Ukuba bekufuneka sithathe isigqibo ophumeleleyo kwingxoxo-mpikiswano yeDemokhrasi phezolo kunye nezimvo zokusekwa kweepundits zosasazo, uHillary Clinton uphumelele ngokuqhawuka. Kodwa amajelo eendaba ezentlalo kunye nokuvota kwi-intanethi bakhethe kakhulu uBernie Sanders njengophumeleleyo. Ngoko yiyiphi eyinyani? Ngaba u-Hillary ungumgqatswa ongenakuthintelwa kumajelo eendaba angaphakathi ebesixelela ukuba usukela kusuku lokuqala, okanye ngaba amajelo eendaba atyhala i-ajenda ye-pro-Hillary kubavoti be-pro-Bernie?
I-punditocracy ikwisivumelwano esipheleleyo sokuba uHillary Clinton nguye ophumeleleyo:
-NPR ibhale, "UHillary Clinton, umgqatswa oyena mntu uphulukene naye, unokuba sele efumene uninzi."
-Kwinqaku leNew York Times elinomxholo olahlekisayo kakhulu othi, Ngubani ophumeleleyo kwaye ophulukene nengxoxo-mpikiswano? IWebhu inelizwi layo, iThe Times yabhala, "UHillary Rodham Clinton wayengoyena uphumeleleyo, ngokutsho kweembono zezopolitiko kwihlabathi (kwanabagqabaza abagcinayo)," ecaphula izimvo zeepundits ezihlawulwa ngaphezulu kunokuba ngabantu bokwenyani kwi-intanethi.
-UmGcini wongeze kumxube, esithi, "Ukuba ufuna ukukhetha ophumeleleyo uLwesibini Ingxoxo yasebusuku yeDemokhrasi, uHillary Clinton uya kwenza.
-Vox.com - eqaliswe ngumhleli wangaphambili weWashington Post Wonkblog u-Ezra Klein (owasungula iVox emva kokuba i-WaPo ihlekise isiphakamiso sakhe se-10 yezigidi zeedola ngaphandle kwegumbi) - uye wavakalisa ukhuseleko lwabo lukaClinton. Namhlanje baqhube isihloko esithi, uHillary Clinton Ubathulisile abagxeki bakhe, egcwele indumiso ephefumlayo kulowo wayesakuba nguNobhala weLizwe. Inqaku lakhankanya uBernie Sanders kanye kanye.
-Ngokucacileyo, Poynter.org, equka amajelo eendaba, yachaza ukuthanda kwamajelo eendaba, isithi, โAbeendaba babiza uHillary Clinton ophumeleleyo, akukho khuphiswano.โ
-I-Boston Globe yayiyeyona icacileyo ekubetheni kwayo amagubu emfazwe kaHillary Clinton, njengoko kungqinwa zezi zihloko zintathu ukususela ngale ntsasa:
Kubantu abaxhomekeke kumajelo eendaba afana nala ukuze bafumane ulwazi, basenokunikezela kwaye bavotele uClinton, njengoko kubonakala ukuba akanakuphepha. Kodwa i-intanethi ibalisa ibali elahlukileyo, malunga nayo yonke i-metric onokuyicinga. Njengoko lo mzobo ubonisa, abahleli be-CNN, iSlate, kunye ne-TIME babenoluvo olwahluke ngokupheleleyo lokuba ngubani ophumeleleyo xa kuthelekiswa nababukeli.
1. facebook
Ngokutsho kweeNdaba zase-US kunye neNgxelo yehlabathi, uBernie Sanders ngoyena mgqatswa ekuthethwa ngaye kuFacebook, kunye noClinton ngomzuzwana omde. I-US News liveblog poll, eyenziwa kuFacebook, icele ababukeli ukuba bakhethe umgqatswa abacinga ukuba uphumelele ingxoxo. USanders wayeyeyona nto ithandwayo, ngeepesenti ezingama-82 zevoti.
2. Twitter
UBernie Sanders ukhankanywe ngamaxesha angama-407,000 kwi-Twitter - ngaphezu kwanoma yimuphi umviwa odibeneyo. Ubuye wathatha abalandeli abatsha abangama-42,730 ngexesha nasemva kwengxoxo, xa kuthelekiswa nabalandeli abatsha bakaHillary Clinton abangama-25,475. Kuhlalutyo lweetweets, iipesenti ezingama-69 zabakhankanya uBernie Sanders babenethemba. Iipesenti ezingama-56 kuphela zeetweets ezikhankanya uHillary Clinton zilungile. Xa kuthelekiswa ukuphindaphindwa kokukhankanywa, igama okanye umqheba kaBernie Sanders wakhankanywa izihlandlo ezili-12,000 ngomzuzu, ngelixa igama okanye umqheba kaClinton wakhankanywa izihlandlo ezingama-8,300 ngomzuzu.
3. Ukunyusa imali
Kwisiteyitimenti sokuvala sikaBernie Sanders, uSenator waseVermont ukhankanye indlela asandul' ukuseta ngayo iirekhodi zokunyusa ingxowa-mali ngokunyusa i-26 yezigidi zeedola kwikota yokugqibela kunye nabanegalelo elingaphezulu kwe-650,000 enika umndilili we-30 yeedola. USanders wade waphosa umbuzo wokunyusa imali ngomzuzu wokugqibela, kwaye yasebenza: umviwa uzuze i-1.4 yezigidi zeedola kwiminikelo emitsha emva kwengxoxo.
4. Amaqela ekugxilwe kuwo
Xa amajelo osasazo aphambili ephonononga amaqela agqalileyo ukuba abuze ukuba ngubani ophumeleleyo kwingxoxo-mpikiswano, abathathi-nxaxheba beqela bakhetha kakhulu uBernie Sanders. I-CNN ikhethe iqela labavoti abangagqitywanga eNevada; Umkhululi wemiyalezo ogcinayo uFrank Lutz ukhethe iqela lokugxila labavoti beDemokhrasi eFlorida; UFusion ukhethe iqela ekugxilwe kulo labavoti benkulungwane yeminyaka abavela eMiami. Kwaye kwimeko nganye, amaqela ekugxilwe kuwo acinga ukuba uBernie Sanders uphumelele ingxoxo. Abathathi-nxaxheba bakaLuntz bachaze uSanders โnjenamandla,โ โokrelekrele,โ kwaye โebantwini,โ phantse bonke abathathi-nxaxheba bamkhetha njengoyena bamthandayo. Iqela eligxile kwiFusion lichole iSanders 8-3.
5. Ukuvota kwi-Intanethi
Kuwo wonke umbutho weendaba ophambili oqhuba i-poll ye-intanethi ebuza abathathi-nxaxheba ukuba baphumelele, uBernie Sanders utshabalalise ukhuphiswano. Bekungeka sondele. Nditsho nabathathi-nxaxheba beFox News kunye neDrudge bathi uSanders uphumelele ngomda omkhulu.
Enye yeentloni ezinkulu kwimidiya enkulu phezolo iboniswe kwi-intanethi ye-intanethi eyenziwa yi-CNN. Iivoti ezimbini ezahlukeneyo zakhetha uSanders njengophumeleleyo.
Okumangalisayo kukuba, le poll isusiwe kwiwebhusayithi ye-CNN, kwaye iboniswa kuphela apha enkosi kwi-screenshot yomsebenzisi weReddit. I-CNN ilususile i-poll yaza yalususa ngesihloko se-pro-Clinton:
Kutheni le nto i-CNN ingazihoyanga izimvo zababukeli bayo ngokuthanda ukutyhala ibali le-pro-Clinton? Isenokuba ngokuyinxenye kuba inkampani yabazali be-CNN, iTime Warner, yenye yabaxhasi abakhulu bakaHillary Clinton:
6. Uphando lukaGoogle
UBernie Sanders wayengoyena mgqatswa wayebhengezwe kakhulu ngobusuku, ebadlula bonke abantu awayekhuphisana nabo ngaphambi kwengxoxo, ngexesha lengxoxo, nasemva koko. Akakho omnye umviwa osondele.
Kukho into engalunganga ngaphakathi kumagumbi eendaba eendaba. Nokuba ngaba abahleli kunye neepundits abanabuchule kwimisebenzi yabo kangangokuba bacingela ukuba uHillary Clinton wayengoyena uthandwayo kwingxoxo yaphezolo, okanye ngabom batyhala uHillary Clinton emqaleni kwaye bekhanyela ukuthandwa okucacileyo kukaBernie Sanders.
C. Robert Gibson ngumhleli-oyintloko we-US Uncut. Umsebenzi wakhe wangaphambili upapashwe kwi-Guardian, Al Jazeera America, NPR, kunye neWashington Post. Mlandele kuTwitter: @crgibs
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