Isihloko esithi "I-US ifuna ezinye iindlela zokumisa i-Iran ihlazo leMfazwe," inqaku lalinjalo ibekwe kude kwiphepha A9 lakutshanje ENew York Times. Sekunjalo, yatsala ingqalelo yam. Nanku umhlathi wokuqala:
"Amagosa obulumko aseMelika kunye namagosa omkhosi asebenza kwizicwangciso ezongezelelweyo ezifihlakeleyo zokulwa nobundlobongela base-Iranian kwi-Persian Gulf, etyhalwa yi-White House ukuba iphuhlise iindlela ezintsha ezinokuthi zithintele iTehran ngaphandle kokunyusa uxinzelelo kwimfazwe yesiqhelo epheleleyo, ngokutsho nangoku. amagosa angaphambili.”
Qaphela ukuba "ubundlobongela baseIran." Inxalenye eseleyo, eqhelekileyo kwithowuni yeendaba zaseMelika malunga nengxaki eqhubekayo yase-Iran, ibandakanya izivakalisi ezinje: "I-CIA inezicwangciso ezifihlakeleyo zokuphendula kwintshutshiso yaseIran." Ndiqinisekile ukuba izinto ezinjalo ndizifunde kaninzi ngaphandle kokuyeka ukucinga kakhulu ngazo, kodwa ngoku ndiye ndazifunda. Kwaye into eyandichukumisayo yile: nqabile ngumzuzu kwiingxelo zeendaba eziqhelekileyo xa abantu baseMelika "bexhokonxa" (nangona ama-Irani atyhola umkhosi wase-US ngokukhawuleza." kuphela oko, ukuxhokonxa, xa kufikwa kwi-US drone i-Revolutionary Guard yayo kutshanje yadubula phantsi nokuba phezu kwendawo yomoya yaseIran okanye kwiStrait of Hormuz). Xa kufikwa kwimfazwe engapheliyo yaseWashington malunga nobugrogrisi, ndicinga ukuba ndingatsho ngokuzithemba okufanelekileyo ukuba, kwixesha elidlulileyo, elangoku, kunye nekamva, ibinzana elinye ongenakukwazi ukulifumana kumajelo eendaba anjalo “ Ubundlobongela baseMelika. "
Ndiyathetha, libala imbali yesiqingatha sesibini senkulungwane yokugqibela kwaye yonke le nto ngoku. Ulibale ukuba emva kwiminyaka ye-Neolithic yee-1980s, ngaphambi kokuba i-autocrat yase-Iraq uSaddam Hussein waba ngumongameli. uAdolf Hitler omtsha kwaye kwafuneka ukuba isiwe phantsi kuthi (akukho lugonyamelo apho), abalawuli bakaMongameli uRonald Reagan baxhasa ngenkuthalo uhlaselo lwakhe olungenasizathu, kunye nemfazwe echasene ne-Iran. (Oko kubandakanya ukusebenzisa kwakhe izixhobo zekhemikhali ngokuchasene nokugxilwa komkhosi wase-Iranian ubukrelekrele bomkhosi waseMelika wamncedisa ekujoliswe kuko.) Ulibale ukuba, ngo-2003, ulawulo lukaGeorge W. Bush lwasungula imfazwe engazange ivuswe ye-Iraq, esekelwe ubukrelekrele bobuxoki ngezixhobo zikaSaddam ekucingelwa ukuba zitshabalalisa abantu abaninzi nezakhe amakhonkco acingelwayo kwi-al-Qaeda. Ulibale ukuba ulawulo lukaTrump ikrazukile isivumelwano senyukliya ne-Iran apho eli lizwe lalibambelele kuso kwaye ngenene ngenene lalithintele ngokusebenzayo ekuveliseni izixhobo zenyukliya kwikamva elibonakalayo. Ulibale ukuba inkokeli yayo ephezulu (in udiniwe wakhupha) walela ukwenziwa okanye ukugcinwa kwezo zixhobo nangayiphi na imeko.
Ulibale ukuba ulawulo lukaTrump, ngendlela engaqinisekanga ngokupheleleyo, lwabeka izohlwayo ezikhubazayo kweli lizwe kunye norhwebo lwalo lwe-oyile, okubangela ukubandezeleka ngokwenene, ngethemba lokubhukuqa olo lawulo ngokwezoqoqosho njengoko u-Saddam Hussein waye wabhukuqwa ngokomkhosi e-Iraq engummelwane ngo-2003, konke oko egameni lokuthintela izixhobo zeathom ezazihoywe ngumnqophiso ka-Obama. Ulibale inyani yokuba umongameli waseMelika, owathi, ngomzuzu wokugqibela, ncitshiswa uhlaselo lomoya ngokuchasene neziseko zemijukujelwa yaseIran (emva kokuba enye yemijukujelwa yabo yadutyulwa ukuba idrone yaseMelika). ngoku iyathembisa ukuba uhlaselo "kuyo nayiphi na into yaseMelika luya kudibana namandla amakhulu ...
Ukuxhokonxa? Ugonyamelo? Yitshabalale ingcinga!
Kwaye okwangoku, khawuzibuze nje ukuba yintoni enokwenziwa yiWashington kunye nePentagon ukuba i-drone yaseIran yabonwa kuNxweme oluseMpuma lwase-United States (kungekho ngaphantsi kwendawo yomoya yase-US). Akusekho mfuneko yokuba kuthiwe, akunjalo?
Ke nantsi into engaqhelekanga, kwiplanethi apho, ngo-2017, imikhosi yeMisebenzi eKhethekileyo yase-US yathunyelwa Amazwe e-149, okanye malunga nama-75% azo zonke izizwe; apho i-US inakho mhlawumbi 800 iinkampu zomkhosi ngaphandle kwendawo yayo; apho uMkhosi waManzi waseMelika ujikeleza uninzi lweelwandle kunye neelwandle; apho iidrones zasemoyeni ezingenabantu zaseMelika indlela yokuziphatha ugwayimbo lokubulala kuluhlu lwamazwe amangalisayo; kwaye apho i-US ibisilwa iimfazwe, kunye neengxabano ezincinci, iminyaka ukusuka e-Afghanistan ukuya eLibya, eSiriya ukuya eYemen, e-Iraq ukuya eNiger kwinkulungwane apho yakhetha ukusungula uhlaselo olupheleleyo lwamazwe amabini ( I-Afghanistan kunye ne-Iraq), ngaba kusengqiqweni ukuba ungaze uchonge i-US "njengomhlaseli" naphi na?
Into onokuthi uyithethe nge-United States kukuba, njengomthetheleli okhokelayo wedemokhrasi kunye namalungelo oluntu (nokuba umongameli wayo ngoku uneseti imicimbi yothando kunye noozwilakhe noozwilakhe), abantu baseMelika bazijonga sisekhaya malunga naphi na apho sikhathalele ukuba kwiplanethi enguMhlaba. Akubalulekanga kangako ukuba sixhobe kangakanani noko sinokukwenza. Ngenxa yoko, naphi na apho abantu baseMelika bakhathazwa, baxhatshazwa, besongelwa, behlaselwa, sisoloko singabo bacatshukiswayo kwaye bahlaselwe, singaze sicaphukise kwaye sibe ndlongondlongo. Ndiyathetha, unokuba ngumhlaseli njani endlwini yakho, nokuba loo ndlu ifumaneka okwethutyana e-Afghanistan, eIraq, okanye kungekudala ngokwaneleyo eIran?
Isijikelezi-langa sabaQothuli kunye nabaXhasi
Ukuma kwam okufanayo ENew York Times iqhekeza ngakumbi, nanku omnye umhlathi:
"Amanye amagosa akholelwa ukuba i-United States ifuna [ukuba] ikulungele ukuluqonda uhlobo lobuchule obuphikiswayo, obunomthunzi uTehran abufezekise ukuze aphelise uhlaselo lwase-Iran. Abanye bacinga ukuba, ngelixa kuluncedo, uhlaselo olunje ngokufihlakeleyo alunakwanela ukuqinisekisa amahlakani aseMelika okanye ukuthintela i-Iran. ”
Ewe kunjalo, uhlaselo olunje ngokufihlakeleyo lwaseMelika, ngokwenkcazo, aluyi kuba “lugonyamelo,” lunganikwanga ukuba lwalujoliswe kwiIran. Ulibale uburharha obubi obukule ndawo ingasentla, kuba i-Iranian yangoku i-hard-liners ngekhe ibekho ukuba, ngo-1953, i-CIA ayizange isebenzise. ubuchule obunjalo nje ukubhukuqa urhulumente wase-Iran okhethwe ngedemokhrasi kunye nokufaka i-autocrat yakhe, u-Shah oselula, emandleni.
Njengokuba Maxesha isiqwenga sikwagxininisa, i-Iran ngoku isebenzisa "imikhosi yommeli" kuwo wonke ummandla (eneneni yenza njalo!) ngokuchasene namandla e-US (kunye no-Israel), iqhinga labantu baseMelika ngokucacileyo khange bacinge ngokuziqesha kule nkulungwane - kude kube ngoku. Abantu baseMelika ngokwendalo abanawo amandla ommeli kuMbindi Mpuma oMkhulu. Yinyaniso eyaziwayo leyo. Nje ngokufuna ukwazi, nangona kunjalo, ungabiza ntoni imikhosi yasekhaya abafana bethu abakhethekileyo uqeqesho kunye nokucebisa kuninzi lwala mazwe ali-149 ajikeleze iplanethi, kuba ngokucacileyo abanakuze babe namandla ommeli? Kwaye kuthekani ngemikhosi yase-Afghan kunye ne-Iraqi ukuba i-US qeqeshwa, ezibonelelwa ngezixhobo, zaza zacetyiswa kule minyaka? (Uyazi, umkhosi wase-Iraq yawa ebusweni be-ISIS ngo-2014 okanye imikhosi yezokhuseleko yase-Afghan engakwazi ukumisa ukukhula yeTaliban okanye ye Isebe lase-Afghanistan ye-ISIS.)
Ngoku, ungandiva kakubi. Ewe, ama-Irani angakwazi (kwaye ngamanye amaxesha enze) ukucaphukisa kunye nobudlova. Yiplanethi embi ezaliswe lugonyamelo kunye nokucaphukisa. (Thatha uVladimir Putin waseRussia eCrimea naseUkraine, umzekelo.) AmaTshayina ngoku ahlasela kuLwandle lwaseChina eSouth China apho uMkhosi waManzi wase-US uhlala uqhuba imisebenzi “yenkululeko yokuhamba” - nangona kungekho qhushululu apho, njengechibi laseMelika ePacific. akunjalo?
Ngamafutshane, xa kuziwa kwi-provocation kunye nobudlova, ihlabathi yi-oyster yethu. Baninzi abantu abangalunganga phaya kwaye ke, kunjalo, sikhona. Singenza iimpazamo kunye namanyathelo angalunganga, sinako ukubulala amanani amangalisayo abahlali, tshabalalisa imizi, bancothule abantu, badale inkitha yabantu ababaleki ngeemfazwe zethu ezingapheliyo kuMbindi Mpuma oMkhulu kunye neAfrika, kodwa ubundlongondlongo? Ingaba ucinga ntoni?
Inye into ecacileyo ukuba ulandela amajelo eendaba aqhelekileyo: kwihlabathi lethu, nokuba senza ntoni na, sisengabantu abalungileyo kwiplanethi ezaliswe ngabaxhokonxi kunye nabahlaseli bazo zonke iintlobo.
Imfazwe ukuya eHorizon
Ngoku makhe sicinge okomzuzwana malunga nenqanaba lokuthuthuzela laseMelika, loo mvakalelo ingazange ibonwe yokuba sekhaya phantse naphi na eMhlabeni sikhetha ukuthumela abantu baseMelika abaxhobileyo- kwaye ngelixa sikuyo, makhe siqwalasele umbandela onxibeleleneyo: iimfazwe zaseMelika.
Ukuba, ekuqaleni kwee-1970s, ubundixelele okanye nawuphi na omnye waseMelika ukuba, malunga nesiqingatha senkulungwane ezayo, i-US iya kulwa iimfazwe kunye nolunye ungquzulwano oluncinci phantse kulo lonke uhlobo olunokucingayo kwiindawo ezothusayo ezingamawaka eekhilomitha ukusuka ekhaya. , kuquka i-Afghanistan, i-Iraq, iLibya, iSomalia, iSiriya, neYemen, amazwe amaninzi aseMelika ayengenako ngoko (okanye ngoku) ukufumana kwimephu, ndiqinisekisa into enye: besiya kucinga ukuba ungamandongomane. (Ewe, ukuba ubundichazele i-White House kaDonald Trump kum njengenyani yethu yexesha elizayo, ngendikuthathele ingqalelo ngaphaya kokukhohlisa.)
Kwaye nangoku silapha. Cinga ngeAfghanistan okomzuzwana. Ngezo mini zikude zenkulungwane edluleyo, elo lizwe ngokungathandabuzekiyo beliya kwaziwa apha kuphela ngamanani amancinane abantu abaselula abanomdla wokuhamba intaba oko kwakubizwa ngokuba “umkhondo we-hippie.” Apho, kwindawo eseluxolweni ngokumangalisayo, umntu oselula waseMelika usenokuba wamkelwa ngobubele obumangalisayo waza wahlukaniswa neziyobisi.
Oko, ewe, kwakuphambi kweMfazwe yase-Afghan yokuqala (efihlakeleyo) yaseWashington, enye I-CIA yongamela, Ngoncedo lwemali yaseSaudi (ewe, nangona kunjalo!) kunye nesandla esikhulu esivela kwiinkonzo ze-intelligence zasePakistan. Uyayikhumbula loo mfazwe, eyaqala ngo-1979 yaza yaphela kwishumi leminyaka emva koko uMkhosi oBomvu uphuma eKabul woyiswa, usiya kwilizwe, iSoviet Union, eyayiza kungena kwiminyaka emibini? Olunjani lona “loyiso” oluye lwabonakala luyiMelika, ndingathethi ngayo amaqela yamajoni amaSilamsi aneengcwangu esiye sancedisa ukuxhasa ngemali kunye nokuxhasa, kuquka nomfana osemtsha waseSaudi ogama linguOsama bin Laden.
Kwaye hlala ukhumbula ukuba leyo yayiyimfazwe yethu "mfutshane" e-Afghanistan, ishumi leminyaka elide. Ngo-Oktobha 2001, kungekudala emva kohlaselo lwe-9/11, endaweni yokuqalisa isenzo samapolisa nxamnye no-Osama bin Laden kunye nabasebenzi, ulawulo lukaGeorge W. Bush lwagqiba ekubeni luhlasele elo lizwe. Phantse iminyaka eyi-18 kamva, umkhosi wase-US unjalo sisalwa apho (ngokumangalisayo akuphumelelanga) ngokuchasene neTaliban evuselelwe ngokupheleleyo kunye nesebe elitsha le-ISIS. Ngoku iyafaneleka njenge eyona mfazwe inde kwimbali yethu (ngaphandle kokongeza kwiMfazwe yethu yokuqala yase-Afghan).
Kwaye ke, kunjalo, kukho i-Iraq. Ngokubala kwam, i-US iye yabandakanyeka kwiingxabano ezine ezibandakanya elo lizwe, ukuqala ngokuhlasela kukaSaddam Hussein e-Iran ngo-1980 kunye nemfazwe eyalandelayo, apho ulawulo lukaMongameli uRonald Reagan lwaluxhasa ngezomkhosi (njengoko lo ukhoyo usenza imfazwe yaseSaudi eYemen. ). Emva koko kwabakho imfazwe kaMongameli uGeorge HW Bush ngokuchasene noSaddam Hussein emva kokuba umkhosi wakhe uhlasele iKuwait ngo-1990, nto leyo eyakhokelela kuloyiso oluvakalayo (kodwa aluzange lugqibe) kunye nohlobo lweparade yoloyiso eWashington ukuba uDonald Trump angakwazi kuphela. iphupha le. Okulandelayo, ngokuqinisekileyo, yayiluhlaselo lukaMongameli uGeorge W. Bush luka-2003 kunye nokuhlala e-Iraq (umsebenzi ufezekisiwe!), Ingxabano ebuhlungu kunye nenganelisiyo yeminyaka esibhozo apho uMongameli uBarack Obama wahoxisa imikhosi yase-US kwi-2011. Imfazwe yesine yalandela kwi-2014 xa umkhosi wase-Iraq oqeqeshwe yi-US wawa phantsi kwenani elincinci labahlaseli be-ISIS, iqela elathi lawa phantsi. yaba ihlumelo ye-al-Qaeda e-Iraq, eyayingekho de i-US ihlasele elo lizwe. NgoSeptemba lowo, UMongameli Obama wakhulula umkhosi womoya wase-US e-Iraq naseSiriya (ngoko unokongeza imfazwe yesihlanu kwilizwe elingummelwane kumxube) kwaye wathumela imikhosi yase-US e-Iraq naseSiriya apho nangoku kuhlala.
Owu, ewe, kwaye ungalibali iSomalia. Iingxaki zase-US apho zaqala ngesiganeko esidumileyo seBlack Hawk Down phakathi kweDabi laseMogadishu ngo-1993 kwaye azizange, ngandlel' ithile, ziphele. Namhlanje, imikhosi yoMsebenzi oKhethekileyo wase-US nangoku emhlabeni apho kwaye uhlaselo lomoya lwase-US ngokuchasene neqela lamaSilamsi elinomkhosi waseSomalia, i-al-Shabaab, sele kunjalo ekunyuseni ngexesha likaTrump.
Ngokuphathelele iYemen, ukusuka kugwayimbo lokuqala lwase-US apho kwi 2002, i-US yayikwi-on-kwakhona, ingxabano ephantsi kwakhona ephantsi equka uhlaselo lwe-commando, uhlaselo lwe-missile yokuhamba ngenqanawa, uhlaselo lomoya, kunye nokuhlaselwa kwe-drone ngokuchasene ne-al-Qaeda kwi-Peninsula yase-Arabia, elinye ihlumelo le-al-original Qaeda. Ukusukela, ngo-2015, i-Saudis kunye ne-United Arab Emirates baqalisa imfazwe yabo ngokuchasene nabavukeli baseHouthi (baxhaswa yi-Iran) ababeze kulawula iindawo ezibalulekileyo zelizwe, i-US ibibaxhasa zixhobo, ubukrelekrele, kunye nokujolisa, ngokunjalo (kude kube sekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo) i-refueling ephakathi emoyeni kunye nolunye uncedo. Ngeli xesha, loo mfazwe ikhohlakeleyo yentshabalalo ikhokelele kumanani amakhulu abantu baseYemeni ukulimala (kwaye indlala exhaphakileyo), kodwa njengamanye amaphulo amaninzi i-US izibandakanye kuyo yonke i-Greater Middle East kunye ne-Afrika ayibonisi uphawu lokuphela.
Kwaye ungalibali iLibya, apho i-US kunye ne-NATO zangenelela ngo-2011 ukunceda abavukeli Thatha phantsi U-Muammar Gaddafi, i-autocrat yendawo, kwaye kwinkqubo ukwazile ukukhuthaza ilizwe elingaphumeleliyo kwilizwe ngoku elijongene nalo. imfazwe yamakhaya. Kwiminyaka ukusukela ngo-2011, i-US ngamanye amaxesha ibinayo i-commandos emhlabeni apho, iye yasungulwa amakhulu Ukubetha kwedrone (kunye nokuhlaselwa komoya), rhoqo ngokuchasene nesebe le-ISIS elakhulela kuloo mhlaba. Kwakhona, incinci ihleli apho, ngoko sonke sinokuqhubeka sicula i-Marine Hymn ("... ukuya elunxwemeni lwe-Tripoli") ngengqiqo yokufaneleka.
Kwaye andikakhankanyi Phakistan, Nayija, kwaye uthixo uyazi kwenye indawo. Kuya kufuneka uqaphele ukuba iMelika ngonaphakade imfazwe iye yangqineka isebenza ngendlela ephawulekayo imfazwe ngenxa yonkwantyo, inceda ngokucacileyo ukukhuthaza nokusasaza amaqela anjalo, abahlaseli kunye nabaphembeleli kuzo zonke iindawo, kwiindawo ezibalulekileyo zeplanethi, ukusuka kwiiPhilippines ukuba iCongo.
Ngaba ulikhoboka lemfazwe? Hayi thina. Nangona kunjalo, lilonke, lirekhodi kwaye masingalibali ukuba okuzayo kuyenye imfazwe enokwenzeka, ngeli xesha kunye ne-Iran, ilizwe apho amadoda ajongene nokuhlasela kwe-Iraq ngo-2003 (kuquka ngoku uMcebisi woKhuseleko lweSizwe John Bolton) babelangazelela ukulandela nalapho. "Wonke umntu ufuna ukuya eBaghdad," ngoko ke Kuthetha ngokufanelekileyo waya eWashington ngelo xesha. "Amadoda okwenyani afuna ukuya eTehran." Kwaye kunokwenzeka ukuba, ngo-2019, iBolton kunye neqela labasebenzi baya kuba nakho ukuthatha amanyathelo kulo mbongozo ulibaziseke kakhulu. Ukujonga imbali yeemfazwe zaseMelika kule minyaka, yintoni enokonakala?
Ukushwankathela, akukho mntu ufanele ukubanga ukuba thina maMelika asikho “ekhaya” emhlabeni. Sikuyo yonke indawo, ngokumangalisayo ixhaswa ngemali kakuhle kwaye uxhobe kakuhle kwaye ulungele ukujongana nabahlaseli nabaphembeleli balo mhlaba. Ingcebiso enye nje encinci: ndiyabulela imikhosi ngenkonzo yabo ukuba uyafuna, kwaye ke, njengoko uninzi lwabantu baseMelika besenza, qhubeka neshishini lakho ngokungathi akukho nto yenzekayo kuloo mazwe akude. Njengoko sisiya kwixesha lonyulo luka-2020, nangona kunjalo, ungacingi nje ukuba singabafana abalungileyo kwiPlanethi yoMhlaba. Ngokokutsho kwam, akukho baninzi abafana abalungileyo abaseleyo.
UTom Engelhardt ungumqambishelana-siseko Iprojekthi yoBukumkani baseMelika kunye nombhali wembali yeMfazwe yoMlomo, Ukuphela kweNkcubeko yokuNqoba. Uyabaleka TomDispatch.com kwaye ungumlingane weZiko leMedia yoHlobo. Incwadi yakhe yesithandathu neyokugqibela ithi Uhlanga olungagqitywanga yimfazwe (Iincwadi zokuthumela).
Eli nqaku lavela okokuqala kwi-TomDispatch.com, iblogi yeSizwe yeZiko, ebonelela ngokuhamba ngokuqhubekayo kweminye imithombo, iindaba, kunye noluvo oluvela kuTom Engelhardt, umhleli wexesha elide ekupapasheni, umseki weProjekthi yoBukhosi baseMelika, umbhali we Ukuphela kweNkcubeko yoloyiso, njengenoveli, Iintsuku zokuGqibela zokuPapasha. Incwadi yakhe yamva nje ithi Isizwe esingenziwanga yiMfazwe (Iincwadi zeHaymarket).
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa ngemali kuphela ngesisa sabafundi bayo.
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