Njengoko iinkokeli zehlabathi zibuya zivela eCopenhagen ngaphandle kwesivumelwano esiya kukhusela umoya ojikeleze umhlaba ekutshintsheni kwemozulu etshabalalisayo, thina bantu abaqhelekileyo siyanyanzeleka ukuba sijongane kungekuphela nje noko sikucingayo, kodwa kwanangendlela esivakalelwa ngayo.
Xa ndandikwisikolo samabanga aphantsi ekuqaleni kweminyaka yoo-1950 sasinoqeqesho lokuhlasela emoyeni. I-Sirens yayiza kuvakala kwaye siyalelwe ukuba "idada kwaye sigqume" phantsi kweedesika zethu. Kwakukho iziqhulo ezininzi phakathi kwabantwana malunga nemiyalelo yethu. "Xa kuthe kwakho uhlaselo lwenyukliya goba, faka intloko yakho phakathi kwemilenze yakho, kwaye uphuze iesile lakho."
Eso simo sengqondo sokunyelisa sayifihla into yokuba mna nabahlobo bam, njengabaninzi ababephila ngexesha lethu, sayithabatha lula into yokuba kusenokwenzeka ukuba sife kwimfazwe yenyukliya. Ngokuqinisekileyo andizange ndilindele ukuba ndiphile ngaphaya kwamashumi amabini okanye namashumi amathathu ukuba iphethini yokunyuka kwe-nyukliya iqhubekile ingathintelwa.
Umboniso kamabonakude wasebusuku wamva nje ubonise isimo sengqondo esinjalo sokuthuka malunga nesisongelo sokufudumala kwehlabathi:
"Ngokutsho kwengxelo entsha ye-UN, imbonakalo yokufudumala kwehlabathi imbi kakhulu kunokuba bekuxelwe kwangaphambili. Okubi kakhulu xa babeqikelela kwangaphambili ukuba kuya kutshabalalisa iplanethi."
Emva kogqabhuko-dubulo lokuqala lwebhombu yeathom, uAlbert Einstein walumkisa ngelithi, โAmandla akhululwayo eathom aye atshintsha yonke into ngaphandle kweendlela zethu zokucinga yaye ngaloo ndlela sikhukulisela kwintlekele engenakulinganiswa nanto.โ Ukufudumala kwehlabathi kunye nezinye izoyikiso zokusingqongileyo ziye zaqinisa uloyiko lokusinda kwabantu. Ngowe-1977, isazinzulu sezobupolitika uCharles Lindblom sabhala: โUbungqina obuninzi obungayekeleliyo bubonisa ukuba ubomi bomntu kwesi sijikelezi-langa buza kwintlekele. Ngokwenene, zininzi iintlekele ezinokwenzeka, yaye ukuba siyayiphepha, siya kubanjwa yenye.โ Ubala ukukhula kwabemi, ukunqongophala kwezixhobo, kunye nokufudumala kwehlabathi. "Yonke le nto ithatha ukuba intlekele yenyukliya ayisisindisi kwintlungu ede yokuwohloka."
Ngo-1992, isazi ngokusebenza komzimba kunye nombhali uJared Diamond wabhala, "Ukuza kuthi ga kwisizukulwana sethu, akukho mntu wayenezizathu zokukhathazeka ukuba isizukulwana esilandelayo siza kuphila okanye sonwabele iplanethi efanele ukuphila kuyo. Isizukulwana sethu sokuqala ukujamelana nale mibuzo ikamva labantwana bayo." "Amafu" amabini ajinga phezu kwethu aphakamisa ezi zinto zixhalabisayo: "imbubhiso yenyukliya" kunye "nokutshatyalaliswa kwendalo." Le mingcipheko "ibandakanya imibuzo emibini enzima ejongene noluntu namhlanje."
Kwiminyaka engama-60 emva kwesilumkiso sikaEinstein, isazi ngeenkwenkwezi uStephen Hawking sathi, โUbomi eMhlabeni busengozini yokutshatyalaliswa yintlekele,โ โnjengokufudumala kwehlabathi ngequbulisoโ okanye โimfazwe yenyukliya.โ Phezu kwayo nje isiqingatha senkulungwane yolwazi malunga nentshabalalo eyenziwe ngumntu, uEinstein walumkisa ngokuqhubeka engathinteli. Kunjalo nokungakhathali kunye nokukhubazeka ebusweni bayo.
Ukuphelelwa lithemba kubonakala kuyinto eqhelekileyo, eneneni, kwanendlela efanelekileyo yokusabela kwimeko enjalo. Kunzima ngenene ukwazi enye indlela yokunxulumana nezigrogriso kubukho beentlobo zethu esibonakala singenamandla okuzinqanda.
Ngaphambi kokuba sicinge nzulu malunga nokuba senze ntoni malunga nezisongelo zentshabalalo, ke ngoko, kufuneka sicinge ngokwethu iimpendulo. Ngaba ukuphelelwa lithemba kufanelekile, kwaye ukuba kunjalo kuphela kwempendulo efanelekileyo? Ngaba sele kusemva kwexesha kakhulu ukwenza nantoni na? Ukuba imeko ayiniki themba, ngaba ukukhanyela ngokwasengqondweni akufanelekanga โ ukuba akukho nto sinokuyenza ngayo, akufanelanga ukuba siyibethe ngoyaba size siqhubeke nobomi bethu bonke kangangoko sinako? Ngaba isisongelo sentshabalalo sinokusiqhubela esenzweni? Okanye ngaba kunokwenzeka ngakumbi ukusenza sizive singenamandla size sisenze singakhathali? Ngaba ukuphelelwa lithemba kunokuba yibhulorho eya kwenye into?
Sinezizathu ezibambekayo zenzululwazi zokulindela ukuba, ngaphandle koncedo oluvela kuthi, uluntu luya kuthi shwaka ngokukhawuleza okanye kamva luze ekugqibeleni isijikelezi-langa sethu sibe ngumkhenkce okanye sitshiswe okanye siqhekeke sibe ngamasuntswana. Yaye sinesizathu esivakalayo sokucinga ukuba akukho nto sinokuyenza enokuthintela ishwangusha elinjalo.
Kodwa ukuzibek' esweni, intshabalalo eyenziwe ngumntu yahlukile. Ayinakuthathwa njengento abantu abangenamandla okuyinqanda ngokwendalo. Into esiyifumana ngokufanelekileyo kukuba asinawo amandla okukuthintela njengabantu ngabanye. Kodwa ngokudibeneyo singakwazi ukubuyisela umva ukutyekela kwintshabalalo ngosuku- ukuba sivumile ukwenza njalo-ngokumisa nje ezo zinto ziyivelisayo. Ukungabi namandla esikufumanayo akubangelwa kumandla ethu atshabalalisayo, kodwa kukungakwazi kwethu okubonakalayo ukulungelelanisa ukuthintela ukuba singawusebenzisi ukuzitshabalalisa.
Ezi ngcambu zentshabalalo ziyinxalenye yendlela efanayo esinokuyibona ngokuphindaphindiweyo kwimbali. Abantu baphila ubomi babo kwaye baphumeze iinjongo zabo ngokusebenzisa izicwangciso eziye zaphuhliswa ekuhambeni kwexesha. Kodwa ngamanye amaxesha bafumanisa ukuba izicwangciso zabo ezimiselweyo azisebenzi. Kungakhathaliseki ukuba bazama kangakanani na, iingxaki zabo zihlala zingalungiseki. Umphumo wendalo kukuphelelwa lithemba.
Ukuba abantu abaninzi baphila ngamava afanayo, lonke iqela lentlalontle lisenokuba lizaliswe kukuphelelwa lithemba. Banokuvakalisa oko kuphelelwa lithemba omnye komnye ngeendlela ezininzi - umzekelo, kwi-jokes mordant malunga nentshabalalo.
Kodwa ukuqonda ukuba abanye abantu bajamelene nokuphelelwa lithemba okufanayo kuyayitshintsha imeko ekuyo. Ivula amathuba amatsha. Mhlawumbi iingxaki esinqwenela ukuzisombulula njengabantu ngabanye zinokusonjululwa ngohlobo oluthile lwentshukumo edibeneyo. Xa abantu beqala ukuhlola oko kunokwenzeka, umphumo unokuba yintshukumo yentlalontle.
Ngamafutshane, imvakalelo yokuphelelwa lithemba ebusweni bokungabi namandla komntu inokuba ngumhlaba apho iintshukumo ezintsha zentlalo kunye neendlela ezintsha zezenzo ezidibeneyo zivela. Ubumnyama buhlala buyinxalenye yenkqubo apho kuvela khona izisombululo ezintsha zentlalo. Yimbonakaliso yokuqonda ukuba iipatheni zethu zangoku azikwazi kusombulula iingxaki zethu. Ngoko imvakalelo yethu yokungabi namandla xa sijamelene nentshabalalo ezayo yanamhlanje inokukhokelela kungekuphela nje ekuphelelweni lithemba, kodwa kwakhona ekwabelaneni ngokuphelelwa lithemba, okunokusivulela indlela yokuzama amacebo amatsha oluntu kunye neendlela ezintsha zokwenza okufanayo.
Kwenzeka into efana nale kwiminyaka yokuqala yogqatso lwezixhobo zenyukliya. Ukuqonda amampunge amaqhinga angoku njengokhuseleko ngokongamela kwenyukliya kunye nokhuselo loluntu kwabonakaliswa ekuqaleni kokungabi nathemba "kokuphuza iesile lakho." Kodwa kolu lwazi kwavela intshukumo "yokuvalwa kwebhombu" yokuthotywa kwezixhobo zenyukliya kunye novavanyo lwenyukliya. Njengoko uphando lwembali lwakutshanje luye lwabonisa, loo ntshukumo yaba nempembelelo yaza yoyikisa iinkokeli zehlabathi. Idlale indima ebalulekileyo ekuziseni isivumelwano sokuvalwa kovavanyo lwenyukliya, i-US-Soviet dรฉtente, kunye nezivumelwano zolawulo lwezixhobo eziye zanciphisa ukubakho kwembubhiso yenyukliya kwisizukulwana.
Oko kwaziwa ngokuba โngumthandazo wotywalaโ kubongoza โukuzola ukwamkela izinto esingenako ukuzitshintsha, inkalipho yokutshintsha izinto esinokuzenza, nobulumko bokwazi umahluko.โ Ukuba umbuzo ngowokuba nabani na kuthi njengabantu ngabanye unokukunqanda ukufudumala komhlaba okanye ashenxise isisongelo semfazwe yenyukliya, ngokuqinisekileyo impendulo nguhayi.
Kodwa into esinokuyenza okanye esingakwaziyo ukuyenza ngabanye asingomlinganiselo wento esinokuyenza kunye. Ukuba umbuzo, ngokuchaseneyo, ngowokuba sonke xa sisebenza kunye sinokuhlehlisa intshabalalo, impendulo nguewe ngokucacileyo. Kodwa oko akuthethi ukuba kuya kwenzeka nje. Kuxhomekeke kwinto abantu abazimisele ukuyenza.
Ngelixa abantu besebenzisa amacebo abo amiselweyo, bayawatshintsha. Kwaye ke indlela abaza kusabela ngayo kwiimeko ezintsha ayinakuze iqikelelwe ngokupheleleyo. Ezona ziganeko zoyikekayo zinokuthathwa njengesizathu sokuphelelwa lithemba okanye njengenguquko. Ukudibana ngokusondeleyo nembubhiso yenyukliya kwintlekele ye-missile yaseCuba ngokungalindelekanga kukhokelele i-US kunye ne-USSR ukuba barhoxe ekusukeleni ubuphambana bobungangamsha benyukliya kwaye baqhubele phambili kwisicwangciso solawulo kunye nolawulo lweengalo. Akukho siqinisekiso sokuba iKatrinas yexesha elizayo iya kuba nesiphumo esifanayo - kodwa akukho siqinisekiso sokuba abayi kuba nayo.
Imeko yokusinda komntu sisicwangciso esitsha esisekelwe kwintsebenziswano yabo bonke ukuqinisekisa ukusinda kwabo bonke. Ndisebenzisa ibinzana elithi "ugcino oluqhelekileyo" ukubonisa amaqhinga apho abantu bazama ukusombulula iingxaki zabo ngokuhlangabezana neemfuno zabo ezifanayo kunokuba bajonge ezabo kuphela. Ugcino oluqhelekileyo ngoku yimeko eyimfuneko yokuzigcina. Akukho namnye kuthi onokuthembela ekusindeni, singasathethi ke ngentlalo-ntle yethu kunye nabo sibakhathaleleyo, ngaphandle kokuba sithatha amanyathelo alungelelanisiweyo ukuguqula iipatheni zangoku zobomi bomntu. Ukuzigcina komntu ngamnye kunye namaqela ngoku kunokuqinisekiswa kuphela ngokulondolozwa okufanayo kweentlobo zethu kunye nokusingqongileyo ngokubanzi.
IDoom ithumela iingoma zayo. Yayikukufunyanwa kokungaphumeleli kuvavanyo lwenyukliya okwenze ukuba ugqatso lwezixhobo zenyukliya lube lolokwenene kwizigidi zabantu ababekhe bahlangabezana neArmagedon yenyukliya ngaphambili njengesisongelo esikude nesicingelwayo. Izaqhwithi, amaza obushushu, nezikhukula zisisilumkiso esiphantse sibe yiBhayibhile ngentlekele ezayo yokutshintsha kwemozulu.
Ngaba sele kusemva kwexesha? Siyazi ukuba kuninzi okusele kulahlekile. Kodwa akukho ndlela yokwazi ukuba yonke into ilahlekile. Akukho ndlela yokwazi ngokuqinisekileyo kwangaphambili ukuba impendulo edibeneyo inokufezekiswa. Sikwisikhundla sabazali abathi, sele bebhujelwe ngumntwana, mabathathe isigqibo sokuba sibalwele na abanye abantwana bethu abagrogriswayo kodwa besaphila.
Ukuba umhlaba unokukhala njengomntwana ogrogriswayo, unokukhala ngamazwi afayo embongi yabasebenzi uJoe Hill, "Musa ukundililela - ququzelela."
Kodwa inyaniso kukuba, kufuneka sizilile. Sifanele sililele amaxhoba kaKatrina, kunye nendlela yobomi eyatshatyalaliswa ngayo. Kufuneka sizilele ezinye Katrinas ezininzi esele zenzekile e Bangladesh nase-Indonesia, kwaye ukuba sele fated ukuba kwenzeke, nantoni na esinokuyenza. Kufuneka sizilele iibhere ezimhlophe ezithe yatshatyalaliswa indawo yazo yokuhlala. Kufuneka sizilele iqhekeza ngalinye elixabisekileyo lendawo esihlala kuyo: uhlobo oluthile lwemini yasebusika okanye iintaka eziculayo ezingasayi kundwendwela imozulu eguqukileyo. Kufuneka sizilele oko siya kuphulukana nako - oko kufuneka sikuncame - ukwenza oko kuyimfuneko ukugxotha intshabalalo. Usizi lwethu kuphela kwendlela yokugcina ukholo kunye naloo nto - kunye nabo - sele bebingelelwe kububudenge bethu.
Ukuba ke sisenza isijwili sonke, asiphumeleli na ekugwetyweni izizwana ezongezelelekileyo, nemizi, nemizi, neendawo zokuhlala?
Makhe sithethe ngenye indlela, uMama uJones, "Lilelani abafileyo; balweleni abaphilayo njengesihogo."
Okanye, ngamazwi omoya wase-Afrika waseMelika owaba ngumhobe wentshukumo yamalungelo oluntu:
โSingamajoni asemkhosini
Kuza kufuneka silwe, nangona kufuneka silile.
Kufuneka siphakamise loo bhanile inegazi;
Kufuneka siyibambe de sife. "
UJeremy Brecher ngumbhali-mbali, umbhali weencwadi ezingaphezu kweshumi elinesibini malunga neentshukumo zabasebenzi kunye nezentlalo, kunye nomsebenzi weNethiwekhi yezaBasebenzi yokuZinza. www.labor4sustainability.org Incwadi yakhe elandelayo yiCommon Preservation in the Era of Mutual Destruction. Esi siqwenga sinikezelwe kuTim Costello, iqabane lokubhala leminyaka engamashumi amane, owafa kule nyanga. Ngephepha lewebhu lesikhumbuzo likaTim, ndwendwela www.laborstrategies.blogs.com