I-capitalism yaseBrithani ayisebenzi ngokujulile. Sinesifunda esicebe kakhulu eYurophu - eLondon engaphakathi - kodwa izifunda eziningi zaseBrithani manje sezimpofu kunesilinganiso saseYurophu. Ukusebenza kokukhiqiza kwe-UK bekulokhu kubi iminyaka eyishumi. Siphakathi kokuma okude kakhulu kweholo leminyaka engu-150. Intsha namuhla izoba mpofu kunabazali bayo futhi izinga lobumpofu liyakhuphuka. Imithelela yemvelo yomnotho wethu iyalimaza futhi ayinakusimama. Ngamafuphi, ngenkathi i-UK igcina iziphiwo namandla amakhulu, imodeli yethu yezomnotho yehluleka kubantu abaningi futhi idinga ukuguqulwa okukhulu.
Indaba yoguquko ihlanganiswa nezinselelo izwe elibhekene nazo emashumini eminyaka ezayo. I-Brexit ingamandla aphazamisayo asobala kakhulu, futhi noma ibuphi ubudlelwano obuvelayo ne-EU, nakanjani buzoba nemithelela ebalulekile ekuchumeni kwethu kwesikhathi esizayo. Nokho njengoba i-UK ixoxisana ngobudlelwano bayo obusha ne-Europe, igagasi elisheshayo loshintsho lwezomnotho, lwezenhlalo nezobuchwepheshe lizobumba kabusha izwe, ngezindlela ezivame kakhulu. I-Brexit ke isibhamu sokudubula kuphela eminyakeni eyishumi yokuphazamiseka. Izindlela ezine ziyagqama ezizoshintsha unyaka wama-2020: uguquko kwezobuchwepheshe, ukuguquka kwezibalo zabantu, ukuvela kokuhwebelana kwembulunga yonke, kanye nenkinga ekhulayo yezemvelo.
Okokuqala, uguquko oluqhubekayo lwezobuchwepheshe lunamandla okubumba kabusha umnotho, luqhube ukuhlelwa kabusha kwezomnotho, kwezenhlalo nezombusazwe. Amandla asheshayo e-AI namarobhothi kungenzeka anciphise izindawo lapho abantu benezinzuzo eziqhathaniswayo kunemishini. Lokhu akusho ukuthi umnotho wangemva komuntu ususondele. Ngempela, uma kubhekwa ukusebenza okudabukisayo kwe-UK ekutshalweni kwezimali nasekukhiqizeni, wukungabikhona kwamarobhothi okuwukukhathazeka okusobala kakhulu kumathrendi amanje. Nokho amandla akhulayo emishini cishe azoyibumba kabusha indlela esisebenza ngayo. Khona-ke ubungozi obukhulu akukona ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi okubangelwa ubuchwepheshe kodwa kuyindida yenala, izwe lapho sicebe kakhulu ngokuhlanganisa kodwa simpofu ngokwesilinganiso, njengoba izinzuzo zokuzenzakalela zigeleza ngokulinganayo kubantu abanamakhono aphezulu futhi imali eyinhloko ikhulisa isabelo sayo kuzwelonke. imali engenayo ngezindleko zomsebenzi. Kuyikusasa lapho umnikazi wamarobhothi eza ukuba ngumnikazi wezwe. Ukukhula okuqhubekayo kwezinkundla zedijithali - uhlobo lwenhlangano olubusayo lwe-contemporary capitalism - cishe kuzogxilisa kakhulu izinzuzo zezomnotho.
Okubaluleke kakhulu, iminyaka yomshini izobukeka njengomuntu. Isivinini kanye nomphumela wokusabalalisa wokuzenzakalelayo uqhutshwa uchungechunge lwezici inqubomgomo yomphakathi ezilolonga kakhulu. Amandla wezobuchwepheshe wokuzenzakalela munye kuphela. Izindleko ezilinganiselwe zomsebenzi kanye nezimali, izindleko zokutholwa kobuchwepheshe ngokuqhathaniswa nezinzuzo, izimiso zokuziphatha kanye nemithetho elawula ukusetshenziswa kobuchwepheshe konke kunomthelela ekutheni ingabe izindima ziyazenzakalela ngempela futhi kuba namuphi umphumela. Umthelela wobuchwepheshe, ngamanye amazwi, awusona isenzakalo esingaqondile, esingenabuntu kodwa esigxiliswe futhi salolongwa izinhlangano zethu ezihlangene, amasiko, nepolitiki. Ngakho-ke amamodeli amasha obunikazi bobuchwepheshe, idatha kanye nokulingana kuyindlela ephumelelayo yokuhlola ukuze uqinisekise ukuthi iminyaka yomshini ilapho inala ihambisana khona nobulungiswa.
Okwesibili, uguquko lwabantu luzoyishintsha kakhulu iminyaka yama-2020. Ekhaya, sizohlukahluka kakhulu, nengxenye yesihlanu yezakhamizi zase-UK ezivela ezizindeni ze-BAME ngo-2030. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, inani labantu abaneminyaka engu-65 noma ngaphezulu libikezelwa ukuthi ikhule ngamaphesenti angama-33 (kusuka ezigidini eziyi-11.6 kuye kweziyi-15.4 million) ngo-2030. Ngokuphambene, inani labantu abaneminyaka yokusebenza lizokhula ngamaphesenti amabili nje kuphela. 'Ukuba ngwevu' komphakathi kuzodala isidingo sokwenyuka kwemali esetshenziswayo kwezempilo nezenhlalakahle kanye nezimpesheni. Kuphinde kusho ukushoda kwezimali kwesakhiwo okungenzeka ukuthi kuphinde kuvele ngeminyaka yawo-2 ngaphandle uma sicabanga kabusha ngendlela yethu yokukhokhiswa kwentela yomphakathi nokusetshenziswa kwemali, kanye nokufuduka. Inkinga yezindlu, yona ibhekeke ukuba idlondlobale, noqhekeko oluqinile mayelana nokuhlala, izinga lezindlu, nengcebo yezindlu phakathi kwezizukulwane nezifunda. Inani labantu abagugile emhlabeni wonke linganciphisa ukukhula komnotho ngesigamu seminotho ethuthukile eminyakeni engamashumi amathathu ezayo, okubangele ukwehla kwezinga lokukhula komlando we-GDP ngomuntu ngamunye. Ngamanye amazwi, singena emhlabeni okhula kancane ngenxa yokuguga ngaphandle uma singathuthukisa kakhulu ukukhiqiza, kuyilapho ukushintsha kwezibalo zabantu e-UK kuzoba nomthelela omkhulu kunqubomgomo yomphakathi.
Okwesithathu, imvelo yohwebo, indawo yamandla omnotho womhlaba, kanye nezakhiwo ezilawulayo ezilolonga ukuhwebelana kwembulunga yonke konke kungenzeka kushintshe ngeminyaka yawo-2020. Njengephesenti lomkhiqizo womhlaba wonke, ukuhwebelana kubonakala kukhuphuka futhi ukuhlanganiswa kwezezimali kuncipha. Ukuthi le phethini ibambe noma cha, okudayiswayo kulindeleke ukuthi kushintshe. Ukuhweba ngezinsizakalo, ingxenye enkulu yayo eyidijithali, kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule. Amandla ezomnotho kungenzeka ashintshele eGlobal South ngeminyaka yowezi-2020. Ekupheleni kweminyaka eyishumi ezayo, amaphesenti angama-30 akho konke ukuhwebelana komhlaba kulindeleke ukuthi abe phakathi kwezimakethe ezisafufusa, okungaphezu kokuphindwe kabili isabelo sazo namuhla. I-China kulindeleke ukuthi ibe namadolobha ayi-17 kwangu-50 aphezulu emhlabeni nge-GDP ngo-2030, ngaphezu kweNyakatho Melika noma iYurophu. Nakuba i-United States izogcina izinzuzo ezinamandla - hhayi okungenani indima yayo yokuqala ezingqalasizinda ezibalulekile zedijithali, zezimali nezempi - umnotho womhlaba kungenzeka ube yinkimbinkimbi futhi amandla asakazwe kakhulu.
Ekugcineni, 'ukwethuka kwe-Anthropocene' kuzokwedlula lokhu. Umthelela ohlanganisiwe wesenzo somuntu ezinhlelweni zemvelo Zomhlaba usho ukuthi imikhawulo eminingi yemvelo ebucayi kungenzeka yephulwe ngawo-2020. Lokhu kubandakanya ukuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu esibi, ukulahleka kwezinhlobonhlobo zezinto eziphilayo, ukuphazamiseka komjikelezo wenitrogen, ukunukubezeka komoya kanye nokulahlekelwa indawo yokuhlala emhlabeni. Imithelela yokuwohloka kwemvelo okuhlanganisayo izozwakala ngendlela engalingani, umthelela wayo uvame ukuba ngobulili futhi ucwaswe ngokwebala. Inkinga yeplanethi mhlawumbe ichazwa kangcono ngokuthi 'i-capitalocene' njengoba ukucekelwa phansi kwemvelo kuhambisana namaphethini okuqongelela imali. Uma kubhekwa lokhu, ukuqinisekisa ukuthi siphila ngokuphepha ngaphakathi โkwemingcele yamaplanethiโ oMhlaba kuzodinga uguquko endleleni umnotho wanamuhla ohlelwa ngayo, okuhlanganisa nokukhipha i-carbonisation cishe noma kancane okuphelele kwamandla, ezokuthutha kanye nezinhlelo zezimboni.
Emhlabeni oguquguquka ngokwandayo, isimo esikhona sizobonakala singanele. Inselelo yethu sonke iwukuqonda kangcono izinguquko ezizayo ukuze silolonge umnotho ngendlela ephumelelayo ubheke ekusaseni elinobulungisa neliqhubekayo. Kungakho iKhomishana ye-IPPR yezoBulungiswa kwezoMnotho ifuna ukuthuthukisa i-ajenda yoguquko ukuze ihambisane nezinselele ezizayo, ukuze kwakhiwe umnotho lapho inala ihlanganiswa nobulungiswa.
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