Isicelo sika-Obama sokucela imvume yeziNdlu ngohlelo lwakhe lokuphatha lokuhlasela iSyria sivule ngokubona kwami โโithuba elibalulekile lenkulumo-mpikiswano yomphakathi ngesihloko sokungenelela kwezempi. Izimpikiswano eziphakanyiswe futhi ezimelene nokungenelela okunjalo zisukela kulabo ababejatshuliswe ngokuhlanya ngobuholi be-US emhlabeni wonke ngakolunye uhlangothi kanye nalabo abayingxenye yombono womhlaba omelene kakhulu nama-imperialist ngakolunye. Okuvusa isithakazelo sami kakhulu kodwa isikhundla songqondongqondo kanye nochwepheshe emkhakheni wesayensi yezepolitiki noma izifundo ezifanayo.
UVali Nasr, ongomunye wochwepheshe baseMelika abahamba phambili eMiddle East kanye noDini weJohns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in WD, muva njewaphikisana ukuthi isimo sika-Obama esintengayo sokungenela eSyria ngemuva kokuthi amasosha ayo eqe umugqa obomvu ayewubeke phambilini uzothumela umyalezo ongalungile kubagili mkhuba obubi obubulala abantu abangaphezu kwenkulungwane ngo-Aug 21 emaphethelweni eDamaseku. Uphikisa ngokuthi ngokugcizelela ekwenzeni a Kunqunyelwe ukusebenza kwezempi ngendlela yengqungquthela evunyiwe yengqungquthela (nokuthi kuphela ngemva kokuba abameleli bebuyile eholidini lasehlobo ngoSepthemba 9) i-Asad kanye nekusasa le-Asads ngeke balahlekelwe yinoma yisiphi isisusa noma babe nomcabango wesibili wokwenza mhlawumbe okunye ukuhlasela kwamakhemikhali ikusasa eliseduze. Ukusabela okunjalo okuvela kumholi owaziwa kakhulu emhlabeni kuya kumephuli womthetho wamazwe ngamazwe akholelwa ukuthi kubuthakathaka futhi kuzozala imiphumela elimazayo. Leyo miphumela ekuhlaziyeni kwakhe izovela kunoma iyiphi yalezi zindlela ezimbili ezilandelayo:
"Okokuqala ukuthi umbuso wase-Assad uyawa, okusho ukuthi iSyria, noma izingxenye zayo, zingabuswa ama-Islamist aqinile ahlobene ne-Al Qaeda - akhiqiza izinsongo ezintsha nezingamukeleki ekuvikelekeni komhlaba wonke ezingase zimeme ukungenelela okukhulu kweMelika phansi. umugqa.
Okwesibili ukuthi iziteleka zamasosha aseMelika zizolinganisa inkundla phakathi kwamasosha kaMnu. Assad namavukelambuso, ukuze impi yombango iqhubeke isikhathi eside, icekele phansi ingxenye enkulu yezwe, ibulale abantu abaningi, futhi ithumele ngisho nangaphezulu. ababaleki eLebanon, Jordan naseTurkey. Lokho kungenza impi yaseSyria ibe yingozi nakakhulu. Njengoba kungabikho ukuvinjelwa kweMelika emkhathizwe, umbuso wakwa-Assad ungase usebenzise izikhali zamakhemikhali futhi, kuyilapho ontamolukhuni bengase banikeze amaphekula alolu hlobo impi yase-Afghan eyakhiqizela i-Al Qaeda ngawo-1990".
Lokho uNasr aphetha ngakho kulokhu ukuthi i-US kufanele ibonakale ixazululwe kakhulu ekubhekaneni nenkinga yaseSyria ngokwamukela umgomo wokuqeda kokubili umbuso wobugebengu we-Al Asad kanye nama-radical agents of the fundamental opposition isifunda sonke. "IMelika kufanele ithathe isinyathelo ngokushesha nangesikhathi esifanele, futhi isekelwe embonweni wamasu ohlanganisa indlela yokuphuma kule mpi. Lokho kungahlaba umxhwele amadlelandawonye aseMelika kanye nezitha ngokufanayo. Yilokho okudingwa umhlaba kanye nalokho uMnu Obama okufanele agxile kukho. Izingozi zokungenelela zinkulu, futhi impumelelo ayiqinisekile, kodwa ukungenzi lutho kuzoba kubi kakhulu njengamanje. "
Ithesis kaMnu. Nasr imane yakhelwe ekucabangeni okungalungile futhi inombono oyiphutha ngomlando wenqubomgomo yaseMelika ekubhekaneni nabaphikisayo baseSyria. Kusukela ekuqaleni kwezinxushunxushu zezombangazwe eSyria i-US ibilokhu ingaguquki ekusekeleni amavukelambuso ngazo zonke izindlela ezitholakala kuyo. Lesi isiko laseMelika lokusekela noma yiluphi uhlobo lwamasosha kuze kube manje njengoba begcina lokho okudingekayo ukuze bashaye umbuso abawenyanya kakhulu. Ukwakhiwa kwe-Al Qaeda kanye namahlumela ayo kulo lonke elaseMpumalanga Ephakathi bekufanele ngabe kade kwaba wucingo lokuvusa amasu anjalo.
Kwakungo-Ephreli 2011 lapho i-US yavuma ukuthi ixhasa abaphikisi baseSyria ngokunikeza amaRandi ayizigidi ezingu-6.3 "ku-Movement for Justice and Development, inhlangano ephikisayo esekelwe eLondon esebenzisa isiteshi sesathelayithi i-Barada TV, esisakaza izindaba eziphikisana nohulumeni eSyria. . Enye imali eyizigidi eziyisi-6 zamaRandi iye yasekela izinhlelo ezihlukahlukene, ezihlanganisa ukuqeqeshwa kwezintatheli nezishoshovu, phakathi kuka-2006 no-2010"[2]. Siyazi futhi ukuthi imibuso emibili esekelwa kakhulu yi-US yaseQatar naseSaudi Arabia ibihlomisa amavukelambuso aseSyria ngezikhali futhi idinga izingalo zokulwa nezinto ze-pro Asad. Ngokwenza kanjalo amaqembu e-Islamist aqinile esifundeni (okungukuthi ama-Wahabi namaSalafi) akhuliswe ukuba akhokhise izwe lase-Syria ngembangela yawo yemibono okusekelwe kuwo umbuso ka-Asad kanye nezimiso zaseNtshonalanga okufanele kuliwe nazo zombili.
Esimeni esinjalo esidlalwa isiphakamiso sika-Vali Nasr kubaphathi baka-Obama kuzofanele sibandakanye ukuba khona okukhulu kwebutho laseMelika ngaphakathi kweSyria ukuze kuguqulwe ngokuphelele amandla ngendlela ezosusa izindawo zaseSyria kuzo zombili izici zombuso we-Asad. kanye nawo wonke amaqembu aphikisayo akhona abasiza ukuba bagxile kuleso sifunda. Umbuzo uzobe usuthi; uma i-US ibilokhu isekela amavukelambuso eSyria kwasekuqaleni kungani kufanele izame ukuwaqeda wonke ngokusho kwesiphakamiso sikaMnu Nasr? Ngokucabanga ukuthi lokhu kufanele kube njalo, noma kunjalo, okuzobandakanya lokhu ukuthi ngenxa yokushoda okucacile kokunye okuhlukile kwezombusazwe ukuthatha ubuholi eSyria, i-US izodinga ukufaka umbuso wopopathi ngendlela efanayo naleyo eyayenza e-Iraq futhi. I-Afghanistan. Lo mbuso uzobhekana nenkinga yokungabi bikho kokwesekwa okudumile okudingekayo ukuze ubhekane nazo zonke izinhlangothi eziphikisanayo ezihlanganisa ama-Alawite namaSunnies alungele ukuthungela lowo mhlaba ngomlilo ukuze abuyise lokho okulahlekile. Amathuba okuchitheka kokungazinzi okunjalo emazweni angomakhelwane kuleli cala aphakeme ngokuzethemba kunemiphumela engemihle engase ibe khona yokuqukatha impi yombango eqhubekayo eSyria, uMnu. Nasr amelana nayo.
Isixazululo senkinga yaseSyria ngikholwa ukuthi akufanele silinganiswe ngokubeka phambili ukugcinwa kokwethembeka kombuso onciphayo. Kunalokho, kufanele igxile ekubuyiseni umfelandawonye wamazwe ngamazwe ongashintsha ngempela isimo eSyria ngokusebenzisa izici zawo kuleso sifunda. I-United States vele njengomdlali obalulekile ngokungangabazeki igodlile indima engenakuphikiswa ekuhleleni umfelandawonye onjalo kodwa sazi into eyodwa ukuthi iRussia ne-Iran kudala yasungula futhi yagcina ingxenye yezintshisekelo zabo zezwe naseSyria. Lezo zintshisekelo zidinga ukubhekwa ngokucophelela uma kukhona isisombululo sempi ye-proxy eqhubekayo eSyria.
Isiphakamiso sikaMnu. Nasr nokho asishalazeli nje kuphela ukubaluleka kokuba khona kwe-Iranian neRussia kuleso sifunda kodwa futhi nenqubo eklanyiwe yamazwe ngamazwe lapho iRussia neChina zigcina khona izinga elikhethekile le-UN ekuxazululeni le nkinga. Isizathu esasakazwa nabezindaba ngokudlula i-UN ngalolu daba nayo ethintwa kafushane nguMnu. Kodwa-ke, ukugxambukela i-UN ebhekene nakho namuhla eMkhandlwini wezokuPhepha akukona okwesakhiwo, kuyakhethwa. Ngo-1950 ngesikhathi sokushuba kwesimo se-US-Soviet uMkhandlu Wezokuphepha wabhekana nomnqamulajuqu ongakaze ubonwe emlandweni wokudlulisa izinqumo ezahlukahlukene. Isixazululo nokho saba yisinqumo esaphasiswa ku-General Assembly esinesihloko esithi โUniting for Peaceโ, esimane sithi โkunoma yiziphi izimo lapho uMkhandlu Wezokuphepha ngenxa yokuntuleka kokuzwana phakathi kwamalungu awo amahlanu ahlala unomphela, uyehluleka ukwenza njengoba kudingeka ukugcina amazwe omhlaba. ukuthula nokuvikeleka, i-General Assembly izocubungula lolu daba ngokushesha futhi ingakhipha noma yiziphi izincomo ezibona zidingeka ukuze kubuyiselwe ukuthula nokuvikeleka kwamazwe ngamazwe. "[3].
Ingozi yokwehliswa njalo kwalezi zimiso zamazwe ngamazwe ukuze kuthengwe ukwethembeka okwengeziwe ukuze kutholwe amandla amakhulu e-US kuwukubukela phansi okuqhubekayo kweNhlangano Yezizwe Ezihlangene kanye nobuqotho bayo ekuxazululeni izingxabano njengowukuphela kwenhlangano yamazwe ngamazwe ethembekile umhlaba ovume ukuthobela izahlulelo zayo. . Okhathazeke kakhulu ngokwethembeka kwe-United States nemigqa yayo ebomvu nguMnu. Nasr kangangokuthi ingozi yokuyekethisa igunya elisemthethweni le-UN ayikho nhlobo ekuhlaziyeni kwakhe, izifundo eziye zatholakala emanxiweni eNhlangano Yezizwe. .
[1] www.nytimes.com/2013/09/02/opinion/global/forcing-obamas-hand-in-syria.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0
[2] www.cbc.ca/news/world/story/2011/04/18/syria-united-states-backing-wikileaks.html
[3] www.un.org/depts/dhl/landmark/pdf/ares377e.pdf
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
Nikela