Abezopolitiko kunye nemithombo yeendaba bayibulisile into abayibona njengokubuyela kukaMongameli uTrump kumgaqo-nkqubo waseMelika wangaphandle. Bayakwamkela ukusetyenziswa okwenyani okanye okusongelayo komkhosi waseSyria, e-Afghanistan naseNyakatho Korea, kwaye bancoma ukutyunjwa kwakhe njenge-bevvy yeenjengele kwizikhundla eziphezulu zokhuseleko. Inqaku elimangalisayo leentsuku zokuqala ezili-100 zikaTrump yayiyindlela iphulo ukumenza idemon kunye neqela lakhe njengezidalwa zeKremlin zacinywa ngequbuliso njengokukhanya nje ukuba arhoxe kwiradicalism yakhe yangaphambili.
Enyanisweni, ulawulo lukaTrump kufuneka loyike ngakumbi njengengozi yoxolo lwehlabathi ekupheleni kweentsuku zakhe zokuqala ze-100 eofisini kunokuba kwakunjalo ekuqaleni. Oku kungenxa yokuba uTrump kwi-White House uxhobisa uninzi lwabo, ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ekubeni "izandla ezikhuselekileyo", bakhokelele i-US kwibutho labantu. series Iimfazwe eziyingozi kuMbindi Mpuma kwisithuba se-9/11. Akukho sizathu sokucinga ukuba baye baziguqula iindlela zabo okanye bafunda kwiimpazamo zexesha elidluleyo.
Le ngongoma iqondwa ngcono kuMbindi Mpuma kunokuba ikuyo e-US naseYurophu. E-Baghdad, umzekelo, abantu banexhala kuba bebona isakhiwo sase-US sisiya kungquzulwano oluhlaziyiweyo ne-Iran, mhlawumbi siphinda sirhoxa kwisivumelwano senyukliya neTehran kwaye sizama ukunciphisa okanye ukuphelisa impembelelo yase-Iranian e-Iraq. UJim Mattis, unobhala wezoKhuselo kunye nowayesakuba ngumphathi-jikelele waseLwandle, kunye no-HR McMaster, uMcebisi wezoKhuseleko weSizwe kunye nomkhosi jikelele wokulwa. amava e-Iraq, zombini zichasene ne-Iranian. Kumajoni afana noMcMaster, ukusilela kwe-US e-Iraq bekungeyomfuneko kwaye kuzenzele kwaye bajonge ukuyibuyisela umva.
Ukujongana ngezikhondo zamehlo e-US-Iran ziindaba ezimbi ze-Iraq kuba isenokungathethi imfazwe epheleleyo (nangona le nto inokwenzeka ngokugqibeleleyo), kodwa iya kulwelwa kumhlaba we-Iraq ngabaxhasi basekhaya kunye namahlakani. Omnye umhlalutyi waseIraq uthi: โNgenene i-Iraq ayinakuphinda iluthathele phambili ugonyamelo, kwaye ngekhe kubekho umntu ophumelelayo.โ Uxoxa ukuba amava emfazwe yase-Iran-Iraq ka-1980-88, xa abantu base-Irani balahlekelwa sisiqingatha sesigidi befile, bafakwe ezingqondweni zeenkokheli zase-Iranian kwaye abanakuze bavumele ilizwe langaphandle elinobutshaba njenge-US ukuba libe negunya e-Iraq. .
Abaninzi abahlalutyi baseNtshona babevuyiswa yi-Trump ye-missile strike eSiriya kwi-7 April, ukuyichaza njengokubuyela kumgaqo-nkqubo wase-US ofuna ukuhamba kuka-Assad njengenxalenye yesivumelwano soxolo. Kodwa lo mgaqo-nkqubo kudala ufile emanzini kuba uAssad akanaso isizathu sokuhamba. Umgaqo-nkqubo kaTrump waseSyria ngexesha lephulo lonyulo lukamongameli wawusoloko unengqiqo ngakumbi kunaleyo kaHillary Clinton njengelizwi lokusekwa komgaqo-nkqubo wangaphandle wase-US.
Ingxaki enkulu yamaSiriya aqhelekileyo kunye namagunya aseNtshona kukuba ukuba u-Assad uya okanye ubuthathaka, ke abaxhamli abakhulu baya kuba yi-al-Qaeda kunye ne-Isis. Ukhetho luphakathi kokubi kakhulu kwaye kubi nakakhulu. Kubekho iinzame zepropaganda ukwenza ngathi inkcaso yaseSyria exhobileyo ayikhokelwa kakhulu ngamaqela eSalafi-Jihadi. Kodwa ezi nzame ziyafa njengoko uJabhat al-Nusr, othanda ukutshintsha igama, enyusa abachasi bakhe bokugqibela kumantla eSyria.
Inxalenye enempembelelo yepropaganda ibiyeyokuba urhulumente waseSyria ubandakanyeka kunye noIsis okanye akenzi nto ukulwa nabo. Kodwa oku kuchasene nohlalutyo olutsha liqela lokubeka iliso le-IHS Markit, libonisa ukuba kulo nyaka uphelileyo u-Isis uye walwa nemikhosi karhulumente waseSiriya ngaphezu kwanoma yimuphi umchasi. Phakathi kwe-1 April 2016 kunye ne-31 Matshi 2017, i-43 ipesenti yokulwa kwe-Isis eSiriya yayijoliswe kwimikhosi yase-Assad, i-17 ipesenti ngokumelene ne-US ixhaswa kodwa i-Kurdish ilawula i-Syria yeDemocratic Forces kunye neepesenti ze-40 ngokuchasene namanye amaqela, ngokukodwa iiproxies zaseTurkey eziqiniswe yi. umkhosi waseTurkey kumntla we-Aleppo.
"Kuyinyani ephazamisayo ukuba naliphi na inyathelo lase-US elithathiweyo ukwenza buthathaka urhulumente waseSyria liza kuxhamla ngokungazi kwi-Islamic State kunye namanye amaqela e-Jihadi," utshilo u-Columb Strack, umhlalutyi ophezulu kuMbindi Mpuma kwi-IHS Markit. โUrhulumente waseSyria ngoyena usisiqhushumbisi kwisando somanyano olukhokelwa yi-US. Ngelixa imikhosi exhaswa yi-US ijikeleze iRaqqa, i-Islamic State ikwidabi elibukhali kunye noRhulumente waseSyria malunga nePalmyra nakwezinye iindawo zamaphondo aseHoms naseDeir al-Zour. " Ukuba u-Isis wayeza kubamba iDeir al-Zour, isixeko esikhulu kunazo zonke kwimpuma yeSiriya, oku kuya kuvuselela iqela nangona lilahlekelwa yiRaqqa kunye neMosul.
Ulawulo lukaTrump luthi eyona nto iphambili kukuphelisa uIsis kwaye akukho mntu ungavumelaniyo noku. Kodwa impembelelo evuselelayo yokusekwa komgaqo-nkqubo wamazwe angaphandle wase-US kunye ne-Israel kunye ne-neo-cons, ngaphandle kwerekhodi labo elibi e-Iraq naseSiriya, ziindaba ezilungileyo kuIsis. IWashington ifuna ubudlelwane obusondeleyo kunye namazwe amaSunni afana neTurkey kunye neSaudi Arabia anonxibelelwano olungenamthunzi kumaqela eSalafi-jihadi kwaye ayengavisisani noMongameli Obama.
Abantu kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo abafumana amandla okwenza izigqibo kulawulo lweTrump bayafana nabo bancedisayo ukuguqula iMbindi Mpuma ebanzi ukusuka eHindu Kush ukuya eSahara ibe yindawo yeemfazwe ezingapheliyo. Abayazi indlela yokuphelisa ezi ngxabano yaye babonisa umnqweno omncinane wokwenjenjalo.
Kukho isizathu esibanzi ngakumbi sokuba kutheni iWashington inokuthambekela ngakumbi ekusebenziseni isoyikiso okanye ukusetyenziswa komkhosi womkhosi kwixesha elizayo ukwenza amandla ayo. Oku kungenxa yokuba amandla ayo ezopolitiko, ezoqoqosho kunye neengcamango ziyancipha xa zithelekiswa nehlabathi liphela. Kwakuyi-apogee yayo phakathi kokuwa kweSoviet Union ngo-1991 kunye neengxaki zemali ze-2007-8. Ukunyuka kwe-China kunye nokubuya kweRashiya njengomdlali wamazwe ngamazwe kugxininisa amandla akhe okwenza unilaterally. Unyulo lukaTrump bubungqina boluntu olwahlulelene kakhulu.
Njengamandla omkhosi i-US isenokuthi ibango lokongamela: ukugculelwa kukaTrump kumazwe ngamazwe kwacinywa ngoko nangoko xa wayedubula imijukujelwa ye-59 yeTomahawk eSyria, yawisa ibhombu enkulu e-Afghanistan yaza, ngobuxoki njengoko kwavelayo, ukuba i-armada yase-US yayihamba ngesikhephe isiya ngasemantla. eKorea. Isifundo songenelelo lwakutsha nje lwase-US kukuba kunzima ukujika amandla omkhosi abe yinzuzo yezopolitiko, kodwa oku akuthethi ukuba iWashington ayizukuzama ukwenza njalo.
UTrump uya kube efundile kule nyanga iphelileyo ukuba ukungxola okuncinci kwe-saber phesheya kuvelisa izahlulo ezinkulu kwezopolitiko ekhaya. Iinkokeli eziphantsi kweminyaka ziye zahendwa ukuba ziqhube umlo omncinci omfutshane oyimpumelelo ukuhlanganisa ilizwe labo emva kwabo. Rhoqo baye bafumana oku ngokugqibeleleyo nangokuzitshabalalisayo kwaye ezi mfazwe ziye zaba zinkulu, zinde kwaye aziphumelelanga.
UTrump ukhankasele njengomntu ozimele yedwa, ofanele ukumkhusela kwiimpazamo zangaphandle, kodwa akazange abe nabaninzi abazahlulayo abamngqongileyo. Abaqulunqi bongenelelo lomkhosi waseMelika olungaphumelelanga kuba iAfghanistan iseshishini. I-Strip Trump yokuzikhethela kwakhe kwaye into oyishiyileyo ubukhulu becala yi-jingoistic bravado kunye nokuqhayisa ngokubuya kobukhulu baseMelika. Kwiingxaki ezizayo, zombini ezi mpembelelo ziya kwenza ukulalanisa kube nzima ngakumbi kwaye imfazwe inokwenzeka ngakumbi.
I-ZNetwork ixhaswa ngemali kuphela ngesisa sabafundi bayo.
Nikela