I-athikili yami yakamuva, 'Ukubuyiswa Komnotho Ngokuxhashazwa Kwezibalo', eyabhalwa ngoJulayi 29, 2013, yaxwayisa kusengaphambili ukuthi ukubuyekezwa kwedatha ye-GDP yase-US okufanele ngoJulayi 31 wekota ka-April-Juni kungase kubonise i-GDP enkulu kanye nokukhula kwe-US kule kota, kanye neminyaka yangaphambili. Idatha ye-GDP eshicilelwe namuhla, Julayi 31, 2013 yi-Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) kahulumeni wase-US isiqinisekisile leso sibikezelo.
Ukuvota kwenqwaba yosomnotho okwenziwa yisikhungo sezindaba samazwe ngamazwe seReuters ngaphambi kwe-2nd Ukukhishwa kwedatha yekota ye-GDP kubonise osomnotho abangochwepheshe bebonke babikezela ukukhula kwe-GDP oku-1 kwabangu-2.nd ikota. Njengoba kuphawuliwe esihlokweni sethu esidlule, abanye bebebikezela i-GDP iphansi ngo-0.5% ngekota. Isilinganiso sokuqala se-BEA se-GDP se-2nd ikota ikhombisa ukukhula kwe-GDP ngo-1.7%. Kwenzekeni ukuze kuchazwe umehluko omkhulu kangaka ezibikezelweni kanye nedatha ye-BEA?
Njengoba iReuters iphawula, ekulandeleni ukukhishwa kwe-BEA, "ukubuyekezwa okuphelele kwedatha kubeka umnotho endaweni engcono kakhulu kunangaphambili." Akukhona nje kuphela ukuthi ikota yakamuva kakhulu ye-GDP iye yanyuswa, isuka ku-1.1% kwikota yokuqala ka-2013 yaya ku-1.7% manje kweyesibili (uma kuqhathaniswa nezibikezelo ze-1%), kodwa i-GDP yalo lonke ikhalenda lika-2012 isibuyekeziwe futhi iye phezulu. , ukusuka kwesikhulu sangaphambilini 2.1% kuya ku-2.8%. Lokho ukubuyekezwa okungaphezulu kwama-33%.
Ukubuyekezwa kwe-GDP yanamuhla—okuzoqhubeka kusukela manje ukuze kukhuphule izinombolo ze-GDP zesikhathi esizayo—kugxile kakhulu ekukhuliseni umnikelo wokutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi ku-GDP. Lezi zibuyekezo ziholele ekwenyukeni okukhulu kwezilinganiso zokutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi futhi zizoqhubeka zenze kanjalo esikhathini esizayo. Akudingekile ukukhathaza abafundi ngemininingwane ye-arcane; kwanele ukusho ukuthi ukukhushulwa kwenani eliphelele lokutshalwa kwezimali kuhlobene nezinguquko endleleni ukwehla kwenani okubalwa ngayo, ukubalwa kwemali yempesheni, nezinye izinto. Izinguquko ekuncipheni ikakhulukazi ziholele ekubuyekezweni kwe-GDP ekhuphukayo.
Njengoba i-GDP iyingxenye yalokho okubizwa ngokuthi 'Ama-akhawunti Eholo Kazwelonke'. Njengazo zonke i-accounting, kunezinhlangothi ezimbili ku-ledger. I-GDP ikala inani lezimpahla nezinsizakalo ezikhiqizwa emnothweni; olunye uhlangothi lweleja ye-accounting yi-GDI, noma isamba semali engenayo yasekhaya, esikala imali engenayo ehambisanayo etholakala kulowo mkhiqizo. Lokho kusho ukuthi ukubuyekezwa okukhuphukayo okusekelwe ekutshalweni kwebhizinisi okuqhutshwa ukwehla kwenani kuhumushela ekubuyekezweni okukhuphukayo kwemali engenayo yebhizinisi ku-GDI.
Njengoba usomnotho uDean Baker ephawulile ekuphawuleni kwakhe ngezibuyekezo namuhla, "Isinyathelo esisha sengeze amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-250 ekwehleni kwenani lezinkampani ngo-2012" nokuthi "isabelo senzuzo somkhiqizo wezinkampani (njengephesenti le-GDP) sikhuphuke safinyelela kumaphesenti angama-25.5. ngo-2012, ingxenye yesine ephezulu kakhulu enkathini yangemva kwempi.”
Ukuhlolwa okuseduze kwe-1.7% US 2nd Inombolo yekota ye-GDP ikhombisa cishe zonke izinzuzo ezinkulu emnothweni zivela ekutshalweni kwezimali kwebhizinisi. Kukhona 'izindawo' ezine ezinkulu ze-GDP: ukusetshenziswa kwemali kukahulumeni, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe okweqile kwempahla ethengwayo, ukusetshenziswa kwemali yabathengi, kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi.
Ukuphawula kwe-Reuters mayelana nokukhishwa kwe-GDP kwanamuhla kubonise ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwabathengi (70% we-GDP yase-US) kwehle ngekota yesibili kakhulu kusukela kweyokuqala. Ngakho-ke akuchazi ukwenyuka kwe-GDP okungalindelekile ngo-1.7%. Ngokufanayo, ukusetshenziswa kwemali kukahulumeni (imvamisa u-24% womnotho) kutholwe inkontileka ngekota yesithathu elandelanayo. Ngakho-ke akukho lutho olukhona ukuthethelela i-1.7%. Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwenyuka, kodwa ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke ngokushesha, okuhumusheka ekubeni negalelo elibi ku-GDP. Ikakhulukazi "bekungushintsho ekutshalweni kwezimali ezakhiweni ezingezona ezokuhlala kanye nenzuzo ekuthengeni izinto zokusebenza nemikhiqizo yobuhlakani", ngokusho kweReuters, echaza i-1.7%.
Akumangazi ukuthi leyo yindawo eqondile lapho kugxilwe khona ukubuyekezwa kokukhuphuka kwe-GDP.
Shintsha indlela ukwehla kwentengo okuchazwa ngayo, ungeze enzuzweni yebhizinisi ngaphezu kokukhula okurekhodiwe kakade kwenzuzo, phonsa ezigabeni ezintsha ezihlanganisa ukutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi—futhi manje une-GDP engama-30% noma ngaphezulu.
Uma ungeke ukwazi ukwenza ukusimama komnotho kwangempela okuzinzile iminyaka emihlanu ngezinqubomgomo zezomnotho ezedlule nezamanje—bese uchaza kabusha incazelo yokusimama ngokwakho.