Qaphelani izinja zempi. "Abantu" abafanayo abakulethele izingane ezikhishwe kuma-incubators ngama-Iraqis "amabi" kanye nama-WMD angekho manje athengisa umbono wokuthi iNorth Korea ikhiqize i-warhead ye-nuclear encane ekwazi ukulingana ne-ICBM yayo esanda kuhlolwa.
Lokho kuwumongo wokuhlaziya oqedwe ngoJulayi yi-Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA). Ukwengeza, i-intel yase-US ikholelwa ukuthi i-Pyongyang manje isikwazi ukufinyelela izikhali zenuzi ezingafika ku-60. Empeleni i-US intel eNyakatho Korea cishe ayikho - ngakho lokhu kuhlola kufana nokuqagela okungcono kakhulu.
Kodwa uma sihlanganisa ukuqagela namakhasi onyaka angama-500 iphepha elimhlophe ezikhishwe ekuqaleni kwaleli sonto nguMnyango Wezokuvikela waseJapan, izinsimbi zama-alamu ziyaqala ukukhala.
Iphepha elimhlophe ligcizelela "indlela ebalulekile" kaPyongyang emjahweni wenuzi kanye "kungenzekaโ (omalukeke imayini) ikhono lokuthuthukisa izikhali zenuzi ezincane ezikwazi ukungena emaphethelweni ezikhali ezicitshwayo.
Leli khono โelingenzekaโ ligxile ekuqageleni okuqondile. Njengoba umbiko usho, "Kungenzeka ukuthi uhlelo lwezikhali zenuzi lwaseNyakatho Korea seluvele luthuthuke kakhulu futhi kungenzeka ukuthi iNorth Korea isivele iphumelele ukwenza amabhomu enuzi abe yizimpi futhi isithole nezikhali zenuzi."
Imidiya yezinkampani zaseNtshonalanga ngeke ikwazi ukuyeka ukwenza i-metastasizing ukuqagela okumsulwa "I-North Korea inezikhali zenuzi ezincane" isiphithiphithi esidla umjikelezo wezindaba wekhebula/izihloko zamaphephandaba. Khuluma ngezinhliziyo nezingqondo ngokukhululeka ngenxa yokwesaba.
Iphepha elimhlophe laseJapan, ngokufanelekile, liphinde lakhuphula ukugxekwa kweChina ngezenzo zeBeijing kuzo zombili izilwandle zaseMpumalanga naseNingizimu China.
Ngakho-ke ake sibheke ama-ajenda adlalayo. I-War Party e-US, nokuxhumana kwayo okuningi embonini yezempi-yezindaba, ngokusobala ifuna/idinga impi ukuze igcine imishini igcotshwe ngamafutha. I-Tokyo, yona, ingakujabulela kakhulu ukuhlasela kwezempi yase-US ngaphambi kokuphuma - futhi ilahle inani elingenakugwemeka, elikhulu lokulimala kwaseNingizimu Korea okungabangelwa ukuphikisana kukaPyongyang.
Kuyasikhanyisela ukuthi iTokyo, ngazo zonke izinjongo ezingokoqobo, ibheka iChina โnjengosongoโ olungathi sรญna njengeNyakatho Korea; UNgqongqoshe Wezokuvikela u-Itsunori Onodera waqonda ngqo lapho ethi, โImicibisholo yaseNorth Korea imelela usongo olujulile. Lokho, kanye nokuziphatha kweChina okusongelayo oLwandle Lwase-East China naseNingizimu China Sea, kuyikhathaza kakhulu iJapan.โ E-Beijing impendulo wayeshesha.
UKim Jong-Un, onedemoni ad infinitum, akasona isiwula, futhi ngeke enze isiko. seppuku ihlasela iSouth Korea, Japan noma indawo yase-US. Izikhali zenuzi zasePyongyang zimelela ukuvimbela ukuguqulwa kombuso uSaddam Hussein noGaddafi ababengenakuthembela kukho. Yinye kuphela indlela yokubhekana neNyakatho Korea, njengoba nginzile saxabana ngaphambili; idiplomacy. Tshela lokho eWashington naseTokyo.
Phakathi naleso sikhathi, kukhona i-United Nations Security Council Resolution 2371. Ihlose ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe okukhulu kweNyakatho Korea - amalahle, insimbi, ukudla kwasolwandle. Amalahle abala u-40% wezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle zasePyongyang, futhi ngokungangabazeki u-10% we-GDP.
Kodwa le phakheji entsha yenswinyo ayikuthinti ukuthengwa kukawoyela kanye nemikhiqizo kawoyela ocolisisiwe evela eChina. Lesi ngesinye sezizathu esenze ukuthi iBeijing ivotele.
Isu likaBeijing liwumzamo wase-Asia kakhulu wokuthola isisombululo sokusindisa ubuso - futhi lokho kuthatha isikhathi. Isinqumo se-UNSC esingu-2371 sithenga isikhathi - futhi singase sivimbele abaphathi bakaTrump, okwamanje, ukuthi bangahambi ngensimbi enzima, ngemiphumela esabekayo.
UNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle WaseShayina u-Wang Yi uthe ngokucophelela unswinyo luwuphawu lokuphikisa kwamazwe ngamazwe izinhlelo ze-missile nezikhali zenuzi zaseNyakatho Korea. Into yokugcina edingwa yiBeijing yimpi emingceleni yayo, futhi ebophezelekile ukuthi iphazamise kabi ukunwetshwa kweNew Silk Roads, a.k.a. Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
IBeijing ingahlala isebenza ekwakheni kabusha ukwethembana phakathi kwePyongyang neWashington. Lokho kuyi-oda elide kune-Himalayas. Umuntu udinga nje ukubheka emuva ku-1994 I-Framework Evunyelwe, esayinwe ngesikhathi sokuqala kukaBill Clinton.
Lolu hlaka bekufanele lumise - futhi luhlakaze - uhlelo lwenuzi lwe-Pyongyang futhi bekufanele lwenza ubudlelwano be-US-North Korea bube bujwayelekile. I-consortium eholwa yi-US izokwakha ama-reactors amabili enuzi angamanzi ukuze kunxephezele ukulahlekelwa kukaPyongyang kwamandla enuzi; unswinyo lwaluzosuswa; zombili izinhlangothi zizokhipha "iziqinisekiso ezisemthethweni" ngokumelene nokusetshenziswa kwezikhali zenuzi.
Akwenzekanga lutho. Uhlaka lwabhidlika ngo-2002 - lapho iNyakatho Korea ifakwe "e-axis of evil" umbuso wakwaCheney. Ingasaphathwa eyokuthi iMpi YaseKorea, ngokobuchwepheshe, isaqhubeka; i-armistice yango-1953 ayizange ithathelwe indawo yisivumelwano sokuthula sangempela.
Manje yini elandelayo? Izikhumbuzo ezintathu.
1) Qaphela ifulege elingamanga elakhiwe, elizosolwa ePyongyang; lokho kungaba izaba eziphelele zempi.
I-2) Ukulandisa kwamanje kufana ngendlela esabekayo nabasolwa abavamile abakhala kusukela kuze kube phakade ukuthi i-Iran ishaya inhliziyo kude "nokwakha isikhali senuzi".
3) North Korea ubambe izigidigidi zamadola aseMelika engcebweni yezimbiwa ezingakahlolwa. Buka i-shadowplay yamakhandidethi okumele azuze kulokho kuphangwa okunoshukela.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa kuphela ngokuphana kwabafundi bayo.
Nikela