IUnited States inike u-Israyeli i-51.3 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi kwizibonelelo zomkhosi ukusukela ngo-1949, uninzi lwayo emva ko-1974 ‘ngaphezu kwalo naliphi na elinye ilizwe kwixesha lasemva kwe-1945. I-Israel ifumene i-11.2 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi kwimali-mboleko yezixhobo zomkhosi, kunye ne-31 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi kwinkxaso yezoqoqosho, singasathethi ke ngeziqinisekiso zemali-mboleko okanye iiprojekthi ezidibeneyo zomkhosi. Kodwa iimeko eziphambili kwezi zibonelelo zomkhosi ziye zathetha ukuba iipesenti ezingama-74 zayo zahlala e-US ukuthenga izixhobo zaseMelika. Kuba idala imisebenzi kunye nenzuzo kwizithili ezininzi, iCongress ikulungele ukuphendula kwi-cajoling ye-lobby yakwaSirayeli. Esi sixa sikhulu sivumele kwaye sanyanzela uSirayeli ukuba alungiselele ukulwa imfazwe yohlobo lwaseMelika. Kodwa i-US ukusukela ngo-1950 ayiphumelelanga naziphi na iimfazwe zayo ezinkulu.
Ekuqaleni kuka-2005 umphathi omtsha wabasebenzi boMkhosi woKhuselo wakwaSirayeli, uDan Halutz, waqalisa olona hlengahlengiso lubanzi kwimbali ye-IDF. UHalutz ngumkhosi woMkhosi womoya jikelele kwaye uyathandwa ziimfundiso ezithethelela izixhobo zale mihla amaMelika azithululela kumaSirayeli. Iinqwelo-ntaka ezihlaselayo, iinqwelo-moya ezingenabantu, ubukrelekrele nonxibelelwano oluhambele phambili oluya kuhambo olude, nezinye izinto ezinjalo zaziphambili kucwangciso lwakhe. Eyakhe yayilutshintsho nje lweengqikelelo zikaDonald Rumsfeld 'zomothuko kunye noloyiko'.
Imfazwe yeentsuku ezingama-34 eLebhanon, eyaqala nge-12 kaJulayi kulo nyaka uphelileyo, yaba yintlekele enkulu kwaSirayeli. De iKomishoni kaEliyahu Winograd, eyamiselwa ngu-Olmert ngoSeptemba 2006, inikezela ingxelo yayo yethutyana ngasekupheleni kuka-Epreli 'eya kugubungela iintsuku ezintlanu zokuqala zemfazwe kuphela' kwaye isombulule le micimbi, asiyi kuyazi ngokuchanekileyo imiyalelo ethunyelwe kwiiyunithi ezithile. okanye ixesha labo bonke abadlali, kodwa sele kukho imvumelwano kwiziseko ezibaluleke kakhulu. Kodwa amaSirayeli akazange oyiswe emfazweni ngenxa yemiyalelo eyanikelwa okanye enganikelwanga kumagosa awahlukahlukeneyo. Yayiyimfazwe yokuzikhethela, kwaye yayicwangciswe njengemfazwe yomoya kunye nokungena komhlaba okuncinci kakhulu kulindelwe ukuba iingxwelerha zakwa-Israel ziphantsi kakhulu. U-Major General Herzl Sapir ekupheleni kukaFebruwari wathi 'imfazwe yaqala ngokuqala kwethu kwaye asizange sizisebenzise iinzuzo ezinikwe umqalisi.' kulindeleke ukuxhwilwa kwamajoni amabini e-IDF 'isizathu esiqhelekileyo semfazwe. Akukho mpikiswano malunga nokuba yayiyimfazwe yedijithali, yenethiwekhi, eyokuqala kumava akwaSirayeli, kwaye ihambelana neHalutz kunye neMelika 'iingcamango zendlela imfazwe elwa ngayo ngeli xesha lobuchwepheshe obuphezulu. I-US yalwa iimfazwe ezifanayo e-Afghanistan nase-Iraq 'kwaye ikwinkqubo yokulahlekelwa zombini.
Zaziyintoni iinjongo zamaSirayeli? 'injongo zemfazwe, ukuba uyathanda. Nangona ingxelo yeKomishoni yeWinograd inokucacisa lo mbuzo, ubuncinci inani leenjongo sele liyaziwa. U-Halutz wayefuna 'ukuyothusa kunye nokoyika' i-Hezbollah kunye namahlakani ayo anamandla akwa-Israel ' zonke iintsuku ezimbalwa. Kwakukho iinjongo ezincinci, ezinjengokuhambisa iirokhethi zeHezbollah kude nemida okanye nokuba amajoni ayo amabini athinjiweyo abuye, kodwa ubuncinci uHalutz wayefuna ukwenza inqaku elibalulekileyo.
Endaweni yoko, watyhila ukuba sesichengeni kukaSirayeli ngokusekelwe, ubukhulu becala, kwisibakala sokuba utshaba lwalulunge ngakumbi, lukhuthazekile yaye luxhotyiswe ngokulunge ngakumbi. Yayisisiphelo sentsomi ebalulekileyo, isandulela sokuphalazwa kwegazi ngakumbi, kodwa okulinganayo, ungquzulwano lwezixhobo okanye ukulungelelana kwamagunya okukhokelela kuthethathethwano. U-Olmert kunye neenjengele zakhe kulindeleke ukuba babe noloyiso olukhulu kwisithuba seentsuku ezintlanu, ngaloo ndlela besandisa ukuthandwa kwakhe ngamaYuda angama-hawkish asisininzi esikhulayo sabavoti, ukuguqula uhlengahlengiso lwakhe lokuvota oluphantsi ngokugqithisileyo, ngaloo ndlela esindisa umsebenzi wakhe wezopolitiko. iipesenti ezintathu zokuthandwa kwi-poll yeTV ekuqaleni kukaMatshi.
Zininzi izizathu zokuba amaSirayeli aphulukane nemfazwe eLebhanon, kodwa kukho isivumelwano phakathi kwa-Israyeli sokuba imfazwe yaphela ngentlekele kunye nexabiso elithintelayo le-IDF eyayingenakoyiswa, exhobe kakhulu yancipha kakhulu kulo lonke ilizwe lama-Arabhu okokuqala ngqa ukusukela oko. 1947. Kodwa amaSirayeli oyiswa ngenxa yezizathu ezininzi ezifanayo eziye zabangela ukuba amaMelika aphulukane neemfazwe e-Iraq nase-Afghanistan ' naseVietnam ngokunjalo. Zombini imfundiso kunye nezixhobo zabo zazingafanelekanga kwiinyani ababejongene nazo. Kwakungekho sakhiwo somyalelo esisembindini sokutshabalalisa kodwa amaqela amancinci, axhobile kancinci, ahambahambayo, kwaye asasazwe, akwazi ukuhlukumeza kwaye ekugqibeleni aphumelele. I-Hezbollah nayo yayinemijukujelwa yokulwa netanki yaseRashiya esebenzayo, kwaye i-IDF iyavuma ukuba iitanki 'eziliqela' zakhutshwa kwikhomishini, ukuba azizange zitshatyalaliswe, kubandakanywa iMerkava Mark IV, ethi uSirayeli ayibanga kweyona itanki ikhuselekileyo emhlabeni. kwaye ifuna ukuyithumela ngaphandle. Baphinde badubula malunga nama-4,000 iirokethi kumaziko oluntu akwa-Israeli kwaye i-IDF ayikwazanga ukukunqanda oku kuxhatshazwa okudimazayo. I-Hezbollah bunkers kunye ne-arsenals ubukhulu becala bezingakhuselekanga kuhlaselo lomoya, nto leyo eyabangela ukuba amaSirayeli 'olule imvulophu ekujoliswe kuyo' ukuze ahlasele iindawo ezinabemi abaninzi, kubhubhe abantu abangaphezu kwe-1,000. 'U-Israyeli waphulukana nemfazwe kwiintsuku ezintathu zokuqala,' ingcali yasemkhosini yaseMelika yaqukumbela, ichaza isivumelwano esabiwe ngabahlalutyi abaninzi boMkhosi woMoya wase-US. 'Ukuba unoluhlobo lokothuka kwaye unolu hlobo lomlilo unokuba ngcono uphumelele. Kungenjalo, ukwithuba elide.’
Ingxaki, nangona kunjalo, yayingebubo ubuchule obutsha bama-Arabhu, nangona utshintsho kwiindlela zabo zokuziphatha kunye nemibutho yokulwa kufuneka ingancitshiswa. Uhlenga-hlengiso oluluqilima lweHalutz' lwe-IDF ukususela ekuqaleni kuka-2005, enye ebifanele ukufumana izithembiso zazo zonke izixhobo zayo ezibonelelwe eMelika, 'kwabange,' kumazwi kaNjengele Sapir, 'ugqweso olubi.' kunanini na ngaphambili, kwaye ngo-Januwari 17, 2007 uHalutz warhoxa, intloko yokuqala ye-IDF ngokuzithandela ukuhla ngenxa yobunkokeli bakhe emfazweni. Ukuba wayengarhoxanga ngewayegxothiwe. Owangena ezihlangwini zakhe wakhawuleza wakubhangisa uhlengahlengiso lwakhe lwe-IDF, engekalungelelaniswa ngoku. Indlela yaseMelika yokulwa yayisilele.
Imfazwe elandelayo
Imfazwe yaseLebhanon kuphela yi-harbinger yokoyiswa kwamaSirayeli okuzayo. Okokuqala kukho ukulingana okunzima kumandla omkhosi.
Itekhnoloji kuyo yonke indawo ngoku ihamba ngokukhawuleza kakhulu kunemithombo yezopolitiko nezopolitiko okanye ukuthanda ukulawula iziphumo zayo ezingenakuthintelwa. I-Hezbollah ineerokethi ezingcono kakhulu nezingaphezulu 'ngaphezu kwe-10,000 iirokethi zomgama omfutshane ngumfanekiso onikezelweyo' kunokuba yayinjalo kwiminyaka embalwa edlulileyo, kwaye ubukrelekrele bomkhosi bakwaSirayeli bukholelwa ukuba bunamandla omlilo angaphezulu kunokuba bekunjalo entwasahlobo, ngaphambi kokuba ihlaselwe. I-Israel ayiphumelelanga ukweyisela iRussia ukuba ingathengisi okanye inike imijukujelwa yayo echasene netanki ezizweni okanye kwiintshukumo kulo mmandla. Boyika ukuba kwaneHamas iya kubafumana. I-Syria ifumana 'amawaka' emijukujelwa ye-anti-tank ephezulu evela eRashiya, enokuthi idutyulwe ukusuka kwiikhilomitha ezintlanu, kunye neerokethi ezingcono kakhulu ezinokubetha izixeko zakwa-Israel.
Ukuba imiceli mngeni yokuvelisa ingqikelelo eyinyani yehlabathi ejongene neengozi ezikhulayo kunye nemida yetekhnoloji yomkhosi ngokungqongqo ayisonjululwanga kungekudala akukho nto ingaphaya kweemfazwe ekufuneka sijonge phambili kuzo. Isebe lezobuntlola le-IDF alicingi ukuba imfazwe ne-Syria inokwenzeka kwi-2007; abanye abahlalutyi bemikhosi yase-Israel bacinga ukuba nayiphi na imfazwe ne-Syria iya kuvelisa, eyona nto ingcono, ukuchithwa kwegazi 'njengemfazwe yaseLebhanon ehlotyeni. I-Israel inamatanki amalunga nama-3,700 kwaye onke ngoku asemngciphekweni kakhulu. Ingalo yayo yomoya yanamhlanje, uninzi lwazo i-US ibonelele, ibulala abantu kuphela kodwa ayinakuphumelela.
USirayeli Omtsha ‘Luhlanga ‘oluqhelekileyo’
Kwixa elidluleyo, iimfazwe zabangela ukoyisa nommandla ongakumbi kumaYuda; ngoku baya kuvelisa kuphela iintlekele kumntu wonke. Imfazwe yaseLebhanon yakungqina oko.
I-Zionism yayiyi-concoction yezindlu zekofu zase-Viennese, i-Tolstoy's idealization of labour, i-ecological motion yangaphambili ngendlela ye-wanderfogel eyaphembelela iZionism kodwa iintshukumo ezahlukeneyo ze-fascistic ngokunjalo, i-militarism, kunye neentlobo ze-socialism kwiinxalenye zayo, kuquka i-bolshevism. AmaYuda afuna ukuya ePalestine kungekuphela nje ngenxa yokuBulawa Kwabantu Ngenkohlakalo kodwa kwanotshintsho kwimithetho yokufudukela eMelika kwisiqingatha sokuqala seminyaka yee-1920. Ngaphandle kweemali ezinkulu ezibonelelwe ngabakwaDiaspora, ubuZionism ngebungazange bube nesiqhamo. Isizwe ngasinye sinobuntu baso obahlukileyo obubonisa izithethe zaso, uhanahaniso, kunye nembali yaso, kwaye kulo mba uSirayeli akahlukanga. Ikhona kodwa iya isiba yingozi ngakumbi kuxolo lwehlabathi nakulo ngokwayo.
I-Zionism yayisoloko ine-ethos yempi, ebekwe kuphela inxalenye yobutshaba bama-Arabhu, kwaye ukususela ekuqaleni kwembali ye-Zionism iinkokeli zayo zezopolitiko kunye nezempi zazifana. Iinjengele zazingamagorha kwaye zaziqhuba kakuhle kwezopolitiko. Ingqiqo yonyanzeliso yadityaniswa nomkhethe waseNtshona, wobukoloniyali. Abaseki bayo yayingabantu baseYurophu, kwaye yayiyindawo yenkcubeko yaseYurophu de ukudityaniswa kwemilinganiselo yehlabathi kunye neemveliso kwenza ukuba lo mahluko wenkcubeko ungabinamsebenzi. Ibisoloko iluluntu lwamajoni, oluzingca ngabalweli bayo. Kwaye ngaphandle kweMfazwe yoMlomo kunye nokunyuka kokuhamba kweengalo ezivela e-US, edityaniswe ne-élan yayo, ithetha ukuba iphumelele zonke iimfazwe zayo zasemva kwe-1947 kude kube yihlobo elidlulileyo, isagcina into eyomeleleyo ye-hysteria malunga nehlabathi ejongene nayo. Kwaye ngokufuthi bubumesiya ‘ingakumbi abezobupolitika bayo’ kuba umesiya unempembelelo enkulu phakathi kwenxalenye eyandayo yonqulo nabemi besithethe.
U-Israyeli uyekile ukuba 'yiZionist' ngengqiqo yokuqala yaloo ngcamango. Ngenxa yomsitho igcina iZionism njengeleyibhile, kanye njengokuba uninzi lwezizwe zokwenyani okanye ezilangazelelayo zineentsomi ezahlukeneyo ezithethelela amabango azo kwisazisi sesizwe. Kodwa ikude ukusuka kwindawo yokuqala, ubukhulu becala kuba imfazwe yayo kunye nabamelwane bayo 'ngakumbi ama-Arabhu ahlala phakathi kwayo okanye kufuphi' yenza i-ethos yayo yasemkhosini yongamele kuyo yonke enye into.
U-Israyeli namhlanje usendleleni eya ekubeni lilizwe elingaphumeleliyo. Ukuba bekungengenxa yokuba le nkampu yamaYuda angaphantsi kwezigidi ezihlanu ingumba obalulekileyo wemfazwe noxolo kummandla omkhulu nobaluleke kakhulu ibingayi kubaluleka okanye ingaqhelekanga kwaphela. Kodwa ibhideke kakhulu kwaye inesazisi esixubene kakhulu; i-US ukususela ekupheleni kwe-1960s yayikhusela. Uxolo lwehlabathi ngoku luxhomekeke kule ndawo, ubuqhetseba bayo, ubuntu bayo, nokwanda kokungavisisani.
U-Israyeli luluntu olwahlulelene kakhulu kwaye abezopolitiko balo bangabagxeki. Izizwe ezininzi 'kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo iinkokeli zasePalestine de iHamas, ngokungagqibekanga, yathatha indawo' ayifani. Njengoko uShlomo Ben-Ami, owayesakuba ngumphathiswa wezangaphandle, eyichaza, kwelinye icala kukho amaYuda aseMpuma ahlwempuzekileyo ngokwezoqoqosho, abathandi bobuzwe baseRashiya abashukunyiswa ngaphezu kwako konke umnqweno wokuyishiya i-USSR (iqaqobana elixatyiswayo alingomaYuda), kunye namaYuda angamaOthodoki. kulo lonke uhlobo bedityaniswe kuphela kukungathandi kwabo 'assimilationists'; kwelinye icala sinamaYuda angoowehlabathi, amanye asekhohlo kunye nabaphuculi bexesha langoku, abanobuchule ngakumbi nabangabazali baseMpuma Yurophu ababekhe babalulekile ekusekweni kweZionism. Kukho inani elandayo ‘lamaYuda aseYerusalem,’ njengoko uBen-Ami ewabiza njalo, eshukunyiselwa ukuza ngokuyintloko yintshukumisa yezoqoqosho, yaye azisa iLungelo lokuba segunyeni ngokufuthi ngakumbi nangakumbi. Bawoyika ama-Arabhu ahlala kwaSirayeli. AmaYuda 'e-Tel Aviv' ahambelana nenkcubeko yehlabathi, inkcubeko yanamhlanje, ngakumbi ngokufana nobukho 'obuqhelekileyo' obabushunyayelwa ngamaZiyoni, kwaye bangabafuduki ngaphandle ngenxa yokuba banezakhono eziphezulu. I-Israel ngoku inabantu abaninzi abashiyayo njengoko befudukela kuyo, kwaye uMntla Melika kuphela likhaya ukuya kwisigidi sabo.
Ezinye izibonakaliso zezi ndlela zivela kwi-banal ukuya kwintlekele. Kukho zonke iindidi zeepunks, izitabane, yonke into. Ngokubhekiselele kwi-ultra-Othodoki, abanye baye babeka 'iziqalekiso' kwabo bakhuthaza ukungazibandakanyi kuyo nayiphi na indawo yokuhlala eWest Bank okanye eGaza; baya kohlwaywa lizulu. Omnye wamaYuda ama-Othodoki amane akholelwa ukuba yiyo kanye loo nto uSharon wabethwa yikoma. UMartin van Creveld, unjingalwazi wembali yomkhosi kwiYunivesithi yesiHebhere kunye nomhlobo weenkokeli ezininzi zeIDF, odumo lwabo lwenziwa lufundisisa indima yokuziphatha okuhle kwimikhosi, ucinga ukuba ukuziphatha kwababhalisele kwi-IDF ‘kuphantse kwaba sekupheleni; kwezinye iimeko iintsana ezikhalayo ziye zathatha indawo yamajoni.’ ‘Ubufazi’ kwimikhosi exhobileyo buye baqatsela ukubola, kodwa ‘inkqubela yentlalo-ntle’ iye yatshabalalisa inxalenye enkulu yomkhosi ‘njengamagosa ‘aye ahlala emva kweekhompyutha zawo’ kwihlobo elidluleyo.
Akazange nanini na ngaphambili uSirayeli angcungcuthekiswe ngamahlazo amaninzi athob’ isidima. Umongameli wakwaSirayeli usandula ukurhoxa ngenxa yezityholo zokudlwengula abekwe zona, iNkulumbuso uOlmert iphandwa yiofisi yomlawuli ngezityholo ezine zorhwaphilizo, umphathi omtsha wamapolisa wake watyholwa ngokwamkela izinyobo nobuqhophololo kwaye ukuqeshwa kwakhe kudale uqhushululu kunye nezinye iimeko ezingcolileyo zininzi kakhulu ukuba zichazwe. USirayeli ‘uyazingca ngokubola kwakhe,’ waqukumbela ngelitshoyo umbhali waseHaaretz; amapolisa, ijaji edla umhlala-phantsi uVardi Zeiler waphawula emva kokukhokela ikomiti yokuphanda ukusebenza korhulumente, babefana neSicily kwaye urhulumente wayesendleleni yokuba ngurhulumente we-mafia-style.
Kolu qhushululu iimfazwe ziphenjelelwa ngenxa yezizathu zopolitiko kodwa ngoku zilahlekile ngenxa yokuba uluntu luyawohloka kwaye kwakhona xa sicaphula umbhali weHaaretz urhulumente ‘uswele ulwalathiso nesazela’. kuphela uthelekiswe noBush kubukrelekrele bezopolitiko. Kukho ukuvumelana phakathi kwamaqhinga akwa-Israel ukuba iMfazwe yase-Iraq yayiyintlekele kwa-Israyeli, isipho se-geopolitical kwi-Iran esiya kushiya u-Israyeli engozini enkulu emva kokuba abantu baseMelika bebuyele ekhaya. 'U-Israyeli akananto yakuzuza ngokuqhubeka kobukho baseMelika e-Iraq,' umlawuli weZiko leZifundo zoKhuseleko lweSizwe kwiYunivesithi yaseTel Aviv uthe ngoJanuwari ophelileyo. I-US yakhupha i-Taliban e-Afghanistan kunye no-Saddam Hussein e-Iraq kwaye yenza ulawulo olunobuchule lwase-Iranian. Iphulo layo ledemokhrasi lizise iHamas kulawulo ePalestina. ‘Kukungafundeki kakuhle kwezinto zokwenene,’ kucatshulwe enye ingcali yakwaSirayeli xa ixubusha ngendima yeMerika kulo mmandla. Imigaqo-nkqubo yaseMelika ayiphumelelanga kwaye u-Israel unike i-carte blanche kwisicwangciso esilishiya lilodwa kakhulu kunangaphambili.
Ngaphandle kwesi mvumelwano, nge-12 kaMatshi u-Olmert uxelele i-American Israel Public Affairs inkomfa ngonxibelelwano lwevidiyo 'Abo baxhalabele ukhuseleko lukaSirayeli'¦kufuneka baqonde imfuno yempumelelo yaseMelika e-Iraq kunye nokuphuma noxanduva. Amandla eMelika'' ayakuthoba amandla eMelika okujongana ngokufanelekileyo nosoyikiso oluvezwa ngurhulumente wase-Iran'¦.' Umphathiswa wakhe wezangaphandle wayenamandla ngakumbi. ‘Zigcineni isihogo,’ waqukumbela ngelitshoyo umbhali waseHaaretz. Akukho qela lichasene nemfazwe kunamaYuda aseMelika, iCongress 'ngendlela yayo engafanelekanga' izama ukuzisa imfazwe ekupheleni, iingcali zakhe zicinga ukuba iMfazwe yase-Iraq yayiyintlekele 'kwaye u-Olmert uxhasa ubudenge bukaBush.
Ukhetho lwaseSiriya
Kukule meko apho uxolo lwalo mmandla luya kuthi luguquke okanye aluyi kuvela. U-Olmert uya kwenza okona kulungileyo kwisikhundla sakhe sezopolitiko ekhaya, kwaye ukugcina amandla kuya kuba yeyona nto iphambili kuye 'ingabi ngaphantsi kunabanduleli bakhe kunye nabezopolitiko kuyo yonke indawo. Ayithembisi kwaphela. Kodwa ngenxa yezizathu zobugcisa, zentlalo, kunye nesimilo uSirayeli akasayi kuphumelela enye imfazwe. Kuwo onke amanqanaba, iye yaba buthathaka kakhulu. Inokwenza umonakalo owoyikekayo kwiintshaba zayo kodwa ayinako ukuguqula ulungelelwaniso olusisiseko lwamandla onke akhokelela ekoyiseni.
Ukwenza uxolo neSyria kuya kuba linyathelo lokuqala elibalulekileyo kuSirayeli, kwaye nangona ingxaki yasePalestine iya kuhlala iya kuhlala iphucula kakhulu ukhuseleko lukaSirayeli ' kwaye iyichase ingxabano yoLawulo lukaBush kude kube mva nje ukuba uthethathethwano neSyria okanye iIran ngawo nawuphi na umbuzo waseMbindi Mpuma ubandakanya ukuvuma. ebubini. Umshicileli wase-Israel uchaze ngokweenkcukacha ezinkulu iingxoxo ze-2004-05 ze-Israel-Syria, ezaziqhubela phambili kakhulu kwaye zibandakanya izivumelwano ezinkulu zaseSiriya ' ngakumbi emanzini kunye nokungathathi hlangothi kweSiriya kwiingxabano zezopolitiko kunye namaPalestina kunye nama-Irani. Ikwanike ingxelo yokuba iWashington ilandele ezi ntetho ngokusondeleyo kwaye ‘ingakumbi iofisi kaCheney’ yachasa ukuzizisa kwisigqibo esiyimpumelelo. Ekupheleni kukaJanuwari uninzi lwamalungu abalulekileyo omgaqo-nkqubo welizwe langaphandle kwaSirayeli abongoza esidlangalaleni ukuba ziphinde zivulwe ezi ntetho.
U-Olmert uzikhabile izijekulo zaseSyria emva kokuba ziye zavela esidlangalaleni. 'Ungakhe ucinge ngayo' yayiyimbono kaNobhala weLizwe iRice ngesivumelwano xa wabona amagosa akwa-Israel phakathi kuFebruwari. Kodwa nangona uMossad eyixhasa imbono yeRice-Olmert engapheliyo, ubukrelekrele bomkhosi buphikisa ukuba izibonelelo zaseSyria zinyanisekile kwaye zinzulu. Ngaphezu koko, intloko yezobuntlola yalumkisa ukuba iSyria ikhula ngamandla kwaye uxolo lwalubaluleke kakhulu kumdla we-Israel. Wayexhaswa ngabaphathiswa abaninzi bangaphandle kunye noKhuseleko, kuquka noMphathiswa wezoKhuselo u-Amir Peretz. U-Olmert wafuna, kwaye wafumana, ukuvuma kwabo.
Umnqophiso unokugqitywa kunye neSiriya phakathi kweenyanga ezine ukuya ezintandathu, u-Alon Liel, owayengumlawuli jikelele we-Ofisi yoMphathiswa weZizwe eziManyeneyo owathethathethana namaSiriya, wabika iWashington Times ngoMatshi 7. U-Liel wacelwa ukuba eze kwi-ambassy yase-US eTel Aviv. malunga neli xesha kwaye uxelele bonke abasebenzi bezopolitiko ngeentetho zakhe. Iingxelo eHaaretz, ezibandakanya idrafti yesivumelwano, ngelo xesha zaziqinisekile. Emva koko i-Knesset, ipalamente yakwaSirayeli, wamema u-Ibrahim Suleiman, ummeli waseSiriya kwiingxoxo, ukuba athethe nemicimbi yangaphandle kunye neekomiti zokukhusela. Izimemo ezinjalo zinqabile kakhulu, kungekhona ubuncinane ngenxa yokuba iSiriya kunye noSirayeli bakwimeko yemfazwe ngokusemthethweni. Kodwa ukuba amaSiriya namaSirayeli ayephinda emfazweni, ngeli xesha uMartin van Creveld owayedla ngokuba ngukhetshe wafikelela kwisigqibo esithi, uSirayeli ‘wayenokonakalisa kakhulu, kodwa wayengenakukwazi ukunyanzelisa isigqibo.’ Kwiminyaka emithathu okanye emine amaSiriya ayeya kuba sele elungele umkhosi. Imfazwe eyathatha ixesha elide yayiza kuba nkulu kuSirayeli. Emva kokuzama iindlela zakhe ezingaqhelekanga, kunye nemo ye-IDF yokuziphatha, uvan Creveld ugqibe kwelokuba ukufikelela eluxolweni neSyria bekuyinto ebaluleke kakhulu kwiminqweno yakwaSirayeli 'kwaye nokuba namaMelika ebesiza kwisikhundla sokuthetha neSyria neIran Iphaneli ye-Baker-Hamilton yayicebise ngoDisemba ophelileyo) yayinengqiqo.
I-Syria izama ngamandla ukuphucula ubudlelwane bayo neWashington, ukuba kuphela ukunqanda isenzo esithile se-US. Xa u-Israyeli wahlasela iLebhanon ngoJulayi odlulileyo, u-Elliott Abrams, ophethe uMbindi Mpuma kwiBhunga loKhuseleko lweSizwe, kunye nezinye ii-neocons eWashington, zakhuthaza ukuba zandise imfazwe eSiriya. Ekupheleni kukaFebruwari iSiriya yasihlaziya isibongozo sayo kwi-US ukuba ixubushe nayo nayiphi na imiba yoMbindi Mpuma nayo ‘ngengxoxo enzulu nenzulu.’ Ngaphezu kweminyaka emibini iye yenza iinzame ezifanayo; UBaker wayezazi zonke ezi zinto. Ukuthetha nabatyholwa njengabachasi mhlawumbi yeyona nto ibalulekileyo yomahluko phakathi kweCheney, umfelandawonye wakhe we-neocon, kunye neRice, kwaye igubungela uMntla Korea, i-Iran, kunye nezinye iindawo ezininzi. Ingxoxo-mpikiswano ingaphantsi kobume kunye neenjongo zomgaqo-nkqubo wamazwe angaphandle waseMelika kodwa indlela yokuqhuba ngayo 'ngokusetyenziswa kwamandla ezinto eziphathekayo kunye nosoyikiso lwemfazwe ngokuchasene neendlela eziqhelekileyo, ezifana nediplomacy.
Kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo, ethatha ingcebiso yakhe kwiRiphabhlikhi yaseRiphabhlikhi kwiQela lokufunda lase-Iraq ngoDisemba ophelileyo, iRice iphumelele amanqaku kule ngxoxo kodwa impumelelo yakhe ibuthathaka. UCheney yindoda enamandla, ezimiseleyo kwaye enobuqili ekwaziyo ukuphumelela kakuhle nomongameli.
Ingxaki enkulu yaseMelika yi-Iraq kwaye, ngaphezu kwayo yonke into, i-Iran, kwaye ngokucacileyo uLawulo lweBush ngoku luye lwagqiba ekubeni iSiriya ingayinceda kummandla. U-Ellen Sauerbrey, uNobhala oNcedisayo weLizwe, wayeseDamasko ngo-Matshi 12, ngokutshoyo ukuba axoxe ngeembacu kodwa weva kumaSiriya 'ukuba yonke imibuzo idibaniswe kummandla wama-Arabhu kwaye i-dialogue ebanzi iyadingeka kuyo yonke le mibuzo.' ISyria iphinde yahlanganisa iManyano yaseYurophu, ngoku ithanda ukubuyiswa kweGolan Heights kuyo. Ngomhla we-13 kuMatshi unozakuzaku wase-US kwaSirayeli wachaza esidlangalaleni ubuxoki bokuba abantu baseMelika abazange ‘baveze uluvo malunga noko uSirayeli afanele ukukwenza okanye angamele akwenze ngeSiriya.’
Ngoku ngokupheleleyo kusezandleni zikarhulumente wase-Olmert ukuba angathethathethana na neSyria.
U-Israel akayihoyanga iWashington ubuncinci kwimiba emine ebaluleke kakhulu, eqala ngephulo laseSinayi ngo-1956, kwaye wazenzela umnqweno wakhe. Abantu baseMelika babeyi-alibi ka-Olmert kodwa akanakuphinda abasebenzise. Kukho eminye imiba ebalulekileyo, efana nesicwangciso saseSaudi sokusonjululwa kombuzo wasePalestine, kwaye zange uSirayeli abenesidingo esikhulu soxolo kunangoku. Endaweni yoko, njenge-US, intloko yelizwe inokuba yeyona imbi kakhulu kwimbali yayo, ikhuthazwa yinzuzo yethutyana yezopolitiko kunye nomnqweno ogqibeleleyo wokugcina amandla.
Kodwa ukhetho lwaseSiriya lukhona ukuze luthathe. Ukuba kukho imfazwe ngoko ingqondo iya kuphuma ngokukhawuleza kwaye ukufudukela kuyo kuya kuwa; idemografia iya kuthatha indawo. U-Israyeli uya kuba kuphela kwendawo emhlabeni umYuda asengozini ngenxa yokuba engumYuda. Ukuba eli thuba lilahlekile ekugqibeleni kuya kubakho imfazwe etshabalalisayo ekungekho mntu uya kuyiphumelela ' Imfazwe yaseLebhanon yabonisa ukuba u-Israyeli ngoku kufuneka ajongane nenyaniso yokuba abamelwane bakhe bayalingana emkhosini kwaye uncedo lwase-US alukwazi ukuyisindisa.
Ewe, izipho zasimahla zaseMelika zenza ukuba u-Israyeli aqalise imfazwe ngoJulayi ophelileyo ngeenkohliso ezifanayo nezo zabangela ukuba uLawulo lwaseBush luqalise ubutyhakala base-Iraq.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa ngemali kuphela ngesisa sabafundi bayo.
Nikela