Ukuba iSiriya yabulala uRafik Hariri, owayesakuba yinkulumbuso yaseLebhanon kunye nomphathi wemvuselelo emva kwemfazwe yamakhaya, kufuneka igwetywe isenzo sokuzibulala kwezopolitiko. ISyria sele iphantsi koxinzelelo olukhulu lwamazwe ngamazwe oluvela e-US, eFransi nase-Israel. Ukubulala uHariri ngalo mzuzu unzima kuya kuba kukutshabalalisa igama laseSyria kube kanye kwaye unike iintshaba zayo isixhobo sokuhambisa isibetho esinokuthi ekugqibeleni sidodobalise ulawulo lwaseDamasko, kwaye mhlawumbi luyihlise.
Ke ngoko ukubalela uxanduva lokubulala eSyria akunakwenzeka. Ukubulala kunokwenzeka ukuba ibe ngumsebenzi wesinye seentshaba zayo ezininzi. Oku akuthethi ukukhanyela ukuba iSyria yenze iimpazamo ezinkulu eLebhanon. Izixhobo zayo zobuntlola emkhosini ziphazamise kakhulu kwimicimbi yaseLebhanon. Impazamo enkulu yayikukugxininisa ekutshintsheni umgaqo-siseko waseLebhanon ukwandisa igunya likaMongameli Emile Lahoud - owaziwa ngokuthembeka kwakhe ngokupheleleyo eSyria - eminye iminyaka emithathu. Inkosi yezobuntlola zomkhosi waseSyria eLebhanon, uNjengele Rustum Ghazalah, kwabikwa ukuba wagrogrisa kwaye wathuka uHariri ukuba amnyanzele ukuba avume ukwandiswa. Oku kubangele unxunguphalo olukhulu phakathi kwabo bonke abantu baseLebhanon. UHariri uye warhoxa njengenkulumbuso ngoqhankqalazo.
Kubonakala ngathi iSyria iyibonile impazamo yayo. Umongameli u-Bashar al-Assad kwiveki ephelileyo ugxothe uNjengele Hassan Khalil, intloko yezobuntlola emkhosini, endaweni yakhe wafaka owakhe umninawa, uGeneral Asaf Shawkat. Ukucocwa kwezixhobo zobuntlola zomkhosi eLebhanon kulindeleke ukuba kulandele.
Kuseza kubonakala ukuba ingaba oku kuza kuthomalalisa abachasi baseSyria eLebhanon, ababhengeze โi-intifada yedemokhrasi nenoxolo yokuzimela geqeโ โ ngamanye amazwi, iphulo lokuchasa iSyria ngaphandle.
UHariri wayengelotshaba oluqatha lwaseSiriya. Kwiminyaka eli-10 kule minyaka ili-12 idlulileyo usebenze njengenkulumbuso yaseLebhanon phantsi kwe-egis yaseSyria. Kwiintsuku ezimbalwa phambi kokubulawa kwakhe nge-14 kaFebruwari wabamba intlanganiso nosekela mphathiswa welizwe laseSyria, uWalid Muallim. Kwaxelwa ukuba baye baxoxa ngotyelelo oluzayo lukaHariri eDamasko. UHariri akazange azibandakanye ngokusemthethweni neqela eliphikisayo eLebhanon, kodwa wayecingelwa ukuba uzama ukulamla phakathi kweSyria kunye nenkcaso.
Ukuba iSiriya ayizange imbulale uHariri, ngubani owayenokumbulala? Akukho kunqongophala kwabaviwa abanokubakho, kubandakanywa namaKristu akude, axhalabileyo ukuvusa uluvo oluchasene neSiriya kwaye ayigxothe eLebhanon; AmaSilamsi anenzondelelo yempambano angazange ayixolele iSyria ukucinezela kwayo uBuzalwana bamaSilamsi ngeminyaka yee-80s; kwaye, ngokuqinisekileyo, uSirayeli.
Umnqweno we-Israel kudala ikukwenza buthathaka iSyria, iqhawule intsebenziswano yayo neIran kwaye itshabalalise iHizbullah. U-Israyeli unamava amakhulu "ekubulaweni okujoliswe kuzo" - kungekhona kuphela kwimimandla yasePalestina kodwa kuMbindi Mpuma. Ukutyhubela iminyaka, uye wathumela amaqela abethayo ukuba abulale abachasi eBeirut, Tunis, Malta, Amman naseDamasko.
I-Syria, i-Hizbullah kunye ne-Iran ziye zamelana ne-US kunye ne-Israel hegemony kulo mmandla. I-Syria iyaqhubeka ifuna ukuba i-Israel ibuyisele i-Golan Heights, ibanjwe kwi-1967. I-Damasko ayiyi kuvumela iLebhanon ukuba igqibe uxolo oluhlukeneyo kunye no-Israyeli ngaphandle kokuba ibango layo liqwalaselwe.
I-Hizbullah, nayo, inokuba kuphela komkhosi wama-Arabhu oye woyisa uSirayeli. Abanqolobi bayo banyanzela u-Israyeli ukuba aphume emazantsi eLebhanon emva kokuhlala iminyaka engama-22. I-Hizbullah iyaqhubeka nokuba nomsindo omkhulu kuSirayeli kuba ifumene isakhono sokuthintela. I-Israel ayinakuphinda ihlasele iLebhanon ngokungohlwaywa - njengoko yenzayo amashumi eminyaka - ngaphandle kokubeka emngciphekweni i-riposte evela kwiirokhethi ze-Hizbullah.
Inkqubo yenyukliya yase-Iran isoyikisa ngokwaphula ulawulo lwakwaSirayeli lwezixhobo ezitshabalalisayo, esona sizathu siphambili siphantsi koxinzelelo olukhulu lokuyeka ukutyetyiswa kweuranium.
I-US kunye no-Israyeli bebezama ukuqokelela inkxaso kumazwe ngamazwe ngokuchasene ne-Iran, iSiriya kunye ne-Hizbullah. Unobhala welizwe laseMelika, uCondoleezza Rice, ugxeke i-Iran njengomxhasi ophambili woloyiko lwamazwe ngamazwe. ISyria igwetywe njengomkhosi โowonakalisayoโ kulo mmandla, kwaye isezibukweni ngenxa yokubulawa kukaHariri.
I-US kunye no-Israel baye babongoza oorhulumente baseYurophu ukuba babhengeze i-Hizbullah "njengombutho wabanqolobi". IFransi inengxabano yayo neSiriya, kwaye uMongameli uJacques Chirac ucaphukile ngokubulawa komhlobo wakhe osenyongweni uHariri, kodwa iParis ayimthathi uHizbullah njengombutho wabanqolobi. KwiFransi, kunye noninzi lwama-Arabhu, i-Hizbullah ngumbutho wenkululeko wesizwe kunye nomdlali omkhulu wezopolitiko eLebhanon.
Kuninzi kakhulu kule ngxaki kunomzabalazo phakathi kwezizwe ezikhuphisanayo eLebhanon.
UPatrick Seale ungumbhali wencwadi ethi Assad yaseSyria: uMzabalazo woMbindi Mpuma
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Nikela