INew Haven - uGeorge W. Bush yi-geopolitical incompetent. Uvumele iqela lookhetshe ukuba limenze athathe isikhundla ekuhlaseleni i-Iraq angakwaziyo ukuzikhupha kuyo, nto leyo engayi kuba neziphumo ezibi e-United States-kunye nehlabathi liphela. Uya kuzifumana enzakele kakhulu kwezopolitiko, mhlawumbi abulawe. Kwaye uya kunciphisa ngokukhawuleza amandla asele ehla e-United States emhlabeni. Imfazwe echasene ne-Iraq iya kutshabalalisa ubomi obuninzi ngokukhawuleza, i-Iraqi kunye neMelika, kuba kubonakala kucacile ukuba ukuhlaselwa kwe-air-high-high, utyando-lwe-air-strike akuzukwanela kwimimiselo yezempi. Ukuhlasela i-Iraq kuya kukhokelela kwinqanaba lesiphithiphithi kwilizwe lama-Arabhu namaSilamsi ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kungakhange kucingelwe. Ezinye iinkokeli zama-Arabhu azimthandi nakancinci uSaddam Hussein, kodwa abantu bazo abayi kumela into abaya kuvakalelwa kukuba luhlaselo olungaphendukiyo kwilizwe lama-Arabhu, lushiya iinkokeli zinokhetho oluncinci ngaphandle kokutshayelwa kuqhushululu okanye ukurhaxwa. Kwaye uhlaselo lwase-Iraq lunokuthi ekugqibeleni luqalise ukusetyenziswa kwezixhobo zenyukliya, eziya kuthi, ukuba zikhutshiwe ngoku, kuya kuba nzima ukuphinda zizenze ezingekho mthethweni. I-Iraq isenokungabi nazo izixhobo ezinjalo okwangoku, kodwa asinakuqiniseka. Nokuba ayenzi njalo, ngaba ayinakuhlasela uSirayeli ngemijukujelwa eqhelekileyo enokuthi iqhubele uSirayeli ukuba aphendule ngezixhobo zenyukliya esaziyo ukuba inazo? Ngalo mbandela, ngaba siqinisekile ukuba, ukuba umlo uba nzima, i-US ayikulungelanga ukusebenzisa izixhobo zenyukliya ezinobuqili?
Singene njani kwintlekele engaka?
Kubonakala ngathi intshukumo yomkhosi wase-US ngokuchasene ne-Iraq ayingombuzo wokuba kodwa nini. Urhulumente wase-US unyanzelisa ukuba kuthathwe amanyathelo ayimfuneko kuba i-Iraq ibidelela izisombululo zeZizwe eziManyeneyo kwaye imele ingozi kwihlabathi ngokubanzi, ngakumbi e-US. Le ngcaciso yenyathelo lomkhosi elilindelekileyo incinci kangangokuba ayinakuthathelwa ingqalelo. Ukuchasa izindululo ze-UN okanye ezinye i-enjoinders zamazwe ngamazwe yinto eqhelekileyo kwiminyaka engama-50 edlulileyo. Andifuni kukhumbuza nabani na ukuba i-US yalile ukurhoxa kwisigqibo seNkundla yeHlabathi ka-1986 esigxeka izenzo zaseMelika eNicaragua. Kwaye uMongameli Bush uye wakwenza kwacaca ukuba akazukuhlonipha nasiphi na isivumelwano xa ecinga ukuba siyingozi kwiminqweno yase-US. U-Israyeli, ngokuqinisekileyo, uye wachasa izigqibo ze-UN iminyaka engaphezu kwe-30, kwaye wenza oko kwakhona njengoko ndibhala le nkcazo. Kwaye irekhodi lamanye amalungu e-UN ayingcono kakhulu. Ke uHussein ebedelela izigqibo ezicacileyo ze-UN. Yintoni enye entsha?
Ngaba uHussein usisongelo esisondeleyo nakubani na? NgoAgasti 1990, iIraq yahlasela iKuwait. Eso senzo, ubuncinci, sabeka isoyikiso esikufuphi. Impendulo yase-US yayiyiMfazwe yePersian Gulf, apho satyhala i-Iraqis ngaphandle kwe-Kuwait emva koko sagqiba ekubeni sime apho-ngezizathu ezilungileyo zomkhosi nezopolitiko. Kodwa oko kwamshiya uHussein esemandleni.
I-UN yapasisa izigqibo ezahlukeneyo ezifuna ukuba i-Iraq iyiyeke izixhobo zenyukliya, iikhemikhali kunye ne-bacteriological kwaye yagunyazisa amaqela okuhlola ukuqinisekisa ukuba ikwenzile oko. I-UN iphinde yabeka iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokuvala i-Iraq. Njengoko sisazi, kule minyaka ilishumi ukusukela ngoko, inkqubo yezithintelo e-Iraq ebekwe zezi zisombululo ze-UN ibe buthathaka kakhulu, kodwa hayi kwaphela nangayiphi na indlela.
Kwiiveki eziliqela ezidlulileyo, i-Iraq neKuwait zatyikitya isivumelwano apho i-Iraq yavuma ukuhlonela ulongamo lweKuwait. Umphathiswa wezangaphandle waseKuwait, uSheik Sabah al Ahmed al Jabbar al Sabah uthe ilizwe lakhe ngoku "lanelisekile nge-100%," wongeza ukuba usibhale ngokwakhe isivumelwano. Isithethi saseUnited States nangona kunjalo sabonisa ukuthandabuza. I-US ayizukuthintelwa ngenxa yokuba iKuwait "yanelisekile." Yintoni i-Kuwait, ukuba kufuneka ithathe inxaxheba kwisigqibo esinjalo?
Ookhetshe base-US bakholelwa ukuba kuphela ukusetyenziswa kwamandla - amandla abaluleke kakhulu - aya kubuyisela i-hegemony yethu engathandabuzekiyo emhlabeni. Ngokuqinisekileyo kuyinyaniso ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwamandla amakhulu kunokumisela i-hegemony, njengoko kwenzeka e-United States ngo-1945. Kodwa i-US hegemony ayikho into eyayiyiyo ngaphambili. Ukuphakama kwelizwe kwezoqoqosho kwihlabathi phakathi ko-1945 kunye no-1965 kuye kwathatyathelwa indawo yimeko apho imeko yezoqoqosho yase-US ingekho ngcono kakhulu kuneyeManyano yaseYurophu okanye yaseJapan. Oku kudodobala koqoqosho kudle i-US imbeko engathandabuzekiyo kwezopolitiko kumahlakani ayo asondeleyo. Okuseleyo kokongamela emkhosini. Kwaye, njengoko uMachiavelli wasifundisa zonke iinkulungwane ezadlulayo, amandla akonelanga: Ukuba yiyo yonke loo nto onayo, ke ukusetyenziswa kwayo luphawu lobuthathaka kunokuba namandla kwaye yenza buthathaka umsebenzisi.
Kucacile ukuba, ngeli xesha, phantse akukho mntu uxhasa ukuhlasela kwe-US e-Iraq: akukho lizwe elinye lama-Arabhu, kungekhona iTurkey okanye i-Iran okanye iPakistan, kungekhona iRashiya okanye ininzi enkulu yaseYurophu. Kukho, ngokuqinisekileyo, izinto ezimbini ezikhethekileyo eziphawulekayo: u-Israel, ovuyisa uBush, kunye ne-Great Britain-okanye inkulumbuso yayo, uTony Blair, obhengeze kwimpelaveki ephelileyo eTexas ukuba "ukungenzi nto ... ayisiyiyo inketho" malunga ukuya eIraq. Ukanti inqaku elikwiThe Observer kwinyanga ephelileyo linike ingxelo yokuba "Iinkokeli zomkhosi zaseBritane zikhuphe isilumkiso esiqatha kuTony Blair phezolo sokuba nayiphi na imfazwe echasene ne-Iraq ayinakuphumelela kwaye ingakhokelela ekuphulukaneni nobomi ngenxa yenzuzo encinci yezopolitiko."
Andikholelwa ukuba iinkokeli zomkhosi zase-US zenze isigqibo esahlukileyo, nangona zinokuba zilumke ngakumbi zokuthetha loo nyaniso ingathandekiyo kuMongameli Bush. UKenneth M. Pollack, owayesakuba yi-CIA kunye nengcali yase-Iraq kwiBhunga likaClinton's National Security Council, uthi isenzo somkhosi e-Iraq siya kufuna ukuthumela i-200,000 ukuya kwi-300,000 yamajoni ase-US, mhlawumbi ukusuka kwiziseko zaseSaudi Arabia okanye eKuwait, kunye nemikhosi eyongezelelweyo. ukukhusela amaKurds kumantla Iraq.
I-US ibonakala ithembele ekugrogriseni amahlakani ayo ukuba ahambe. Kodwa emva kokuhlala kuka-Israyeli kwizixeko zeWest Bank, ithemba elikude lokuba iziseko zaseSaudi (okanye i-Kuwaiti) ziya kwenziwa zifumaneke kwimikhosi yase-US sele linyamalele. I-Turkey ngokucacileyo ayinamdla ekukhuseleni amaKurds ase-Iraqi, kuba isenzo esinjalo siya kuqinisa intshukumo yamaKurdish eTurkey, apho urhulumente waseTurkey alwa nawo onke amandla akhe. Ngokuphathelele uSirayeli, iNkulumbuso u-Ariel Sharon - ngenkxaso eqinile kaBush - ukwinkqubo yokutshabalalisa ngokukhawuleza kangangoko kunokwenzeka iGunya lasePalestina, ngokuqinisekileyo elingayi kunceda uBush ukwakha umfelandawonye wakhe wokulwa ne-Iraq.
Sekunjalo, kuya kubakho ukuhlasela, okuya kuba nzima ukuba akunakwenzeka ukuba uphumelele. Isenzo sinokuba yenye iVietnam. Kanye njengaseVietnam, imfazwe iya kuqhubeka kwaye iya kuxabisa ubomi abaninzi base-US. Kwaye iziphumo zezopolitiko ziya kuba zibi kakhulu kwi-US kangangokuba ekugqibeleni uBush (okanye umlandeli wakhe) uya kukhupha. I-syndrome ehlaziywe kwaye yandisiwe yaseVietnam iya kuba sisiphumo ekhaya.
Ngaba akukho mntu kulawulo lukaBush oyibonayo le nto? Abambalwa, ngaphandle kwamathandabuzo, kodwa abahoywa, kuba uBush usengxakini azibekele yona. Ukuba uqhubela phambili nohlaselo lwase-Iraq, uzibeka emngciphekweni wokuzithoba, njengoLyndon Johnson. Kwaye ukungaphumeleli kwe-US ekugqibeleni kuya kunika abantu baseYurophu isibindi sokuba baseYurophu kwaye bangabi yiAtlantiki. Kodwa ezo ziphumo zibi kuBush ziya kuba kwixesha elizayo, ngelixa izinto ezingalunganga zokungahlaseli zikhawuleza.
UBush uthembise abantu base-US "imfazwe yobunqolobi" ukuba "ngokuqinisekileyo siya kuphumelela." Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, konke akwenzileyo kukuwa kweTaliban ebuthathaka kunye nehlwempuzekileyo. Akazange abambe uBin Laden. IPakistan iyagungqa. ISaudi Arabia iyaphuma. Ukuba akayihlaseli i-Iraq, uya kujongeka esisidenge apho kubaluleke kakhulu kuye - emehlweni abavoti baseMelika. Kwaye uxelelwa oku, ngokungathandabuzekiyo, ngabacebisi bakhe kwezopolitiko zangaphakathi zaseMelika. UBush ubonisa ukuba "ngumongameli wemfazwe." Umzuzu nje esiba ngumongameli wexesha loxolo, uya kuba sengxakini enkulu - ngakumbi ngenxa yokungaphumeleli kwezithembiso zemfazwe.
Ke, uBush akanakukhetha. Uya kuhlasela i-Iraq. Uyibeke yacaca into yokuba ingxaki ekhoyo kuMbindi Mpuma ayizukumnqanda koku. Ngokuchasene noko. Ukuthumela uNobhala kaRhulumente u-Colin Powell kummandla yindlela yokuzama ukuqinisekisa ukusebenza. Kwaye sonke siya kuphila kunye nemiphumo.
U-Immanuel Wallerstein ngumfundi ophezulu wophando kwiYunivesithi yaseYale kunye nombhali we "Isiphelo sehlabathi njengoko sisazi."
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa ngemali kuphela ngesisa sabafundi bayo.
Nikela