100,000 amaSunni ahlelwe kwaba amasosha okubikwa ukuthi ahlose ukucekela phansi "ama-Irani" ngolunye usuku (okungukuthi uhulumeni waseMaliki). Iphinde yasekela amasosha aseShiite (owaziwa nangokuthi ibutho lase-Iraqi). Ekuhlaselweni kwamuva nje, yathatha uhlangothi empini yombango yamaShiite eqhubekayo. Njengoba u-Nir Rosen esanda kufingqa izinto ngendlela evamile ucezu brilliant ku Nation , i-Baghdad namuhla iwuchungechunge nje “lwemibuso ephethwe izinduna zempi namasosha,” okuyiphethini eboniswa izwe lonke. Uyanezela: “Abaphathi bakaBush kanye namasosha ase-US ayeke ukukhuluma nge-Iraq njengomsebenzi omkhulu wokwakha isizwe, nabezindaba base-US benze okufanayo." Khonamanjalo, endaweni encane eqashelwe enyakatho yezwe, impi yombango yama-Arab/Kurdish phezu kwedolobha elicebe ngowoyela iKirkuk futhi ngokunokwenzeka neMosul nayo iyafufusa. Lokhu, imibiko Pepe Escobar we I-Asia Times, kungase kuqhume. Cabanga ngephupho elibi.
2. Abaphathi bakaBush abanalo ijika lokufunda. Izikhulu zayo eziphezulu, ezempi kanye nezakhamuzi, azikwazi ukuthola amaqiniso e-Iraq (noma isifunda) ngakho-ke, njengojenene beMpi Yezwe I, bavele bathumele amasosha abo "enyuka phezulu" ngokuphindaphindiwe, nezinguquko ezincane amaqhinga, kuze kube sekupheleni okufanayo. Isikhathi.com UTony Karon, endaweni yakhe I-Rootless Cosmopolitan ibhulogi wabamba lesi sigameko ngokumangazayo, ebhala ukuthi ukuhlasela kukaMaliki okuhlulekile "kwabelane ngesiphetho sayo yonke imizamo efanayo eyenziwa yiBush Administration kanye nabalingani bayo kanye nama-proxies kusukela ekuqaleni 'kwempi yobushokobezi.'"
3. "Impumelelo" yokuhlinzwa yayihlala iyinkohliso ebizayo lapho inkokhelo izofika ngolunye usuku. Ukuthenga isikhathi sempi yabo ekhaya, abaphathi bakaBush bakhiphe ama-IOU e-Iraq ukuthi akhokhelwe ezinxushunxushwini nodlame oluzayo. Manje sethemba ukuthi lizophuma esikhundleni ngaphambi kokuthi zifike ngokugcwele.
4. Ukuhlinzwa kwesibili okufihliwe, okungenzeka ukuthi ngeke kuxoxwe ezigcawini zaleli sonto, kuyaqhubeka. US iziqinisekiso zomoya, ithunyelwe e-Iraq onyakeni odlule, ziyanda bethwalwa. Kuyoba khona isihogo ukukhokhela lokhu, futhi, esikhathini esizayo.
5. Ukuhoxa ngokuphelele e-Iraq okwenziwe ngokunengqondo kodwa okushesha ukuphela kwendlela yokuphuma kulobu budlabha (futhi, ngalolu suku lwakamuva, ngeke kube kuhle); nokho isiphakamiso esinjalo asikho etafuleni eWashington okwamanje. Eqinisweni, njengoWarren Strobel kaMcClatchy noNancy Youssef umbiko, inhlekelele eBasra empeleni "ithulise inkulumo ePentagon yokuhoxiswa okwengeziwe kwamasosha ase-US nganoma yisiphi isikhathi maduze."
Kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2003, ukuphathwa kukaBush ngakunye e-Iraq kuholele ekuphambukeni okubi kakhulu. Ngeshwa, okuncane kwalokhu kungenzeka kubonakale ku-shadowboxing ezokwenzeka phakathi "kokuhle kakhulu futhi okukhanyayo" kwaseWashington njengoba uGeneral Petraeus ethula umbiko wakhe kuCongress.
[Le ndatshana yaqala ukuvela ngo I-Tomdispatch.com, ibhulogi yewebhu ye-Nation Institute, enikeza ukugeleza okuqhubekayo kweminye imithombo, izindaba, kanye nemibono evela ku-Tom Engelhardt, umhleli wesikhathi eside ekushicilelweni, Umsunguli we- i-American Empire Project nombhali Ukuphela KweMasiko Okunqoba (University of Massachusetts Press), esanda kubuyekezwa kahle kuhlelo olusha oludingida ukulandelana kokuphahlazeka nokushiswa kwesiko lokunqoba e-Iraq.]
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Nikela