I-United States inikeze u-Israyeli ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-51.3 wezibonelelo zezempi kusukela ngo-1949, iningi lazo ngemva kuka-1974 ' ngaphezu kwanoma yiliphi elinye izwe esikhathini sangemva kuka-1945. I-Israel iphinde yathola ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-11.2 emalimboleko yempahla yezempi, kanye namaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-31 ezibonelelo zezomnotho, ingasaphathwa eyeziqinisekiso zemalimboleko noma amaphrojekthi ahlangene ezempi. Kepha izimo ezinkulu kulezi zibonelelo zamasosha zisho ukuthi amaphesenti angama-74 ayo asale e-US ukuthenga izikhali zaseMelika. Njengoba idala amathuba emisebenzi kanye nenzuzo ezifundeni eziningi, uKhongolose usekulungele ukuphendula ekuxoxweni kwethimba lakwa-Israel. Lesi samba esikhulu sinike amandla futhi saphoqa u-Israyeli ukuthi azilungiselele ukulwa impi yohlobo lwaseMelika. Kepha i-US kusukela ngo-1950 yehlulekile ukunqoba noma yiziphi izimpi zayo ezinkulu.
Ekuqaleni kuka-2005 umphathi omusha we-Israel Defence Force, uDan Halutz, waqala ukuhlela kabusha okubanzi emlandweni we-IDF. U-Halutz ungujenene we-Air Force futhi uthanda izimfundiso ezithethelela imishini yesimanje abantu baseMelika abayithela phezu kwama-Israel. Izindiza ezinophephela emhlane, izindiza ezingenamuntu, ubuhlakani obuphambili bebanga elide kanye nezokuxhumana, nokunye okunjalo kwakuseqhulwini ezinhlelweni zakhe. Okwakhe kwakuwukwehluka nje kwemibono kaDonald Rumsfeld 'yokushaqeka nokwesaba'.
Impi yezinsuku ezingu-34 eLebanon, eqala ngoJulayi 12 ngonyaka odlule, yaba inguquko eyinhlekelele kwa-Israyeli. Kuze kube iKhomishini ka-Eliyahu Winograd, eyamiswa u-Olmert ngoSepthemba 2006, ihambisa umbiko wayo wesikhashana ngasekupheleni kuka-April 'ezohlanganisa izinsuku ezinhlanu zempi kuphela' futhi ixazulule lezi zindaba, ngeke sazi ngokuqondile imiyalo ethunyelwe kumayunithi athile. noma isikhathi sabo bonke abalingisi, kodwa sekunokuvumelana kakade ngezisekelo ezibaluleke kakhulu. Kodwa ama-Israyeli awazange ahlulwe empini ngenxa yemiyalelo eyanikezwa noma enganikezwanga izikhulu ezihlukahlukene. Kwakuyimpi yokuzikhethela, futhi kwakuhlelwe njengempi yasemoyeni enezindawo ezilinganiselwe kakhulu zokungena emhlabathini ngokulindela ukuthi abalimala bakwa-Israel bazoba phansi kakhulu. UMajor General Herzl Sapir ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari wathi 'impi yaqala ngokuzama kwethu futhi asizange sisebenzise izinzuzo ezinikezwe umqalisi.' Ukuhlelela impi kwaqala ngoNovemba 2005 kodwa kwafinyelela egiyeni eliphezulu ngoMashi olandelayo ngaphambi kokuthunjwa okulindelekile kwamasosha amabili e-IDF 'okuyisizaba sempi. Akukho ukungqubuzana mayelana neqiniso lokuthi kwakuyimpi efakwe kudijithali, yenethiwekhi, eyokuqala kokuhlangenwe nakho kuka-Israyeli, futhi yahambisana nemibono ye-Halutz ne-American ' yokuthi impi iliwa kanjani kule nkathi yobuchwepheshe obuphezulu. I-US yalwa izimpi ezifanayo e-Afghanistan nase-Iraq 'futhi isezinhlelweni zokulahlekelwa zombili.
Zaziyini izinjongo zakwa-Israyeli? ' impi ihlose, uma uthanda. Nakuba umbiko weKhomishini ye-Winograd ungase ucacise lo mbuzo, okungenani inani lemigomo eyaziwa kakade. U-Halutz wayefuna 'ukushaqisa nokwethusa' i-Hezbollah namadlelandawonye ayo ngamandla akwa-Israyeli ' phakathi kwezinsuku ezimbalwa. Bekunezinhloso ezincane, njengokususa amarokhethi e-Hezbollah kude nemingcele noma ngisho nokubuyisela amasosha ayo amabili athunjiwe, kodwa okungenani uHalutz wayefuna ukusho iphuzu elibucayi.
Kunalokho, wembula ukuba sengozini kukaIsrayeli okusekelwe, ikakhulukazi eqinisweni, eqinisweni isitha sasizilungiselele kangcono kakhulu, sigqugquzelekile, futhi sihlonyiswe kangcono kakhulu. Kwaba ukuphela kwenganekwane ebalulekile, inkomba yezingxabano ezihlomile ezichitha igazi kakhulu, kodwa ezilinganayo noma ukulingana kwamandla okusiza ezingxoxweni. U-Olmert nojenene bakhe kungenzeka babelindele ukunqoba okukhulu phakathi nezinsuku ezinhlanu, ngaleyo ndlela andise ukuthandwa kwakhe ngamaJuda angama-hawkish okuyinani elikhulayo labavoti, ukuze ahlehlise izilinganiso zakhe zokuvota eziphansi kakhulu, ngaleyo ndlela asindise umsebenzi wakhe wezombangazwe ' ukuthandwa okungamaphesenti amathathu kunhlolovo ye-TV ekuqaleni kukaMashi.
Ziningi izizathu zokuthi ama-Israyeli alahlekelwe yimpi eLebanon, kodwa kunesivumelwano esijwayelekile phakathi kwa-Israel sokuthi impi yaphela ngenhlekelele kanye nenani elivimbayo le-IDF eyake yahlulwa, eyayihlome ngezikhali ezinkulu lehla kakhulu emhlabeni wonke wama-Arab okokuqala ngqa kusukela. 1947. Kodwa ama-Israel ahlulwa ngenxa yezizathu eziningi ezifanayo ezibangele ukuthi amaMelika alahlekelwe izimpi e-Iraq nase-Afghanistan 'naseVietnam futhi. Kokubili imfundiso yabo kanye nemishini yabo yayingawafanele amaqiniso ababebhekene nawo. Kwakungekho sakhiwo somyalo esimaphakathi sokubhubhisa kodwa amaqembu amancane, ahlomile kancane, ahambayo, futhi ahlukaniswe, akwazi ukuhlukumeza futhi ekugcineni aphumelele. I-Hezbollah iphinde yaba nemicibisholo esebenza kahle kakhulu yaseRussia yokulwa nethangi, futhi i-IDF iyavuma ukuthi amathangi 'ayishumi nambili' akhishwe emsebenzini, uma engacekelwanga, okuhlanganisa neMerkava Mark IV, u-Israyeli athi ethangini elivikelwe kakhulu emhlabeni. futhi elifuna ukuyithumela ngaphandle. Baphinde badubula amarokhethi angaba ngu-4,000 ezindaweni ezihlala abantu bakwa-Israel kanti i-IDF ayikwazanga ukukumisa lokhu kuhlukunyezwa okwehlisa isithunzi. Izigodlo ze-Hezbollah kanye nezikhali zazingavikeleki kakhulu ekuhlaselweni komoya, okwabangela ukuthi ama-Israel 'elule imvilophu eqondiwe' ukuze ahlasele izindawo ezinabantu abaningi, kwafa abantu abangaphezu kwe-1,000. 'U-Israyeli wehlulwe empini ezinsukwini ezintathu zokuqala,' kuphetha uchwepheshe wezempi waseMelika, ezwakalisa ukuvumelana okwabiwe abahlaziyi abaningi be-US Air Force. 'Uma unalolo hlobo lokumangala futhi unalolo hlobo lokucisha umlilo kungcono uwine. Uma kungenjalo, uzothatha isikhathi eside.'
Inkinga, nokho, bekungelona nje ikhono elisha lama-Arabhu, noma izinguquko ezinhlanganweni zabo zokuziphatha kanye nokulwa kungafanele kuncishiswe. Ukuhlelwa kabusha okunamandla kwe-Halutz' kwe-IDF kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2005, okwakufanele ifinyelele izithembiso zazo zonke izinto zayo ezihlinzekwa eMelika, 'okubangele,' ngokwamazwi kaGeneral Sapir, 'ukuhlanekezelwa okubi kakhulu.' I-IDF yayiyinhlakanhlaka yenhlangano, idemele kakhulu kunanini ngaphambili, kwathi ngoJanuwari 17, 2007 uHalutz wesula esikhundleni, inhloko yokuqala ye-IDF ukwehla ngokuzithandela ngenxa yobuholi bakhe empini. Ukube akasulanga ngabe uxoshiwe. Umlandeli wakhe washeshe wakuchitha ukuhlelwa kabusha kwe-IDF, osekungahlelekile neze. Indlela yempi yaseMelika yayihlulekile.
Impi Elandelayo
Impi yaseLebanon iyinkomba nje yokuhlulwa kwama-Israyeli okuzayo. Ngokokuqala ngqa kukhona ukulingana okubi emandleni ezempi.
Ubuchwepheshe kuyo yonke indawo manje buhamba ngokushesha kakhulu kunemithombo yezokuxhumana nepolitiki noma intando yokulawula imiphumela yabo engenakugwenywa. IHezbollah inamarokhethi angcono kakhulu nangaphezulu 'amarokhethi angaphezu kuka-10,000 ebanga elifushane isibalo esisodwa esinikezwe' kunaseminyakeni embalwa edlule, futhi uphiko lwezobunhloli lwezempi yakwa-Israel lukholelwa ukuthi lunamandla okudubula amaningi kunalawo ayenawo entwasahlobo edlule, ngaphambi kokuba ahlaselwe. I-Israel yehlulekile ukukholisa iRussia ukuthi ingadayisi noma inikeze imicibisholo yayo yokulwa nethangi esebenza ngempumelelo emazweni noma ukunyakaza esifundeni. Besaba ukuthi ngisho iHamas izobathola. I-Syria ithola 'izinkulungwane' zemicibisholo ecitshwayo yokulwa nethangi ethuthukisiwe evela eRussia, engaqhunyiswa eqhele ngamakhilomitha amahlanu, kanye namarokhethi angcono kakhulu angashaya amadolobha akwa-Israel.
Uma izinselelo zokukhiqiza umqondo ongokoqobo wezwe obhekene nezingozi ezikhulayo kanye nemingcele yobuchwepheshe bezempi ngokungathí sina zingaxazululwa maduzane akukho okungaphezu kwezimpi okufanele zibhekwe phambili. Igatsha lezobunhloli le-IDF alicabangi ukuthi impi neSyria kungenzeka ngo-2007; abanye abahlaziyi bezempi yakwa-Israel bacabanga ukuthi noma iyiphi impi neSyria ingaveza, okungcono kakhulu, ukuxabana okuchitha igazi 'njengempi yaseLebanon ehlobo eledlule. I-Israel inamathangi angaba ngu-3,700 futhi wonke manje asengozini enkulu. Ingalo yayo yomoya yesimanjemanje, iningi lazo ehlinzekwe yi-US, ibulala abantu kuphela kodwa ayikwazi ukuthola ukunqoba.
U-Israyeli Omusha 'Isizwe' 'Esivamile'
Esikhathini esidlule, izimpi zabangela ukunqoba nezindawo ezengeziwe kumaJuda; manje bazokhiqiza izinhlekelele kuphela kuwo wonke umuntu. Impi yaseLebanon yakufakazela lokho.
I-Zionism yayiyinhlanganisela yezindlu zekhofi zase-Viennese, umbono ka-Tolstoy wezisebenzi, imizwa yokuqala yemvelo ngendlela ye-wanderfogel eyathonya iZionism kodwa ukunyakaza okuhlukahlukene kwe-fascistic kanye, impi, kanye nezinhlobonhlobo ze-socialism ezingxenyeni zayo, kuhlanganise ne-bolshevism. AmaJuda ayefuna ukuya ePalestine hhayi nje ngenxa yokuQothulwa Kwesizwe kodwa futhi nezinguquko emithethweni yabafuduki baseMelika engxenyeni yokuqala yawo-1920. Ngaphandle kwesamba esikhulu esihlinzekwe ngabakwaDiaspora, ubuZionism ubungeke bufezeke. Isizwe ngasinye sinobuntu baso obuhlukile obubonisa amasiko aso, ukuzenzisa, nomlando waso, futhi kulokhu u-Israyeli akahlukile. Ikhona kodwa iya ngokuya iba yingozi ekuthuleni komhlaba nakubo uqobo.
I-Zionism yayihlale ine-ethos yezempi, ebekwe kuphela ingxenye yobutha bama-Arab, futhi kusukela ekuqaleni komlando weZionism abaholi bayo bezombangazwe nabezempi babefana. Ojenene babengamaqhawe futhi benza kahle kwezombusazwe. Umqondo wamandla uhlanganiswe nokuchema okwaseNtshonalanga, kobukoloniyali. Abasunguli bayo kwakungabantu baseYurophu, futhi yayiyindawo engaphandle yesiko laseYurophu kwaze kwaba yilapho ukuhwebelana kwembulunga yonke kwezindinganiso nemikhiqizo kwenza lokhu kwehluka kwamasiko kungabi namsebenzi. Bekulokhu kuwumphakathi wezempi, ozigqaja ngabalwi bawo. Futhi naphezu kweMpi Yomshoshaphansi kanye nokwanda kokugeleza kwezikhali ezivela e-US, okwathi, kuhlanganiswe ne-élan yayo, kwasho ukuthi yanqoba zonke izimpi zayo zangemva kuka-1947 kuze kube yihlobo eledlule, isalokhu ibambe iqhaza elinamandla mayelana nezwe elibhekene nalo. Futhi ngokuvamile ubumesiya 'ikakhulukazi osopolitiki bayo' ngoba umesiya unethonya elikhulu phakathi kwengxenye ekhulayo yabantu benkolo nendabuko.
U-Israyeli uyekile ukuba 'yiZionist' ngomqondo wokuqala walowo mbono. Ngenxa yomcimbi igcina iZionism njengelebula, njengoba nje izizwe eziningi zangempela noma ezisafufusa zinezinganekwane ezihlukahlukene ezithethelela izimangalo zazo ngobuzwe. Kodwa kukude nezakhiwo zangempela, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokuthi impi yayo nomakhelwane bayo 'ikakhulukazi ama-Arabhu ahlala phakathi kwayo noma eduze' yenza i-ethos yayo yezempi ibe ngaphezu kwakho konke okunye.
I-Israel namuhla isendleleni eya ekubeni izwe elihlulekile. Ukube bekungengenxa yokuthi le nqaba yamaJuda angaphansi kwezigidi ezinhlanu iyisici esibucayi sempi nokuthula endaweni enkulu futhi ebalulekile bekungeke kubaluleke noma kungajwayelekile nhlobo. Kodwa ididekile kakhulu futhi inobunikazi obuxube kakhulu; i-US kusukela ngasekupheleni kwawo-1960 isiyivikele. Ukuthula kwezwe manje kuncike kule ndawo, i-idiosyncrasies yayo, ubuntu, nokungqubuzana okukhulayo.
I-Israel iwumphakathi ohlukene phakathi futhi osopolitiki bakhona bangama- cynics. Izizwe eziningi 'futhi ngokuqinisekile abaholi basePalestine kuze kube yilapho iHamas, ngokuzenzakalelayo, ithatha izintambo' abahlukile. Njengoba uShlomo Ben-Ami, owayengungqongqoshe wezangaphandle echaza, ngakolunye uhlangothi kukhona amaJuda aseMpumalanga ayencishwe amathuba ngokwezomnotho, abashisekeli bobuzwe baseRussia ababegqugquzelwa ngaphezu kwakho konke isifiso sokushiya i-USSR (idlanzana elincomekayo akuwona amaJuda), kanye namaJuda angama-Orthodox. bazo zonke izinhlobo ezihlanganiswe kuphela ngokungathandi kwabo 'ama-assimilationists'; ngakolunye uhlangothi sinamaJuda angokwezwe, amanye ama-leftists kanye nabesimanje, abanekhono ngokwengeziwe futhi abangabazali baseMpumalanga Yurophu abake babaluleka ekwakhekeni kweZionism. Kunenani elandayo ‘lamaJuda-amaJuda,’ njengoba uBen-Ami ebabiza kanjalo, eshukunyiswa ukuza ngokuyinhloko ngezisusa zezomnotho, futhi aletha Ilungelo lokubusa kaningi. Besaba ama-Arabhu ahlala kwa-Israyeli. AmaJuda 'e-Tel Aviv' ahambisana nesiko lomhlaba wonke, elenza isimanjemanje, elifana kakhulu nokuphila 'okuvamile' okwakushunyayelwa amaSiyoni okuqala, futhi yibo abafudukayo ngenxa yokuthi banamakhono aphezulu. I-Israel manje inabantu abaningi abashiyayo njengoba befudukela kuyo, futhi iNyakatho Melika iyodwa iyikhaya labantu abangaba yisigidi sabo.
Ezinye izinkomba zalokhu kuthrenda zisukela ku-banal kuye kwenhlekelele. Kukhona zonke izinhlobo zamapunk, izitabane, yonke into. Ngokuqondene nama-ultra-Orthodox, abanye baye babeka 'iziqalekiso' kulabo abakhuthaza ukungazihlanganisi nanoma yiziphi izindawo zokuhlala eWest Bank noma eGaza; bayakujeziswa yizulu. Omunye wamaJuda amane angama-Ultra-Orthodox ukholelwa ukuthi yingakho uSharon eshaywe yi-coma. UMartin van Creveld, uprofesa womlando wezempi eNyuvesi yesiHebheru kanye nomngane wabaholi abaningi be-IDF, odumo lwabo lwenziwa ngokufunda indima yokuziphatha emabuthweni, ucabanga ukuthi isimilo salabo ababuthiwe ku-IDF 'sesizoshabalala; kwezinye izimo izingane ezikhalayo zithathe indawo yamasosha.' 'I-Feminism' embuthweni wezempi iye yaqinisa ukubola, kodwa 'intuthuko yezenhlalakahle' ibhubhise ingxenye enkulu yebutho ' njengoba kwenza izikhulu 'ezishiye ngemuva kwamakhompyutha abo' ehlobo eledlule.
Akakaze nanini ngaphambili u-Israyeli akhungathekiswe amahlazo amaningi kangaka alulazayo. Umengameli wakwa-Israel usanda kwesula esikhundleni ngenxa yamacala okudlwengula abekwe wona, uNdunankulu u-Olmert uphenywa yihhovisi lika-comtroller ngamacala amane enkohlakalo, umphathi omusha wamaphoyisa wake wasolwa ngokwamukela ukufumbathiswa nokukhwabanisa nokuqokwa kwakhe kudale umsindo, kanye nezinye izimo ezidabukisayo eziningi kakhulu ukuba zingabalula. U-Israyeli 'ubhodla ekuboleni kwakhe,' kuphetha umlobi waseHaaretz; amaphoyisa, ijaji eselathatha umhlalaphansi u-Vardi Zeiler waphawula ngemva kokuhola ikomiti elizophenya ukusebenza kombuso, ayefana neSicily futhi umbuso wawusendleleni yokuba umbuso we-mafia.
Kulesi sibhicongo izimpi zigqugquzelwa ngezizathu zezombangazwe kodwa manje sezilahlekile ngoba umphakathi uyahlakazeka futhi 'futhi ukucaphuna umbhali we-Haaretz' uhulumeni 'untula kokubili ukuqondisa kanye nonembeza.' Okubi nakakhulu, abaholi bayo bayiziphukuphuku ngendlela emangalisayo futhi u-Olmert angaqhathaniswa noBush ngobuhlakani bezepolitiki. Kukhona ukuvumelana phakathi kosomaqhinga bakwa-Israel ukuthi iMpi yase-Iraq yaba inhlekelele kwa-Israyeli, isipho sezwe lezwe eliya e-Iran esizoshiya u-Israyeli engozini enkulu kakhulu ngemva kwesikhathi eside amaMelika egodukile. 'U-Israyeli akazuzi lutho ngokuqhubeka nokuba khona kweMelika e-Iraq,' kusho umqondisi we-Institute for National Security Studies yase-Tel Aviv University ngoJanuwari odlule. I-US yaxosha amaTaliban e-Afghanistan kanye noSaddam Hussein e-Iraq futhi yadala ukubusa okunamandla kwe-Iranian. Umkhankaso wayo wentando yeningi ulethe iHamas emandleni ePalestine. 'Kuwukungafundi kahle okungokoqobo,' kucashunwa omunye uchwepheshe wakwa-Israel lapho exoxa ngendima yeMelika esifundeni. Izinqubomgomo zaseMelika zehlulekile futhi i-Israel inikeze i-carte blanche isu elishiya lihlukaniswe kakhulu kunangaphambili.
Ngaphandle kwalokhu kuvumelana, ngoMashi 12 u-Olmert watshela ingqungquthela yaminyaka yonke ye-American Israel Public Affairs ngesixhumanisi sevidiyo 'Labo abakhathazeke ngokuvikeleka kuka-Israel'¦kufanele basibone isidingo sempumelelo yaseMelika e-Iraq kanye nokuphuma ngendlela efanele.' 'Noma yimuphi umphumela ongeke usize amandla eMelika'¦ungeke'¦unciphise ikhono leMelika lokubhekana ngokuphumelelayo nosongo olulethwa umbuso wase-Iran'¦.' Ungqongqoshe wakhe wezangaphandle wayenamandla nakakhulu. 'Susa isihogo kuso,' kuphetha umlobi we-Haaretz. Alikho iqembu elimelene nempi ukwedlula amaJuda aseMelika, iCongress 'ngendlela yayo engafanele' izama ukuqeda impi, osomaqhinga bakhe bacabanga ukuthi iMpi yase-Iraq yayiyinhlekelele ' futhi u-Olmert uvumela ubuwula bukaBush.
Inketho yaseSyria
Kukulo mongo lapho ukuthula kwesifunda kuzovela noma ngeke kuguquke. U-Olmert uzokwenza okungcono kakhulu esikhundleni sakhe sezepolitiki ekhaya, futhi ukugcina amandla kuzoba yinto eza kuqala kuye ' okungenani kunabandulelayo kanye nosopolitiki abaningi yonke indawo. Akuthembisi neze. Kodwa ngenxa yezizathu zobuchwepheshe, zezenhlalo, nezokuziphatha u-Israyeli ngeke awine enye impi. Kuwo wonke amazinga, sekuye kwaba buthaka kakhulu. Ingadala umonakalo owesabekayo ezitheni zayo kodwa ayikwazi ukushintsha ukulingana okuyisisekelo kwawo wonke amandla aholela ekunqobeni.
Ukwenza ukuthula ne-Syria kungaba yisinyathelo sokuqala esibalulekile ku-Israyeli, futhi nakuba inkinga yasePalestine isazohlala kodwa kuzothuthukisa kakhulu ukuphepha kwa-Israyeli ' futhi kuphikisane nombango weBush's Administration kuze kube muva nje ukuthi izingxoxo neSiriya noma i-Iran nganoma yimuphi umbuzo waseMpumalanga Ephakathi kuhilela ukuvuma. ebubini. Abezindaba bakwa-Israel babike ngokuningiliziwe ngezingxoxo eziyimfihlo zika-2004-05 ze-Israel-Syria, ezazithuthuke kakhulu futhi zazibandakanya izivumelwano ezinkulu zaseSyria 'ikakhulukazi emanzini nokungathathi hlangothi kweSyria ezingxabanweni eziningi zezombangazwe namaPalestine nama-Irani. Iphinde yabika ukuthi iWashington ilandele lezi zingxoxo eduze nokuthi 'ikakhulukazi ihhovisi likaCheney' liphikisana nokuziletha esiphethweni esiyimpumelelo. Ekupheleni kukaJanuwari amalungu amaningi abalulekile okusungulwa kwenqubomgomo yezangaphandle yakwa-Israyeli anxusa esidlangalaleni ukuthi zivulwe kabusha lezi zingxoxo.
U-Olmert ukuchithile ukuthinta kweSyria ngemuva kokuvela emphakathini. 'Ungacabangi nokucabanga ngakho' kwakungumbono kaNobhala Wezwe uRice ngesivumelwano lapho ebona izikhulu zakwa-Israel maphakathi noFebhuwari. Kodwa nakuba i-Mossad isekela umbono we-Rice-Olmert ongasho lutho, ubuhlakani bezempi buphikisa ngokuthi okunikezwa yiSyria kuqotho futhi kubucayi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, inhloko yezobunhloli ixwayise ngokuthi iSiriya ikhula ngamandla futhi ukuthula kwakubaluleke kakhulu ku-Israyeli. Wasekelwa iningi longqongqoshe Wezangaphandle Nezokuvikela, okuhlanganisa noNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela u-Amir Peretz. U-Olmert wafuna, futhi wakuthola, ukuvuma kwabo.
Isivumelwano singaphothulwa neSyria phakathi nezinyanga ezine kuya kweziyisithupha, u-Alon Liel, owayengumqondisi-jikelele woMnyango Wezangaphandle wakwa-Israel owaxoxisana namaSyria, kubike iWashington Times ngoMashi 7. U-Liel wacelwa ukuba eze ehhovisi lenxusa laseMelika eTel Aviv. ngalesi sikhathi futhi atshele bonke abasebenzi bezombusazwe ngezinkulumo zakhe. Imibiko yase-Haaretz, ehlanganisa nesivumelwano esisalungiswa, ngaleso sikhathi yabe icacile. Khona-ke i-Knesset, iphalamende lakwa-Israel, yamema u-Ibrahim Suleiman, omele iSyria ezingxoxweni, ukuze akhulume namakomiti wezangaphandle kanye nezokuvikeleka. Izimemo ezinjalo ziyivelakancane kakhulu, hhayi okungenani ngenxa yokuthi iSiriya no-Israyeli basesimweni sempi ngokusemthethweni. Kodwa uma abaseSiriya nabakwa-Israyeli bephindela empini, uMartin van Creveld ovamile waphetha ngalesi sikhathi, u-Israyeli 'angadala umonakalo omkhulu, kodwa wayengenakuphoqelela isinqumo.' Eminyakeni emithathu noma emine amaSiriya ayezobe elungele impi ethatha isikhathi eside eyayizoba mkhulu kakhulu ku-Israyeli. Ngemva kokubhekana nokukhetha kwakhe okuxakile, kanye nesimo sokuziphatha kwe-IDF, u-van Creveld waphetha ngokuthi ukufinyelela ekuthuleni ne-Syria kwakubaluleke kakhulu ezithakazelweni zika-Israyeli 'nokuthi ngisho namaMelika ayefika esikhundleni sokukhuluma ne-Syria ne-Iran. Iphaneli ye-Baker-Hamilton yayincome ngoDisemba odlule) yayinengqondo.
ISyria ibizama ngamandla wonke ukuthuthukisa ubudlelwano bayo neWashington, uma nje ivimbela isenzo esithile sobuhlanya ngasohlangothini lwe-US. Ngenkathi i-Israel ihlasela iLebanon ngoJulayi odlule, u-Elliott Abrams, ophethe iMpumalanga Ephakathi kuMkhandlu Wezokuphepha Kazwelonke, kanye namanye ama-neocons eWashington, wayikhuthaza ukuthi yandise impi eSyria. Ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari iSyria yavuselela isicelo sayo e-US ukuthi ixoxisane nayo nganoma yiziphi izinkinga zaseMpumalanga Ephakathi 'ngengxoxo ejulile nejulile.' Sekuyiminyaka engaphezu kwemibili lenza imizamo efanayo; U-Baker wayekwazi konke ngalokhu. Ukukhuluma nabamangalelwa yizitha mhlawumbe kuyiphuzu elibaluleke kakhulu lomehluko phakathi kukaCheney, umfelandawonye wakhe we-neocon, kanye neRice, futhi kuhlanganisa iNorth Korea, i-Iran, nezinye izindawo eziningi. Inkulumo-mpikiswano ingaphansi kwemvelo nezinjongo zenqubomgomo yezangaphandle yaseMelika kodwa indlela yokuyiqhuba ' ngokusebenzisa amandla ezinto ezibonakalayo ngisho nosongo lwempi ngokumelene nezindlela eziningi zendabuko, ezifana nezokuxhumana.
Emasontweni ambalwa edlule, ethatha iseluleko sakhe ku-Republican Establishment ku-Iraq Study Group ngoDisemba odlule, u-Rice ubelokhu ewina amaphuzu kule mpikiswano kodwa impumelelo yakhe intekenteke. UCheney uyindoda enamandla, ezimisele futhi enobuqili ekwaziyo ukuphumelela kahle kakhulu nomongameli.
Inkinga enkulu yaseMelika yi-Iraq futhi, ngaphezu kwakho konke, i-Iran, futhi ngokusobala iBush Administration manje isinqume ukuthi iSyria ingayisiza esifundeni. U-Ellen Sauerbrey, Umsizi kaNobhala Wezwe, wayeseDamaseku ngo-March 12, ngokwegama ukuze axoxe ngababaleki kodwa wezwa ngabaseSyria 'ukuthi yonke imibuzo ixhunywe esifundeni sama-Arab nokuthi inkhulumomphendvulwano ebanzi iyadingeka kuyo yonke le mibuzo.' ISyria iphinde yahlanganisa i-European Union, manje esethanda ukubuyiselwa kweGolan Heights kuyo. NgoMashi 13 inxusa laseMelika kwa-Israyeli lasho obala amanga aluhlaza ukuthi abantu baseMelika abakaze 'baveze umbono wabo ngalokho u-Israyeli okufanele akwenze noma okungafanele akwenze mayelana neSyria.'
Manje sekusezandleni zikahulumeni wase-Olmert ukuthi uzoxoxisana yini neSyria.
U-Israel ushaye indiva iWashington okungenani ezindabeni ezine ezibaluleke kakhulu, eziqala ngomkhankaso waseSinayi ngo-1956, futhi wazenzela yena ngokwakhe. Abantu baseMelika babengama-alibi ka-Olmert kodwa akasakwazi ukuwasebenzisa. Kunezinye izindaba ezibalulekile, njengohlelo lwaseSaudi lokuxazulula umbuzo wasePalestine, futhi u-Israyeli akakaze abe nesidingo esikhulu sokuthula kunamanje. Esikhundleni salokho, njenge-US, inhloko yayo yezwe ingaba yimbi kakhulu emlandweni wayo, igqugquzelwa inzuzo yesikhashana yezepolitiki kanye nesifiso esiphelele sokugcina amandla.
Kodwa inketho yaseSyria ikhona ukuze ithathwe. Uma kunempi khona-ke ubuchopho buphuma buzosheshisa futhi ukufuduka kuzokwehla; izibalo zabantu zizothatha izintambo. U-Israyeli uyobe eseba ukuphela kwendawo emhlabeni umJuda asengozini ngenxa yokuthi ungumJuda. Uma leli thuba lilahlekile ekugcineni kuzoba nempi ebhubhisayo engeke iwine muntu ' Impi yaseLebanon yafakazela ukuthi i-Israel manje kufanele ibhekane neqiniso lokuthi omakhelwane bayo bafana nezempi futhi nosizo lwase-US alukwazi ukuyisindisa.
Ngempela, izipho zamahhala zaseMelika zenza u-Israyeli wakwazi ukuqala impi ngoJulayi odlule ngemikhonyovu efanayo naleyo eyabangela ukuba iBush Administration iqalise ubuwula bayo base-Iraq.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
Nikela